Soccer sytem created and one left behind

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  • kevraid
    SBR Rookie
    • 03-27-14
    • 43

    #1
    Soccer sytem created and one left behind
    Today I ended my soccer sytem of taking any home team -175 or more. For a $5 bettor It ended with a 290-145 +$44.05(160 draws)... The teams that were favored -210 or better pulled down the% and we know those favorites could win two thirds of the time and lose money

    I believe as a Group that this soccer system will at minimum hit that 66.7%(two thirds) which will obviuosly make money... Will it get closer to 70% through 500+ results,we shall see.

    Simple system:
    Home teams from -170 to -200.... +ev as a group we shall see. I will keep you updated every so often.

    GO GRIZ GO ORANGE!!!
  • easyliving
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-25-12
    • 8876

    #2
    what leagues are you betting?
    Comment
    • statnerds
      SBR MVP
      • 09-23-09
      • 4047

      #3
      seems simple and straight forward.

      my only question would be what kind of numbers are you getting compared to the closing line?
      Comment
      • kevraid
        SBR Rookie
        • 03-27-14
        • 43

        #4
        To clarify its -170thru -200 on the pointspread line of pickem where you get your money back on a draw. At Bovada I go to todays soccer and click on all that fit the criteria. I bet them as soon as possible cuz they sometime go from pick em to -.5... I check back a few times to get as many as possible. Tomorrow is day 1
        Comment
        • NormalDude
          SBR Rookie
          • 04-21-14
          • 3

          #5
          Seems interesting...
          Comment
          • NormalDude
            SBR Rookie
            • 04-21-14
            • 3

            #6
            Good luck! BTW
            Comment
            • kevraid
              SBR Rookie
              • 03-27-14
              • 43

              #7
              Originally posted by NormalDude
              Good luck! BTW
              Thank you I shoulda said 3 so far for tomorrow
              Comment
              • kevraid
                SBR Rookie
                • 03-27-14
                • 43

                #8
                right now I risk $5 a game.... 5 games tuesday so far
                Comment
                • kevraid
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 03-27-14
                  • 43

                  #9
                  With Kawasakis win system is 1-0 +$2.63 ...100% system at this rate retirement is around the corner. I cracked the code LOL
                  Comment
                  • kevraid
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 03-27-14
                    • 43

                    #10
                    I always list at W-L-D.... 3-2-1 60% -$2.11
                    Comment
                    • Discipline
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 04-22-14
                      • 10

                      #11
                      Originally posted by kevraid
                      To clarify its -170thru -200 on the pointspread line of pickem where you get your money back on a draw. At Bovada I go to todays soccer and click on all that fit the criteria. I bet them as soon as possible cuz they sometime go from pick em to -.5... I check back a few times to get as many as possible. Tomorrow is day 1
                      Can you explain that for non bovoda users? You play no draw bets without handicap?
                      Comment
                      • kevraid
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 03-27-14
                        • 43

                        #12
                        In soccer there is a pointspread which is colum 1 and lists the teams ... The moneyline is colum 2 which has 3 options....below is not can actual line just an example...

                        man city pick (-175) -115
                        Man united pick (+125) +110
                        DRAW +130 goes under the 110
                        Comment
                        • Discipline
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 04-22-14
                          • 10

                          #13
                          So you bet the pointspread but the spread has to be +/- 0? Because then u get a push if its a draw?
                          Comment
                          • kevraid
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 03-27-14
                            • 43

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Discipline
                            So you bet the pointspread but the spread has to be +/- 0? Because then u get a push if its a draw?
                            yes the pt spread will say pick em(-170) as an example
                            Comment
                            • kevraid
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 03-27-14
                              • 43

                              #15
                              4-5 44% -$14.33 with 4 draws... My record will only reflect the wins and losses. If in the future anyone woud like to know how many draws then ask... Keep the faith
                              Comment
                              • shovde
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 08-05-12
                                • 18

                                #16
                                ridiculous thinking you could beat ah +0 lines just by picking odds between 1.50 and 1.59 on one bookie imo
                                Comment
                                • EasyPicks
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-21-11
                                  • 3804

                                  #17
                                  it's not doable. Don't waste ur time! You will not hit +65%. Imo u should try something new.

                                  cheers
                                  Comment
                                  • kevraid
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 03-27-14
                                    • 43

                                    #18
                                    Thank you for your opinions. And I am always looking to add to my investing portfolio so If anyone has a profitable system on anything feel free to post. No games Thursday fit criteria
                                    Comment
                                    • EasyPicks
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-21-11
                                      • 3804

                                      #19
                                      those (less than 0.05%) that have systems that work (and I mean really work) would never share....that's just common sense!
                                      Comment
                                      • kevraid
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 03-27-14
                                        • 43

                                        #20
                                        I understand that but if someone suggests something then maybe I havent thought of that,THEN I might be able to put my own thoughts and turn it into a .05% system.. nothing to lose by asking anyway
                                        Comment
                                        • kevraid
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 03-27-14
                                          • 43

                                          #21
                                          12 games Friday so far
                                          Comment
                                          • kevraid
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 03-27-14
                                            • 43

                                            #22
                                            10-12 (-$32.76)
                                            Comment
                                            • kevraid
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 03-27-14
                                              • 43

                                              #23
                                              26-22 -$38.50
                                              Comment
                                              • kevraid
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 03-27-14
                                                • 43

                                                #24
                                                36-26 58%..... -$29.03
                                                Comment
                                                • kevraid
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 03-27-14
                                                  • 43

                                                  #25
                                                  38-26 59.3% -$23.67.....31 draws
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sergiudec
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 06-03-12
                                                    • 959

                                                    #26
                                                    IMO 31 draws at 2.8 average odds would have got you further than -23 units. Less i'm getting it all wrong.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EasyPicks
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-21-11
                                                      • 3804

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by sergiudec
                                                      IMO 31 draws at 2.8 average odds would have got you further than -23 units. Less i'm getting it all wrong.
                                                      he's betting $5 = unit

                                                      so 31 draws at 3.00 odds would have made $310 profit and 38+26 losses at $5 each would had made -$320

                                                      == -$10

                                                      almost the same sh*t
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kevraid
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 03-27-14
                                                        • 43

                                                        #28
                                                        Its the pointspread line so every draw gets my money back
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kevraid
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 03-27-14
                                                          • 43

                                                          #29
                                                          39-26 60% -$20.97 34draws
                                                          Comment
                                                          • kevraid
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 03-27-14
                                                            • 43

                                                            #30
                                                            43-27 61.4% -$15.69
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kevraid
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 03-27-14
                                                              • 43

                                                              #31
                                                              44-28 61.1% -$17.83 38 draws
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kevraid
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 03-27-14
                                                                • 43

                                                                #32
                                                                45-28 61.6% -$15.05
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kevraid
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 03-27-14
                                                                  • 43

                                                                  #33
                                                                  76-46 -$20.20 62.2%
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kevraid
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 03-27-14
                                                                    • 43

                                                                    #34
                                                                    So the 2 theories combined to -$4.78... Time to move on so on Sunday I started a new one...
                                                                    1)Pt spread line any team that is +1or more
                                                                    2) dont know if it will ever happen but cant take anyone that is +1 and more than 2-1 fave with that pt spread.
                                                                    3) NO ALTERNATIVE LINES

                                                                    $5 an investment... Sometimes I can be an underdog with the +1 or more... so that happened twice.. todays example was cardiff+1 was +$6.75 or -$5 bet ended in a draw bet of course...Guess we will see what % is needed to win... way less than 65%... 13 today and will be update as I go along
                                                                    Last edited by kevraid; 05-11-14, 11:53 AM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kevraid
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 03-27-14
                                                                      • 43

                                                                      #35
                                                                      7-4 (+$7.25 ) 63.6% 2 draws
                                                                      Comment
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