2014 WTA French Open Dart Board Futures..

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #1
    2014 WTA French Open Dart Board Futures..
    Ok here we go again...Have had success doing this last few grand slams..Yell at me if you want. The argument of the method of "greening out" on this has been discussed before. I dont make these with the intention of them winning(if they do great) but to find a way to hedge out and make a profit.

    Here goes..Laugh all you want..all odds from 5 dimes unless noted..may we tear Tony a new one..

    To win..

    Simona Halep +1475.. Risk 1 unitEasy draw..no excuse if she cant make a semi..its her time to shine
    Carla Suarez Navarro +10000(bovada)..Risk 0.5 units..4th round last year..think she gets to the QF at least and can go to semis for hedge
    Andrea Petkovic +15000..Risk 0.5 units..Finally back from injury and rock solid..
    Alize Cornet +15000..Risk 0.5 units..French hottie has finally peaked..Just hope home country nerves dont get to her.
    P


    To win Quarter..
    Suarez Navarro +600..Risk 1 unit
    Kuzzy +1500..Risk 0.5 units..Wiley veteran may be back!!
    Cornet +2500..Risk 0.5 units



  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #2
    Originally posted by beefcake
    Ok here we go again...Have had success doing this last few grand slams..Yell at me if you want. The argument of the method of "greening out" on this has been discussed before. I dont make these with the intention of them winning(if they do great) but to find a way to hedge out and make a profit.

    Here goes..Laugh all you want..all odds from 5 dimes unless noted..may we tear Tony a new one..

    To win..

    Simona Halep +1475.. Risk 1 unitEasy draw..no excuse if she cant make a semi..its her time to shine
    Carla Suarez Navarro +10000(bovada)..Risk 0.5 units..4th round last year..think she gets to the QF at least and can go to semis for hedge
    Andrea Petkovic +15000..Risk 0.5 units..Finally back from injury and rock solid..
    Alize Cornet +15000..Risk 0.5 units..French hottie has finally peaked..Just hope home country nerves dont get to her.
    P


    To win Quarter..
    Suarez Navarro +600..Risk 1 unit
    Kuzzy +1500..Risk 0.5 units..Wiley veteran may be back!!
    Cornet +2500..Risk 0.5 units



    Halep and Navarro looking good with all the favs going down.Might have something here.
    Comment
    • brodie
      SBR MVP
      • 11-25-13
      • 2212

      #3
      LOVE halep
      Comment
      • beefcake
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-26-09
        • 14029

        #4
        0-2 -1 unit

        Pending..
        To win Quarter..
        Suarez Navarro +600..Risk 1 unit
        Kuzzy +1500..Risk 0.5 units..Wiley veteran may be back!!

        To win FO.
        To win..

        Simona Halep +1475.. Risk 1 unitEasy draw..no excuse if she cant make a semi..its her time to shine
        Carla Suarez Navarro +10000(bovada)..Risk 0.5 units..4th round last year..think she gets to the QF at least and can go to semis for hedge
        Andrea Petkovic +15000..Risk 0.5 units..Finally back from injury and rock solid..


        Comment
        • beefcake
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-26-09
          • 14029

          #5
          Ok, I cannot and will not let 6 units ride on CSN. Will be hedging On Bouchard. Line seems to be moving away from Bouchard so I will wait to get the best possible hedge. But looks like another profitable major on the chicks!!!

          A kuzzy win tomorrow than it is time to dance like a mofo for another hedge for profit..

          Also Halep is being offered at -450 to not win. Can take that if I want. Not sure I want to risk 9 units of profit to win 2. out of +1475 though..Smart thing to do is to let her ride at least another round.
          Last edited by beefcake; 06-01-14, 04:11 PM.
          Comment
          • beefcake
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-26-09
            • 14029

            #6
            Here is the hedges.

            Bouchard to win -125..Risk 2.5 units to win 2...If CSN wins a 3.5 unit profit and a future still alive

            Have halep and Kuzzy both left for futures. Kuzzy wins I get another 7 units of profit..halep wins I lose .5 unit, but can hedge 14.75 units..Lovin life!!!
            Comment
            • beefcake
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-26-09
              • 14029

              #7
              1-4(includes hedges) -0.5...Hedge pays of for CSN...
              Comment
              • beefcake
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-26-09
                • 14029

                #8
                Hell YES!!

                To win..

                Andrea Petkovic +15000..Risk 0.5 units..Finally back from injury and rock solid..
                Comment
                • beefcake
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-26-09
                  • 14029

                  #9
                  Ok, heres what is left..

                  Pet wins title I win 75 units

                  Halep wins title win 14.75 units.They play each other..so basically just watch and see and maybe Bouchard beats pova(not likely) and it makes it all the more sweeter.

                  Any other ideas?

                  Updated record 1-5 -1 unit with 2 bets pending plus hedge.
                  Comment
                  • beefcake
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 14029

                    #10
                    1-6 -1.5 units overall

                    Win 14.75 units if Halep wins on Sat.Will of course hedge with Maria, but will wait for price to come down as I think it will.
                    Comment
                    • kenz
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-09-12
                      • 4879

                      #11
                      Your price is great. You decide, If 5 units in both case is good for you can bet 10 units on Masha at a bookie with first ball rule.
                      Last edited by kenz; 06-06-14, 03:26 AM.
                      Comment
                      • kenz
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-09-12
                        • 4879

                        #12
                        I have @6 so I need Halep to win first set and may take my chances on her to take first break on 2nd set.
                        Comment
                        • beefcake
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-26-09
                          • 14029

                          #13
                          Hedge..

                          Sharapova to win..-160..5 dimes..Risk 6.4 units to win 4

                          So finally profit will be +2.5 units if pova wins and +6.85 if Halep wins
                          Comment
                          • beefcake
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 14029

                            #14
                            final profit +2.5..hedge pays off
                            Comment
                            • shari91
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-23-10
                              • 32661

                              #15
                              Originally posted by beefcake
                              final profit +2.5..hedge pays off


                              After all these years we really should come up with an official #teamgreenout pic or gif so we can post it when the occasion suits.
                              Comment
                              • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-20-09
                                • 2560

                                #16
                                Beef, excellent job w your picks here, sorting past the top favs and making a profit. If only petko and halep were on different sides of the draw!
                                Comment
                                • beefcake
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-26-09
                                  • 14029

                                  #17
                                  Yeah was one big win from Kuzzy or Petko of making a shit ton more on the greenout..Oh well..On to wimbledon.
                                  Comment
                                  • beefcake
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-26-09
                                    • 14029

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by shari91


                                    After all these years we really should come up with an official #teamgreenout pic or gif so we can post it when the occasion suits.

                                    Need some funky green shirts or something. Me, you, EP and a few others for a group shot..We meet in vegas and party like rockstars, need daycare though for your kid and mine.
                                    Comment
                                    SBR Contests
                                    Collapse
                                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                    Collapse
                                    Working...