*OFFICIAL* Fade Joe Wiz, Wed 8-27-12

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  • 99Boxster
    SBR MVP
    • 11-22-10
    • 2461

    #1
    *OFFICIAL* Fade Joe Wiz, Wed 8-27-12
    Fade Joe Wiz System

    System Rules
    1. Fade all Joe Wiz comps.
    2. Bet a seperate Labby line for each comp.
    3. If 2 comps are the same, play them for double.
    4. Raise your bet after each cleared line based on bankroll management.

    Comps
    1. Website comp
    2. 800 number comp
    3. Email comp
    4. Valley Sports comp
    5. Capping Contests comp
    6. Cappers Info comp
    7. Best Free Picks comp
    Note: 6 and 7 aren't posted until later in the day

    System Example
    $7,000 bankroll start on 8-21-12
    Note: These are the fades. We are betting these plays.

    1. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
    Twins/Mariners OVER 7.5 -120 $24 to win $20

    2. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
    Twins/Mariners OVER 7.5 -120 $24 to win $20

    3. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
    (pass)

    4. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
    Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 9.5 +100 $20 to win $20

    5. 10 - 10
    Rockies +140 $14.30 to win $20

    6. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
    (not posted yet)

    7. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
    (not posted yet)

    Record
    Total Record Since 8-21-12: 24-6 (80%)
    Total Lines Cleared: 10
    Total Profit: +$400
    Total Bankroll: $7,400
    Guess who's stackin' gold and silver? THIS GUY
  • tigermaster
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-14-12
    • 512

    #2
    Awesome, so happy you are doing this. Hope you can post his picks regularly. Joe Wiz is a great fade.
    Comment
    • LarryLeGrand
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-16-12
      • 280

      #3
      Great effort Boxster, thanks a lot!!
      Comment
      • DHB
        SBR MVP
        • 04-14-11
        • 1538

        #4
        nice work Boxster and chillidog!
        Comment
        • LizReed44
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-16-11
          • 831

          #5
          Nice of you boys to do this - thanx
          Comment
          • 99Boxster
            SBR MVP
            • 11-22-10
            • 2461

            #6
            I can't edit my posts. Joe Wiz just put out the rest of his comps.

            6. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
            Diamondbacks -110 $22 to win $20

            7. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
            Indians +125 $16 to win $20


            (The email comp is a pass)
            Guess who's stackin' gold and silver? THIS GUY
            Comment
            • metsin7
              SBR Sharp
              • 03-11-11
              • 345

              #7
              Well done boxter I commend your efforts
              Comment
              • eroger92
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-19-11
                • 109

                #8
                Joe Wiz posts his plays, sometimes 10 minutes before gametime. It will be difficult to stay on top of every pick.
                Comment
                • metsin7
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 03-11-11
                  • 345

                  #9
                  Where there is a will, there is a way
                  Comment
                  • jimmcc01
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-02-10
                    • 541

                    #10
                    wow, great work. thanks for posting!
                    Comment
                    • rurku
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 07-02-12
                      • 275

                      #11
                      thank you sir!
                      Comment
                      • chilidog
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-05-09
                        • 10305

                        #12
                        Thanks for doing this, boxster. With me living in Costa Rica, especially during rainy season, power goes out all the time (like it did all day long - also blowing up my wireless router).

                        Except for the 2 plays posted at cappersinfo and bestfreepicks, the rest of the plays are generally posted by 1-2pm EST. The plays at cappersinfo and bestfreepicks typically come out anytime between 3pm and 5pm, and sometimes literally are 5-10 minutes before gametime. You don't have to play these picks, but if you're around your computer and can reliably make the bets, they are a goldmine.

                        I know that since March of this year, ya'll have been loving tailing Wiz's mlb unders, but just wait and see what's in store. If you search back to early last year for some threads by 'asian executive' (i think the thread titles were something like labby fade), you'll see how much success was had fading wiz.

                        Stick to his free picks, there's no need to pay this guy for anything. Enjoy, and thanks again to boxter for getting this thread going. I just simply do not have the time do do it.
                        Comment
                        • Smashmouth71
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-15-10
                          • 674

                          #13
                          Chili,

                          How did you end up in CR?

                          Escape from our anti-gambling govt?
                          Comment
                          • chilidog
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-05-09
                            • 10305

                            #14
                            After a divorce, I came down here to vacation with some friends, kind of to get mind off of things. Fell in love with the country, and made the move.

                            Originally posted by Smashmouth71
                            Chili,

                            How did you end up in CR?

                            Escape from our anti-gambling govt?
                            Comment
                            • metsin7
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 03-11-11
                              • 345

                              #15
                              Wow; I remember those posts, with Asian executive, which were like the birth of the labby fade (for me at least)..BOL


                              Originally posted by chilidog
                              Thanks for doing this, boxster. With me living in Costa Rica, especially during rainy season, power goes out all the time (like it did all day long - also blowing up my wireless router).

                              Except for the 2 plays posted at cappersinfo and bestfreepicks, the rest of the plays are generally posted by 1-2pm EST. The plays at cappersinfo and bestfreepicks typically come out anytime between 3pm and 5pm, and sometimes literally are 5-10 minutes before gametime. You don't have to play these picks, but if you're around your computer and can reliably make the bets, they are a goldmine.

                              I know that since March of this year, ya'll have been loving tailing Wiz's mlb unders, but just wait and see what's in store. If you search back to early last year for some threads by 'asian executive' (i think the thread titles were something like labby fade), you'll see how much success was had fading wiz.

                              Stick to his free picks, there's no need to pay this guy for anything. Enjoy, and thanks again to boxter for getting this thread going. I just simply do not have the time do do it.
                              Comment
                              • metsin7
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 03-11-11
                                • 345

                                #16
                                Thx again boxster...just wondering; how are you calculating your bet size? I thought with a 7K bankroll your labby line might be bigger...thx n BOL

                                Originally posted by 99Boxster
                                Fade Joe Wiz System

                                System Rules
                                1. Fade all Joe Wiz comps.
                                2. Bet a seperate Labby line for each comp.
                                3. If 2 comps are the same, play them for double.
                                4. Raise your bet after each cleared line based on bankroll management.

                                Comps
                                1. Website comp
                                2. 800 number comp
                                3. Email comp
                                4. Valley Sports comp
                                5. Capping Contests comp
                                6. Cappers Info comp
                                7. Best Free Picks comp
                                Note: 6 and 7 aren't posted until later in the day

                                System Example
                                $7,000 bankroll start on 8-21-12
                                Note: These are the fades. We are betting these plays.

                                1. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
                                Twins/Mariners OVER 7.5 -120 $24 to win $20

                                2. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
                                Twins/Mariners OVER 7.5 -120 $24 to win $20

                                3. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
                                (pass)

                                4. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
                                Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 9.5 +100 $20 to win $20

                                5. 10 - 10
                                Rockies +140 $14.30 to win $20

                                6. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
                                (not posted yet)

                                7. 10 - 10 - 10 - 10
                                (not posted yet)

                                Record
                                Total Record Since 8-21-12: 24-6 (80%)
                                Total Lines Cleared: 10
                                Total Profit: +$400
                                Total Bankroll: $7,400
                                Comment
                                • chilidog
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-05-09
                                  • 10305

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by metsin7
                                  Wow; I remember those posts, with Asian executive, which were like the birth of the labby fade (for me at least)..BOL
                                  I wonder what happened to asian executive anyway. I think it was him that had a little coke problem (if it wasn't him, then sorry AE!). He started the whole labby fade revolution, and is primarily why I had such a good past 2 years. I think this coming football season will be my best season to date.
                                  Comment
                                  • metsin7
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 03-11-11
                                    • 345

                                    #18
                                    Discovering the labby fade at that time was discovering a treasure chest....everday...I hope to be collect the mans $$ with ya chili!! BOL .......and pretty sure AE def had a coke problem lol

                                    Originally posted by chilidog
                                    I wonder what happened to asian executive anyway. I think it was him that had a little coke problem (if it wasn't him, then sorry AE!). He started the whole labby fade revolution, and is primarily why I had such a good past 2 years. I think this coming football season will be my best season to date.
                                    Comment
                                    • tigermaster
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-14-12
                                      • 512

                                      #19
                                      Bad Day. 2-4 results
                                      Comment
                                      • DHB
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-14-11
                                        • 1538

                                        #20
                                        hey chillidog, couple of questions for ya.

                                        i saw somewhere that you said labbys dont work in the long run.
                                        so are you just flat betting these fades?

                                        also if you could only fade one of wiz's comps which one would it be?
                                        Comment
                                        • sergiudec
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 06-03-12
                                          • 959

                                          #21
                                          Love the fade! Keep an eye though for the website plays, he's been killing it during the summer, and turned cold recently (last 3 weeks). That might strike back but, all in all he's a great fade! BOL
                                          Comment
                                          • chilidog
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 04-05-09
                                            • 10305

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by DHB
                                            hey chillidog, couple of questions for ya.

                                            i saw somewhere that you said labbys dont work in the long run.
                                            so are you just flat betting these fades?

                                            also if you could only fade one of wiz's comps which one would it be?
                                            Labbys by themselves traditionally don't work very well. You need a good betting system to make them work. You couldn't run a labby with cappers that release more than 1 play per day. I definitely advise to use a lower than normal unit size with your labbys for the wiz fade, because he'll put out up to 7 picks per day.

                                            If you can find a capper who puts out one bet per day, and either consistently wins more than 52.4% of his bets, or loses more than 47.6% of his bets, then a labby is perfect for you. The reason why I run a labby on the wiz fades, even though he puts out multiple per day, is because he releases one pick per site, so I treat them as different labby lines.

                                            I won't deny it at all, Wiz is an excellent mlb totals capper from about March til end of July. I would definitely tail his mlb totals during those months. But with football and basketball, and bases in august/september, it's fade, fade, fade.

                                            I can't rate any of wiz's comps; they're all bad.
                                            Comment
                                            • 99Boxster
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-22-10
                                              • 2461

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by sergiudec
                                              Love the fade! Keep an eye though for the website plays, he's been killing it during the summer, and turned cold recently (last 3 weeks). That might strike back but, all in all he's a great fade! BOL

                                              Originally posted by chilidog
                                              I won't deny it at all, Wiz is an excellent mlb totals capper from about March til end of July. I would definitely tail his mlb totals during those months. But with football and basketball, and bases in august/september, it's fade, fade, fade.

                                              I can't rate any of wiz's comps; they're all bad.
                                              We know that the Wiz has been a winner on MLB UNDERS. To be exact he is 89-55 (62%) since March 15, 2012. Over 5 months 62% is doable. We are willing to bet that during the final stretch of the MLB season the Wiz will revert back closer to 50%. He will be working on all sports and not committing as much time to the MLB totals. Losing from here on out should make all 7 labby fade profitable.
                                              Guess who's stackin' gold and silver? THIS GUY
                                              Comment
                                              • 99Boxster
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-22-10
                                                • 2461

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by metsin7
                                                Thx again boxster...just wondering; how are you calculating your bet size? I thought with a 7K bankroll your labby line might be bigger...thx n BOL
                                                Using a labby line you should take 1% of your starting bankroll and use that as the 4 numbers on your labby line. There are 7 comp sources. A starting bankroll of 7k is what I came up with.

                                                Actually, with a labby line on each 7 comps you could do half of what this example is to be really safe ($5 - $5 - $5 - $5 starting out). You could also be betting $10.40 - $10.40 - $10.40 - $10.40 after each cleared line. I am going to show in the example $11 - $11 - $11 - $11 after the 3rd line is cleared ($120 profit). Then move on to $12 - $12 - $12 - $12 after the 5th line is cleared ($216 profit). etc. etc.

                                                This is just the system I suggest. You can edit it to your liking. If this is too much for you, I'd suggest only using the Dom fade. He will normally have one play per day.
                                                Guess who's stackin' gold and silver? THIS GUY
                                                Comment
                                                • metsin7
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 03-11-11
                                                  • 345

                                                  #25
                                                  Thx for the feedback boxster, and the fantastic new thread of which I'm eager to see slaughter the bookmaker... The irony of the situation for me is that the lines are actually too small, since my book has a minimum wager of $25...so I had to start my labby at 18 18 18 18 for all 7 lines, which is pretty aggressive with a 3k bankroll I suppose...

                                                  Originally posted by 99Boxster
                                                  Using a labby line you should take 1% of your starting bankroll and use that as the 4 numbers on your labby line. There are 7 comp sources. A starting bankroll of 7k is what I came up with.

                                                  Actually, with a labby line on each 7 comps you could do half of what this example is to be really safe ($5 - $5 - $5 - $5 starting out). You could also be betting $10.40 - $10.40 - $10.40 - $10.40 after each cleared line. I am going to show in the example $11 - $11 - $11 - $11 after the 3rd line is cleared ($120 profit). Then move on to $12 - $12 - $12 - $12 after the 5th line is cleared ($216 profit). etc. etc.

                                                  This is just the system I suggest. You can edit it to your liking. If this is too much for you, I'd suggest only using the Dom fade. He will normally have one play per day.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • chilidog
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 04-05-09
                                                    • 10305

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by metsin7
                                                    Thx for the feedback boxster, and the fantastic new thread of which I'm eager to see slaughter the bookmaker... The irony of the situation for me is that the lines are actually too small, since my book has a minimum wager of $25...so I had to start my labby at 18 18 18 18 for all 7 lines, which is pretty aggressive with a 3k bankroll I suppose...
                                                    Who are you betting with? 5dimes has a $5 minimum. I've heard really good things about BetIslands as well. Bookmaker is another good book, and they have low minimums as well.

                                                    With a $3k bankroll, I would be setting just 1 labby line at 30-30-30-30. Since you have a $25 minimum wager, then your minimum labby line would be 12.50-12.50-12.50-12.50. So with that, your recommended bankroll should be $8,750. You're definitely taking a risk by being underfunded, but what the hell, that's part of the rush of gambling.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • metsin7
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 03-11-11
                                                      • 345

                                                      #27
                                                      So far two unders from wizard (his original plays...fade is the OVER)

                                                      #1 Det/KC under 8
                                                      #2 Dodgers under 11
                                                      Comment
                                                      • metsin7
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 03-11-11
                                                        • 345

                                                        #28
                                                        Local onshore...Let's get it!!

                                                        Originally posted by chilidog
                                                        Who are you betting with? 5dimes has a $5 minimum. I've heard really good things about BetIslands as well. Bookmaker is another good book, and they have low minimums as well.

                                                        With a $3k bankroll, I would be setting just 1 labby line at 30-30-30-30. Since you have a $25 minimum wager, then your minimum labby line would be 12.50-12.50-12.50-12.50. So with that, your recommended bankroll should be $8,750. You're definitely taking a risk by being underfunded, but what the hell, that's part of the rush of gambling.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • chilidog
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 04-05-09
                                                          • 10305

                                                          #29
                                                          Wow, Mr. 80% Winners releases a different pick on his comp line than his site. His 800# comp line is truly entertaining to me; I wish he made daily videos like the other shucksters in his industry.

                                                          Don't forget that he released Rice +15 in college football on his 800# comp line a few days ago. I don't know if it'll re-appear, but I have it recorded on my spreadsheet. I'll make another post about it on Thursday.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • metsin7
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 03-11-11
                                                            • 345

                                                            #30
                                                            Mr 80% is doubling down with the dodger under, for pick #4 (valleysports)..

                                                            That 800 number really is priceless; I'm still in shock that it's genuine n not a gag

                                                            Originally posted by chilidog
                                                            Wow, Mr. 80% Winners releases a different pick on his comp line than his site. His 800# comp line is truly entertaining to me; I wish he made daily videos like the other shucksters in his industry.

                                                            Don't forget that he released Rice +15 in college football on his 800# comp line a few days ago. I don't know if it'll re-appear, but I have it recorded on my spreadsheet. I'll make another post about it on Thursday.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • metsin7
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 03-11-11
                                                              • 345

                                                              #31
                                                              Hes 0-2 with accurate lines so far today; I'm seeing Det/KC @ 7.5 (wiz has 8), and LAD/COL @10.5 (wiz has 11)...juice is -120 so it could be on the way up..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • chilidog
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-05-09
                                                                • 10305

                                                                #32
                                                                And he released the dodgers as his pick for cappingcontests. Now we're just waiting on cappersinfo and bestfreepicks. I doubt that he'll release an email comp today; if it hasn't been sent by now, I can't remember a time that he's sent one in the afternoon.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Meega
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 03-13-12
                                                                  • 467

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I haven't seen wiz release an accurate line for a baseball total this entire season, lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • metsin7
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 03-11-11
                                                                    • 345

                                                                    #34
                                                                    #7 Atlanta -145 (Best free picks)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • chilidog
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-05-09
                                                                      • 10305

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Anybody ever talk to the Wiz on the phone? I think Asian Executive was teh only one that actually posted about it. I've talked to the Wiz plenty of times, he's a funny guy that loves to party all night. If he'd only rate his plays, I'd most definitely subscribe again. But when he just gives a list of plays for the night, with no units or ratings on them, it's impossible to group those into a profitable fade. Damn Joe, get it together!
                                                                      Comment
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