1. #1
    DiamondJack
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    ENGLAND Premier League Picks

    SAT AUG 12


    1. Bournemouth/West Ham OVER 2.5 @ 1.87/-115 (1u) Bet365

    Out of the last 5 head to head meetings 4 have gone over the total. Last season Bournemouth games averaged 2.84 goals per game and west Ham 2.55. Add to that the new added time rules gives this total value.
    2. Crystal Palace PK @ 1.70/-143 (1u) Pinnacle
    I typically do not like paying this much juice but I really wanted to cover myself in case of a draw. This is a fade of Sheffield United who I have power ranked last in the EPL. They have a worse squad then last season in the Championship and are my pick to be relegated this season.
    3. Aston Villa +0.5 @ 2.21/+121 (1u) Pinnacle
    These sides have just met in the summer series with the outcome being a 3-3 draw. I see Newcastle taking a step back this season. Even with their unlimited bank roll they have not spent much and failed to sign anyone of significance this offseason.

  2. #2
    OlavHedm
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    Match: Brentford- Tottenham: i'm backing both team to score on Bet 365.

    Match: Aberdeen FC - Celtic FC: backing both tam to score (Bet 365).

    I think both matches should end with both teams scoring and there should be a good chance, I'll do that analysis after checking the performance.
    Last edited by OlavHedm; 08-13-23 at 05:53 AM.

  3. #3
    DiamondJack
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    After Round 1

    1-2 -115

  4. #4
    DiamondJack
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    FRI AUG 18

    4. Nott. Forest ML @ 1.98/-102 (1u) Pinnacle

    Once again just like last week I'm fading the blades who I consider the poorest side in the premiership. Forest lost a close one 2-1 to Arsenal in London to start the season but this is a sneaky good squad especially at home where they beat the likes of Arsenal, Liverpool & Spurs last season.

  5. #5
    DiamondJack
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    SAT AUG 19

    5. Wolves +0.5 @ 2.03/+103 (1u) Bet365

    Wolves were robbed at Man United last week with that uncalled penalty. They looked good in the whole match. They have a great young manager (O'Neil) that Bournemouth should have kept. They are in good home form being unbeaten in past 7 games. I think they can nick a point or more in their home opener.

    6. Manchester City ML @ 1.74/-135 (1u) Marathon
    7. Manchester City/Newcastle OVER 2.5 @ 1.75/-133 (1u) Pinnacle

    Here we have an overreaction in price as the public suffers from recency bias with that big Newcastle win & City having to go the distance in the Super Cup. Last season City hosted Bayern Munich, Inter Milan and Real Madrid all 3 had shorter odds then Newcastle. Is Newcastle as good as the best teams in Europe? NO... the odds opened at 1.42/-244 area and that is a fair price.
    Numbers wise City's games averaged 3.34 goals per game & Newcastle 2.66.Four of the past 5 head to head games went over 2.5 goals. The goal line should be set at 3 here, so a tad of value there as well.

  6. #6
    DiamondJack
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    SUN AUG 20

    8. Chelsea ML @ 2.16/+116 (1u) Pinnacle

    I expect Chelsea to be much better this year after last year debacle. West ham on the other hand were almost relegated and their season was saved by that Conference League title. They lost their best player and I expect them to be in a relegation battle this season as well.

  7. #7
    DiamondJack
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    SAT AUG 26

    9. Brentford ML @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Unibet
    10. West Ham +1.25 @ 1.82/-122 (1u) Bet365

  8. #8
    DiamondJack
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    Record heading into SEP 5-6-0 -148

    FRI SEP 1

    12. West Ham/Luton OVER 2.5 @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Pinnacle

    West Ham have has 11 of their past 12 games go over 2.5 goals. The last 5 games for Luton also went over te total. West ham games see goals they were only one of 3 teams not to have a 0-0 score line last season. The other 2 being City & Spurs. Luton plays mid week at home and their back line bled 2 goals to Gillingham. This looks like a 2-1 3-1 final for the visitors.

  9. #9
    DiamondJack
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    SAT SEP 2

    13. Brentford/Bournemouth UNDER 2.5 @ 2.18/+118 (1u) Unibet

    I think the public has gone a bit overboard with the added time angle that now there appears value on some unders. 4 of the past 5 head to head games here have gone under 2.5 goals including both games last season. Form wise 3 of the past 5 games for both sides have also ended under 2.5 goals.

  10. #10
    DiamondJack
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    SUN Sep 3


    14. Arsenal/Manchester UNDER 3.25 @ 1.83/-120 (1u) Pinnacle

  11. #11
    DiamondJack
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    SAT SEP 16

    15. Aston Villa ML @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle
    16. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 @ 1.88/-114 (1u) Bet365
    17. Fulham ML @ 1.72/-139 (1u) Pinnacle
    18. Fulham OVER 2.5 @ 1.88/-114 (1u) Bet365
    19. Manchester United PK @ 1.72/-139 (1u) Pinnacle
    20. Manchester City -1 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Marathon
    21. Brentford +1 @ 2.04/+104 (1u) Unibet

  12. #12
    DiamondJack
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    MON SEP 18

    22. Nott. Forest ML @ 2.28/+128 (1u) Unibet

  13. #13
    DiamondJack
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    Updated After SUN SEP 24
    10-12 -321

  14. #14
    DiamondJack
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    SAT SEP 30

    23. Newcastle UNDER 3.3 @ 1.93/-107 (2u) Pinnacle

  15. #15
    DiamondJack
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    SUN OCT 1

    24. Forest/Brentford to DRAW @ 3.40/+240 (1u) Marathon

  16. #16
    DiamondJack
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    Record Updated After Sun Oct 1
    12-12 +119

  17. #17
    DiamondJack
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    SUN OCT 8

    25. Arsenal OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365

  18. #18
    DiamondJack
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    SAT OCT 21

    26. Nottingham Forest ML @ 1.75/-133 (1u) Marathon

  19. #19
    DiamondJack
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    SAT OCT 28

    27. Burnley +0.25 @ 2.03/+103 (1u) Bet365

  20. #20
    DiamondJack
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    SUN OCT 29

    28. West Ham ML @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365

  21. #21
    DiamondJack
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    SAT NOV 4

    29. Burnley to DRAW @ 3.25/+225 (1u) Marathon
    30. Newcastle to DRAW @ 3.32/+232 (1u) Pinnacle

  22. #22
    DiamondJack
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    SAT NOV 11

    31. Arsenal win to Nil @ 1.83/-120 (2u) Bet365

  23. #23
    DiamondJack
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    SUN NOV 12

    32. West Ham ML @ 1.92/-108 (1u) Pinnacle

  24. #24
    DiamondJack
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    SAT NOV 25

    33. Newcastle to DRAW @ 3.70/+270 (1u) Bet365
    34. Crystal Palace ML @ 2.16/+116 (1u) Bet365
    35. Burnley OVER 2.5 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle
    36. Arsenal ML @ 1.78/-128 (1u) Unibet
    37. Brentford OVER 2.5 @ 1.87/-115 (1u) Unibet

  25. #25
    DiamondJack
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    SUN NOV 26

    38. Tottenham PK @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Pinnacle

  26. #26
    DiamondJack
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    TUE DEC 5

    39. Wolves/Burnley OVER 2.5 @ 2.02/+102 (1u) Bet365

  27. #27
    DiamondJack
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    WED DEC 6

    40. Manchester United +0.25 @ 1.81/-123 (1u) Marathon

  28. #28
    DiamondJack
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    SAT DEC 9

    41. Liverpool -1 @ 1.86/-116 (1u) Pinnacle

  29. #29
    DiamondJack
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    SUN DEC 10

    42. Fulham OVER 2.5 @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Bet365
    43. Luton OVER 3.25 @ 1.88/-114 (1u) Bet365

  30. #30
    DiamondJack
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    SUN DEC 17

    44. WestHam ML @ 2.16/+116 (1u) Unibet

  31. #31
    DiamondJack
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    SAT DEC 23

    45. West Ham to DRAW @ 3.70/+270 (1u) Bet365
    46. Fulham OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365
    47. Liverpool to DRAW @ 3.72/+272 (1u) Bet365

  32. #32
    DiamondJack
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    WED DEC 27

    48. Chelsea ML @ 1.77/-130 (1u) Bet365
    49. Man City -1 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Pinnacle

  33. #33
    DiamondJack
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    TUE JAN 2

    50. West Ham PK @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle

  34. #34
    DiamondJack
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    SUN JAN 14

    51. Aston Villa PK @ 2.08/+108 (1u) Pinnacle

  35. #35
    DiamondJack
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    SUN JAN 14

    52. Tottenham +0.5 @ 1.86/-116 (1u) Bet365

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