Monday EPL, West Ham-Tottenham, 3.00pmEST

[englishmike]

1 Unit West Ham to DRAW with Tottenham +250 (Betfair)

This is as close to a 'pick-em' affair as you'll ever see in the EPL and with temperatures forecast at just above freezing I'm sure both these teams would happily settle for a point, and I wouldn't put anyone off giving this game a miss altogether.
For the action junkies like me out there, the logic for a draw is simple. West Ham haven't conceded in the last 4 hours and 33 minitues of EPL football but they're also on a run of nine matches in which they've failed to score more than one goal.
Tottenham have won four of their last seven, but lost two of the last three and are averaging a point a game and I see nothing to convince me either side has an upper hand in this.

My updated record of every soccer game I've ever posted at SBR can now be found here: http://englishmike.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[Totolover1409]

hey emike. what do you think of just taking the under for the tottenham game because of the weather and all

[englishmike]

You'd have every chance of winning if you play the under. Tottenham have only conceded two in their last four and West Ham haven't conceded for 4 hours 33 minitues. (Just over 3 games)

I'm not playing the under for two reasons. The first is the price, at around about +EV I don't see any value, simply because I only want to risk one unit, I was tempted not to bet at all, but I decided there's a little bit of value in the draw price.

Secondly, these two played twice last season and there were 11 goals in those two games, Tottenham won both, 4-0 at home and 4-3 at West Ham. So whilst tommorow could definetly go under, especially when you factor in the weather, recent history puts me off.

Best of luck if you play it, 0-0 or 1-1 would suit us both!

[Totolover1409]

your picks have done me well recently so I'm gonna stick with you and the draw. BOL.

[englishmike]

Tommorow is a perfect example of a game where your stake is more important than what you pick. The odds reflect the fact that all three outcomes are possible and whenever that's the case and you have no particular lean, low stakes are in order in my opinion, that's why I've only played one unit.

[Toronto-boy]

[sixx]

I like the overs for this fixture.

Good luck.

[vanman]

You'd have every chance of winning if you play the under. Tottenham have only conceded two in their last four and West Ham haven't conceded for 4 hours 33 minitues. (Just over 3 games)

I'm not playing the under for two reasons. The first is the price, at around about +EV I don't see any value, simply because I only want to risk one unit, I was tempted not to bet at all, but I decided there's a little bit of value in the draw price.

Secondly, these two played twice last season and there were 11 goals in those two games, Tottenham won both, 4-0 at home and 4-3 at West Ham. So whilst tommorow could definetly go under, especially when you factor in the weather, recent history puts me off.

Best of luck if you play it, 0-0 or 1-1 would suit us both!

This game is definately more likely to finish under the goals,neither team is scoring many this season,as for last seasons results don`t forget Spurs had some bloody good strikers in their team,but not now.

[sixx]

Good points vanman.
If you look at the last 5 games where Hotspurs have managed a goal, 4 of those games have gone overs.
I think they can score here, so win or lose, it should be overs yeah?

Good luck.

[ZDAVIES8491]

went with tottenham ml +150
and the under 2 1/2 -120

Both for 1 unit

[ZDAVIES8491]

do yall know any place where I can watch the game?

[englishmike]

Setanta Sports, Direct TV channel 621

Tottenham should be one up already!

[ZDAVIES8491]

mike, did u end up going with the draw?

[englishmike]

Yes, made it a very hard game to cap.

["Sic"]

watch the game here

http://soccer-pages.com/GoalFanzineTV/

on the left click on west ham vs Tottenham

[englishmike]

Wow. 0-0 at half-time,Tottenham should be winning 3-0.

["Sic"]

Lets hope it ends this way Mike...I have the draw

[englishmike]

Me too, half-time came exactly at the right moment, West Ham were looking fragile.

[ZDAVIES8491]

Goooooooooooooalllllllllllllllll

[ZDAVIES8491]

Very nice, I cashed in on the under and hotspurs +155. Lets take the bookies!

[englishmike]

No good for me, I had the draw and if that idiot Gomez doesn't make the save of his life it's 1-1.....grrrrr

[sixx]

My god, that should of easily gone overs .... alas, it didn't.

Congrats to the Under and Hotspurs backers.
Tricky game.