2024 Copa America Preview & Picks

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    BRAZIL V COLOMBIA

    The battle for top spot in the group and a date with Panama. Second in the group gets Uruguay. Colombia just need a point to top the group. Coming into this match Colombia are now unbeaten in 25 games including winning their last 10 straight games. Brazil are unbeaten in their past six but they did lose to Colombia in Colombia back in the fall. I think this might end level but I do like the value on Colombia

    29. Colombia +0.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    COSTA RICA V PARAGUAY

    Paraguay has already been eliminated where as Costa Rica need tons of goals and Brazil to lose to have a chance of advancing. Three of the past four games for both sides have gone over 2.5. I see a loose open game so getting really good plus money here is value.

    28. Total Goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.26/+126 (1u) Pinnacle

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  • k13
    replied
    Uruguay were favourites by gametime.

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  • pabonaparte
    replied
    Originally posted by DiamondJack
    USA V URUGUAY

    Where in what world are the books making the USA a favourite here?. Unless there is some behind the scenes "agreements" there is zero chance the USA should be priced at these odds. My numbers suggest Uruguay at 1.91/-110, yes even with players resting. Unless Uruguay fields a team filled with WAGS this is just not right. Now I usually use a 1-2-3-5 unit money management system and these odds have come closer to 5 units then any international game I can remember.

    26. Uruguay PK @ 2.18/+118 (3u) Pinnacle
    Solid move. Out with USNMT

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    PANAMA V BOLIVIA

    No value on Panama to take out the already eliminated Bolivia. I think there will be plenty of scoreboard watching to see how the USA game is going. I do like the total Under here at plus money as I had it pegged at 1.80/-125.

    27. Total Goals UNDER 2.5 @ 2.04/+104 (1u) Bet365

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    USA V URUGUAY

    Where in what world are the books making the USA a favourite here?. Unless there is some behind the scenes "agreements" there is zero chance the USA should be priced at these odds. My numbers suggest Uruguay at 1.91/-110, yes even with players resting. Unless Uruguay fields a team filled with WAGS this is just not right. Now I usually use a 1-2-3-5 unit money management system and these odds have come closer to 5 units then any international game I can remember.

    26. Uruguay PK @ 2.18/+118 (3u) Pinnacle

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  • asiagambler
    replied
    Originally posted by DwightShrute
    Seems like it could be rigged to help US advance

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  • ChuckyTheGoat
    replied
    I've soured on Pulisic. Fair to say this guy couldn't handle the physicality of England? Good player, but he strikes me as being a Light-weight.

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  • DwightShrute
    replied
    Originally posted by SomeDayinBuffalo
    Because Uruguay will prob sit players. Also the books know they will take a lot of US money. All of this team USA will not make it though.

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  • pabonaparte
    replied
    Originally posted by SomeDayinBuffalo
    Because Uruguay will prob sit players. Also the books know they will take a lot of US money. All of this team USA will not make it though.
    0-0 written all over this game

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  • SomeDayinBuffalo
    replied
    Originally posted by k13
    How is US favorite over Uruguay besides homefield?
    Because Uruguay will prob sit players. Also the books know they will take a lot of US money. All of this team USA will not make it though.

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  • k13
    replied
    How is US favorite over Uruguay besides homefield?

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    JAMAICA V VENEZUELA

    Already qualified Venezuela plays already eliminated Jamaica. Venezuela just need a point to guarantee 1st place, Jamaica will be loose playing for pride. This reminds me of a France v Poland final game at the Euros. The total here is underpriced as there is nothing cagy about this match up.

    25. Total Goals OVER 2 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Bet365

    Lean
    Correct Score 1-1 @ 7.00/+600

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    MEXICO V ECUADOR

    All Ecuador need is a draw to advance to the next round. The last 2 head to head games in the USA between these 2 ended in a draw and a victory for Ecuador. I rate Ecuador higher then Mexico but the crown in Arizona will be 90% pro Mexico. I see plenty of cards as our friend Mario Escobar is the referee. However that has been priced into the market so I will be looking to play cards over in the second half

    24. Full time DRAW @ 3.20/+220 (1u) Bet365

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  • Conqueror
    replied
    Canada ML (+189)
    Halftime/Fulltime prop: draw/Canada +700

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    PERU V ARGENTINA

    Argentina will be without Messi and they may rest a player or two as their qualification is assured. Peru are yet to score at the Copa & Argentina are yet to concede. The last 3 head to head games all Argentina wins 2-0, 1-0 & 2-0. No value on the Under, but there on the win to nil market which I would have at 1.91/-110.

    23. Argentina Win to Nil @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    CANADA V CHILE

    I see a very tight game that might open up once a goal is scored. Canada just needs a draw to advance so they will play a counter attacking style so start. The last 3 games for Canada went Under 2.5 goals, the last 2 games for Chile have also gone under. I see a 1-1 or 0-0 type of game.

    21. FT DRAW @ 3.34/+234 (1u) Bet365
    22. Total Goals UNDER 2.5 @ 1.98/-102 (1u) Bet365

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    BRAZIL V PARAGUAY

    Brazil were held by Costa Rica 0-0 in what should have served as a wake up call for the favourites. Paraguay lost to Colombia and know they need some sort of a result here if they have any hope on advancing. The last 2 head to head encounters both resulted in Brazil wins 2-0 & 4-0. I expect a bounce back by Brazil.

    20. Brazil win to Nil @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    COLOMBIA V COSTA RICA

    Nobody parks the bus better then the Ticos. They frustrated Brazil and held them to a 0-0 result. The strategy will be to get a point here as well and try for the full 3 points versus Paraguay. I fancy Colombia to eventually break them down and win 1-0 or 2-0.

    18. Colombia/Costa Rica UNDER 2.5 goals @ 2.10/+110 (1u) Bet365
    19. Colombia Win to Nil @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Bet365

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  • k13
    replied
    What was Panama live down a goal?

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    URUGUAY V BOLIVIA

    The last meeting during the world cup qualifiers Uruguay came out on top 3-0. There is no value in the win to nil market or the Asian handicapp or even a goal scorer prop. There is little chance that Bolivia can get anything out of this game. They will park the bus and try to scrape out un unlikely draw.

    16. Correct Score 2-0 @ 5.00/+400 (1/2 unit)
    17. Correct Score 3-0 @ 6.00/+500 (1/2 unit)

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    USA V PANAMA

    The last time Panama played a full US side they lost 5-1 and Pulisic had a hat trick. Panama is a weak side they lost to Jamaica and Mexico recently without scoring a goal. The Americans will want to take care of business before facing Uruguay in the final game and I think they will do just that.

    15. USA win to Nil @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365

    Lean
    Pulisic Anytime Goal scorer 2.62/+162

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    VENEZUELA V MEXICO

    Venezuela are a very much "park the bus" team. Now with 3 points in pocket they will gladly take the draw and a point .Mexico also with 3 points in the bag would be ok with a draw having Jamaica on tap in the last group stage game. Both sides have has 3 of their past 5 games go under 2.5 This stinks of a 0-0 or 1-1 result.

    13. FT Result DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (1u) Bet365
    14. Total Goals UNDER 2 @ 2.21/+121 (1u) Pinnacle
    Last edited by DiamondJack; 06-26-24, 07:17 PM.

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    ECUADOR V JAMAICA

    Ecuador was unlucky in having Valencia sent off with a red card early in the Venezuela match. Even then they still went a goal ahead before running out of gas and losing the match/ They need the full 3 points here and I think they get it versus a Jamaica side thats missing their best player

    12. Ecuador -1 @ 1.92/-108 (1u ) Bet365

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  • DwightShrute
    replied
    Canada GOAL!!!!

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    ARGENTINA V CHILE

    Since 2021 these sides met on 3 occasions with Argentina winning 1 and the other 2 matches ending level. I think Argentina with 3 points in the pocket and Peru on tap in their last game will not see a draw as a horrible result. Chile are old and on a shorter rest period here so they might eventually break down. I still like them to keep it a close game.

    11. Chile +1.25 @ 1.78/-128 (1u) Pinnacle

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    CANADA V PERU

    The time to back Canada was a month ago when the odds were flipped and Peru were the favourites. I think Canada at evens is pretty much fair so I will look for in game opportunities to back Canada. I do like a card prop here. The referee for this game is Mario Escobar of Guatemala who averages 4.59 cards per match. I think Peru will find it tough to keep up with a faster Canadian team and picks up some cards.

    10. Total Cards OVER 4 @ 1.80/-125 (1u) Bet365

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  • Conqueror
    replied
    Originally posted by k13
    Wow, Brazil sucks.

    Not as surprising as it might appear. Park-the-bus approach of Costa Rica partially explains the result.

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  • k13
    replied
    Wow, Brazil sucks.

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  • Conqueror
    replied
    Brazil is looking for a way to win the match a score of 1-0.

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  • DiamondJack
    replied
    BRAZIL V COSTA RICA

    Brazil are the rightful favourites and should easily come away with the 3 points. There is no value anywhere to be found backing them so I'm going to sprinkle a little on the correct score market. Here's hoping the Copa chalk fest continues.

    8. Correct score 3-0 Brazil @ 5.50/+450 (1/2 unit) Bet365
    9. Correct score 4-0 Brazil @ 7.00/+600 (1/2 unit) Bet365

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  • Headsterx
    replied
    One more goal Colombia!

    2-0 Colombia @ Half!

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  • SomeDayinBuffalo
    replied
    Colombia win and o1.5 goals +115

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  • Headsterx
    replied
    Colombia to record a shutout win - Yes (+135)

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  • Headsterx
    replied
    Colombia (-150) and o2 (-140)

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