One soccer pick - Monday

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  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #1
    One soccer pick - Monday
    Reading/Leicester UNDER 2 (+120)

    Things to note:
    1) In the L6 Reading home games, only 1 has gone Over 2. In fact, 3 of those 6 have gone UNDER 2.
    2) In the L6 Leicester road games, only 1 has gone Over 2. In fact, 3 of those 6 have gone Under 2.
    3) Reading hasn't scored more than one goal at home. On the road, only once has Leicester scored more than one goal.

    Aware of those facts, some books have set the total for this game at 2 with the Over at -160 and Under at +120. What this line tells you is that no more than 2 goals are expected in this game.

    Given their offensive mediocrity, Reading know that their only chance of winning this game is by not conceding. So one expects Reading to play with a "containment" approach. As for Leicester, this game isn't a must-win, so a draw will be fair deal. Leicester is also notable for road draws as 4 of their L6 road games have ended in draws.
    Forget all the talk about Reading missing one or two defenders. Their makeshift defense is still capable of a good job if the whole team plays with a "containment" approach.
    On the whole, this game will be characterized by such a high-level of caginess that will keep goals at a premium. I hardly see more than one goal in this affair. At best, one can get a push.
    Last edited by Wilforth; 10-26-09, 01:16 PM. Reason: Typo
  • Karayilan9
    Restricted User
    • 01-10-09
    • 3742

    #2
    I like the Under, only thing that is worrying is that Reading are missing their captain who is also their key defender and their left back, Readings defense isn't great their big problem is not being able to score. Leicestar will start with a cautious approach, unlike Reading they have a good defense but similar to Reading they don't have the best finishers.

    Reading want a win at home, Leicestar don't want to loose on the road, Reading find it hard to score Leicestar defend well, the situation is right for an Under here, plus at home Reading are 80% Under while Leicestar are 80% Under on the road.
    Comment
    • Wilforth
      Restricted User
      • 05-10-08
      • 16309

      #3
      Kara,

      Yes, Reading have some concerns in defense but Leicester's offense on the road isn't that great. Even an Ipswich average defense that's conceding more goals than Reading's was still able to shutout Leicester. Overall, I'm happy with my Under play.
      Last edited by Wilforth; 10-26-09, 02:02 PM.
      Comment
      • shantystar
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-13-05
        • 7299

        #4
        love under as leicester is a defensive team ,reading forward line doesnnt seems to click as they defeated in last 3 games and leicester won 4 last games .
        Comment
        • SRBI
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-20-09
          • 8393

          #5
          I trailed...need this D to keep it 0-1!
          Comment
          • BL
            SBR MVP
            • 05-11-09
            • 4070

            #6
            Nice pick with Reading having the worst strikers I've ever seen
            Comment
            • Wilforth
              Restricted User
              • 05-10-08
              • 16309

              #7
              The combination of Leicester's defensive grittiness and Reading's offensive sloppiness will maintain this 0-1 score.
              Comment
              • SRBI
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-20-09
                • 8393

                #8
                Leicester D is solid. Thanks for the winner Wilforth!
                Comment
                • demize21
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-03-08
                  • 3541

                  #9
                  nice call wilforth made something out of a nothing day!!!!
                  Comment
                  • demize21
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-03-08
                    • 3541

                    #10
                    now time to try out my new fifa 2010
                    Comment
                    • Stringer Bell
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-14-09
                      • 791

                      #11
                      Damn, I chose both the under and the draw $10 each. Bet cancels out but would have loved a draw.
                      Comment
                      • Wilforth
                        Restricted User
                        • 05-10-08
                        • 16309

                        #12
                        Originally posted by demize21
                        nice call wilforth made something out of a nothing day!!!!
                        Exactly! There was really nothing today. I'm glad we cashed this one. I also tailed TurkzZ's Bielefeld pick. So it's a 2-0 day for me.
                        Comment
                        • demize21
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-03-08
                          • 3541

                          #13
                          nice i went 2-2 +175 if the gernan over would of hit would of had perfect day looking into some NHL and The eagles tonight
                          Comment
                          • demize21
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-03-08
                            • 3541

                            #14
                            hey wil did you get my PM
                            Comment
                            • pavyracer
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-12-07
                              • 82788

                              #15
                              Good call.
                              Comment
                              • Wilforth
                                Restricted User
                                • 05-10-08
                                • 16309

                                #16
                                NHL is a pass for me. I'm looking at the Under in the NFL game. Or I may just pass entirely and look for a solid soccer pick tomorrow. I'm liking:

                                Italy: Udinese +140 to heap more misery on Roma.
                                Comment
                                • Wilforth
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 05-10-08
                                  • 16309

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by demize21
                                  hey wil did you get my PM
                                  I've replied your PM.

                                  I just browsed through the Carling Cup games and depending on the lineups, Peterborough +350 at Blackburn may deserve a look.
                                  Comment
                                  • demize21
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-03-08
                                    • 3541

                                    #18
                                    Bahia in serie b brazil is screaming draw win for thhe away team bahia faired well against juve last time they played with a 2-2 draw and bahia is trying to get out of the bottom 4 also bragantino and over
                                    Comment
                                    • akerber
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 04-08-08
                                      • 473

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by demize21
                                      Bahia in serie b brazil is screaming draw win for thhe away team bahia faired well against juve last time they played with a 2-2 draw and bahia is trying to get out of the bottom 4 also bragantino and over
                                      tomorrow big bet on JUVENTUDE (against bahia). bahia is horrible (i live in Bahia ). probably bahia will relegate this session, and juventude needs to win this game, because next 3 games will be very very difficult.
                                      Last edited by akerber; 10-26-09, 08:21 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • demize21
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-03-08
                                        • 3541

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by akerber
                                        tomorrow big bet on JUVENTUDE (against bahia). bahia is horrible (i live in Bahia ). probably bahia will relegate this session, and juventude needs to win this game, because next 3 games will be very very difficult.
                                        wanna bet sbr points bahia not to lose?
                                        Comment
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