Advice regarding parlays ??

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  • demize21
    SBR MVP
    • 11-03-08
    • 3541

    #1
    Advice regarding parlays ??
    i actually have only 2 pending now thought it was more in any event wondering if i should leave it alone or hedge in some way since my buddy wilforth asked why i would put Roma in a parlay (afterward Ive been asking the same question)LOL

    fisrt one isnt for a big profit but a profit none the less cause mind you i probably lost around 300 today in losing parlays here they are and any input advice would be appreciated


    Parlay (5 Teams) 10/31/09 12:01 ET
    bet 50.00 to win 273.50 Result: Pending
    BlackburnRovers 0
    ManchesterUnited 2 10/31/09(13:30 ET)
    ManchesterUnited -500
    Parma(SerieA)(LIVEInRunning) 0
    ACMilan(SerieA) 2 10/31/09(15:45 ET)
    ACMilan(SerieA) -200
    Bologna(SerieA)
    ASRoma(SerieA) 11/01/09(09:00 ET)
    ASRoma(SerieA) -166
    Getafe(LigaBBVA)(LIVEInRunning) 0
    RealMadrid(LigaBBVA) 2 10/31/09(13:00 ET)
    RealMadrid(LigaBBVA) -222
    FCSevilla(LigaBBVA) 2
    Xerez(LigaBBVA) 0 10/31/09(15:00 ET)
    FCSevilla(LigaBBVA) -181



    Parlay (6 Teams) 10/31/09 12:03 ET
    bet 50.00 to win 1406.50 Result: Pending
    BlackburnRovers 0
    ManchesterUnited 2 10/31/09(13:30 ET)
    ManchesterUnited -500
    Parma(SerieA)(LIVEInRunning) 0
    ACMilan(SerieA) 2 10/31/09(15:45 ET)
    ACMilan(SerieA) -200
    Bologna(SerieA)
    ASRoma(SerieA) 11/01/09(09:00 ET)
    ASRoma(SerieA) -166
    FCBarcelona(LigaBBVA) 1
    Osasuna(LigaBBVA) 1 10/31/09(15:00 ET)
    Tie +350
    Getafe(LigaBBVA)(LIVEInRunning) 0
    RealMadrid(LigaBBVA) 2 10/31/09(13:00 ET)
    RealMadrid(LigaBBVA) -222
    FCSevilla(LigaBBVA) 2
    Xerez(LigaBBVA) 0 10/31/09(15:00 ET)
    FCSevilla(LigaBBVA) -181


    to win these 2 i would just need AS Roma to beat bologna
    thanks again
  • pitman
    SBR MVP
    • 08-15-09
    • 2216

    #2
    hedge it with bologna +1 (-137)
    Comment
    • demize21
      SBR MVP
      • 11-03-08
      • 3541

      #3
      makes sence i guess but my book doesnt have +1 just ML PK and +.5 i just cashed out my other accounts
      Comment
      • pitman
        SBR MVP
        • 08-15-09
        • 2216

        #4
        that is a fackin sweet parlay ya got there!!
        Comment
        • Phillth
          SBR MVP
          • 04-09-09
          • 1785

          #5
          Hedge with +.5 in case of the draw
          Comment
          • pitman
            SBR MVP
            • 08-15-09
            • 2216

            #6
            roma has a uefa game in 4 days against fulham.
            roma have won 2 of there last 5 home games by more than one goal.

            bologna -have lost only 1 of their last 5 away games by more than one goal.
            - have lost 3 of last 5 away games

            h2h-
            Roma has won only 1 of 5 by more than 1
            Roma has won 2 of last 5

            Its up to you......
            Last edited by pitman; 10-31-09, 09:20 PM.
            Comment
            • Phillth
              SBR MVP
              • 04-09-09
              • 1785

              #7
              Dont be foolish here man. you have the perfect hegde position. If roma wins you will win 1680. if you hedge say 400 on bologna +.5 +130 and they win you will win 420. its a win win situation. You can adjust the hedge as you wish. personally i would hedge about 600. LOCK IN THE PROFITS!
              Comment
              • demize21
                SBR MVP
                • 11-03-08
                • 3541

                #8
                Bologna DNB+275 +0.5 (+115) theses are the lines im getting i appreciate all input thanks for your advice guys but last showing against udinese away roma did fair well im confused LOL
                Comment
                • TurkzZ
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-07-09
                  • 4095

                  #9
                  i agree with the rest of the people here, definatly hedge it is possible, always best to be safe then sorry , gota keep a tight diciplined ship, as Philth said, lock in the profits, no need to sweat over it,

                  i mean i do think Roma will win but saftey first
                  Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
                  Comment
                  • demize21
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-03-08
                    • 3541

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Phillth
                    Dont be foolish here man. you have the perfect hegde position. If roma wins you will win 1680. if you hedge say 400 on bologna +.5 +130 and they win you will win 420. its a win win situation. You can adjust the hedge as you wish. personally i would hedge about 600. LOCK IN THE PROFITS!
                    good point
                    Comment
                    • Wilforth
                      Restricted User
                      • 05-10-08
                      • 16309

                      #11
                      Notes:

                      1) Next week's Europa game against Fulham doesn't matter to Roma. Roma's heart is in the league. So that's a no-issue.

                      2) One consolation (but only a consolation) is that Bologna hasn't scored more than one goal in a road game. That means if Roma can scored 2, then you should cash your parlays.

                      3) If you'd like to hedge your parlay, do so with a draw. Roma won't lose to Bologna.

                      4) Next time you're including a team in 2 parlays, don't use a team with a vulnerable defense. Keeping a clean sheet has become a taboo for Roma!
                      Comment
                      • demize21
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-03-08
                        • 3541

                        #12
                        thats why i should of consulted you first but i play like 10 parlays a day sometimes and they are last minute i hit 7 today and lost 3 so im well above for theparlay but your right so just play bologna dnb for 100 of 500
                        Comment
                        • demize21
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-03-08
                          • 3541

                          #13
                          will apologize on that under call at that moment my adrenaline was fired up from flamengo but hope you got montreal and pred are looking good did you get in on that???
                          Comment
                          • Wilforth
                            Restricted User
                            • 05-10-08
                            • 16309

                            #14
                            No need for any apologies. Under was analytically a good call. Yes, I was also on Predators (regulation time).
                            Comment
                            • Phillth
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-09-09
                              • 1785

                              #15
                              Originally posted by demize21
                              thats why i should of consulted you first but i play like 10 parlays a day sometimes and they are last minute i hit 7 today and lost 3 so im well above for theparlay but your right so just play bologna dnb for 100 of 500
                              if you play bologna DNB and the match ends in a draw you win nothing on any bets.
                              Comment
                              • demize21
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-03-08
                                • 3541

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Wilforth
                                No need for any apologies. Under was analytically a good call. Yes, I was also on Predators (regulation time).
                                nice cashed nicely need the yoted to complete a 3 teamer with leafs+1.5 and preds
                                Comment
                                • Karayilan9
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-10-09
                                  • 3742

                                  #17
                                  Roma should beat Bologna tomorrow, they arn't a good road side but its best to eliminate risk, you've got $100 on the line, flip a 100 on Bologna +0.5 @ +120/140 and you've won before anything has started.
                                  Comment
                                  • demize21
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-03-08
                                    • 3541

                                    #18
                                    yea maybe ill just do that win win anyways draw i win my 100 back and alittle extra and if roma wins well pizza is on me
                                    Comment
                                    • Karayilan9
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 01-10-09
                                      • 3742

                                      #19
                                      That's the smart call, no need to sweat anything, put your legs up and watch the game knowing you won't loose a penny whatever happens, there is nothing better than locking in profit.

                                      Forza Roma
                                      Comment
                                      • demize21
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-03-08
                                        • 3541

                                        #20
                                        well said anyone like man city tomorrow????
                                        Comment
                                        • TurkzZ
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-07-09
                                          • 4095

                                          #21
                                          i think city, but i think its a risky game
                                          Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
                                          Comment
                                          • pitman
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-15-09
                                            • 2216

                                            #22
                                            nice win bud.
                                            This is exactly what i thought would happen.
                                            Too bad your book didnt have the +1 for bologna. good win either way
                                            Comment
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