katapeku's punto penal / penalty spot

**katapeku** · 07-06-19, 10:54 PM

Russian Championship. FNL

Russian Championship. FNL
Tekstilshchik Ivanovo v Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

pick: Tekstilshchik +0.5 -104 @ 5D 2u play

**katapeku** · 07-07-19, 12:14 PM

Record so far 0-0-2 -3.12u

Bad start and this is no excuse but the last bet was lost at min 95+ into injury time

**katapeku** · 07-07-19, 02:07 PM

No tips for today yet but I'm posting here my thoughts on Gold Cup Final and Copa America's final.

Brazil v Peru too complicated anything could happen at the end but expect a brazilian team that will just keep plowing forward relentlessly and a Peruvian one that will just settle with 10 men behind their half of the field and Paolo Guerrero alone in the front fishing for an opportunity.
I foresee very few chances of goal for Peru because of this and because making it to the final is already a huge accomplishment if they can push for the game to go to penalties they will do it 100%. (Expect them to play exactly as they did Vs Uruguay) but this time vs a more Offensive team, Brazil.

Honestly this is one of those games where I feel like the only ones making money for sure will be the Bookies.

This analysis is for Pre-match bet, while watching the game I might have an inclination for a bet, we'll see.

Gold Cup's Final:

Mexico vs USA.

On the Mexican side I expect them to score at least 1 goal maybe 2 and I see USA team scoring 1 goal also, most likely outcomes 2-0 2-1.
if I had to pick I will pt my money on Mexico to win the cup extratime and shootouts included -140 @ 5D however I will not be placing a bet pre-match on this game also. Maybe a live bet if I see something I like developing like an over or an under.
Also BTTS has a good chance to hit and is at -104.

Why do I think both team will score, The goalie on the Mexican side has done a good job so far but I don't like the fact that the defense plays the ball to him way too often. I know this a recipe for disaster like it happened with the Haiti vs Canada game. You could just see the mistake coming sooner or later on that game because of how often they risked passing the ball back to the goalie while having opponents close.

Where I was born I was thought to NEVER pass the ball back to the goalie with the foot unless there is NO ONE behind you, otherwise kick it to the side or even corner, NEVER to the goalie. And this was in Baby soccer is what they call it. from 3 to 5Yrs old.

For the Mexican side I expect for the referee to be more favorable to them, with the lack of the VAR system they can get away with far more than in other competitions.
Just like with the New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl 4 years ago the $$$ maker here is Mexico not USA unfortunately. This is just my opinion and don't intend to offend anyone.
Besides this huge point which can push the scale to the Mexican side to win the Final I do see them scoring a goal or 2.
They have it, by possible penalty, Free-Kicks from Guardado, Corners or From R. Jimenez, dos Santos, Guardado, Salcedo, Antuna, Alvarado, Pizarro... I mean this team will score a Goal!

What do you guys think?

**chuda** · 07-07-19, 02:31 PM

Thanks , nice write up

Brazil yet to concede a goal, they handle likes of Messi and Aguero last time, if Peru to score,it has to be lucky or plucky set piece.

as for other game , i am looking at btts at evens as both have been overish this cup , over 8.5 corners one of my bets as Mexico made this bet a winner in 3 games alone and waiting on cards market as rivalry to come

**katapeku** · 07-07-19, 05:47 PM

Originally posted by chuda

Thanks , nice write up

Brazil yet to concede a goal, they handle likes of Messi and Aguero last time, if Peru to score,it has to be lucky or plucky set piece.

as for other game , i am looking at btts at evens as both have been overish this cup , over 8.5 corners one of my bets as Mexico made this bet a winner in 3 games alone and waiting on cards market as rivalry to come

Brazil yet to concede a goal, they handle likes of Messi and Aguero last time, if Peru to score,it has to be lucky or plucky set piece.

On point.

**katapeku** · 07-07-19, 06:05 PM

My pre-match picks for Today

Mexico to win the Gold Cup extratime and penalties included -138 2u.

Also FC Dallas vs Tijuana over 2.5 -158 too much juice but I would wait for the first 10-12 mins of the game for it to go up to -130 before placing a bet.

**boss_of_um** · 07-07-19, 07:58 PM

Best of luck!

**katapeku** · 07-07-19, 08:09 PM

**katapeku** · 08-28-19, 10:37 PM

Vejle vs Viborg under 2.75 -115

**katapeku** · 08-28-19, 10:46 PM

Al-wakra +.25 AH -105

**katapeku** · 08-29-19, 12:26 AM

Al-arabi +.75 AH FIRST HALF -120

**katapeku** · 08-29-19, 08:38 AM

If Dubajic doesn’t play today (forward) then Astana +.25 -105

**katapeku** · 08-30-19, 12:42 AM

Jagiellonia +0 -112
Sevilla Under 3 -114
Slavia Sofia -0.5 -119
Sandhausen -0.25 First Half +106

Plus 4 games parlay at +1099 $50