Contrarian analysis soccer O/U system

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  • Jaug
    SBR MVP
    • 01-11-09
    • 3087

    #1
    Contrarian analysis soccer O/U system
    I'm going to try a new soccer system out where I bet the under when two high scoring sides face off.

    Will be back with today's potential plays for eredivisie, eerste divisie, ligue 2 and more.

    I will not be betting real money to start with but rather track this and see how it does.

    Comments welcome.
  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #2
    Originally posted by Jaug
    I'm going to try a new soccer system out where I bet the under when two high scoring sides face off.

    It also applies in games between teams that have scored over their heads in the L2.
    Comment
    • Jaug
      SBR MVP
      • 01-11-09
      • 3087

      #3
      Two plays today, all bets are one unit flat as I expect the odds to be around 1.7-2.3.

      Union Berlin-Cottbus U2.5 Expekt 1,95 Albinoleffe-Lecce U2.25 Pinny 1,98
      Comment
      • Wilforth
        Restricted User
        • 05-10-08
        • 16309

        #4
        Originally posted by Jaug

        Union Berlin-Cottbus U2.5 Expekt 1,95
        Comment
        • Jaug
          SBR MVP
          • 01-11-09
          • 3087

          #5
          1-1 day for a small loss. On to today's plays. I think the line on Hyeres - Paris FC is really really low. No clue what they were thinking when they put that line but I guess we will find out today.
          Comment
          • Jaug
            SBR MVP
            • 01-11-09
            • 3087

            #6
            Hyeres-Paris FC U2.25 Pinnacle 1,83

            Wolfsburg-Freiburg U3 188bet 2,075

            Juventus-Inter U2.25 Pinnacle 2

            Cheltenham-Northampton U2.5 Pinnacle 2,1
            Comment
            • LinWin
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-05-09
              • 257

              #7
              Juventus - Inter.

              Difficult to predict, seems to me it's close to 50/50 that it goes over or under 2.5 goals.
              Comment
              • Jaug
                SBR MVP
                • 01-11-09
                • 3087

                #8
                2-4 YTD -2.2 units

                The only play that hit was the one with the really fishy low line in french national, go figure.
                Comment
                • Jaug
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-11-09
                  • 3087

                  #9
                  Two plays for today. One of them with a very fishy line (the greek game).Fade on?

                  Panthrakikos-Asteras T. U2 188bet 2,176

                  Mallorca-Zaragoza U2.5 188bet 2,1
                  Comment
                  • Jaug
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-11-09
                    • 3087

                    #10
                    1-1 on the day for a profit.

                    YTD: 3-5 -2.04 units
                    Comment
                    • Phillth
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-09-09
                      • 1785

                      #11
                      good thing youre not betting real money with this. you would lose big time.
                      Comment
                      • Jaug
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-11-09
                        • 3087

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Phillth
                        good thing youre not betting real money with this. you would lose big time.
                        Based on what? The statistical material is not huge you know . Fade if you want.

                        On to today's plays:
                        Watford-QPR U2.5 Pinnacle 2
                        Nantes-Arles U2.25 188bet 1,87
                        Comment
                        • Jaug
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-11-09
                          • 3087

                          #13
                          YTD: 4-6 -2.17

                          Fridays plays:

                          Hertha-Leverkusen U2.5 Pinnacle 1,971
                          Comment
                          • Jaug
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-11-09
                            • 3087

                            #14
                            YTD: 4-7

                            Well a moose in the german game and the over hits. As for now I would recommend fading my system, alot of the losses have been games with 4 and sometimes even 5 goals.

                            On to Saturdays plays:

                            Southampton-Tranmere U2.75 SBObet 1,94

                            Marseille-Boulogne U2.5 188bet 2,086

                            Lecce-Ascoli U2.5 Pinnacle 1,92

                            Salernitana-Albinoleffe U2.25 Pinnacle 1,952

                            PSV-Alkmaar U2.75 188bet 2,052
                            Comment
                            • Jaug
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-11-09
                              • 3087

                              #15
                              Finally a good day. Will update record soon but I think I went 4-1.
                              Comment
                              • Jaug
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-11-09
                                • 3087

                                #16
                                YTD: 8-8 -0,14 u

                                Because of saturdays success and the fact that I like sundays card I will now play real money on these picks. Let's do this

                                Sundays plays:

                                Liverpool-Arsenal U2.5 Pinnacle 2

                                St. Pauli-Furth U2.75 SBObet 2,12

                                Sampdoria-AS Roma U2.5 Pinnacle 2,06

                                Willem II-Roda U2.5 188bet 2,123

                                Volendam-Haarlem U3 188bet 2,03

                                Bursaspor-Ankaraspor
                                NO LINE YET
                                Comment
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