Excuse me if this has been discussed before, but I just happened across this Pinny article from March analyzing Home Court Advantage and found it interesting. Mostly because it is sooooo counter intuitive.
And counter-intuitive truths can often lead to a betting advantage. IF this is really a truth?
The table below illustrates the overall results of home players on the ATP Tour in the 2013 season, sorted by region. All prices used were Pinnacle Sports’ closing prices and all bets applied were using £100 level stakes.
Is HFA a fallacy in Tennis?
We can see from the above table that only in North America did the home player have a positive return on investment. This is in line with previous research which shows that North American ATP players have strong records at home and very weak records abroad.....
....disregarding North American events, a blanket strategy of opposing all players playing at home can be considered
Article here: http://www.pinnaclesports.com/online...s-betting.aspx
And counter-intuitive truths can often lead to a betting advantage. IF this is really a truth?
The table below illustrates the overall results of home players on the ATP Tour in the 2013 season, sorted by region. All prices used were Pinnacle Sports’ closing prices and all bets applied were using £100 level stakes.
| N. America | 238 | 112 | 47.06 | 344 | 1.45 |
| S. America | 39 | 14 | 35.9 | -818 | -20.97 |
| Europe | 418 | 213 | 50.96 | -2647 | -6.33 |
| ROW | 51 | 15 | 29.41 | -2680 | -52.55 |
| Overall | 746 | 354 | 47.45 | -5801 | -7.78 |
We can see from the above table that only in North America did the home player have a positive return on investment. This is in line with previous research which shows that North American ATP players have strong records at home and very weak records abroad.....
....disregarding North American events, a blanket strategy of opposing all players playing at home can be considered
Article here: http://www.pinnaclesports.com/online...s-betting.aspx
