Obama’s odds of winning re-election have climbed back to 65%-70% since the crushing victory in the second debate, according to three sources we’re tracking:
First, Nate Silver of the New York Times now gives Obama 66% chance of reelection. That’s up from a post-first-debate low of ~60% a few days ago. And Silver says the impact of Obama’s strong performance in the second debate hasn’t yet factored into the polls he looks at.
- Nate Silver’s aggregate poll forecast
- Intrade’s prediction market
- Betfair’s prediction market
First, Nate Silver of the New York Times now gives Obama 66% chance of reelection. That’s up from a post-first-debate low of ~60% a few days ago. And Silver says the impact of Obama’s strong performance in the second debate hasn’t yet factored into the polls he looks at.
