Non-EPL soccer picks for the Nov. 28-30 weekend (and a Serie A steal)
I try to pick out the biggest mismatches and obvious victories. I usually don't do tough even matches unless I see something special.
Sure Italian clubs can go into a shell for 90 minutes and play 7-2-1 if they wish (lol) but does that really work in the long run? No. Which is why the steal of the week is Calcio Catania over Lecce -120. Catania are 6-1 (loss coming to Udinese, a good club) at home. Also 9th in the table. Lecce are newly promoted and 17th. They've scored 3 goals away in 6 games (2 in one game and they were behind and a 1-1 draw against low-scoring Lazio). Just form alone is enough to see Catania through with a win. They are simply the better club. Of course Lecce will get into its turtle shell but Catania can get through eventually. (12pm)
Tough betting, MUST-SEE match of the weekend. What is better than Bayern vs Leverkusen, seriously? Bayern pk -125 is the play. They've owned Bayer lately (won their last 7) and never under-estimate Bayern anywhere and against anyone. I'm picking them for the same reason I picked them against Bucharest in the CL this week - they are simply better, have the experience, and are in their best form of the season. Bayern hasn't lost since Sept. 27 - enough said. (9:30am)
Another solid pick is top second division Spanish side CD Xerez at home over Elche. Not as solid odds (about -150) but they are solid enough. Xerez has lost only once at home and Elche only take points away from the bottomest of the bottom of the league. Xerez should have no problem. (12:30pm)
Matches that are decent picks and no write-up: Hoffenheim over Arminia Bielefeld (-1 better odds if you want, but no guarantees) (9:30am), Barcelona +odds over Sevilla - if Valencia could outplay Sevilla and dictate the tempo for most of the game, what can brilliant Barca do? (4pm)
Sure Italian clubs can go into a shell for 90 minutes and play 7-2-1 if they wish (lol) but does that really work in the long run? No. Which is why the steal of the week is Calcio Catania over Lecce -120. Catania are 6-1 (loss coming to Udinese, a good club) at home. Also 9th in the table. Lecce are newly promoted and 17th. They've scored 3 goals away in 6 games (2 in one game and they were behind and a 1-1 draw against low-scoring Lazio). Just form alone is enough to see Catania through with a win. They are simply the better club. Of course Lecce will get into its turtle shell but Catania can get through eventually. (12pm)
Tough betting, MUST-SEE match of the weekend. What is better than Bayern vs Leverkusen, seriously? Bayern pk -125 is the play. They've owned Bayer lately (won their last 7) and never under-estimate Bayern anywhere and against anyone. I'm picking them for the same reason I picked them against Bucharest in the CL this week - they are simply better, have the experience, and are in their best form of the season. Bayern hasn't lost since Sept. 27 - enough said. (9:30am)
Another solid pick is top second division Spanish side CD Xerez at home over Elche. Not as solid odds (about -150) but they are solid enough. Xerez has lost only once at home and Elche only take points away from the bottomest of the bottom of the league. Xerez should have no problem. (12:30pm)
Matches that are decent picks and no write-up: Hoffenheim over Arminia Bielefeld (-1 better odds if you want, but no guarantees) (9:30am), Barcelona +odds over Sevilla - if Valencia could outplay Sevilla and dictate the tempo for most of the game, what can brilliant Barca do? (4pm)