SB Professor Soccer Picks 9/14 and 9/15

doublej95 · 09-13-12, 06:36 PM

Thanks for posting chili

SirHelpsAlot · 09-13-12, 09:43 PM

Didn't c this already posted, now are you suppose to take all these teams to win at the same unit or is this a chase? I'm sure this has been asked a million times.

hoescj01 · 09-13-12, 09:55 PM

Yeah, thanks chili. It looks like this system has a pretty good record for plus odds.

RiverRat12 · 09-13-12, 11:00 PM

Thanks for posting chili.

chilidog · 09-14-12, 02:59 AM

Originally posted by SirHelpsAlot

Didn't c this already posted, now are you suppose to take all these teams to win at the same unit or is this a chase? I'm sure this has been asked a million times.

Just bet them to win, same unit amount.

mantorras77 · 09-14-12, 08:20 AM

Chili, correct me if i'm wrong...season to date

England Premier League (as of 9/11)
Units: +3.78

France Ligue 1 (as of 9/11)
Units: -7.80

Italy Serie A (as of 9/11)
Units: -3.48

Spain La Liga (as of 9/11)
Units: +7.67

chilidog · 09-14-12, 08:34 AM

I don't have them broken down by league, but your stats are wrong. The record is currently 29-30 and +16.61 units.

SirHelpsAlot · 09-14-12, 09:11 AM

Originally posted by chilidog

Just bet them to win, same unit amount.

Easy enough, thank you

analyzer · 09-14-12, 09:57 AM

Thanks Chili!

mantorras77 · 09-14-12, 11:52 AM

Originally posted by chilidog

I don't have them broken down by league, but your stats are wrong. The record is currently 29-30 and +16.61 units.

I think I know what I did....you started this system on 8/18...the French league started on 8/10 and it began 0-8.....if he's doing the French league i'm not sure why he wouldn't start counting it as of when the French league starts.

lawalahmed · 09-14-12, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by chilidog

After taking lat weekend off we are back in action. Let's keep the winning streak going!

Below are your plays for Friday (1 game) and Saturday.

Tomorrow I'll have more action for Sunday and Monday.

Friday 14th September

League: French Ligue Un
Match: Reims v Montpellier
Kick Off: 14:45 EST – 19:45 UK TIME
Bet: Back Reims
Current Best Odds: 3.36

Saturday 15th September

League: English Premier League
Match: Norwich v West Ham
Kick Off: 07:45 EST – 12:45 UK TIME
Bet: Back Norwich
Current Best Odds: 2.40

League: English Premier League
Match: Aston Villa v Swansea
Kick Off: 10:00 EST – 15:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Aston Villa
Current Best Odds: 2.40

League: English Premier League
Match: Fulham v West Brom
Kick Off: 10:00 EST – 15:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Fulham
Current Best Odds: 2.08

League: English Premier League
Match: QPR v Chelsea
Kick Off: 10:00 EST – 15:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back QPR
Current Best Odds: 4.80

League: English Premier League
Match: Stoke v Man City
Kick Off: 10:00 EST – 15:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Stoke
Current Best Odds: 5.50

League: French Ligue Un
Match: Troyes v Lille
Kick Off: 11:00 EST – 16:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Troyes
Current Best Odds: 4.15

League: Italian Serie A
Match: Palermo v Cagliairi
Kick Off: 12:00 EST – 17:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Palermo
Current Best Odds: 2.27

League: English Premier League
Match: Sunderland v Liverpool
Kick Off: 12:30 EST – 17:30 UK TIME
Bet: Back Sunderland
Current Best Odds: 3.47

League: French Ligue Un
Match: Evian TG v Bastia
Kick Off: 14:00 EST – 19:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Evian TG
Current Best Odds: 2.39

League: French Ligue Un
Match: Nice v Stade Brest
Kick Off: 14:00 EST – 19:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Nice
Current Best Odds: 2.10

League: French Ligue Un
Match: Valenciennes v Bordeaux
Kick Off: 14:00 EST – 19:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Valenciennes
Current Best Odds: 2.70

League: Spanish La Liga
Match: Getafe v Barcelona
Kick Off: 14:00 EST – 19:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Getafe
Current Best Odds: 12.00

League: Spanish La Liga
Match: Sevilla v Real Madrid
Kick Off: 16:00 EST – 21:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Sevilla
Current Best Odds: 6.00

Reading vs Tottenham ?

lawalahmed · 09-14-12, 11:55 AM

Espanyol vs Bilbao ?

lawalahmed · 09-14-12, 12:00 PM

Granada vs Deportivo
Osasuna vs Mallorca
Valladolid vs Real Betis
????????

mantorras77 · 09-14-12, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by lawalahmed

Reading vs Tottenham ?

That's for Sunday...he doesn't have Sunday on this post yet

mantorras77 · 09-14-12, 12:09 PM

Originally posted by lawalahmed

Espanyol vs Bilbao ?

Originally posted by lawalahmed

Granada vs Deportivo
Osasuna vs Mallorca
????????

I agree...Espanyol, Granada and Osasuna should all count as well.

chilidog · 09-14-12, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by mantorras77

I think I know what I did....you started this system on 8/18...the French league started on 8/10 and it began 0-8.....if he's doing the French league i'm not sure why he wouldn't start counting it as of when the French league starts.

I don't know why he didn't do the first weekend of the French league. The system wasn't even out at that point. The first weekend of the plays was the 18th.

Originally posted by mantorras77

I agree...Espanyol, Granada and Osasuna should all count as well.

*shrug*

If they are, then bet them. Rich never specifies what book's odds he uses to determine if a bet is a bet, so I don't know

mantorras77 · 09-14-12, 03:41 PM

Originally posted by chilidog

I don't know why he didn't do the first weekend of the French league. The system wasn't even out at that point. The first weekend of the plays was the 18th.

*shrug*

If they are, then bet them. Rich never specifies what book's odds he uses to determine if a bet is a bet, so I don't know

checking oddsportal.com the lines on Espanyol, Granada and Osasuna aren't even in question so basically throw the system details out the window because Rich is missing games for a reason that we don't know.

I guess i'll have to start watching out for your posts then Chili.

Thank you for sharing the picks though.

mantorras77 · 09-14-12, 03:50 PM

Really nice hit on REIMS today!!!

and any one following the English Championship which has had a SMOKIN start to the season a nice hit on BRIGHTON today as well.

I know its early but home teams in the English Championship are winning at an astronomical rate of almost 70% hence why this system is killing it. Yearly average is around 44% so definitely expect a regression coming but fun to ride while she's hot!

chilidog · 09-14-12, 03:59 PM

Espanyol, Granada and Osasuna were listed as picks for Sunday.

mantorras77 · 09-14-12, 04:21 PM

SirHelpsAlot · 09-14-12, 06:13 PM

Would you say it would still be profitable if you can't get anywhere near the these odds? I have some at +110 he has at 240

mantorras77 · 09-14-12, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by SirHelpsAlot

Would you say it would still be profitable if you can't get anywhere near the these odds? I have some at +110 he has at 240

you would have to back-test it yourself to determine that

SirHelpsAlot · 09-15-12, 08:51 AM

Originally posted by mantorras77

you would have to back-test it yourself to determine that

Also after this Norwich game, I'm assuming a draw is considered a loss in soccer?

doublej95 · 09-15-12, 09:01 AM

Originally posted by SirHelpsAlot

Would you say it would still be profitable if you can't get anywhere near the these odds? I have some at +110 he has at 240

240 is +140 in American odds.

Originally posted by SirHelpsAlot

Also after this Norwich game, I'm assuming a draw is considered a loss in soccer?

a draw is a loss in soccer because you are given the choice of betting a draw.

SirHelpsAlot · 09-15-12, 09:02 AM

I C, ok much appreciated, i guess my odds aren't that far off then although had norwich at plus 110

doublej95 · 09-15-12, 09:04 AM

Originally posted by SirHelpsAlot

I C, ok much appreciated, i guess my odds aren't that far off then although had norwich at plus 110

I got Norwich at +130, it is probably best to bet on these games early when the lines first come out. the system is simple and you can do it yourself. no need to wait till they are posted.

chilidog · 09-15-12, 09:05 AM

Yah, he lists odds in Decimal format, and I'm guessing your sportsbook is in American odds. Pretty simple to do the conversion.

chilidog · 09-15-12, 09:06 AM

Originally posted by doublej95

I got Norwich at +130, it is probably best to bet on these games early when the lines first come out. the system is simple and you can do it yourself. no need to wait till they are posted.

Yeah, definitely. I got Norwich at +140 personally, but I place my bets as soon as I get the email.

SirHelpsAlot · 09-15-12, 09:26 AM

So do you think lines are adjusting to his plays or is this just a natural line movement?

doublej95 · 09-15-12, 09:33 AM

Originally posted by SirHelpsAlot

So do you think lines are adjusting to his plays or is this just a natural line movement?

a lot of it depends on where you play at.

csavoia · 09-15-12, 11:48 AM

Hey CHili i went ahead and made my own bets according to how you said the system worked.. i sent you a private message with my bets. disregard the amount as this is my first run so i am testing it to see the profit or loss but to keep it at a minimum.. i still think i am making errors so perhaps i should just wait for you to post the bets and make them but i would rather do them early so i get the best odds...Let me know what you think.. Thank you

csavoia · 09-15-12, 11:52 AM

and a big thank you for posting the plays...

doublej95 · 09-15-12, 04:01 PM

I tried out the system in the Champions league this weekend, I picked up 2 units with one game left tomorrow.

SirHelpsAlot · 09-15-12, 05:01 PM

N sevilla puts me up to 3 units on the weekend thus far, i'll take it