SBR Bragging Right Open: Weekly Thread 2/23-3/1

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP - Dubai
DRAW: http://www.atpworldtour.com/tennis/en/common/TrackIt.asp?file=/1/posting/2009/495/MDS.pdf

ATP - Del Ray Beach
DRAW: http://www.atpworldtour.com/tennis/en/common/TrackIt.asp?file=/1/posting/2009/499/MDS.pdf

ATP - Acapulco
DRAW: http://www.atpworldtour.com/tennis/e...09/807/mds.pdf

WTA - Acapulco
DRAW: http://abiertomextenis.com.mx/draws.html

Don't forget to make your futures picks today!

[EaglesPhan36]

ALL LINES USED FOR THIS CONTEST WILL BE FROM PINNACLE SPORTS. I WILL POST THE LINES IN THE THREAD FOR EACH DAY OF THE WEEK OR HAVE SOMEONE POST THEM FOR ME IN THE CASE OF MY ABSENCE. THOSE LINES WILL BE THE ONLY LINES ACCEPTED FOR PICKS ON THAT GIVEN DAY. ANY LINES USED OUTSIDE THE POSTED ONES WILL BE GRADED AS NO ACTION.

I. There will be a maximum number of 24 picks allowed per week (Monday-Sunday) for each week unless otherwise noted for larger tournaments. There is no minimum # of picks required. Any picks over 24 for the week will not be graded. Picks can be made from either ATP or WTA events that week as long as the lines have been posted by EP36 or an appropriate designated fill-in. Lines from non-listed tournaments will be graded as no-action.

II. Before the first match begins in each tournament, players will be allowed to pick a winner for each tournament if so desired. If a player correctly picks the winner of the tournament, his total # of units gained for that tournament will be doubled. In the case where a player gained negative units for the tournament or did not wager on any matches in the tournament, but correctly predicted the winner - two units will be added to their total. Any "futures" pick made after the beginning of the first match of a tournament will be graded as no-action.

III. Picks on favorites will be "to win" one unit. For example, risking -150 (risking 1.5 units) to win one unit. Picks on underdogs will be risking one unit. For example, risking one unit at +150 to win 1.5 units.

IV. Just reiterating, any picks made past the start time listed in the Daily Lines thread for this contest will be graded as no-action. So please make your selections as EARLY as possible!

V. In the event of any scoring discrepancy or time-stamp related discrepancy to making a selection, it is the player's responsibility to point this out to EP36.

VI. There will be a new thread started each week for posting your picks for the current tournaments. Only picks posted in the weekly threads will be graded. Any picks posted here will not be graded!

[EaglesPhan36]

Dubai Winner: Andy Murray
Del Ray Beach Winner: Sam Querrey
Acapulco ATP: Nicolas Almagro
Acapulco WTA: Gisela Dulko

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP Dubai (2.23.09)

5:05am ET
Cilic -350
Tipsarevic +320

5:05am ET
Karlovic -337
Chiudenelli +307

6:30am ET
Gabashvilli -148
Recouderc +138

6:30am ET
Ferrer -257
Ljubicic +237

10:05am ET
Murray -2250
Stakhovsky +1750

11:30am ET
Hanescu -106
Santoro -104

ATP - Del Ray Beach (2.23.09)

11:05am ET
Darcis -116
Garcia-Lopez +106

1:05pm ET
Nieminen -144
Serra +134

2:00pm ET
Reynolds -111
Koubek +101

7:05pm ET
Querrey -436
Canas +396

8:30pm ET
Kendrick -133
Capdeville +123

[Spanks]

who ya got...

[Lets_Get_Money]

Del Ray Beach Winner: Hewitt
Dubai Winner: Novak DJOKOVIC

Hanescu -106

[EaglesPhan36]

Pick #1: Serra +134
Super price here for a guy who has beaten the Fin 3 out of 4 times, including just a couple weeks ago in San Jose. There's very little mystery as to how this match will be won. The guy who holds his break points best, will prevail. Nieminen has been in poor form since his Australian Open retirement, losing in the 1st round in two straight tourneys. Serra isn't a great hard court player, but he's proven useful enough (Beat Soderling last week in Memphis) that I think at plus money, you get a great bargain.

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP - Acapulco (2.23.09)

4:05pm ET
Bellucci -255
Devilder +235

5:30pm ET
Junquiera -120
L.Mayer +110

7:00pm ET
Chela -219
P.Cuevas +199

7:00pm ET
Starace -152
O.Hernandez +142

8:30pm ET
Arguello -205
Navarro +185

8:30pm ET
Lapentti -120
Gimeno-Traver +110

10:30pm ET
Montanes -385
Echagaray +355

WTA - Acapulco (2.23.09)

5:30pm ET
Loit -128
Zakopalova +138

5:30pm ET
Benesova -445
Savchuk +405

5:30pm ET
Dominguez Lino -128
Cetkovska +118

7:00pm ET
Parmentier -581
Torrres Sandoval +531

7:00pm ET
Garbin -191
Craybas +178

8:30pm ET
Safarova -176
Vinci +166

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP - Dubai (2.24.09)

5:05am ET
Benneteau -129
Meltzer +119

5:05am ET
Simon -3300
Ghareeb +2300

5:05am ET
Kohlschreiber -608
Lammer +548

6:30am ET
Troicki -139
Bolelli +129

6:30am ET
Youzhny -253
Hernych +233

6:30am ET
Gasquet -208
Safin +188

8:00am ET
Schuettler -170
Clement +160

10:05am ET
Djokovic -2000
Cipolla +1500

11:30am ET
Tursonov -140
Seppi +130

ATP - Del Ray Beach (2.24.09)

11:05am ET
Spadea -145
Gremelmayr +135

11:05am ET
Sela -184
Petzschner +174

2:00pm ET
Golubev -630
King +570

2:00pm ET
Haas -164
Chardy +154

12:30pm ET
Hewitt -356
Lu +326

7:05pm ET
Gulbis -117
Baghdatis +107

[EaglesPhan36]

Pick #2: Troicki -139
Troicki beat Bolelli back in early February and has been on a bit of a roll since. In that match, the big difference came down to break points. Troicki didn't save either of his two, but Bolelli allowed 12 opps and saved 8. The 1st serve of Troicki was stellar at 87% while Bolelli didn't even nip 60% winners on his own 1st serve. If he can improve on his 2nd serve % this time, he should be able to slip past the Italian here at a decent price.

Pick #3: Chardy +154
Great first round match here. Haas disappointed me losing to Querrey at Memphis, a tournament he had done very well at in recent times. He's got a good record here at Del Ray also, but was a 1st round casualty last year. Chardy meanwhile has quietly been moving up the ladder and playing well here in 2009 with good runs in Sydney & Johannesburg. He also showed well losing to Djokovic last week in Marseilles. I think Chardy's bigger serve is the key here as Haas has not faired well here early in the season against the bigger servers.

[Lets_Get_Money]

Just incase some people decide to Tail might as well give some insight into the picks.

Hewitt -356

I would make a big Play On Lleyton on this Match It may seem like low value/high reward but Hewitt is determined to crack the top 10 again and he is rounding into some good form. Made the Semis in Memphis and took Roddick to the Limit. He took a Wildcard just to get into the event. I think Hewitt @ -360 is very good value but thats how I gamble.

Baghdatis +107

Baghdatis, has had the bad luck of running into Sam Queery these past 2 tournaments, He came of a Strong AO and played well in South Africa. Gulbis is a Talented player goes for his shots but Marcos holds a 2-0 H2H Advantage and has much more Variety which should give him the edge.

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP - Acapulco (2.24.09)

1:35pm ET
A.Martin -141
Daniel +131

1:35pm ET
Granollers -127
Fognini +117

4:05pm ET
Almagro -1150
S.Gonzalez +950

4:30pm ET
Moya -250
Andujar +230

5:30pm ET
Monfils -643
Patience +583

6:00pm ET
Acasuso -406
Dabul +366

7:00pm ET
Nalbandian -1000
Koellerer +800

7:30pm ET
Monaco -785
K.Kim +715

7:30pm ET
Robredo -559
Ramirez-Hidalgo +509

WTA - Acapulco (2.24.09)

12:05pm ET
Szavay -600
Orlik +540

12:05pm ET
Strycova -124
Klepac +114

12:05pm ET
Mary -300
Ani +270

12:05pm ET
De Los Rios -126
Johansson +116

1:30pm ET
Pennetta -430
Koryttseva +390

3:00pm ET
Suarez Navarro -335
Kutuzova +305

3:00pm ET
Martinez Sanchez -328
Parra Santonja +298

4:05pm ET
Gallovits -227
Arn +207

6:00pm ET
Dulko -336
Olaru +306

10:05pm ET
Venus -1000
Llagostera Vives +800

[EaglesPhan36]

Pick #4: Tursonov -140
Originally, I forced myself to choose between this pick & Troicki thinking it was good for a 1-1 split at worst. Seeing that Troicki faltered, I'm taking this to see if I know what I think I know or if I blow. Tursonov seems to have at least found his game in the last couple tournaments, losing in the 2nd round in Marseille to F.Lopez & in Rotterdam to Tsonga. The key for the Russian is to maintain a solid second serve to have a chance. His groundstrokes aren't always reliable, but if his serve is on - he can match most Top 50 players. Seppi has never passed the 1st round here at Dubai, while Tursonov is making just his 2nd appearance. If the Russian can stay focused, I like him to pull through in a tough one here.

[single shaker]

PICK #1

Baghdatis +107

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP - Dubai (2.25.09)

3:05am ET
Kohlschreiber -129
Ferrer +129

5:05am ET
Cilic -351
Benneteau +321

6:30am ET
Gasquet -320
Bolelli +290

7:35am ET
Santoro -242
Chiudinelli +222

7:35am ET
Simon -477
Gabashvilli +437

9:00am ET
Tursonov -116
Andreev +106

10:05am ET
Murray -1250
Clement +1000

11:30am ET
Djokovic -1650
Hernych +1300

[EaglesPhan36]

Pick #5: Tursonov -116
Tursonov seems to have the edge heading into this one. He's got his 2009 season on track somewhat with his losses coming in hard fought matches where bigger servers have beaten him up. Andreev has an adequate serve that can on some days be quite powerful, but for the most part - this should be a good match-up for Tursonov. His own serve has been a good weapon, although the 2nd serve percentage still concerns me. Still, even with a 2nd serve % in the 40s, he whipped Seppi. Andreev hasn't done much since a couple wins in Melbourne while Tursonov is looking to finally get past the 2nd round. If his 1st serve holds steady and Dmitry can upgrade his second serve, I think he can get this done.

[Lets_Get_Money]

Pick 4: Andreev +106

I'll be very Honest, Don't know much about these players but, Andreev holds a 5-1 H2H Advantage over Tursonov and 3-1 on Hard courts, 106 is great Value for a player holding a considerable H2H Advantage. Should be a Tight Match as all there HC Matches have gone the distance.

Pick 5: Clement +1000

Call me Crazy but I don't think Murray has enough match practice to handle the Dubai Heat and He's dealing With an Ankle Injury. Murray's serve won't be @ 100% and Clement holds a 2-0 H2H advantage overt Murray (Albeit that was the old Murray). But I think the French Men is gonna go all out to try to stop Murray and I think Murray still has to adjust to being the Favorite.

[single shaker]

pick #2 andreev +106

mafia decided this one and line movement tells me it has been decided in andreev's favor.

pick #3 korolev -141 (or better)

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP - Del Ray Beach (2.25.09)

11:05am ET
Korolev -149
Kendrick +139

2:00pm ET
Muller -119
Garcia-Lopez +109

7:05pm ET
Querrey -474
C.Rochus +434

8:30pm ET
Lu -113
Koubek +113

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP - Acapulco (2.25.09)

4:05pm ET
Granollers -129
Arguello +119

4:05pm ET
Almagro -266
Starace +246

5:30pm ET
Montanes -186
Gimeno-Traver +176

5:30pm ET
Moya -204
Mayer +184

5:30pm ET
Monfils -248
Bellucci +228

7:00pm ET
Martin -182
Koellerer +172

7:00pm ET
Robredo -1400
Kim +1100

8:30pm ET
Acasuso -140
Chela +130

WTA - Acapulco (2.25.09)

4:05pm ET
Suarez-Navarro -335
Strycova +305

4:05pm ET
Benesova -179
Zakopalova +169

4:30pm ET
Martinez Sanchez -200
Cetkovska +185

4:30pm ET
Dulko -484
Ani +444

7:00pm ET
Pennetta -520
Parmentier +470

8:30pm ET
Vinci -150
Szavay +140

10:05pm ET
Venus -1350
Arn+1050

[EaglesPhan36]

pick #3 korolev -141 (or better)

Unless you note otherwise before start time, I'll void this one since it's at -149 for the contest.

[single shaker]

i would not have played him at -149

pick #3 Garcia-Lopez +109

[EaglesPhan36]

Pick #6: Mayer +184
The young Argentine gets the wiley vet Moya today. Moya though is struggling this season. He went 3 sets in the 1st round against a struggling Andujar, who was just 1-9 in his last 10 matches. Moya's serve has been off & on and that could be a recipe for disaster against Mayer who will likely look to hit big & wear down the old horse. Mayer got a nice Round 1 win vs. Junquiera and has a 67% win clip on clay in his last 30 or so matches. Most of them have been at lower tier/Challenger events, but the talent is there. Mayer just needs to hold steady on serve, especially the 2nd serve, and let it all hang loose today. Watch the 2nd serve win % today for the key to who wins. The price looks good for a match that I think is closer to 55/45 Moya than the current odds dictate.

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP - Dubai (2.26.09)

5:05am ET
Simon -445
Santoro +405

6:30am ET
Ferrer -160
Andreev +150

10:05am ET
Djokovic -209
Cilic +199

11:30am ET
Murray -360
Gasquet +330

ATP - Del Ray Beach (2.26.09)

12:35pm ET
Fish -333
Spadea +303

2:00pm ET
Zverev -136
Serra +126

5:35pm ET
Chardy -285
Golubev +265

7:05pm ET
Baghdatis -253
Sela +233

[EaglesPhan36]

Pick #7: Zverev -136
If Zverev brings a strong serve, he should be able to improve his head-2-head numbers vs. Serra. Serra beat Nieminen again in the 1st round & that is just a great match-up for him as he's dominated the head-2-head. Nieminen couldn't serve worth a crap and Serra made him pay. Zverev took advantage of a faulty Taylor Dent in Round 1 to cruise to victory. He'll need to amp up the 2nd serve win % to defeat Serra. But if the German remains solid on 1st serve & hits 50% or more on 2nd, I see him being too much for Serra who just has not been able to match Zverev in the past.

[Spanks]

I concur Eagle...

[EaglesPhan36]

Pick #8: Cilic +199
I'm always looking to hate on Novak & this price is perfect to do so.If Cilic is going to get win #1 against Djokovic, this is the time. Djokovic has been a bit shaky in Dubai, his 2nd serve win % in particular. If you look at his four losses in 2009, they have all been to big servers who have controlled the match. I think Cilic has played solid tennis and just run into two guys in Tipsarevic & Benneteau who matched his play. Bottom line is his serve has been solid and he's won. Cilic certainly fits the bill as a big server who can control the action. Djokovic is probably fortunate to be playing still at this point as his own 1st serve remains good, but the 2nd serve looks to be his undoing. At nearly 2-1 odds here, Cilic is a nice shot I think in a match that in present form seems much closer to 50-50.

[Lets_Get_Money]

Is it too Late for me to Enter the Contest? I just read the results Thread

Hard to Cap these w/o Actually having TV Coverage

Simon -445
Again High Risk Low Reward, I don't think the Old mans got any more game left in him ... I love Santoro but Simon in Straights.

Djokovic -209

Tried Talking myself from not playing this match but I picked Joker to win this entire thing so i'm gonna stay with him, despite his play. He's far from his best losts of Unforced Errors but He's to good of a player to have a repeat perfromance. He's got a 2-0 H2H record vs Cilic, so He's got that on his side.

Gasquet +330: The Cool Part About being up 2 Sets in these types of Events is that You Don't play have to play another Set. Gasquet is gonna bring it you better believe it after What Happened in Wimby. I don't care if he just barely got through, the Important thing is He got through.

Baghdatis -253: His Event to lose now, Everytime Cela has had a Step up in opposition he's lost.

[single shaker]

pick #4
Cilic +199

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP - Acapulco (2.26.09)

2:05pm ET
Arguello -143
Koellerer +133

3:30pm ET
Almagro -468
Gimeno-Traver +428

5:00pm ET
Robredo -157
Acasuso +147

10:05pm ET
Monfils -415
Mayer +375

WTA - Acapulco (2.26.09)

4:05pm ET
Ani -103
Strycova -107

4:05pm ET
Benesova -250
Johansson +230

5:30pm ET
Pennetta -385
Cetkovska +355

6:30pm ET
Venus -400
Szavay +360

[EaglesPhan36]

Is it too Late for me to Enter the Contest? I just read the results Thread

Since we don't have that many guys participating, I'll start tracking you if you like.

[apk2k6]

Pick #8: Cilic +199
I'm always looking to hate on Novak & this price is perfect to do so.If Cilic is going to get win #1 against Djokovic, this is the time. Djokovic has been a bit shaky in Dubai, his 2nd serve win % in particular. If you look at his four losses in 2009, they have all been to big servers who have controlled the match. I think Cilic has played solid tennis and just run into two guys in Tipsarevic & Benneteau who matched his play. Bottom line is his serve has been solid and he's won. Cilic certainly fits the bill as a big server who can control the action. Djokovic is probably fortunate to be playing still at this point as his own 1st serve remains good, but the 2nd serve looks to be his undoing. At nearly 2-1 odds here, Cilic is a nice shot I think in a match that in present form seems much closer to 50-50.

It all makes sense now, ep on tennisinsight is you

[EaglesPhan36]

Yep Yep. That would be me. I think I have a better record there than I do here.


Cilic picked a great time to serve like a pansy ass.

[single shaker]

Yep Yep. That would be me. I think I have a better record there than I do here.


Cilic picked a great time to serve like a pansy ass.

happens most of the time from quarters to finals, better player improves his performance where the dog's knee started to shake, how many times i have been that road. my dad told me to pick djokovic -3 at + line, noooo, i had to go for better odds on cilic. some things never change.

[single shaker]

pick #5

Zverev -136