Smogs FA Cup Pick - Crystal Palace/Wolves

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  • Smogs
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-08
    • 4173

    #1
    Smogs FA Cup Pick - Crystal Palace/Wolves
    I don't usually venture into betting this competition but tonight i think we have some value in the draw and the under.

    Both these teams have other matters to worry about than the FA Cup, although they shouldn't. Palace ar enow in administration and looking over their shoulders at the prospect of League 1 football, just a couple of points off the relegation places and the same goes for Wolves.
    We know Wolves are going to be playing a weakened side tonight and i fully expect another draw and extra time here.
    The first match was 2-2, but both teams had a week to prepare for it.
    Now they face each other just a couple of days after league fixtures on Saturday and in Wolves case they will be looking ahea to the Birmingham clash next weekend.

    Even if Wolves were at full strength i couldn't bet them to win. They have a poor scoring record recently, just 4 in their last 6 and 5 in their last 6 away.
    They have just the 2 away wins this season and face a Palace side who have won 6 of 13 at home.
    For them however, they have lost their attacking power of Victor Moses and i don't see where they will get the goals from without his creativity.

    Palace have been in good form recently, but still don't score that many. Just 7 in their last 6. They have only conceded 4 in that time and i think both of these teams are going to cancel each other out.

    My Picks:

    1 unit on the Under @ 3/4

    0.7 Units on the Draw @ 23/10


    Right, i'm off to work now to pay off these losses
  • tonyno
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-18-10
    • 198

    #2
    I was leaning on the draw or win for Crystal Palace but I am not going to play it, I don't feel too confident about it. Not playing the Chelsea game? The over seems tempting to me.
    Here are my picks for today:
    · Wigan vs Notts County Over 2.5
    · Hull vs Chelsea Over 2.5
    I am more confident in the Chelsea game though.
    Comment
    • cuteboy86hi
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-05-08
      • 312

      #3
      draw and under look good Palace lost star striker Moses and wolves might field a weak side as their main priority is bpl survival. leaning towards under
      Comment
      • Smogs
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-08
        • 4173

        #4
        Originally posted by tonyno
        I was leaning on the draw or win for Crystal Palace but I am not going to play it, I don't feel too confident about it. Not playing the Chelsea game? The over seems tempting to me.
        Here are my picks for today:
        · Wigan vs Notts County Over 2.5
        · Hull vs Chelsea Over 2.5
        I am more confident in the Chelsea game though.
        Nope, not touching Chelsea, but i did put 400 SBR points on the over lol.
        Comment
        • tonyno
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-18-10
          • 198

          #5
          Originally posted by Smogs
          Nope, not touching Chelsea, but i did put 400 SBR points on the over lol.
          So you like it, but not enough to back it up with real money ...How do you play sbr points?
          Comment
          • Smogs
            SBR MVP
            • 12-31-08
            • 4173

            #6
            Originally posted by tonyno

            So you like it, but not enough to back it up with real money ...How do you play sbr points?
            Just in the sportsbook, i do like it, but it's only a lean
            Comment
            • tonyno
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-18-10
              • 198

              #7
              Originally posted by Smogs
              Just in the sportsbook, i do like it, but it's only a lean
              Thanks. I had to transfer money to the sportsbook. Good luck
              Comment
              • Pecos Bill
                SBR MVP
                • 05-27-09
                • 1958

                #8
                cant find Crystal Palace/Wolves on the SBR BOOK.
                Comment
                • RedDevil11
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 335

                  #9
                  Leaning to a Crystal Palace win. Both these teams come into this match on very differing circumstances. The Wolves have to be disappointed at their lack of transfer activity while Crystal Palace are under administration and now find themselves in a Championship relegation battle.
                  I thought Crystal Palace were unlucky not to come out with the away victory in their 2-2 FA Cup tie at the Molineux. Now they'll be at home where they'll have the advantage and their recent form has been improving.
                  The Wolves sit just 1pt above relegation and they have a big game at Birmingham on Sunday so Mick McCarthy will not likely feature some of his 1st team selections, especially now that they were unable to pick up any players during the transfer. Although the Wolves have had good success against the Eagles in the past, over recent years I would say there is not much separating them now. Sure the Wolves have the better talent, but I think the Eagles will have the edge here at home against a less than full-strength Wolves side. Plus, and a big plus here, will be the financial motivation for Crystal Palace. Now that they're under Administration, a win today would be a huge financial windfall (approx 500K pounds) to make it to the next match at Villa.
                  Comment
                  • ClydeFontaine
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-09-09
                    • 375

                    #10
                    I like Crystal Palace at a pick here.
                    Comment
                    • Smogs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-08
                      • 4173

                      #11
                      I got ****ing shafted
                      Comment
                      • pitman
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-15-09
                        • 2216

                        #12
                        sometimes things dont go our way, just got to keep those days to a minimum.
                        gl
                        Comment
                        • tonyno
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 198

                          #13
                          Originally posted by tonyno
                          I was leaning on the draw or win for Crystal Palace but I am not going to play it, I don't feel too confident about it. Not playing the Chelsea game? The over seems tempting to me.
                          Here are my picks for today:
                          · Wigan vs Notts County Over 2.5 loss
                          · Hull vs Chelsea Over 2.5 loss
                          I am more confident in the Chelsea game though.
                          0-2 day....
                          Comment
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