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  • Karayilan9
    Restricted User
    • 01-10-09
    • 3742

    #1
    Champions League capping central
    I opened this thread to discuss Champions League games here under one roof, we can work together to find value plays.


    So far.

    Maccabi Haifa v Bayern Munich


    Bayern Munich have had an offensive explosion with the addition of Robben to their squad, Ribery on one side Robben on the other, this is one of the most frightening partnerships any defense can face in Europe. They will take this game seriously as their embarrasing exit last year is still in their minds. However, Maccabi Haifa have quite a good home record and the weather conditions may be difficult for Bayern players, this is a potential problem.

    Leans: Bayern -1 , Over 2.5 goals

    Juventus vs Bordeaux

    Juventus don't just have Diego missing, Sissoko, Del Piero, Hasan Salihamidzic and Zdenek Grygera are all injured but still Juve are have a very strong squad and this just shows the depth they have now. Bordeax shouldn't be underestimated, they have a strong squad but lack experience at this level and have a poor record in Italy loosing twice to Roma last season. I don't like the short odds for Juventus who are missing so many key first team players and Bordeaux will remember their past disasters in Italy and would be happy with a point here.

    Leans: Under 2.5 goals

    Wolfsburg vs CSKA

    I don't like this game, Wolfsburg are in awful form, lost their past 3 games in a row, their new manager hasn't got the team performing anything like they were past season. CSKA have lost Love, their manager and are in dissaray right now. Two teams in a crisis here, I'd still say Wolfsburg had the edge at home but this is a hard game to read, it could swing anyway.

    Leans: No bet so far

    Marseille vs Milan

    Marseille have started the season well, they are a strong, pyhsical, fast side who are dangerous at home infront of their fanatic home crowd. Ac Milan have been in poor form just like last season however, you can't write off these guys in Europe so easily. Considering their form they won't be comming to play an open game and go outright for the win. A typical Italian take to this game considering Ac Milans form would be to settle for a point and if they do snatch a goal the aim will be to kill off the game.

    Leans: Under 2.5

    Zurich vs Real Madrid

    There is a huge quality difference between these two sides, Real haven't been playing great but have still been scoring goals which is bad news for Zurich. Zurich play in a league that is not so focused on defense, if you look at their games there are alot of high scoring matches. If they struggle to keep clean sheets in their domestic league they could have serious problems tonight. Real want to give a message to Europe that they mean business and would love a convincing win tonight.

    Leans: Over 2.5 / 3.5 , Real -1.5
  • TurkzZ
    SBR MVP
    • 01-07-09
    • 4095

    #2
    im leaning on the Munich + Madrid Double, what you guys think
    Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
    Comment
    • Smogs
      SBR MVP
      • 12-31-08
      • 4173

      #3
      Juve seem to offer the best value because Bordeaux struggle away from home. But i can never trust Juve because their approach to games is very negative and i never trust them to score enough. But i do see them winning 2-0.
      I may have a go at that.

      A bet i may double it with is the ATL Mad/Nicosia over 2.5 goals. Not great odds @ 3/5 but certainly a very good value bet despite the lows odds
      Comment
      • Rizzla
        SBR High Roller
        • 02-04-09
        • 100

        #4
        Wolfsburg will get their shit togheter today. One of Europes strongest home teams and cska moscow is awful away. Wolf's will take it 2-1!

        Juventus has home advantage, trezueget (?) will dominate with a playful game at home.

        Throw a 4 team parlay with Chelsea who dont have drogba tonight and ManU. I also bet that Rooney will score as the 3 last games and that Messi will score tomorrow aswell.

        5 team parlay today

        1 Leicester @ 1.80 (Not a CL Play)
        2 Juventus @ 1.57
        3 Chelsea @ 1.36
        4 Wolfsburg @ 1.80
        5 Man Utd @ 1.50
        Comment
        • soul4tnt
          SBR Rookie
          • 09-07-09
          • 29

          #5
          I'm on United & Munchen.. parlay, makes it double.
          Comment
          • theplagy
            SBR MVP
            • 04-21-09
            • 1915

            #6
            It's so easy to say that Real will just run over Zurich. Real doesnt care if they got scored a goal or two , they'll just score more to win.

            I'm leaning toward the Over 3.5 seeing a 1-3 kinda game.

            should I bet Real -1.5 then? I don't know. haha
            Comment
            • sprn
              SBR High Roller
              • 08-06-09
              • 215

              #7
              I haven't placed any bets yet but these are my leans:

              Maccabi Haifa - Bayern München over 2.5 goals
              Wolfsburg
              Man United
              Juventus - Bordeaux under 2.5 goals
              Comment
              • Karayilan9
                Restricted User
                • 01-10-09
                • 3742

                #8
                Originally posted by theplagy
                It's so easy to say that Real will just run over Zurich. Real doesnt care if they got scored a goal or two , they'll just score more to win.

                I'm leaning toward the Over 3.5 seeing a 1-3 kinda game.

                should I bet Real -1.5 then? I don't know. haha
                A key reason why I predict this game to be high scoring is that Zurich don't play a defensive game in the league. Now when a normally offensive side tries to completely change their style and play men behind ball it can end up real bad for them, its not their style and they will find it very hard to do so. Zurich have a dilema, do they play their normal game, bring the game to Real and hope to shock them by showing no fear or play defensive and hope for a point. If they sit back they could get trashed and buried in their own half, if they take the game to Real they could get an early goal and rattle them making it an interesting game and potential upset.
                Comment
                • Wilforth
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-10-08
                  • 16309

                  #9
                  These are very likely:
                  1) Madrid should win by more than a goal's margin
                  2) Bayern could score in the 1st half
                  3) Despite their poor domestic form, AC Milan can put up a show in France
                  4) Besiktas won't shut down the Man Utd offense

                  I therefore see these as value plays:

                  Real Madrid -1.5
                  Man Utd -1
                  Bayern Munich (1st half) -111
                  AC Milan PK +110
                  Comment
                  • Smogs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-31-08
                    • 4173

                    #10
                    It look good wil - The public is heavy on Juve and United, let's hope the bookies lose money tonight
                    Comment
                    • Karayilan9
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-10-09
                      • 3742

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Wilforth
                      These are very likely:
                      1) Madrid should win by more than a goal's margin
                      2) Bayern could score in the 1st half
                      3) Despite their poor domestic form, AC Milan can put up a show in France
                      4) Besiktas won't shut down the Man Utd offense

                      I therefore see these as value plays:

                      Real Madrid -1.5
                      Man Utd -1
                      Bayern Munich (1st half) -111
                      AC Milan PK +110
                      Be careful with the Man U game, they are hot favorites to win no doubt but if there ever was a 12th man you will see it tonight in the Inonu Stadium, Turkish teams are notorious for playing their best against the top sides and have upset many of the big teams at home just look at recent history.

                      Now I'm not saying take Besiktas, as much as I would LOVE them to win its very unlikely, however, Manchester United win is not as easy as it appears, there is potential for a possible upset here.
                      Comment
                      • Wilforth
                        Restricted User
                        • 05-10-08
                        • 16309

                        #12
                        Smogs,

                        This is the right time to play Rel Madrid and Man Utd. They'll win those road games impressively. One has to be wary of home favorites. I won't touch Juve today. I think that game could end in a 1-1 draw or a Juve loss.
                        It should all be too clear to us by now that the books NEVER lose on a day like this. I don't see Real Madrid, Man Utd and Juve all winning. Something has to give. I'm suspecting Juve. There's ALWAYS a parlay killer on a day like this.
                        Comment
                        • Wilforth
                          Restricted User
                          • 05-10-08
                          • 16309

                          #13
                          Originally posted by TurkzZ
                          im leaning on the Munich + Madrid Double, what you guys think
                          Looks solid to me. Don't add anything else.
                          Comment
                          • Smogs
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-31-08
                            • 4173

                            #14
                            Thanks wil, i was thinking of playing them but you've put up a good argument and i will save my money there
                            Comment
                            • razzy87
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 04-22-09
                              • 5

                              #15
                              ive had a really goodweekend on soccer
                              i think there's some value in the championship today
                              derby to bt barnsley 1.72
                              liecester to bt peterborough 1.80 - both home teams r pretty good at home andthe awayteamsare hapless
                              also if every is thinking bayern to thrashmaccabi, y not do them h/t like me 1.80 is briilllliaantt
                              Comment
                              • pattymayo
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 05-19-09
                                • 10221

                                #16
                                Originally posted by soul4tnt
                                I'm on United & Munchen.. parlay, makes it double.
                                on it as well...
                                parlay
                                Man U -1 -140
                                Bayern -1 -130

                                small stakes however.
                                Comment
                                • TurkzZ
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-07-09
                                  • 4095

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by razzy87
                                  ive had a really goodweekend on soccer
                                  i think there's some value in the championship today
                                  derby to bt barnsley 1.72
                                  liecester to bt peterborough 1.80 - both home teams r pretty good at home andthe awayteamsare hapless
                                  also if every is thinking bayern to thrashmaccabi, y not do them h/t like me 1.80 is briilllliaantt
                                  Nice to see you back razzyyy , im on the Bayern as well -1 though
                                  Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94379

                                    #18
                                    I like some plays today

                                    zurich +1.5 +115
                                    man u/besiktas under 2.5 -116
                                    munich -.5 + 108
                                    Comment
                                    • theplagy
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-21-09
                                      • 1915

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                      I like some plays today

                                      zurich +1.5 +115
                                      man u/besiktas under 2.5 -116
                                      munich -.5 + 108
                                      Where did you get Munich -.5 for +108?
                                      I assume it's 1H bet



                                      ANYONE LIKE PORTO ?? ? ? ????? ? ?? ? ???
                                      Comment
                                      • Smogs
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-31-08
                                        • 4173

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by theplagy


                                        ANYONE LIKE PORTO ?? ? ? ????? ? ?? ? ???
                                        Drogba and Bosingwa are out, that makes very little value picking Chelsea, but picking Porto would take some balls, they have lost some good players this summer
                                        Comment
                                        • lak420187
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 05-17-09
                                          • 567

                                          #21
                                          good day all...im likeing bayern, real and milan parlay... what do you all think?
                                          Comment
                                          • theplagy
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-21-09
                                            • 1915

                                            #22
                                            I get a lil anxious.

                                            It's the first UCL group game. I'm making way too many bets already

                                            If only one big-name team gonna show up tonight, It's gonna be RE-AL.
                                            Comment
                                            • Wilforth
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 05-10-08
                                              • 16309

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Smogs
                                              Drogba and Bosingwa are out, that makes very little value picking Chelsea, but picking Porto would take some balls, they have lost some good players this summer
                                              Even with Drogba's and Bosingwa's absences, Chelsea still has enough to get past Porto. Porto aren't what they were about 2 years ago. My predictions are:

                                              1) Both English sides will win
                                              2) Only one Italian side will win (AC Milan)
                                              3) Only one German side will win (Bayern)
                                              Comment
                                              • Smogs
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-31-08
                                                • 4173

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by lak420187
                                                good day all...im likeing bayern, real and milan parlay... what do you all think?
                                                I think the whole forum agrees on it, but there will be shocks today, the bookies are sniffing a massacre
                                                Comment
                                                • Smogs
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-31-08
                                                  • 4173

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Wilforth

                                                  Even with Drogba's and Bosingwa's absences, Chelsea still has enough to get past Porto. Porto aren't what they were about 2 years ago. My predictions are:

                                                  1) Both English sides will win
                                                  2) Only one Italian side will win (AC Milan)
                                                  3) Only one German side will win (Bayern)

                                                  I'd agree with that
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TurkzZ
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-07-09
                                                    • 4095

                                                    #26
                                                    Milan's expeince could be the deciding factor, they know what to do in these games
                                                    Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
                                                    Comment
                                                    • INVINCIBLE
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 04-21-09
                                                      • 212

                                                      #27
                                                      Porto +1.5 is nice.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tbill11
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-15-09
                                                        • 1451

                                                        #28
                                                        Hey guys, where can I find injury reports about these games? I've picked up from the forums that Drogba's out, but I don't have a site where I can find that (been primarily using soccerway, vitibet, and betdevil). Thanks!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Wilforth
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 05-10-08
                                                          • 16309

                                                          #29
                                                          You may not find that anywhere. Just wait until close to the games and check out the line-ups at eurosport.yahoo.com
                                                          Comment
                                                          • theplagy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-21-09
                                                            • 1915

                                                            #30
                                                            try eurosports.com
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #31
                                                              Haifa-Bayern OVER is my favorite play today. Good luck gents!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Karayilan9
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 01-10-09
                                                                • 3742

                                                                #32
                                                                Real Madrid -1, Bayern Munich -1, Seville -1, Liverpool -1 parlay, these games are big mismatches, there is a big quality gulf between these teams, maybe remove Bayern, Maccabi have quite a good home record.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • INVINCIBLE
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 04-21-09
                                                                  • 212

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by tbill11
                                                                  Hey guys, where can I find injury reports about these games? I've picked up from the forums that Drogba's out, but I don't have a site where I can find that (been primarily using soccerway, vitibet, and betdevil). Thanks!
                                                                  As far as I know Porto arent missing out on anyone.
                                                                  Chelsea will be without Drogba, Bosingwa, Alex, Ferreira, J.Cole, Zhirkov, Deco.


                                                                  Possible Lineups

                                                                  CHELSEA: Cech; Ivanovic, Terry, Carvalho, A Cole; Essien; Lampard, Ballack; Kalou, Malouda; Anelka.
                                                                  PORTO: Helton; Fucile, Rolando, Bruno Alves, Alvaro Pereira; Belluschi, Fernando, Meireles; Falcao, Hulk, Rodriguez.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • OvertimePlease
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-20-09
                                                                    • 409

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Juventus under and real madrid -1.5 is a good bet. Porto will also defend in numbers, they are using the same tactics against manchester united last year. And let met note that Juventus had a clean sweep at home last year, not losing at home in CL matches.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • brbballin
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 09-09-09
                                                                      • 5

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Real Madrid -1.5

                                                                      Bayern Munich (problems with the defense/keeper this season, therefore Im not sure about the -1 here)

                                                                      Manchester United


                                                                      will probably pick 1-2 more games later
                                                                      Comment
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