Sissy Sport

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Kareem
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-02-06
    • 39

    #1
    Sissy Sport
    Gonna treat myself to a personal thread. Everyone is of course welcome to join in, but will post quite a bit, so this'll help keep things nice and clean. Plus it'll be easier for all, in the future, to avoid the thread with a -1000 units record

    Settled selections from "weekend action" thread:
    RC Deportivo La Coruna (+½) 2.00@Pinnacle
    Køge BK 1.45@Interwetten
    FC København 1.75@Ladbrokes

    RC Deportivo La Coruna 1:1
    Køge BK 3:2
    FC København 3:1

    YTD 3-0 +2.20


  • Kareem
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-02-06
    • 39

    #2
    WEEKEND
    Danish Superliga, November 11th:
    Brøndby IF 1.55@Interwetten

    German 1st Bundesliga, Nov. 11th:
    TSV Bayer 04 Leverkusen (0;+½) 1.85@Betinternet

    Spanish Primera Division, Nov. 12th:
    RRC Santander v Sevilla FC (Draw) 3.52@Mansion Exchange

    Scottish Premier League, Nov. 13th.
    Falkirk FC (0) 3.00@Centrebet

    Plus

    Danish Superliga, November 12th:
    FC København 1.95@Betsson
    Comment
    • Kareem
      SBR Rookie
      • 11-02-06
      • 39

      #3
      PARLAY
      Chelsea FC
      Olympique Lyon
      RSC Anderlecht
      Alkmaar Z

      Total 2.00@EuroBet
      Comment
      • Hulu
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 07-17-06
        • 664

        #4
        Good luck Kareem. I'll be watching your thread with interest.
        Comment
        • nasdaq888
          SBR MVP
          • 09-22-05
          • 1045

          #5
          Hey Kareem.....

          I will also be going for Leverkusen (0/+0.5) today.....Bet365 is offering 1.90 on Leverkusen.
          Comment
          • Kareem
            SBR Rookie
            • 11-02-06
            • 39

            #6
            Hulu:

            Nas: Thanks for the heads up. A bit surprised though, as I usually bet early, only when odds are "expected" to decrease. Thems the breaks
            Comment
            • Kareem
              SBR Rookie
              • 11-02-06
              • 39

              #7
              Brøndby IF 3:1
              TSV Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2:3
              RRC Santander v Sevilla FC 0:0
              FC København 1:0
              Falkirk FC 1:1

              Chelsea FC 4:0
              Olympique Lyon 2:1
              RSC Anderlecht 2:0
              Alkmaar Z 5:0


              P/L 4-1-1 +4.02
              YTD 7-1-1 +6.22


              Last edited by Kareem; 11-13-06, 05:07 PM.
              Comment
              • Kareem
                SBR Rookie
                • 11-02-06
                • 39

                #8
                PARLAY
                Chelsea
                PSV Eindhoven
                Standard Liége
                Porto

                Total 2.15@Betfred
                Comment
                • Kareem
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 11-02-06
                  • 39

                  #9
                  French Ligue 1
                  Rennes 2.00@Intertops
                  Toulouse (0;+½) 2.08@Ladbrokes

                  Dutch Eredivisie
                  AZ 2.50@Betfred

                  Danish Superliga
                  Randers v Brøndby (O2½) 1.97@Pinnacle
                  Comment
                  • Kareem
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 11-02-06
                    • 39

                    #10
                    Rennes 1:1
                    AZ 2:3
                    Toulouse 0:1
                    Randers v Brøndby 2:0

                    Chelsea 1:0
                    PSV 4:0
                    Standard 1:2
                    Porto 2:1


                    P/L 0-5 -5.00
                    YTD 7-6-1 +1.22


                    Last edited by Kareem; 11-19-06, 01:57 PM.
                    Comment
                    • Kareem
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 11-02-06
                      • 39

                      #11
                      Champions League
                      Benfica (-1) 2.04@VictorChandler
                      Werder v Chelsea (O2) 1.60@VictorChandler
                      Chelsea (0;+½) 1.83@Bet365
                      Olympiakos (+1) 2.02@VictorChandler

                      UEFA Cup
                      Club Brügge 2.30@Interwetten
                      Last edited by Kareem; 11-21-06, 03:57 AM.
                      Comment
                      • Kareem
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 11-02-06
                        • 39

                        #12
                        Betting correct score 0:0 in CSKA v Porto. Covering 1:1 just in case.

                        Price 5.83
                        Stake .4 unit
                        Last edited by Kareem; 11-21-06, 04:23 AM.
                        Comment
                        • Kareem
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 11-02-06
                          • 39

                          #13
                          CSKA v Porto 0:2
                          Benfica 3:1
                          Chelsea 0:1 (*2)
                          Olympiakos 0:2
                          Brugge 1:1


                          P/L 1-5 -3.36
                          YTD 8-11-1 -2.14


                          Compass waaay off at the moment. Time to tighten selection criterias.


                          Comment
                          • adriano
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-10-05
                            • 1081

                            #14
                            CL is one of the hardest competitions to get good results betting. I still check the games from a betting perspective, but rarely bet any of them.
                            Comment
                            • Kareem
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 11-02-06
                              • 39

                              #15
                              Originally posted by adriano
                              CL is one of the hardest competitions to get good results betting. I still check the games from a betting perspective, but rarely bet any of them.
                              Very true. Something I pretty much already know, but laziness and greed got the better of me. Most selections from my recent 1-10 streak, could have easily been avoided, with more effort and less emotion. In hindsight.
                              Last edited by Kareem; 11-25-06, 12:07 AM.
                              Comment
                              • Kareem
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 11-02-06
                                • 39

                                #16
                                Middlesbrough (+1) 1.86@Pinnacle
                                Recreativo (0;+½) 1.90@StanJames
                                Comment
                                • Kareem
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 11-02-06
                                  • 39

                                  #17
                                  Middlesbrough 1:2
                                  Recreativo 2:0
                                  Last edited by Kareem; 12-02-06, 04:55 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • Kareem
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 11-02-06
                                    • 39

                                    #18
                                    Scottish Premier League
                                    Rangers (-1) 2.00@Ladbrokes
                                    Comment
                                    • Kareem
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 11-02-06
                                      • 39

                                      #19
                                      Rangers 0:1


                                      P/L 1-1-1 -.10
                                      YTD 9-12-2 -2.24


                                      Last edited by Kareem; 12-07-06, 07:48 AM.
                                      Comment
                                      • Kareem
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 11-02-06
                                        • 39

                                        #20
                                        UEFA Champions League
                                        Porto v Arsenal

                                        CS 0:0 3.75@BlueSq/Ladbrokes
                                        Under 2½ 1.40@BlueSq (5 Units)
                                        Comment
                                        • Kareem
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 11-02-06
                                          • 39

                                          #21
                                          Porto v Arsenal 0:0


                                          P/L 2-0 +4.75
                                          YTD 11-12-2 +2.51


                                          Last edited by Kareem; 12-07-06, 07:47 AM.
                                          Comment
                                          • Kareem
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 11-02-06
                                            • 39

                                            #22
                                            German 1st Bundesliga
                                            Nürnberg (0;+½) 1.94@10Bet
                                            Dortmund (+½) 2.00@BetFred <-- Reg. H'cap +1

                                            German 2nd Bundesliga
                                            Unterhaching (+½) 2.13@Pinnacle

                                            Scottish Premier League
                                            Hibernian (+1) 1.75@Bet365
                                            Motherwell (+1) 1.94@Pinnacle

                                            Scottish 1st Division
                                            Dundee (+½) 2.03@10Bet
                                            Last edited by Kareem; 12-07-06, 11:25 AM.
                                            Comment
                                            • aceking
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-07-05
                                              • 4782

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Kareem
                                              UEFA Champions League
                                              Porto v Arsenal

                                              CS 0:0 3.75@BlueSq/Ladbrokes
                                              Under 2½ 1.40@BlueSq (5 Units)

                                              everybody had 0 goals ! blatant fix by Wenger.
                                              Comment
                                              • Kareem
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 11-02-06
                                                • 39

                                                #24
                                                French Ligue 1
                                                Monaco (+½) 2.05@StanJames

                                                Italian Serie B
                                                Juventus (U2½) Verona 2.02@Pinnacle
                                                Mantova (U2) Albinoleffe 1.96@Pinnacle
                                                Vicenza (U2) Triestina 1.87@Pinnacle
                                                Last edited by Kareem; 12-08-06, 05:59 PM.
                                                Comment
                                                • Kareem
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 11-02-06
                                                  • 39

                                                  #25
                                                  Royal League
                                                  FC København 2.37@PaddyPower <-- Section "Sweden"


                                                  Nürnberg 0:0
                                                  Motherwell 1:4
                                                  Hibernian 0:3
                                                  Dundee 1:2
                                                  Juventus/Verona 1:0
                                                  Mantova/Albinoleffe 0:0
                                                  Vicenza/Triestina 3:0
                                                  Monaco 1:2

                                                  P/L 2½-5-½ 2.55
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Kareem
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 11-02-06
                                                    • 39

                                                    #26
                                                    Unterhaching 0:1
                                                    Dortmund 1:3
                                                    FC København 2:1


                                                    P/L 1-2 .63
                                                    YTD 14½-19-2½ .67

                                                    Sorry. Accidentally spilled draw-repellant all over my picks. Should've thrown some darts instead





                                                    Comment
                                                    • Checkerboard
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-15-06
                                                      • 7798

                                                      #27
                                                      oops!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Kareem
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 11-02-06
                                                        • 39

                                                        #28
                                                        UEFA CUP
                                                        Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Mlada Boleslav 4.45@Expekt [28%to35%]

                                                        Overview: Fifth and final round of the group stage. Mlada (Czech Republic) need a win, while Hapoel (Israel) advances with, minimum, a draw.

                                                        Analysis: No doubt subjective factors play a heavy role here. Both sides will of course be fully motivated, but it's a reasonable assumption to make, that with one side desperately needing a win, the risk of a draw decreases to 20%-25% (usual 26%-27%). That along with an exaggerated status as favorite for the hosts, makes it obvious (to me), value has been pushed heavily in favor of Mlada.

                                                        The accurate UEFA 5-year ranking clearly show, that the Czech league is better than the Israeli counterpart. Neither team is setting their respective leagues alight:

                                                        Hapoel 6-1-4 overall. Home record 4-0-2.
                                                        Mlada 9-3-5 overall. Away record 3-1-4.

                                                        It's a concern, that the Czech league shows a remarkable, and consistent, low away-win percentage of 20% (usual 26%-27%). There's no denying that. Also, the Israeli outfit has more European experience. However, Mlada are rested, desperately need a win, semi-decent away and regularly meet stronger opposition. Hapoel's home record (so far) is nothing to brag about.

                                                        Without having ever seen the two actually play, I'm willing to bet, that books have overreacted; fully expecting to lose more often than not. Based on stats, subjective factors and reading previous UEFA Cup match reports.
                                                        Last edited by Kareem; 12-13-06, 11:36 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Kareem
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 11-02-06
                                                          • 39

                                                          #29
                                                          H Tel-Aviv v M Boleslav 1:1


                                                          P/L 0-1 1.00
                                                          YTD 14½-20-2½ 1.67


                                                          Comment
                                                          SBR Contests
                                                          Collapse
                                                          Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                          Collapse
                                                          Working...