May 2, EPL picks

[theplagy]

Let's start with the early game

Boro vs. Man U.

go with Boro +1

Simple. Boro wants it more, they are on the edge of being relegated down. On the other hand, Man U. is 3 pts ahead of Liverpool with 1 game more to play. They will play the Gunners Tuesday for the UCL. I think the priority is shifted here. Fergy will rest some of his players for sure.

Boro have not lost their last 9 matches at home. Everybody knows they are shitpile on the road but at home it's different. Ask Liverpool about it.

The only down side I see backing Boro is that they really need points. With just only four matches to go trailing Hull City by 3 is big. So if they decide to attack against Man U, they could get punished and we may see sprees of goals.

Anyhow
Boro +1 at -120 2 unit

I will check back later in the morning to check the line ups and reconfirm the bet.

[theplagy]

Tottenham vs. WBA

WBA is done folks. Tottenham came off that ugly 5-2 lost to Man U. after unable to hold an unexpected early 2 goals advantage. Redknapp will get this young team together and will not underestimate this desperate WBA team. Spurs is playing better and better and with just 7 points from 15 away matches from WBA side, the team that know how to lose close games. My money is on spurs, and I think Redknapp will focus on the defense even more. Spurs at White Heart Lane is the best home defending team in the league, conceding only 9 goals from 17 matches. WBA on the other hand scoring 10 away goals from 17 matches. Yet the line is leaning toward over with a huge chalk (-141). Even though spurs are with out Dawson due to injury. I'm going to take the + line here with under. Expect at 1-0, 2-0 win from Tottenham

Bet:
spurs -1 -120 1 unit
under 2.5 +111 2 unit

going to sleep now, see you all in the morning.

[theplagy]

hmm

we got Berb upfront with Macheda

Rooney and Ronaldo are both starting.

However the line is now Boro +1 (-141) stick with the same bet

[theplagy]

not EPL but what the heck

Bielefeld v. Stuttgart

Leaning toward stuttgart here, but are on a streak but heading in the opposite direction.

Stuttgart is 8-1 SU and ATS in their last 9 matches, and Bielefeld 0-4-1 SU in their last five trying to escape relegation.

The home team will put up a fight but eventually lost to the visitors.

Pick: Stuttgart -.5 1 unit

[RogueJuror]

good luck plagy

[theplagy]

How the hell is Fulham sitting at 7 having a push for UEFA cup spot? Because of their solid home plays. They were a shitty road team last year, better this year with 8 draws and 2 wins (still bad).
Chelsea's going full throttled here with almost the same line up as the one against Barca midweek. with Cole in for Ivanovich and Kalou in for Mikel. Chelsea will take care of business here but will come up short in the title race and everyone knows it.

Chelsea to win 2-0
Bet Chelsea -1 (-110) 1 unit

[theplagy]

thx Rogue, Man U. needs to stumble here to make it interesting and that means more money to the League.

They will be kind enough to give Boro points and make that Man U. - Arsenal game matters toward the end

[theplagy]

lazy sloppy defense.

0-1 Man U.

way too early to be conceding this one. damn

[JohnAnthony]

lazy sloppy defense.

0-1 Man U.

way too early to be conceding this one. damn

Indeed. OVER 2 and 2.5 has good value at 2.01 (sorry for using decimals guys :P )

[theplagy]

Leaning toward Blackburn with +.5 but gonna leave it alone.

even though Blackburn were 11-0 ATS against Man City. last 11 game

with Portsmouth and WBA at home they should earn enough points to escape the relegation even if they lose this match.

[JohnAnthony]

Leaning toward Blackburn with +.5 but gonna leave it alone.

City have been quite good @ home this season, scoring quite nicely. What do you say about the over 2 and 2.5?

Edit: never mind, that was a bad bet of mine, I basically need 2 more goals =/.

Edit (United 2-0): bad bet, but Boro's defense is sooo bad I may as well get one more goal in the remaining 40 mins.

[theplagy]

second goal was again, way too easy

Your Over looking good buddy , Hope you cash !

[theplagy]

Wolfburg to rebound today after a loss.



1 unit Wolf~ -1 at -118

[theplagy]

Laying .5 unit on Blackburn +.5 as well. You are right, it could be a high scoring game.

[JohnAnthony]

second goal was again, way too easy

Your Over looking good buddy , Hope you cash !

Thanks mate, good luck with the rest of the day!

[theplagy]

wow

no sign of life from Boros, got fooled big time by these clowns.

0-1 Stuttgart, c'mon baby

[theplagy]

Man U. did not even try. Giggs and Scholes are walking around.... yet 0-2

[JohnAnthony]

Thanks mate, good luck with the rest of the day!

geez, my fault for misunderstanding the handicap..meh..

[theplagy]

wow line on chelsea is getting stronger and stronger.... -1/1.5 right now.

[theplagy]

Boro +1 at -120 2 unit LOSE -2 unit
spurs -1 -120 1 unit PUSH
under 2.5 +111 2 unit WIN +2.22 unit
Stuttgart -.5 1 unit LOSE -1 unit
Chelsea -1 (-110) 1 unit WIN +.91 unit
1 unit Wolf~ -1 at -118 WIN +.85 unit

3-2-1 Yesterday +.98 unit

up to date

total 7-2-1 and up + 6.46 unit