Two soccer picks - Sep 23

**infamousbacardi** · 09-23-09, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Spain: Real Madrid -200

Italy: Palermo/Roma OVER 2.5 -133

I'm tailing you heavy on Real Madrid...I also have Inter on a parlay with Real. Best of luck to us!

**oda11** · 09-23-09, 11:21 AM

That is some juice bro! Gonna tail you on Madrid, good luck!

**Josu** · 09-23-09, 11:32 AM

I got Madrid @ -155 @ pinnacle, not a good line you got there.

**Nastrovje** · 09-23-09, 11:33 AM

I'm with 10 big units on Real, please win this

**Wilforth** · 09-23-09, 11:57 AM

Originally posted by Josu

I got Madrid @ -155 @ pinnacle, not a good line you got there.

Yes, Real opened at -160 on my book and then dropped to -200 all over the place. There are 2 simple questions to ask in this one:
1) Do you see a draw in the Real game?
2) If the answer to Q1 is "No", then which team do you see winning that game?

What gladdens me about the Real pick is that Barcelona won yesterday. Today's game is a must-win for Real as they wouldn't want to start trailing Barcelona so early in the season.

Between Villareal and Real, there's no question as to which is the better team. The Real bench is far better than Villareal's first team! Some may argue the juice is high on this one, but I don't mind paying so much when it looks like there can be only one outcome. Villareal's pathetic defense can't shut out Real's menacing offense. Real may not have the best defense in the league but Villareal lack the offensive potential to take good advantage of Real's defensive problems. I know Real won't win all their league games this season, but I don't see them losing to Villareal on September 23, 2009.

BOL to those tailing.

**TurkzZ** · 09-23-09, 11:59 AM

i like the pick but the odds are not representing value here i think, A Villareal suprise its not out of the question, i do however like the Over 2.5, even at -200 its good

**Wilforth** · 09-23-09, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by TurkzZ

i like the pick but the odds are not representing value here i think, A Villareal suprise its not out of the question, i do however like the Over 2.5, even at -200 its good

I like the Over too, but I expect Real to do more of the scoring. So a Real win is a surer outcome to me than the Over. I wouldn't want to play Over and then Real wins by 2-0.

**Wilforth** · 09-23-09, 02:33 PM

Madrid 2-0 in the 72nd minute. Madrid ML =

**cro** · 09-23-09, 02:36 PM

u won on roma too

**Wilforth** · 09-23-09, 02:56 PM

2-0 +2.00

**moses millsap** · 09-23-09, 03:53 PM

nice job

**oda11** · 09-23-09, 04:27 PM

Good call(s) Wilforth! Thanks for the cash

**TurkzZ** · 09-23-09, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

I like the Over too, but I expect Real to do more of the scoring. So a Real win is a surer outcome to me than the Over. I wouldn't want to play Over and then Real wins by 2-0.

perfect call dude

**Wilforth** · 09-23-09, 06:31 PM

TurkzZ,

The problem is that Villareal aren't playing well right now. Maybe it has to do with the new coach. So I'm not afraid to afraid to fade them against a side as good as Real. Atletico Madrid are also in a funk. Their defense is rubbish.

**TurkzZ** · 09-23-09, 06:39 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

TurkzZ, The problem is that Villareal aren't playing well right now. Maybe it has to do with the new coach. So I'm not afraid to afraid to fade them against a side as good as Real. Atletico Madrid are also in a funk. Their defense is rubbish.

Atletico are a flop, could not even hold for a push

**demize21** · 09-23-09, 08:33 PM

nice job today wilforth