Should get on Spain -1 now?

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  • Sunde91
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-26-09
    • 8325

    #1
    Should get on Spain -1 now?
    This is probably the best, most safest bet left of the World Cup for a great price at -105.

    Remember Netherlands -1 Monday went from -115ish to -150ish in the hours leading up to kick.

    This just seems like a laughable lock to me. Spain is hitting form now and should beat Paraguay by a solid 2-0. Paraguay is also coming off a 2 hour match against Japan and now have to get up emotionally and physically for the best team in the world...not going to happen.

    Get on this before it's -140 by game.
  • wikkidinsane
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-30-10
    • 13799

    #2
    Spain will Pwn Paraguay
    Comment
    • Sunde91
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-26-09
      • 8325

      #3
      This will be like Chile/Brazil.

      Who has Paraguay even played? They were in the worst group hands down.

      A really down Italy - tied
      A slovakia team that was nothing special and basically didn't show up its first two games
      A New Zealand team that played inspired ball, but still sucked - 0/0
      A decent Japan team - 0/0, won in shoot-out

      You can even get Spain ML for as low as -195....ridiculously good price imo.

      Some matches are just laughably easy to pick in the World Cup....tons of free money over and over again on solid lines.

      Why are some matches so easy to pick with such good lines
      Comment
      • Czu81
        SBR MVP
        • 10-25-09
        • 1082

        #4
        could be a closer game IMO. Paraugay not that bad.
        Comment
        • suckerforparlays
          Restricted User
          • 02-15-10
          • 4536

          #5
          lol Paraguay isnt gonna roll over and let Spain through there defense. Yes I think Spain is gonna in but I dont see Paraguay just letting themselves get run over lol
          Comment
          • Genghiz
            SBR Hustler
            • 06-13-10
            • 77

            #6
            Originally posted by Sunde91
            This will be like Chile/Brazil.
            No way.

            Brazil had an easy game because of Chile's attacking football but Paraguay are way way much tougher opponents to play against. Very well organized with strong and intelligent defence.

            Think I'll have a play on Paraguay +1.25
            Comment
            • jagaf22
              SBR MVP
              • 01-22-08
              • 2932

              #7
              2-0 Spain controls the game from the beginning. Easiest pick on the board. Hammer it boys!
              Comment
              • Sunde91
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-26-09
                • 8325

                #8
                -105 to -140 now at SBR SB

                Around -130 at solid books

                ML climbing too.

                Will climb more, seen it too many times
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94379

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Sunde91
                  -105 to -140 now at SBR SB

                  Around -130 at solid books

                  ML climbing too.

                  Will climb more, seen it too many times

                  Holland didnt cover the -1 on monday though.
                  Comment
                  • bostonbruins
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-02-08
                    • 3272

                    #10
                    Got it yesterday, regretting it after the line moves, expect them to win by 1 now.
                    Comment
                    • thebertshow
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-30-07
                      • 645

                      #11
                      Paraguay will win this one in regulation time
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Nothing easy about this wager. I expect 1-0 or 2-0 Spain, but it won't be easy. It'll mirror the Spain-Portugal match. Only thing that would make it easy is if Spain could crack Paraguay's defense early for a goal and force them to open up a little perhaps. Otherwise, Paraguay is parking the bus, the Caddy, the Rolls, the Bentley and the Escalade in front of their goal to try to keep Spain out.
                        Comment
                        • lak420187
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 05-17-09
                          • 567

                          #13
                          i got Spain -1.5...hope it hits.
                          Comment
                          • nulldah
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-27-10
                            • 1473

                            #14
                            like EP said, the chasers from Argentina will join in and hit under or Spain -X without thinking chase in soccer is self-destruct... Do you guys watch Paraguay play in South American qualification before? If not, better check some stats out. All I can say, they are very consistent team in world cup and very good defensive team.
                            Comment
                            • DolphinSpurs
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-07-09
                              • 576

                              #15
                              Draw or 1-0 Spain at best. Paraguay is the regulation time bet
                              Comment
                              • Rixsaw
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-23-08
                                • 4532

                                #16
                                Originally posted by lak420187
                                i got Spain -1.5...hope it hits.
                                You got balls. By perception, Spain should demolish Paraguay. The same was said about Argentina, and Brazil. We know how that turned out. Good luck
                                Comment
                                • Cheetahponti
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 12-09-09
                                  • 377

                                  #17
                                  Very risky bet. Spain have showed poor finishing throughout the world cup, and like Argentina they do a lot of passing around and keeping possession without actually creating great scoring chances. Paraguay are for sure not a great team but will be hoping to take it to PK's and roll the dice. I think Paraguay +1.25 is a much better bet.
                                  Comment
                                  • tailmypicks
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-09-09
                                    • 1005

                                    #18
                                    spain is winning this one 1-0
                                    Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
                                    Comment
                                    • COOGI
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-05-10
                                      • 1510

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by thebertshow
                                      Paraguay will win this one in regulation time
                                      Comment
                                      • konvicted
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-16-09
                                        • 103

                                        #20
                                        FIFA : We're going to upset the bookies in this WC for sure
                                        Comment
                                        • mr. leisure
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-08
                                          • 17507

                                          #21
                                          Going with spain in regulation
                                          Comment
                                          • THEGREAT30
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-04-08
                                            • 8970

                                            #22
                                            like the under but price is too steep when Spain could roll 4-0 or more
                                            Comment
                                            • PeePee
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-08-09
                                              • 619

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Sunde91
                                              This will be like Chile/Brazil.

                                              Who has Paraguay even played? They were in the worst group hands down.

                                              A really down Italy - tied
                                              A slovakia team that was nothing special and basically didn't show up its first two games
                                              A New Zealand team that played inspired ball, but still sucked - 0/0
                                              A decent Japan team - 0/0, won in shoot-out

                                              You can even get Spain ML for as low as -195....ridiculously good price imo.

                                              Some matches are just laughably easy to pick in the World Cup....tons of free money over and over again on solid lines.

                                              Why are some matches so easy to pick with such good lines

                                              Can you kindly show us your winning record in this WC since they are easy to pick?
                                              Comment
                                              • bostonbruins
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-02-08
                                                • 3272

                                                #24
                                                and it's Spain by 1 , as expected ,
                                                Comment
                                                • DolphinSpurs
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-07-09
                                                  • 576

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by DolphinSpurs
                                                  Draw or 1-0 Spain at best. Paraguay is the regulation time bet
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JOHON8
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-28-10
                                                    • 7712

                                                    #26
                                                    Okay Sunde, you pushed -1, I cashed +1.5 no more shit talk please.
                                                    Comment
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