JayRow's World Famous Sports Picks

hotcross · 11-21-17, 09:56 PM

Originally posted by JayRow

Dogs cover 76% of the time if the game goes to overtime

Dogs of 6-7.5 points cover 81.5% of the time.

Just curious how many years the stat about Dogs covering in Overtime goes back?
NBA is the pro sport I follow the least, but from what I've noticed the past couple years it seems very frequently the favorite will cover after a game goes to Overtime.

JayRow · 11-21-17, 11:22 PM

Today: 1-1: +0.2 units
Not much, but I'll take a little profit anytime.

JayRow · 11-21-17, 11:23 PM

Originally posted by hotcross

Just curious how many years the stat about Dogs covering in Overtime goes back?
NBA is the pro sport I follow the least, but from what I've noticed the past couple years it seems very frequently the favorite will cover after a game goes to Overtime.

That goes back about 15 years.

JayRow · 11-22-17, 01:57 PM

How's everyone doing today?

rookieclapper · 11-22-17, 02:10 PM

Looking to make $$$ tonight

PeterJohnson · 11-22-17, 02:14 PM

May i ask why your threads shows up in NFL & college football every time you post you must really love the "attention" your an average sbr poster your a .500 record you are what the numbers say and thats going back to last year, do you feel better when your views go up because everytime you post its in every thread even though u only post hockey and NBA? i mean we no you wanna be a tout you basically said that but you have to be above average to do that lol i cant stand people like you dont bring nothing else to the community besides your .500 plays and clog up all the threads everytime a comment is mentioned in the thread. Your trying to get on a heater and start selling hoping ppl will believe the bullshit. then when its not going as planned now its the "slow and steady" wins the race when a page or 2 back i called you out for you saying 12% profit isnt enough

wait but you when to a top 10 school

at least your playing that part of it well.

JayRow · 11-22-17, 02:23 PM

YTD: 57-53; +8.14 units

Today's Plays:
NBA: All 2 u plays

Clippers	-2.5
Kings	PK
Pelicans/Spurs UNDER	207

NHL:
3 UNIT PLAY:

Sharks

-134

2 UNIT PLAYS:

Sharks	-134
Canucks	180
Canadiens	175
Panthers	105
Ducks	-140
Predators/Canadiens UNDER 6	-110

Remember dogs are TO RISK the specified units and favs are TO WIN the specified units.

BOL today. Got some good puppies, hope they bark!

JayRow · 11-22-17, 02:24 PM

clarification: The sharks is 'just' a 3 unit play, not 3 units + 2 units.

GzaTheGenius · 11-22-17, 02:25 PM

Loving sharks as well
GL

JayRow · 11-22-17, 02:27 PM

Originally posted by GzaTheGenius

Loving sharks as well
GL

Great spot for them to win. I wish it was against another opponent because I do believe the Coyotes will be better than they have been for the first month and a half the season, but I think the Sharks get it done tonight.

hotcross · 11-22-17, 07:17 PM

Originally posted by JayRow

Remember dogs are TO RISK the specified units and favs are TO WIN the specified units.

We do remember that.

Man you've got a ton of units in play tonight.
8 plays of 2 units (with Anaheim at -140)
1 play of 3 units at -134

So about 21 units at risk, is that fair to say?

JayRow · 11-22-17, 07:43 PM

Originally posted by hotcross

We do remember that.

Man you've got a ton of units in play tonight.
8 plays of 2 units (with Anaheim at -140)
1 play of 3 units at -134

So about 21 units at risk, is that fair to say?

<b> Yes, fair to say. Assuming that is 21% of your bankroll, spread over 9 plays, im comfortable with the Risk Management calculations. Well be ok even if I go 0-9! </b>

JayRow · 11-22-17, 07:45 PM

This is of course a higher than normal volume, but followers of this thread should not be alarmed by 10 play days. It happens, just depends on how the matchups and schedules line up.

JayRow · 11-22-17, 10:11 PM

Epic night brewing!!!!

hotcross · 11-22-17, 10:22 PM

there you go again Mr. Row. It's called celebrating too soon. There's still a chance for the later games to go sour.

I hope you win but simmer down

JayRow · 11-22-17, 10:36 PM

Originally posted by hotcross

there you go again Mr. Row. It's called celebrating too soon. There's still a chance for the later games to go sour.

I hope you win but simmer down

There I go again! Dude it's perfectly acceptable to celebrate. Let's see where we're at for the night.

NBA:
2-0 with 1 play left.

NHL:

+180 dog winner
+105 dog winner
under 6 is pretty much a winner (anythign coudl happen of course)
+175 dog is only down 1 goal with 6 minutes left... anythign could happen
3 unit HEAVY play is up 2-0 going into the third.

So... yeah.. epic night brewing.

hotcross · 11-22-17, 10:43 PM

say the later games to go sour....tonight or any other night....then you'd just be inviting the haters

Also just think it's bad form. One thing that gets under my skin is celebrating too early. Go ahead and celebrate like a mofo AFTER the final results. Maybe that's just me.

JayRow · 11-22-17, 10:46 PM

CANADIENS TIE IT UP - CAN I BE EXCITED?? NOT Celebrate.. but excited?? is that ok? Yes, they probably still lose. But if they can pull it out...

rookieclapper · 11-22-17, 10:49 PM

amazing night to bad i didn't tail today

got off late hope we hit more winners!

JayRow · 11-22-17, 10:56 PM

my god!!!! we had a huge chance with 5 seconds left in overtime!!! 2 on 1!!! on to shootout.. my heart is racing...

JayRow · 11-22-17, 10:58 PM

crossbar... MFER!

JayRow · 11-22-17, 11:00 PM

SO CLOSE! Dang. Breakeven game but ERRRRR

JayRow · 11-22-17, 11:03 PM

Originally posted by rookieclapper

amazing night to bad i didn't tail today

got off late hope we hit more winners!

RookieClapper - i try to post the plays plenty of time before the game starts and post them all in 1 batch to make it easy for people who have lives and jobs. Welcome to the crew and tail with confidence.

JayRow · 11-22-17, 11:40 PM

So Far: 6-1; +12.7 units

2 Pending Plays! Goodnight to anyone who reads this thread...

JayRow · 11-23-17, 07:52 AM

Damn. The ducks had to go one and blow a 2-0 lead.

Yesterday: 7-2 ; +11.9 units
YTD: 64-55; +20.04 units

Happy Thanksgiving to All!

JayRow · 11-23-17, 08:05 AM

Only ONE play today and this one is popping off the charts to me, so I have to play it:

NFL:
Lions/Vikings UNDER 44.5 -105 to win 2 units.

That's all!

canepole · 11-23-17, 11:38 AM

Awesome JayRow! Happy Thanksgiving

JayRow · 11-23-17, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by canepole

Awesome JayRow! Happy Thanksgiving

You too canepole! Welcome to the thread!

JayRow · 11-23-17, 02:10 PM

Just couldn't lay off the football could you johnny?' (Me). Oh well.

JayRow · 11-24-17, 10:12 AM

Yesterday: 0-1 ; -1.05 units
YTD: 64-56; +18.99 units

Well just couldn't lay off the football total yesterday. I reckon if the end of the 1H didn't end up with 2 TD's in 30 seconds, we would have been profitable. On to the next one.

Today features a lot of volume. Buckle up!

NBA:
Hawks +2 -105 to win 2 u

NHL

3 UNIT PLAY:

Flyers

-118

2 UNIT PLAYS:

Senators	168
Penguins	-109
Canucks	120
Sabres	130
Sharks	-106
Rangers/Red Wings UNDER 6	-125
Stars/Flames UNDER 6	-115

Let's get 'em today ladies and gentlemen!

hotcross · 11-24-17, 10:18 AM

Congrats on the wonderful winning Wednesday

Nicely done

JayRow · 11-24-17, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by hotcross

Congrats on the wonderful winning Wednesday

Nicely done

Thanks man. Certainly satisfying and will prompt a nice pay-day come pay out day.

I can't help but think how freaking close it was to 9-0. I've never done 9-0. Canadiens in the shootout and Ducks holding on to 2-0 lead would have been +190 winner +3.8u and another 2 u.. a 7u swing! Now that would be have been carzy!

But, no complaints. We grind on.

maggiethebestdog · 11-24-17, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by JayRow

Yesterday: 0-1 ; -1.05 units
YTD: 64-56; +18.99 units

Well just couldn't lay off the football total yesterday. I reckon if the end of the 1H didn't end up with 2 TD's in 30 seconds, we would have been profitable. On to the next one.

Today features a lot of volume. Buckle up!

NBA:
Hawks +2 -105 to win 2 u

NHL

3 UNIT PLAY:

Flyers

-118

2 UNIT PLAYS:

Senators	168
Penguins	-109
Canucks	120
Sabres	130
Sharks	-106
Rangers/Red Wings UNDER 6	-125
Stars/Flames UNDER 6	-115

Let's get 'em today ladies and gentlemen!

I love it. You bet 2 units on under at -105 on vikes/lions and lose. So in your recap and summary you write you were 0-1, -1.05 units for the day. Just another lying cheating fraud exposing himself. Funny how you never make a calculation mistake that hurts your record. Nice try, loser.

hotcross · 11-24-17, 10:47 AM

well it is those rare 9-0, 5-0, any sweep days that will make me dream about What-if Parlay ticket

I actually seem to focus in more carefully filling out a parlay, although I haven't fired at anything bigger than a 2-teams parlay in a long while because I know it's a sucker bet.

Might try some anyways here soon.

hotcross · 11-24-17, 10:53 AM

Originally posted by maggiethebestdog

I love it. You bet 2 units on under at -105 on vikes/lions and lose. So in your recap and summary you write you were 0-1, -1.05 units for the day.

it was probably a simple mistake. You could show a little class correcting Mr. Row

was that the only numeric mistake in the thread so far?