8-6 Plays

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  • SSVIR
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-07-14
    • 861

    #1
    8-6 Plays
    Getting them up early for comments and before I get facked on line movements.

    You guys mock my chalk picks but damn this card tomorrow is sad b/c the average chalk in the men's matches is > -500.


    Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -335 v Jeremy Chardy

    Tsonga leads the H2H with Chardy's win coming at this event in 2012. Tsonga hasn't played much but he's been smokin' fools (losses to Djokovic twice and Matosevic at Queens). Chardy has been struggling. He lost 4 in a row to average clay court players at best and just had to go 3 sets to beat Delbonis in the first round.

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Andreas Seppi -110 v Ivan Dodig

    Both have been hit or miss winning a match then losing the next match but Seppi owns the H2H 5-0 on all surfaces and Dodig is getting too much credit for beating one dimensional Isner.

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Milos Raonic -450 v Jack Sock

    Raonic picked up where he left off smoking everyone in Washington and losing his serve only once in the tournament. Sock is playing excellent tennis but his two weapons of serve/forehand don't compare to Raonic's. Raonic owns the H2H 4-1.

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Fabio Fognini +158 v Kevin Anderson

    My dislike of Anderson from prior lost bets forces me to go with the mental midget Italian.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Dominika Cibulkova -265 v Heather Watson

    Cilbulcova leads the H2H 1-0 winning on hard courts earlier this year. Neither has beaten anyone of significance in the last couple of months so I'm just giving the edge to the higher ranked and more experienced player.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Caroline Wozniacki -470 v Klara Koukalova

    Shit ton of chalk but Wozniacki is just the better version of the same backboard style. No way she losses so might as well cash.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Lucie Safarova -340 v Magdalena Rybarikova

    Safarova has been playing well and has some quality wins whereas Rybarikova has been just trash. Safarova owns the H2H 3-2 but pretty much crushed Rybarikova in the two wins this year.
    Last edited by SSVIR; 08-06-14, 08:15 PM.
  • matt1216
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-27-11
    • 14683

    #2
    Good luck with all your plays

    just a note, the last 3"no way she losses" have gone on to lose. This all from random threads.


    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Caroline Wozniacki -470 v Klara Koukalova


    Shit ton of chalk but Wozniacki is just the better version of the same backboard style. No way she losses so might as well cash.





    again, I wish you luck
    Comment
    • Chaz22
      SBR MVP
      • 09-30-10
      • 1152

      #3
      Few starter comments >>

      I agree on Tsonga bet, though it is very tempting to take Chardy as he is capeable of winning as well. So i'll probably will take Chardy or pass.

      Seppi should win, so im with this as well.

      Rao is so powerful nowadays, but I was very surprised of Jack's performance, he might still have it for this tourn. Should be an interesting match. I would not touch Rao for this price.

      And I don't like Fognini. Never. He will probably lose in straights. Anderson has lost some of his stability, but this should be his match.
      I'm already seeing Fognini's outbreaks, yelling at everyone, and totally loosing his head....
      Comment
      • matt1216
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-27-11
        • 14683

        #4
        Originally posted by Chaz22
        Few starter comments >>

        I agree on Tsonga bet, though it is very tempting to take Chardy as he is capeable of winning as well. So i'll probably will take Chardy or pass.

        Seppi should win, so im with this as well.

        Rao is so powerful nowadays, but I was very surprised of Jack's performance, he might still have it for this tourn. Should be an interesting match. I would not touch Rao for this price.

        And I don't like Fognini. Never. He will probably lose in straights. Anderson has lost some of his stability, but this should be his match.
        I'm already seeing Fognini's outbreaks, yelling at everyone, and totally loosing his head....

        You didn't watch Fognini today? He was actually pretty good. Anderson has looked like shit so far. I would put a lot of money on Fogs if he wasn't a vagina all the time, I think he will be Anderson though. Anderson looks like a mirror of his early year version. I think Anderson's legs are tired, remember he was injured a lot last year, I think the tank is running empty physically
        Comment
        • lucasdawg
          SBR MVP
          • 02-19-13
          • 3399

          #5
          i like fog to upset tomorrow too but cant stand losing on him and losing against him. still might have a crack
          Comment
          • Hardcoar
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-17-13
            • 15606

            #6
            Much unlike yesterday, I don't like a single one of these bets.
            Comment
            • SSVIR
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-07-14
              • 861

              #7
              Originally posted by Hardcoar
              Much unlike yesterday, I don't like a single one of these bets.
              HaHa
              Comment
              • SSVIR
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-07-14
                • 861

                #8
                Plays for the day:

                11:05am 149 Andreas Seppi -105* vs Ivan Dodig to win 5 units
                11:05am 106 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -330* vs Jeremy Chardy to win 2.5 units
                11:05am 156 M.Jaziri Games Won +5 -125* vs M.Cilic to win 2.5 units
                11:05am 115 N.Kyrgios/A.Murray Over 22 Games -108* to win 1.5 units
                11:05am 115 N.Kyrgios +4 Games +100* vs A.Murray to win 1.5 units

                12:00pm 538 Dominika Cibulkova -265* vs Heather Watson to win 2 units
                12:30pm 109 Richard Gasquet -212* vs Ivo Karlovic to win 2.5 units
                1:00pm 118 Fabio Fognini +158* vs Kevin Anderson to win 2.5 units
                2:00pm 550 Sloane Stephens +110* vs Jelena Jankovic to win 2.2 units
                2:45pm 506 Lucie Safarova -340* vs Magdalena Rybarikova to win 1.5 units
                6:30pm 129 Milos Raonic -450* vs Jack Sock to win 1.5 units

                Full TILT Parlays:
                10 units to win 4.3 units
                2:00pm 509 Caroline Wozniacki -675* vs Klara Koukalova
                2:00pm 517 Maria Sharapova -405* vs Garbine Muguruza

                10 units to win 6.4 units
                2:00pm 509 Caroline Wozniacki -675* vs Klara Koukalova
                2:00pm 517 Maria Sharapova -405* vs Garbine Muguruza
                6:00pm 501 Serena Williams -675* vs Samantha Stosur
                Last edited by SSVIR; 08-06-14, 08:15 PM.
                Comment
                • SSVIR
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-07-14
                  • 861

                  #9
                  Looking like 'chit so far.

                  Kyrgios is just a stupid young player.

                  Luckily Chardy is French to the core. Up 7-4 in the TB and proceeds to miss 3 forehands in a row and then hits a double fault to lose the 1st set TB 8-6. Tsonga ultimately wins looking crappy doing it.

                  Cibulkova getting rolled.

                  Seppi should have been up a break in the 3rd but is now down a break in the 3rd and luckily as I type this he breaks back. Seppi now blows 2 break points at 4-4. That is likely to come back to haunt me.
                  Last edited by SSVIR; 08-06-14, 12:20 PM.
                  Comment
                  • SSVIR
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-07-14
                    • 861

                    #10
                    Seppi up 5-2 in the 3rd set TB and loses the TB 7-5.

                    What a facking piece of shit.
                    Comment
                    • SSVIR
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-07-14
                      • 861

                      #11
                      Just realized I took WAY TOO MANY French and Italians today! Shit.
                      Comment
                      • matt1216
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-27-11
                        • 14683

                        #12
                        Yeah dude, I had Chardy up 6-4 in the 1st set tiebreaker and blew 4 straight easy shot.... Tell me about it
                        Comment
                        • matt1216
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-27-11
                          • 14683

                          #13
                          Originally posted by SSVIR
                          Just realized I took WAY TOO MANY French and Italians today! Shit.
                          The French have killed me all year.... I seriously think surrendering is just in their genes.... It's pathetic really
                          Comment
                          • Demonata
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 07-12-11
                            • 25829

                            #14
                            fognini is such a piece of shit. Already broken
                            Comment
                            • SSVIR
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 07-07-14
                              • 861

                              #15
                              Cibulkova rallies back to win the 2nd set in a TB and now sucks again down 4-1 in the 3rd.

                              Jaziri wins the first set and then loses the 2nd 6-0. WTF
                              Comment
                              • matt1216
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 14683

                                #16
                                Watson has been in good form of late, cibulkova has not. I believe cibulkova is tired after that late rally in the second set... Coming back from that far down with take a lot of energy
                                Comment
                                • SSVIR
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 07-07-14
                                  • 861

                                  #17
                                  Cibulkova up 3-0 in the TB and loses.

                                  That's 0-2 on two larger plays for me today in 3rd set TB chokes.
                                  Comment
                                  • FlipsideRM
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-28-11
                                    • 10518

                                    #18
                                    Cibul straight choked that match away. Watson won the last 7 out of 9 points in tie break
                                    Comment
                                    • SSVIR
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-07-14
                                      • 861

                                      #19
                                      Jaziri should have been a winning bet instead of a +5 PUSH. 6-4 0-6 6-7

                                      Not my day with Seppi blowing the 3rd set TB and Cibulkova rallying all they way back to be able to blow the 3rd set TB against Watson.

                                      Damn.
                                      Comment
                                      • SSVIR
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 07-07-14
                                        • 861

                                        #20
                                        9 double faults for Sharapova in 6 service games.

                                        How can you be a professional tennis player and do that?
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #21
                                          Not to mention top five...

                                          By being damn good otherwise and battling through.
                                          Comment
                                          • FlipsideRM
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-28-11
                                            • 10518

                                            #22
                                            Pova will still win that match, I shoulda hit her live at +150
                                            Comment
                                            • SSVIR
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 07-07-14
                                              • 861

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                              Pova will still win that match, I shoulda hit her live at +150
                                              Went TILT on a couple WTA chalky parlays again and was in full blown panic mode until her nice run back to the lead.
                                              Comment
                                              • SSVIR
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 07-07-14
                                                • 861

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by SSVIR
                                                Plays for the day:

                                                11:05am 149 Andreas Seppi -105* vs Ivan Dodig to win 5 units
                                                11:05am 106 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -330* vs Jeremy Chardy to win 2.5 units
                                                11:05am 156 M.Jaziri Games Won +5 -125* vs M.Cilic to win 2.5 units
                                                11:05am 115 N.Kyrgios/A.Murray Over 22 Games -108* to win 1.5 units
                                                11:05am 115 N.Kyrgios +4 Games +100* vs A.Murray to win 1.5 units

                                                12:00pm 538 Dominika Cibulkova -265* vs Heather Watson to win 2 units
                                                12:30pm 109 Richard Gasquet -212* vs Ivo Karlovic to win 2.5 units
                                                1:00pm 118 Fabio Fognini +158* vs Kevin Anderson to win 2.5 units
                                                2:00pm 550 Sloane Stephens +110* vs Jelena Jankovic to win 2.2 units
                                                2:45pm 506 Lucie Safarova -340* vs Magdalena Rybarikova to win 1.5 units
                                                6:30pm 129 Milos Raonic -450* vs Jack Sock to win 1.5 units

                                                Full TILT Parlays:
                                                10 units to win 4.3 units
                                                2:00pm 509 Caroline Wozniacki -675* vs Klara Koukalova
                                                2:00pm 517 Maria Sharapova -405* vs Garbine Muguruza

                                                10 units to win 6.4 units
                                                2:00pm 509 Caroline Wozniacki -675* vs Klara Koukalova
                                                2:00pm 517 Maria Sharapova -405* vs Garbine Muguruza
                                                6:00pm 501 Serena Williams -675* vs Samantha Stosur
                                                Crazy chalk parlays turned the day into a profitable one.

                                                Really bad form by Seppi and Cibulkova choking the 3rd set and a tough loss by Stephens otherwise it would have been a monster day.

                                                Very impressed by Sock. Clearly the best American player right now as Isner sucks.
                                                Comment
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