A question for experienced RAS followers.As we get deeper into the CBB season do you expect RAS to lose some advantage?It would seem that as books get a bigger sample size and lines get sharper, RAS edge gets smaller. Do you adjust bet size later in season? Thanks!
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You drop RAS January 1!!!!!! He is on an incredible run so far with his sides. Totals used to be his specailty. Anyone playing RAS's sides now is in uncharted waters so to speak.
You will notice that RAS's package only lasts until January 17. There is a reason for that!!!Comment -
I'm an avid follower and have been for years (since I was posting at his forum). I don't adjust anything. I follow his plays always and keep my unit size the same (unless he releases a 1.5 or 2 unit play).
Starting out 22-5 is incredible and one would think that RAS will revert back to the mean of 57-58%....I just don't wanna be the one leaving $$$ on the table if he doesn't regress.Comment -
Same here bro...I bet a nickel on every play and that's it!Comment -
In past years his higher rated plays don't do any better than his reg plays.Comment -
Thank you! I'm with you Vegas, waiting for the regression but will roll with it as long as possible...
Any ideas on why he doesn't do totals anymore?Comment -
What he has done this past week plus has no indication of what he will do going forward. If you want an expectation going forward then you need to look at the bigger picture.
Using his last three years of side you have a record of 338-274, roughly 55%, while this in itself is not a large enough sample size(numbers are around these percentages on a 1000 sample play size as well. So going forward, getting his release lines you would expect to continue to win around 55%. Hot start on 27 plays does not neccesarily mean that a correction is in order. Now of course he could lose his next 10 straight
And to whoever said his 1.5 and 2 unit releases perform the same is not really correct. Again just using last three years they are at 62% on those releases. Very small sample size but those are the numbers.Comment -
I'd need to really analyze their trends but perhaps some kind of regressive betting would work best. Start the season off with big bets and gradually get smaller as the season goes on (and their egde).Comment
