Man United ML is wayyy too Square

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  • JOHON8
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-28-10
    • 7712

    #1
    Man United ML is wayyy too Square
    7.5/8 million is on their ML in BetFair, that's a projection of at least 80-90% of gamblers in every other book on United ML.

    United are famous for being unbeatable at home, especially against Arsenal, I know this. I know they will fight to the last minute to win or draw in a game. I know Arsenal is weak defensively. But Arsenal is in form and they'll only lose if they get unlucky. I think Arsenal pulls off at least a draw tonight. If things go for them I think they might even pull off a win. United are a huge public favorite because they beat Blackburn 7-1, if you watched that game you'd know it was mostly Blackburns pathetic defense who gave up in that game.

    Bottom line. United aren't the favorites everyone thinks they are in this game.
  • latinrus
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-01-10
    • 11188

    #2
    I know It's square but there are some squares plays that win.

    Look Borussia Dortmund weekend was also square and some people jumped on Werder.
    At the end Borussia 2-0!

    I was thinking about taking Man U. But for now I'm just on the total! Man U - Arsenal over 2.5!
    Comment
    • southpaw74
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-21-09
      • 7104

      #3
      Thanks for the info johon! I may just put a little on the draw then at +245?
      Comment
      • JOHON8
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-28-10
        • 7712

        #4
        Originally posted by latinrus
        I know It's square but there are some squares plays that win.

        Look Borussia Dortmund weekend was also square and some people jumped on Werder.
        At the end Borussia 2-0!

        I was thinking about taking Man U. But for now I'm just on the total! Man U - Arsenal over 2.5!
        total is a good bet.

        Of course square bets win, but this is a HUGE square bet against the top team in the EPL. This isn't Dortmund facing some shitty team.
        Comment
        • latinrus
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-01-10
          • 11188

          #5
          Originally posted by JOHON8

          total is a good bet.

          Of course square bets win, but this is a HUGE square bet against the top team in the EPL. This isn't Dortmund facing some shitty team.
          Agree that Werder is not Arsenal! But I think Man U take this one!

          But as I said I'm playing the total and BOL if u choose a side
          Comment
          • ukbsktbll
            SBR MVP
            • 11-25-09
            • 2048

            #6
            I think both to score is a good choice
            Comment
            • spartangreen
              SBR MVP
              • 11-25-09
              • 3807

              #7
              yeah, i have been riding Arsenal a bit, dont want to bet against them, but i love the over 2.5 in this one.

              O/U is 1 goal first half also worth a look, dont think there will not be a goal scored in the 1st.
              Comment
              • Tommy_de1st
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-23-10
                • 8397

                #8
                I will never take Arsenal against United at Manchester. It doesn't matter what play it is (public or not) and how the line goes
                Comment
                • JOHON8
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-28-10
                  • 7712

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Tommy_de1st
                  I will never take Arsenal against United at Manchester. It doesn't matter what play it is (public or not) and how the line goes
                  that's not the point, the point is about people taking United.
                  Comment
                  • pattymayo
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-19-09
                    • 10221

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JOHON8
                    that's not the point, the point is about people taking United.
                    sometimes the public is right you know... just because the majority is on one side does not necessarily mean it's a "square" or losing bet
                    Comment
                    • JOHON8
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-28-10
                      • 7712

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pattymayo
                      sometimes the public is right you know... just because the majority is on one side does not necessarily mean it's a "square" or losing bet
                      I don't think you get it. I already said public has to win sometimes, but the public usually wins when a massive favorite is facing a shitty team like Barcelona vs Sociedad or the Bayern and Dortmund games. This is Arsenal the top team in the EPL, and there is so much money against them like they are some trashy 2nd division team.
                      Comment
                      • southpaw74
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-21-09
                        • 7104

                        #12
                        It's not always the amount of people on a side...it's money. If 10 people put 100 on manchester and one person puts 5,000 on aresenal then it looks like everyone is on Manchester but the money is on arsenal
                        Comment
                        • Tommy_de1st
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-23-10
                          • 8397

                          #13
                          I know what you mean Johon.
                          Im not sure why those people put over 80% of money on United. It should be like 60-40
                          Comment
                          • JOHON8
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-28-10
                            • 7712

                            #14
                            9/11 million on Unietd ML now

                            1.2 on Arsenal
                            800k on draw

                            lots of bets should come in before the 1st minute.
                            Comment
                            • shakinakin
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 07-18-10
                              • 124

                              #15
                              In my opinion Arsenal are punching above their weight this year. They won't be challenging for honours at the end of the season. I don't know about "square" bets and Im not saying that Utd offer value but they are a better team than arsenal and are at home. They will always be around even money in this spot. I think they get it done tonight. This is the same arsenal team that lost to newcastle, west brom and tottenham at home. Aside from beating city that haven't done anything noteworthy and are top because utd and chelsea have struggled.
                              Comment
                              • moreira
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 11-14-10
                                • 91

                                #16
                                the odds movement is favouring united at the moment. Total seems safer
                                Comment
                                • LostBankroll
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-10-10
                                  • 4538

                                  #17
                                  Doesnt the OVER 2.5 seem like the SQUARER play?
                                  Comment
                                  • Kraghen
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-08-10
                                    • 2509

                                    #18
                                    I think what Patrice Evra said about the Gunners will motivate the Gunners to at least fight for a draw tonight.
                                    Comment
                                    • JOHON8
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-28-10
                                      • 7712

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LostBankroll
                                      Doesnt the OVER 2.5 seem like the SQUARER play?
                                      maybe.

                                      Arsenal does keep a lot of possession, so does United...
                                      Comment
                                      • latinrus
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-01-10
                                        • 11188

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by LostBankroll
                                        Doesnt the OVER 2.5 seem like the SQUARER play?
                                        I'm square then cause I'm on the over!
                                        Comment
                                        • Kraghen
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-08-10
                                          • 2509

                                          #21
                                          I will lose money tonight as I've bet on Arsenal +0,5 and Arsenal ML lol.... maybe Arsenal will win at Old Trafford for the first time.... Patrice Evra openly criticized the Gunners, so I expect the Gunners to reply by at least a draw here.
                                          Comment
                                          • JOHON8
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-28-10
                                            • 7712

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Kraghen
                                            I will lose money tonight as I've bet on Arsenal +0,5 and Arsenal ML lol.... maybe Arsenal will win at Old Trafford for the first time.... Patrice Evra openly criticized the Gunners, so I expect the Gunners to reply by at least a draw here.
                                            You've been doing good lately. You're right Arsenal has revenge on their mind, they've lost too many times at Old Trafford, even at home to United. A lot of people with no experience will just look at the names and take a side, there is much more history involved between Wenger and Ferguson.
                                            Comment
                                            • Kraghen
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-08-10
                                              • 2509

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by JOHON8

                                              You've been doing good lately. You're right Arsenal has revenge on their mind, they've lost too many times at Old Trafford, even at home to United. A lot of people with no experience will just look at the names and take a side, there is much more history involved between Wenger and Ferguson.
                                              Thanks. I think Nasri will be a key man here. I don't think Rooney will score a goal tonight, I'm more afraid by Park. He's quite good. Berbatov is on the bench because he didn't score at Valencia. I really like the Arsenal line-up. There is more motivation on the Arsenal side IMO... but yet, it's OLD TRAFFORD... I just took risk because we never know what can happen in soccer, Last year nobody would think Chelsea would lose so many game especially against weaker teams, so why don't we give Arsenal a chance to win tonigh?
                                              Comment
                                              • zpapalash
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 10-31-10
                                                • 90

                                                #24
                                                Thanks for info - lets see whats happen and trade LIVE. BOL!
                                                Comment
                                                • Tommy_de1st
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-23-10
                                                  • 8397

                                                  #25
                                                  Over a square play? I don't like it at all. If they play in London, Over would be a lock
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Munjoz
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 05-02-10
                                                    • 574

                                                    #26
                                                    I have over 2.5 and Man utd win
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Munjoz
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 05-02-10
                                                      • 574

                                                      #27
                                                      ooooooouh yeah, park is my idol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LostBankroll
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-10-10
                                                        • 4538

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Kraghen
                                                        Thanks. I think Nasri will be a key man here. I don't think Rooney will score a goal tonight, I'm more afraid by Park. He's quite good. Berbatov is on the bench because he didn't score at Valencia. I really like the Arsenal line-up. There is more motivation on the Arsenal side IMO... but yet, it's OLD TRAFFORD... I just took risk because we never know what can happen in soccer, Last year nobody would think Chelsea would lose so many game especially against weaker teams, so why don't we give Arsenal a chance to win tonigh?

                                                        Comment
                                                        • LostBankroll
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 02-10-10
                                                          • 4538

                                                          #29
                                                          The Over looked dead but still in it after the late first half goal.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Kraghen
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-08-10
                                                            • 2509

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by LostBankroll


                                                            I told you... This Park J.S is a devil... Now I'm almost 99% sure that Arsenal will lose, unless they score a goal early in the second half... Nasri has been quite good in the first half.... hope they can score a goal to motivate themselves and get a chance to win...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • spartangreen
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-25-09
                                                              • 3807

                                                              #31
                                                              2nd half should open up, looked like both teams were playing it safe in the 1st.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LostBankroll
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 02-10-10
                                                                • 4538

                                                                #32
                                                                Yea the Over looked dead. Late goal keeps all us Over backers alive.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JOHON8
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-28-10
                                                                  • 7712

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by spartangreen
                                                                  2nd half should open up, looked like both teams were playing it safe in the 1st.
                                                                  yeah it's very open. United got lucky with taht Park header, goals could be coming from any direction now
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Kraghen
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-08-10
                                                                    • 2509

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by JOHON8

                                                                    yeah it's very open. United got lucky with taht Park header, goals could be coming from any direction now
                                                                    Before this goal, I was pretty sure Arsenal would win, they looked more dangerous than United as I don't think Rooney could score, if Berbatov replace Rooney, it will be another story... I still hope Arsenal can score two more goals. But I don't regret betting on Arsenal as they were meant to lose tonight, just though they could manage to win..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JOHON8
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-28-10
                                                                      • 7712

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Ferguson pulled off anotehr solid win, Arsenal dominated but united defended well and hung on to their goal.

                                                                      congrats United backers, books get buried.
                                                                      Comment
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