2025 FIFA Club World Cup

[DiamondJack]

This upcoming weekend the FIFA experiment begins, the quest for an oversized gold paperweight that would fit in pretty well at Mara Lago. Gianni Infantino's name is already engraved on it not once, but twice. We are witness to a new age states one engraving. The jury is still out at how successful the tournament is going to be but that is not my problem. I'm here trying to make a few bucks in the offseason. First unlike the world cup where the motivation is for every team taking part the club world cup is sweetened with tons of cash from FIFA to try to make this a "thing" going forward. All teams outside of UEFA will take this seriously not just for the money but to showcase their players and teams on a world stage. Only 4 teams that already have boat loads of money will view this as a nice to have trophy and those are coincidently also the 4 favorites; Manchester City, Bayern Munich, Real Madrid and PSG. That leaves the other 8 teams from within UEFA that will care about the money and have a legit chance at winning.

The easiest path to the Quarter finals in my opinion is in group F and Dortmund are the rightful favorites. If they win their group they will also avoid another UEFA side in Group E, unless they meet Inter Milan who are an old team that played all the way to the end losing the Champions League Final and losing out to Napoli domestically on the final weekend. As I truly think Inter is "gassed" and will be my fade material in this competition. That being said my first future bet is;


1. Borussia Dortmund outright winner @ 26.00/+2500 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

2. Top goal scorer at the Club World Cup - Serhou Guirassy @ 17.00/+1600 (1u) Unibet


Since 2023 in 58 appearances for Stuttgart and now for Dortmund, Guirassy has scored 49 goals. He along with Barcelona's Rapinha was joint top goal scorer in this past Champions League with 13.

[DiamondJack]

Inter Miami v Al Ahly


On a neutral I would have the Egyptian side as clear favorites. Playing in Miami versus the face of the league in Leo Messi I'm laying off on a side or total here. FIFA went to great lengths in including Inter Miami and with two tougher opponents on tap its must win. In an odd choice for an opening match they appointed Iranian referee Alireza Faghani from the A league in Australia. Will he tow the FIFA line? In case there are weird things I'm playing 2 props to start.


3. Red Card in match YES @ 4.50/+350 (1/2 u) Bet365

4. PK in match YES @ 3.40/+240 (1/2 u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Bayern Munich v Auckland City


This game is being played in Cincinnati at noon local time when its going to be hot and humid. I'm hoping for a sluggish start by the clear favorites.


5. Auckland first half +2 @ 1.90/-111 (2 u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

PSG v Atletico Madrid


These sides met in the UEFA Champions league in Paris this season back in November with Atletico winning 2-1. PSG won what they always wanted which was the Champions league. I had this game as a draw so giving me even money on the double chance here is great value.


6. Atletico Madrid +0.5 @ 2.00/+100 (2 u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Palmeiras v Porto





I'll give a slight edge to Porto on quality but negate the fact that Porto have ended the season and only played 2 friendlies since May 17. Palmeiras since then have played 5 league and cup games. Form wise The Brazil side has the edge, but since both have winnable last 2 games I think this ends level.



7. Final Result DRAW @ 3.34/+234 (1 u) Bet365

[Sawyer]

Good luck mate!

[DiamondJack]

Botafogo v Seattle


Seattle have home field advantage here where they only lost one game this calendar year, they however have struggled to score lately only 5 goals in the past 6 games. Botafogo have also had 4 of their past 5 go under but its on the road where they just cant score. 14 of the past 15 away games for Botafogo have gone under 2.5 and in all those 15 away games Botafogo only scored 5 goals.


8. Total Goals UNDER 2.25 @ 1.93/-107 (1 u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

Good luck mate!

[DiamondJack]

LAFC v Chelsea


The game is played in Atlanta which does not give LAFC any advantage. I would guess the majority of the fans will be backing Chelsea. They should control most of the possession and win out. I give them a 50% chance of recording a shutout so +120 is a little bit of value.


9. Chelsea win to Nil @ 2.20/+120 (1 u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Benfica v Boca Juniors


The game is played in Miami its going to be very hot and humid in the full sun kick off time. Form wise in 90 minutes the last 3 games for both sides all have ended under 2.5 goals.


10. Total Goals UNDER 2.5 @ 1.92/-108 (1 u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

Flamengo v Tunis



Outside of Auckland I have Tunis rated 2nd worse in the whole competition. I expect them to park the bus versus a far superior Brazil side. Flamengo are in season form undefeated in the last 7 matches 5 of which were shutouts. Tunis are at the end of their season only having played a few cup games.


11. Flamengo -1.5 @ 2.08/+108 (1u) Pinnacle

12. Flamengo win to nil @ 1.83/-120 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Urawa v River Plate


I have River Plate as almost winning the group so all that starts with taking care of business versus my 3rd lowest rated side in the tournament.


13. River Plate -1 @ 1.89/-112 (2u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

Ulsan v Mamelodi


I was going to back the African side here as I think man for man they are a better team however the line movement here got away from what I would like. UEFA referee Clement Turpin will oversee this match and with 2 "low level" teams I expect poor tacking and thus more cards.


14. Total Cards OVER 3.5 @ 1.70/-143 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Updated Record

6-6 +052 units
I said I was fading Inter but got busy and forgot to post oh well back on tomorrow

[DiamondJack]

Pachuca v Salzburg



Looking at this matchup from all angles I see a 1-1 type of game. Plenty of feeling each other out. Pachuca has more experience in these international club tournaments having played in the FIFA intercontinental cup in 2024 in Qatar coming in as runners up behind Real Madrid.


15. Total Goals UNDER 3 @ 1.92/-108 (1u) Pinnacle

16. FT Result DRAW @ 3.60/+260 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Palmeiras v Al Ahly


Taking the much better side here to hopefully win by more than a goal. Al Alhy will find out that Palmeiras are a much better side that Inter Miami.


17. Palmeiras -1 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

Porto v Inter Miami


This game is in Atlanta thus a neutral field. I don't understand the line. I think it should have been closer to 1.50/-200. I would normally played this as a 2 unit play but I don't want to get FIFA'ed.


18. Porto ML @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

Mamelodi v Dortmund


I have to back my pre tournament favorites after a slow start versus Fluminense. Mamelodi deserved their win versus Ulsan but they will be over their heads in this match.


19. Dortmund -1.5 @ 2.20/+120 (2u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

Fluminense v Ulsan


Fluminense are very solid in defense and Ulsan were blanked my Mamelodi I see a 2-0 or 3-0 win for the Brazilian side


20. Fluminense -1 @ 1.99/-101 (1u) Pinnacle

21. Fluminense win to nil @ 2.37/+137 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Juventus v Wydad



The temperature at noon kick off in Philadelphia will be in the mid 90's Fahrenheit. I think it will be a very slow paced match. Wydad have failed to score in their past 3 games. Their past 5 games all have gone under 2.5 goals. Juventus have had 7 of their past 10 games go under 2.5. I see a narrow 1 or 2-0 win for Juventus here.


22. Total Goals UNDER 2.5 @ 1.96/-104 (2u) Pinnacle

23. Juventus win to nil @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Salzburg v Al Hilal


Salzburg is beginning to look like a decent dark horse pick as one of the UEFA nations no one is backing. Al Hilal got a result versus a lackluster Real Madrid and only scored on a PK, where as Salzburg took care of business and won versus the Mexican side Pachuca. A double chance at even or plus money? Yes please.


24. Salzburg +0.5 @ 2.01/+101 (2u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

Porto v Al Ahly


There is going to be plenty of scoreboard watching as a draw in Miami will send Porto packing. However first of all they need to take care of business versus Al Ahly. I also like Porto 1st half ML @ 2.20/+120.


25. Porto ML @ 1.71/-143 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

Miami v Palmeiras



I'm not one for conspiracy outcomes but I'll kick myself if the draw comes in and I have nothing on it.


26. Miami to DRAW @ 2.76/+176 (1u) Bet365

[Renat75]

Miami v Palmeiras



I'm not one for conspiracy outcomes but I'll kick myself if the draw comes in and I have nothing on it.


26. Miami to DRAW @ 2.76/+176 (1u) Bet365

Porto are almost out. need a win and Palmeiras to lose again Miami. And like most European teams they play lousy football in this tournament. So I don't see any value here. But agree with your pick in the other game, in those circumstances draws certainly happen more often than the price suggest.

[DiamondJack]

Auckland v Boca Juniors


Auckland have proven they are completely out of their league. Boca need to make up 7 goals to have any chance of progression to the next round. If that were to happen it needs to start early


27. Boca Juniors -2.5 1st half @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

LAFC v Flamengo


LAFC are already eliminated and Flamengo have already qualified for the next round. That recipe usually equals a more open loose game as there is less pressure. So I expect some goals in this match.


28. Total goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.05/+105 (1u) Bet365