For example, would you rather have -.5 (+125) or PK (-165)?
Value of half goals on the line
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yismanSBR Aristocracy
- 09-01-08
- 75682
#1Value of half goals on the line[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
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[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Tags: None -
TWEETSSBR MVP
- 10-22-08
- 2114
#2Depends on the game for me. Usually if its a coinflip game that I have a gut feel on I'll take the Pick. If i really liked the game I'll gladly take the + odds.Comment -
mariomonteSBR Hustler
- 06-27-09
- 98
#3Rather "trivial" math: it just depends on your estimates for the 1x2 probabilities
Slightly more helpful: assuming an "Asian" take of ~2.5% and therefore an implied win probability of 43.5%, the -.5(+125) bet is superior EV if the draw is less likely than 28.5% - which refers to a draw odd of +245.
If you are offered a lower draw odd, take the PK(-165) - unless you know better.Comment
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