Italy
Napoli +190
The 3rd best team in Italy (Napoli) are on the road against the 3rd worst team (Torino). The facts:
* Torino have lost 4 of their 8 home games.
* Napoli may have won only 2 of their 8 road games but that record improves to a perfect 2-0 against teams in the bottom half of the league. Torino are 18th (out of 20) in the league.
Genoa PK +125
5th ranked Genoa are on the road against the "bottomest" team in the league, Chievo. Here are my reasons for this PK pick:
* Chievo have lost 8 of their L9.
* Genoa have lost only one (yes, ONE) of their L9 and that loss was against Juventus.
Cagliari -143
Cagliari have won 5 of their 8 home games. Their only home losses came against Juventus and Napoli, the 2nd and 3rd best teams, respectively. On the flip side, their opponents, Reggina, have lost 7 of their 8 road games.
Spain
Deportivo La Coruna -167
There's no need to waste words here. Deportivo have won 4 of their L6 and they're at home against a mediocre Huelva who have managed only 3 wins in their L15. Do you need more encouragement? Deportivo have won 6 of their 8 home games while Huelva have lost 4 of their 7 road games.
Sevilla +100
The 3rd best team in the whole of Spain, Sevilla, are on the road against the 2nd worst team, Mallorca. Mallorca have lost 5 of their L7 while Sevilla have won 4 of their L5 road games, including a win at Real Madrid. Don't fail to cash this one!
Valladolid PK -115
Valladolid are on the road where they have lost 5 of their L7 road games. Yes. The truth however is that those losses came against teams far superior to Numancia. If anything, Valladolid have won 5 of their L7 while Numancia have won only 2 of their L7, losing 4 in the interval. The fact is, Valladolid don't lose games to teams as pathetic as Numancia.
Napoli +190
The 3rd best team in Italy (Napoli) are on the road against the 3rd worst team (Torino). The facts:
* Torino have lost 4 of their 8 home games.
* Napoli may have won only 2 of their 8 road games but that record improves to a perfect 2-0 against teams in the bottom half of the league. Torino are 18th (out of 20) in the league.
Genoa PK +125
5th ranked Genoa are on the road against the "bottomest" team in the league, Chievo. Here are my reasons for this PK pick:
* Chievo have lost 8 of their L9.
* Genoa have lost only one (yes, ONE) of their L9 and that loss was against Juventus.
Cagliari -143
Cagliari have won 5 of their 8 home games. Their only home losses came against Juventus and Napoli, the 2nd and 3rd best teams, respectively. On the flip side, their opponents, Reggina, have lost 7 of their 8 road games.
Spain
Deportivo La Coruna -167
There's no need to waste words here. Deportivo have won 4 of their L6 and they're at home against a mediocre Huelva who have managed only 3 wins in their L15. Do you need more encouragement? Deportivo have won 6 of their 8 home games while Huelva have lost 4 of their 7 road games.
Sevilla +100
The 3rd best team in the whole of Spain, Sevilla, are on the road against the 2nd worst team, Mallorca. Mallorca have lost 5 of their L7 while Sevilla have won 4 of their L5 road games, including a win at Real Madrid. Don't fail to cash this one!
Valladolid PK -115
Valladolid are on the road where they have lost 5 of their L7 road games. Yes. The truth however is that those losses came against teams far superior to Numancia. If anything, Valladolid have won 5 of their L7 while Numancia have won only 2 of their L7, losing 4 in the interval. The fact is, Valladolid don't lose games to teams as pathetic as Numancia.
Of course I won't do that, gotta stay disciplined no matter how easy it looks.