Laying Real Madrid

Karayilan9 · 03-24-10, 09:40 PM

Wouldn't put much faith or money on Getafe, Real could knock 5 past any team in this league these days

JOHON8 · 03-24-10, 09:48 PM

-Getafe lost 0-2 to Real Zaragoza (2 pts from relegation) at home. Then beat Mallorca (4th) 3-0 at home.
-Madrid's #1 priority is the League, Barca just went top of the league.

I'd rather take the over 3.5 (2.5 odds), Madrid hit this 6 times in the last 8 league games, the other 2 were over 2.5. Higuain scored 4 vs Getafe in the last 2 matchups (2 in each). If Getafe want to tie/win they have to compete with goals.

onizuka · 03-24-10, 09:56 PM

Originally posted by JOHON8

-Getafe lost 0-2 to Real Zaragoza (2 pts from relegation) at home. Then beat Mallorca (4th) 3-0 at home.
-Madrid's #1 priority is the League, Barca just went top of the league.

I'd rather take the over 3.5 (2.5 odds), Madrid hit this 6 times in the last 8 league games, the other 2 were over 2.5. Higuain scored 4 vs Getafe in the last 2 matchups (2 in each). If Getafe want to tie/win they have to compete with goals.

I think I should consider this, thank you for the clue

turnip · 03-24-10, 10:12 PM

Remember last season Getafe won this fixture 3-1. Getafe's a good attacking home side, and Madrid score most of their goals at home. That may sound wrong because they've scored 15 goals in their last 4 league matches away, but three of those games were against the relegation-spot teams. I'm taking Getafe +1,1.5

minet123 · 03-24-10, 11:05 PM

You can't pass up the odds +600 or better and Madrid is due for a let down

SoV · 03-24-10, 11:59 PM

Overs in the game.

Would also be good to look at Ronaldo/Higuain AGS.

aceking · 03-25-10, 03:35 AM

Real should have no problems with getafe.

RockyS · 03-25-10, 03:51 AM

Getafe for today
Ustari
Mane Belenguer Rafa Dortes
Parejo Casquero Boateng Pedro Leon
Miku Manu

Real M for today
Casillas
Arbeloa Albiol Ramos Marcelo
Gago XabiAlonso Granero
Cristiano Higuan Van Del Vaart

Real is out of CL and they can't efford to loose such game against smaller "brother". Yes Getafe will be dangerous becouse a lot of players are ex-real madrid players and they will try as hard as they can, but this won't help them to beat RealM becaouse Real is in great form right now. Real is missing Kaka and Benzema but rest of the team is still powerful enough to win this match. I see value in over 2,5 or maybe small bet on over 3,5.

pouroupoupou · 03-25-10, 04:29 AM

Real Madrid easy win

psv777ua · 03-25-10, 04:38 AM

Real Madrid -1.5

Ace_of_Spades · 03-25-10, 04:49 AM

Getafe have done relatively well against Real in the past bar the last 2 games. A draw here is quite possible. I see good value in laying Real Madrid.

vgvarad · 03-25-10, 05:04 AM

Bol! :d

Slainte · 03-25-10, 05:15 AM

BIG FAT UNDER! Books are blinded by the highscoring Real games but they play hard against Getafe and they suffer a lot.
Asian under 3.00 that's the most valuable bet. More reasoning in my blog.

uva3021 · 03-25-10, 05:27 AM

a stabilized market at betfair, with in-game wagering offered i lean towards Laying big favorites in stable markets and make the return in game

Ace_of_Spades · 03-25-10, 05:39 AM

Originally posted by uva3021

a stabilized market at betfair, with in-game wagering offered i lean towards Laying big favorites in stable markets and make the return in game

Pretty much. Lucky for you, you probably are able to live bet on the PC, not have to call in.

JOHON8 · 03-25-10, 05:44 AM

Originally posted by Slainte

BIG FAT UNDER! Books are blinded by the highscoring Real games but they play hard against Getafe and they suffer a lot.
Asian under 3.00 that's the most valuable bet. More reasoning in my blog.

nice write up Slainte, keep up the good analysis.

uva3021 · 03-25-10, 05:44 AM

you won't be able to live bet?

Ace_of_Spades · 03-25-10, 06:00 AM

Originally posted by uva3021

you won't be able to live bet?

Have to phone in.

SRBI · 03-25-10, 08:26 AM

Good luck playing Getafe. To me, its like flushing money down the toilet...don't underestimate Real, same with Barca.

Wilforth · 03-25-10, 08:55 AM

Anything's possible but Getafe ML or draw don't seem to hold any value here. I doubt Getafe can score more than 1 goal here and we can be assured that Real will score at least 2 goals.

I like Real (1H) -111

winM · 03-25-10, 08:56 AM

Correct! Real Madrid!

bostonbruins · 03-25-10, 09:11 AM

I like the under, don't see Getafe giving up 3 unless handballs are legal in this match too ..I think it will be 1-1 , 2-1 Real, or 2-0 Real

Interesting fact, neither team has had a 1-1 draw this season

Wilforth · 03-25-10, 09:21 AM

Notes:

1) Getafe are without top scorer, Roberto Soldado.
2) They're also without Uche, who has found the net twice against Real in the L3 meetings.
3) Ronaldo didn't score for Madrid in their last game. By his scoring frequency, I have him scoring in the 1H of this game.
4) Being out of the CL means the league title is all Madrid have to fight for right now.

Leans:

Madrid (1H) -111
Madrid ML (-230)
UNDER 3.5 (-165)

Predicted score: Real to win by 2-0.

bostonbruins · 03-25-10, 09:25 AM

Yea , I might be sold on under 3.5 (-159)

EaglesPhan36 · 03-25-10, 09:32 AM

Real is scoring no matter who they have or don't have. Hard to see any less than 3 goals. I've got the over at 3. I think this is 3-0 or 3-1. Don't underestimate how bad the Real defense is - remember Getafe scored two last week without Soldado.

Wilforth · 03-25-10, 09:35 AM

Great points, EP36.

JOHON8 · 03-25-10, 09:36 AM

^^exactly, as I said before the over is the play here, plenty of games you can play under in, this one doesn't seem safe to root for less goals.

EaglesPhan36 · 03-25-10, 09:40 AM

I think anyone who watched the Sporting-Real match last week knows how dangerous Real is ON BOTH SIDES OF THE BALL. 0-0 at the half, goals exploded early in the 2nd and Real gave Sporting some chances they never should have had.

Shark79 · 03-25-10, 09:42 AM

I will be taking it a step further:

Real Madrid vs Getafe OVER 3.5 +138

Madrid can score, so can Getafe.

pronk · 03-25-10, 09:50 AM

e Coliseum Alfonso Pérez.

Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades

Getafe can get a draw or win, right kids?

Wrong, wrong, wrong! In case you don't know, Getafe is also from Madrid, they only play at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez named after legendary Real player. I predict easy win for galacticos- 4-1.

Karayilan9 · 03-25-10, 11:19 AM

There is no competition in the Spanish league, there is Real and Barca then the rest who are in their own little league. If this was last season or before I'd take the Under as Getafe know how to shut out the big teams and its what they have done very well, however, they wern't trying to shut out Ronaldo and the gang. If I put money on Getafe and Ronaldo scored a great free kick, spectacular long ranger and ran through the whole team well I wouldn't be surprised because we all know he can.

rfr3sh · 03-25-10, 12:29 PM

Getafe on the AH for me

SRBI · 03-25-10, 01:19 PM

I'm starting to LOVE me some Real Madrid -1/-1.5 - thanks for puttin me on it fellas!

lakerboy · 03-25-10, 01:32 PM

over