1. 04-21-14 06:32 PM #1
    kevraid
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    Soccer sytem created and one left behind

    Today I ended my soccer sytem of taking any home team -175 or more. For a $5 bettor It ended with a 290-145 +$44.05(160 draws)... The teams that were favored -210 or better pulled down the% and we know those favorites could win two thirds of the time and lose money

    I believe as a Group that this soccer system will at minimum hit that 66.7%(two thirds) which will obviuosly make money... Will it get closer to 70% through 500+ results,we shall see.

    Simple system:
    Home teams from -170 to -200.... +ev as a group we shall see. I will keep you updated every so often.

    GO GRIZ GO ORANGE!!!
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  2. 04-21-14 07:46 PM #2
    easyliving
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    what leagues are you betting?
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  3. 04-21-14 08:56 PM #3
    statnerds
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    seems simple and straight forward.

    my only question would be what kind of numbers are you getting compared to the closing line?
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  4. 04-21-14 09:01 PM #4
    kevraid
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    To clarify its -170thru -200 on the pointspread line of pickem where you get your money back on a draw. At Bovada I go to todays soccer and click on all that fit the criteria. I bet them as soon as possible cuz they sometime go from pick em to -.5... I check back a few times to get as many as possible. Tomorrow is day 1
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  5. 04-21-14 09:57 PM #5
    NormalDude
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    Seems interesting...
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  6. 04-21-14 09:58 PM #6
    NormalDude
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    Good luck! BTW
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  7. 04-21-14 10:26 PM #7
    kevraid
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    Quote Originally Posted by NormalDude View Post
    Good luck! BTW
    Thank you I shoulda said 3 so far for tomorrow
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  8. 04-21-14 10:50 PM #8
    kevraid
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    right now I risk $5 a game.... 5 games tuesday so far
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  9. 04-22-14 11:47 AM #9
    kevraid
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    With Kawasakis win system is 1-0 +$2.63 ...100% system at this rate retirement is around the corner. I cracked the code LOL
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  10. 04-22-14 11:11 PM #10
    kevraid
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    I always list at W-L-D.... 3-2-1 60% -$2.11
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  11. 04-23-14 08:05 AM #11
    Discipline
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    Quote Originally Posted by kevraid View Post
    To clarify its -170thru -200 on the pointspread line of pickem where you get your money back on a draw. At Bovada I go to todays soccer and click on all that fit the criteria. I bet them as soon as possible cuz they sometime go from pick em to -.5... I check back a few times to get as many as possible. Tomorrow is day 1
    Can you explain that for non bovoda users? You play no draw bets without handicap?
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  12. 04-23-14 12:20 PM #12
    kevraid
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    In soccer there is a pointspread which is colum 1 and lists the teams ... The moneyline is colum 2 which has 3 options....below is not can actual line just an example...

    man city pick (-175) -115
    Man united pick (+125) +110
    DRAW +130 goes under the 110
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  13. 04-23-14 10:04 PM #13
    Discipline
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    So you bet the pointspread but the spread has to be +/- 0? Because then u get a push if its a draw?
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  14. 04-23-14 11:13 PM #14
    kevraid
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    Quote Originally Posted by Discipline View Post
    So you bet the pointspread but the spread has to be +/- 0? Because then u get a push if its a draw?
    yes the pt spread will say pick em(-170) as an example
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  15. 04-23-14 11:15 PM #15
    kevraid
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    4-5 44% -$14.33 with 4 draws... My record will only reflect the wins and losses. If in the future anyone woud like to know how many draws then ask... Keep the faith
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  16. 04-24-14 08:25 AM #16
    shovde
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    ridiculous thinking you could beat ah +0 lines just by picking odds between 1.50 and 1.59 on one bookie imo
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  17. 04-24-14 10:55 AM #17
    EasyPicks
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    it's not doable. Don't waste ur time! You will not hit +65%. Imo u should try something new.

    cheers
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  18. 04-24-14 12:29 PM #18
    kevraid
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    Thank you for your opinions. And I am always looking to add to my investing portfolio so If anyone has a profitable system on anything feel free to post. No games Thursday fit criteria
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  19. 04-24-14 01:55 PM #19
    EasyPicks
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    those (less than 0.05%) that have systems that work (and I mean really work) would never share....that's just common sense!
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  20. 04-24-14 02:04 PM #20
    kevraid
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    I understand that but if someone suggests something then maybe I havent thought of that,THEN I might be able to put my own thoughts and turn it into a .05% system.. nothing to lose by asking anyway
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  21. 04-25-14 01:19 AM #21
    kevraid
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    12 games Friday so far
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  22. 04-26-14 03:55 AM #22
    kevraid
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    10-12 (-$32.76)
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  23. 04-26-14 11:31 PM #23
    kevraid
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    26-22 -$38.50
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  24. 04-27-14 08:14 PM #24
    kevraid
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    36-26 58%..... -$29.03
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  25. 04-29-14 02:53 AM #25
    kevraid
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    38-26 59.3% -$23.67.....31 draws
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  26. 04-29-14 06:08 AM #26
    sergiudec
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    IMO 31 draws at 2.8 average odds would have got you further than -23 units. Less i'm getting it all wrong.
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  27. 04-29-14 08:09 AM #27
    EasyPicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by sergiudec View Post
    IMO 31 draws at 2.8 average odds would have got you further than -23 units. Less i'm getting it all wrong.
    he's betting $5 = unit

    so 31 draws at 3.00 odds would have made $310 profit and 38+26 losses at $5 each would had made -$320

    == -$10

    almost the same sh*t
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  28. 04-29-14 02:01 PM #28
    kevraid
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    Its the pointspread line so every draw gets my money back
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  29. 04-29-14 05:21 PM #29
    kevraid
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    39-26 60% -$20.97 34draws
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  30. 05-01-14 01:14 AM #30
    kevraid
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    43-27 61.4% -$15.69
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  31. 05-02-14 12:59 AM #31
    kevraid
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    44-28 61.1% -$17.83 38 draws
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  32. 05-02-14 10:03 PM #32
    kevraid
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    45-28 61.6% -$15.05
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  33. 05-09-14 02:59 AM #33
    kevraid
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    76-46 -$20.20 62.2%
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  34. 05-11-14 12:50 PM #34
    kevraid
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    So the 2 theories combined to -$4.78... Time to move on so on Sunday I started a new one...
    1)Pt spread line any team that is +1or more
    2) dont know if it will ever happen but cant take anyone that is +1 and more than 2-1 fave with that pt spread.
    3) NO ALTERNATIVE LINES

    $5 an investment... Sometimes I can be an underdog with the +1 or more... so that happened twice.. todays example was cardiff+1 was +$6.75 or -$5 bet ended in a draw bet of course...Guess we will see what % is needed to win... way less than 65%... 13 today and will be update as I go along
    Last edited by kevraid; 05-11-14 at 12:53 PM.
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  35. 05-11-14 10:59 PM #35
    kevraid
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    7-4 (+$7.25 ) 63.6% 2 draws
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