ENGLAND Premier League Picks

[DiamondJack]

SAT AUG 12


1. Bournemouth/West Ham OVER 2.5 @ 1.87/-115 (1u) Bet365
Out of the last 5 head to head meetings 4 have gone over the total. Last season Bournemouth games averaged 2.84 goals per game and west Ham 2.55. Add to that the new added time rules gives this total value.
2. Crystal Palace PK @ 1.70/-143 (1u) Pinnacle
I typically do not like paying this much juice but I really wanted to cover myself in case of a draw. This is a fade of Sheffield United who I have power ranked last in the EPL. They have a worse squad then last season in the Championship and are my pick to be relegated this season.
3. Aston Villa +0.5 @ 2.21/+121 (1u) Pinnacle
These sides have just met in the summer series with the outcome being a 3-3 draw. I see Newcastle taking a step back this season. Even with their unlimited bank roll they have not spent much and failed to sign anyone of significance this offseason.

[OlavHedm]

Match: Brentford- Tottenham: i'm backing both team to score on Bet 365.

Match: Aberdeen FC - Celtic FC: backing both tam to score (Bet 365).

I think both matches should end with both teams scoring and there should be a good chance, I'll do that analysis after checking the performance.

[DiamondJack]

After Round 1

1-2 -115

[DiamondJack]

FRI AUG 18

4. Nott. Forest ML @ 1.98/-102 (1u) Pinnacle

Once again just like last week I'm fading the blades who I consider the poorest side in the premiership. Forest lost a close one 2-1 to Arsenal in London to start the season but this is a sneaky good squad especially at home where they beat the likes of Arsenal, Liverpool & Spurs last season.

[DiamondJack]

SAT AUG 19

5. Wolves +0.5 @ 2.03/+103 (1u) Bet365

Wolves were robbed at Man United last week with that uncalled penalty. They looked good in the whole match. They have a great young manager (O'Neil) that Bournemouth should have kept. They are in good home form being unbeaten in past 7 games. I think they can nick a point or more in their home opener.

6. Manchester City ML @ 1.74/-135 (1u) Marathon
7. Manchester City/Newcastle OVER 2.5 @ 1.75/-133 (1u) Pinnacle

Here we have an overreaction in price as the public suffers from recency bias with that big Newcastle win & City having to go the distance in the Super Cup. Last season City hosted Bayern Munich, Inter Milan and Real Madrid all 3 had shorter odds then Newcastle. Is Newcastle as good as the best teams in Europe? NO... the odds opened at 1.42/-244 area and that is a fair price.
Numbers wise City's games averaged 3.34 goals per game & Newcastle 2.66.Four of the past 5 head to head games went over 2.5 goals. The goal line should be set at 3 here, so a tad of value there as well.

[DiamondJack]

SUN AUG 20

8. Chelsea ML @ 2.16/+116 (1u) Pinnacle

I expect Chelsea to be much better this year after last year debacle. West ham on the other hand were almost relegated and their season was saved by that Conference League title. They lost their best player and I expect them to be in a relegation battle this season as well.

[DiamondJack]

SAT AUG 26

9. Brentford ML @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Unibet
10. West Ham +1.25 @ 1.82/-122 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Record heading into SEP 5-6-0 -148

FRI SEP 1

12. West Ham/Luton OVER 2.5 @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Pinnacle

West Ham have has 11 of their past 12 games go over 2.5 goals. The last 5 games for Luton also went over te total. West ham games see goals they were only one of 3 teams not to have a 0-0 score line last season. The other 2 being City & Spurs. Luton plays mid week at home and their back line bled 2 goals to Gillingham. This looks like a 2-1 3-1 final for the visitors.

[DiamondJack]

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SAT SEP 2

13. Brentford/Bournemouth UNDER 2.5 @ 2.18/+118 (1u) Unibet

I think the public has gone a bit overboard with the added time angle that now there appears value on some unders. 4 of the past 5 head to head games here have gone under 2.5 goals including both games last season. Form wise 3 of the past 5 games for both sides have also ended under 2.5 goals.

[DiamondJack]

SUN Sep 3


14. Arsenal/Manchester UNDER 3.25 @ 1.83/-120 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 16

15. Aston Villa ML @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle
16. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 @ 1.88/-114 (1u) Bet365
17. Fulham ML @ 1.72/-139 (1u) Pinnacle
18. Fulham OVER 2.5 @ 1.88/-114 (1u) Bet365
19. Manchester United PK @ 1.72/-139 (1u) Pinnacle
20. Manchester City -1 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Marathon
21. Brentford +1 @ 2.04/+104 (1u) Unibet

[DiamondJack]

MON SEP 18

22. Nott. Forest ML @ 2.28/+128 (1u) Unibet

[DiamondJack]

Updated After SUN SEP 24
10-12 -321

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 30

23. Newcastle UNDER 3.3 @ 1.93/-107 (2u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

SUN OCT 1

24. Forest/Brentford to DRAW @ 3.40/+240 (1u) Marathon

[DiamondJack]

Record Updated After Sun Oct 1
12-12 +119

[DiamondJack]

SUN OCT 8

25. Arsenal OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

SAT OCT 21

26. Nottingham Forest ML @ 1.75/-133 (1u) Marathon

[DiamondJack]

SAT OCT 28

27. Burnley +0.25 @ 2.03/+103 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

SUN OCT 29

28. West Ham ML @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

SAT NOV 4

29. Burnley to DRAW @ 3.25/+225 (1u) Marathon
30. Newcastle to DRAW @ 3.32/+232 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

SAT NOV 11

31. Arsenal win to Nil @ 1.83/-120 (2u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

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SUN NOV 12

32. West Ham ML @ 1.92/-108 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

SAT NOV 25

33. Newcastle to DRAW @ 3.70/+270 (1u) Bet365
34. Crystal Palace ML @ 2.16/+116 (1u) Bet365
35. Burnley OVER 2.5 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle
36. Arsenal ML @ 1.78/-128 (1u) Unibet
37. Brentford OVER 2.5 @ 1.87/-115 (1u) Unibet

[DiamondJack]

SUN NOV 26

38. Tottenham PK @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

TUE DEC 5

39. Wolves/Burnley OVER 2.5 @ 2.02/+102 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

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WED DEC 6

40. Manchester United +0.25 @ 1.81/-123 (1u) Marathon

[DiamondJack]

SAT DEC 9

41. Liverpool -1 @ 1.86/-116 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

SUN DEC 10

42. Fulham OVER 2.5 @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Bet365
43. Luton OVER 3.25 @ 1.88/-114 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

SUN DEC 17

44. WestHam ML @ 2.16/+116 (1u) Unibet

[DiamondJack]

SAT DEC 23

45. West Ham to DRAW @ 3.70/+270 (1u) Bet365
46. Fulham OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365
47. Liverpool to DRAW @ 3.72/+272 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

WED DEC 27

48. Chelsea ML @ 1.77/-130 (1u) Bet365
49. Man City -1 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

TUE JAN 2

50. West Ham PK @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

SUN JAN 14

51. Aston Villa PK @ 2.08/+108 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

SUN JAN 14

52. Tottenham +0.5 @ 1.86/-116 (1u) Bet365