Prediction Machine NFL Half Time Picks 2015

[dejong77]

CFB Thread

out of interest i started to track the half time plays in CFB. I will do the same for NFL games.

PM writes on there website that Half time picks can give more expected value then full game sides and totals because the bookies may have to close gaps.

So this season i will track the Half Time picks for NFL. The CFB half time picks are in a different thread.

I will use the same rules like i do for CFB:
I will set aside $1.600 for this project.
For the lines i will always use the available line at 5D but that are not always the lines i bet on.
a soon as i bet, i will post here.
I will only post games where the sim % is 5% higher then the odds. at -110/1,91. That is about 52,5% + 5% =57,5%.
If the line is on a key number then i will check other bookies to see if i can moved up or down a half point with my bet to avoid canceled bets.

Everybody best of luck if you are following or just want a second opinion.

[Dakota]

Thank u very much!!Look forward to all of your posts

[dejong77]

Steelers-Patriots
Patriots -3 no play
over 27 no play

[dejong77]

Steelers-Patriots
Patriots -3 no play
over 27 no play

Just for the record picks went 1-1. spread lost, over won but both where no plays. So you all sunday.

[dejong77]

Schedule for week 1
13-09-2015 1:00 PM Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
13-09-2015 1:00 PM Kansas City Chief at Houston Texans
13-09-2015 1:00 PM Cleveland Browns at New York Jets
13-09-2015 1:00 PM Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills
13-09-2015 1:00 PM Miami Dolphins at Washington Redskins
13-09-2015 1:00 PM Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars
13-09-2015 1:00 PM Seattle Seahwaks at St. Louis Rams
13-09-2015 4:05 PM New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals
13-09-2015 4:05 PM Detroit Lions at San Diego Chargers
13-09-2015 4:25 PM Tennessee Titans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13-09-2015 4:25 PM Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders
13-09-2015 4:25 PM Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos
13-09-2015 8:30 PM New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
14-09-2015 6:55 PM Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons
14-09-2015 10:15 PM Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers

[dejong77]

13-09-2015 1:00 PM Seattle Seahwaks at St. Louis Rams
Spread: no play
O/U: over 20,5 - 61,5% - normal play

[BIG Bets]

which is it?

[dejong77]

13-09-2015 1:00 PM Miami Dolphins at Washington Redskins
Spread: Washington + 5 - 62,4 % - 2x normal play (updated - line moved to 5)
O/U: over 22,5 - 56,8% - half play

[BIG Bets]

your saying o/u, which one?

[asiantiger]

your saying o/u, which one?

The game is listed. What don't you underatand?

[BIG Bets]

The game is listed. What don't you underatand?

you know what this means?
"O/U: 20,5 - 61,5% - normal play"

[dejong77]

13-09-2015 1:00 PM Kansas City Chief at Houston Texans
Spread: No play
O/U: no play

[Slipknot26]

13-09-2015 1:00 PM Seattle Seahwaks at St. Louis Rams
Spread: no play
O/U: 20,5 - 61,5% - normal play

O/U 20.5 Normal which O ir U ???
Thank you very much

[dejong77]

the play on seattle is over

[BIG Bets]

O/U 20.5 Normal which O ir U ???
Thank you very much

its code that apparently asiantiger knows what it means

[Slipknot26]

Thank you for posting them dejong
Just making sure which side to bet
Much appreciated with all this

[dejong77]

13-09-2015 1:00 PM Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills
Spread: Bills +3 - 58,2% - normal play
O/U: no play

[dejong77]

13-09-2015 1:00 PM Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
Spread: bears +6 - 55,9% - light play
O/U: Over 24 - 62,4% - 2x normal play

[dejong77]

13-09-2015 1:00 PM Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars
no plays

[dejong77]

that are all the picks for the 1pm games.
good luck is you follow.

[BIG Bets]

thanks bud!

[dejong77]

mhh apprently i missed the browns-Jets game. Sorry about that.

[dejong77]

Seattle-St louis covered the over allready.
Chicago-GB we still need at touchdown + 1 point. But catched O 23,5 at the greek.

[Slipknot26]

Love those prevent defenses
Thanks Packers

[playr101]

good stuff bro

[dejong77]

13-09-2015 4:05 PM Detroit Lions at San Diego Chargers
Spread: Detroit +6 - 67,4% - 3x normal play
O/U: no play

[dejong77]

13-09-2015 4:05 PM New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals
Spread: Cardinals 1 - 55,6% - half play
O/U: Over 24 - 63,6% - normal play

[dejong77]

13-09-2015 4:25 PM Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos
Spread: Denver -0,5 - 61,2% - normal play
O/U: Over 23 - 53,5% - light

[toughone]

Thanks for the effort... a little confusing.

[dejong77]

13-09-2015 4:25 PM Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders
Spread: no play
O/U: Over 19 - 67,9% - 3x normal play

[dejong77]

13-09-2015 4:25 PM Tennessee Titans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Spread: tennessee +4 - 65% - 2x normal play
O/U: Over 20 - 64,3% - 2x normal play

[dejong77]

That are all the plays for the 4pm starts.

@toughone: what is confussing you?

[playr101]

dont worry dejont77... he must be a tard...

[Dakota]

as u probably noticed the 60% + overs went 4-1 !!! Nice job>>>ty!!

[asiantiger]

DJ, did they have a play on the late Cowboys/Giants game? Thanks man!!