Field vs. Joe Biden

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  • JTrain
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-29-13
    • 551

    #1
    Field vs. Joe Biden
    -4000

    That's roughly the equivalent of a 26-point favorite in football winning.

    It seems to me the chances of, say, Ohio beating Tennessee this weekend are substantially higher than Joe Biden winning the election.

    What's the deal?

    (Didn't realize their was a politics forum)
    Last edited by JTrain; 09-13-16, 01:10 AM.
  • Optional
    Administrator
    • 06-10-10
    • 60714

    #2
    I guess the chance that either, or both, current candidates could drop out is still there causing the generous odds laying Biden.

    It does look like 'free money' almost though.
    .
    Comment
    • the_orangekat
      SBR MVP
      • 12-08-07
      • 1267

      #3
      Hillary is dying, she's a goner by November and Biden will be the new Dem nominee.
      Comment
      • luctens
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 07-04-16
        • 521

        #4
        Some bookmakers in recent weeks have put Biden in from 200/1 to 14/1 to be President so some people obviously believe that there is some chance that Clinton will pull out or whatever.

        That 1/40 shot for Biden not to become president the OP quoted is definitely not "free money". Of course however much of a "certainty" something looks, the simple thing to remember is that if a bookmaker is offering odds on something, however short those odds are, it is obviously not a certainty as if it was a certainty, the bookmakers simply wouldn't be offering odds on it.
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        • Optional
          Administrator
          • 06-10-10
          • 60714

          #5
          Hilary has to die.

          Biden has to be nominated over Sanders

          And then he has to beat Donald.

          Pretty darn close to free money... whatever anyone knows.
          .
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          • luctens
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-04-16
            • 521

            #6
            Originally posted by Optional
            Hilary has to die.

            Biden has to be nominated over Sanders

            And then he has to beat Donald.

            Pretty darn close to free money... whatever anyone knows.
            Whatever the ins and outs of what would need to happen for Biden to win, it isn't free money as I said, as otherwise bookmakers wouldn't be offering any odds whatsoever on it, as they are obviously not charities and they aren't in the business of giving money away. It is close to free money as you say, but odds of 1/40 reflect that, in that it is extremely unlikely to happen, but not impossible.

            I most certainly won't be putting my whole bankroll on it, and I very much doubt you will either, however close to "free money" you think it is. This is just another one of those carrots that the bookmakers hang out for the "money buyers", who inevitably get burned by one of these "certainties" every now and again and do all their dough.
            Last edited by luctens; 09-15-16, 03:14 PM.
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            • DwightShrute
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-17-09
              • 102363

              #7
              Comment
              • RonPaul2008
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-08-07
                • 6741

                #8
                Originally posted by Optional
                Hilary has to die.

                Biden has to be nominated over Sanders

                And then he has to beat Donald.

                Pretty darn close to free money... whatever anyone knows.
                It's not free money.

                Biden and Sanders were both around 2% to win the election as of earlier today, though i'm sure that will change fast with any new info on hillary's health. Biden and Sanders would both stand a better chance of beating Donald then Hillary does.
                Comment
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