1. #1
    bigboydan
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    2006 WSOP Odds to Finish in top 10

    ok guys wheres who do you think has the best value with these odds pinny has posted.

    theres lots of nice value here IMO

    Baldwin +16800 and Hung Nguyen +20000 are a couple i'm thnking might be worth.



    World Series Of Poker: 2006 WSOP Odds to Finish in top 10 (07/28 - 08/10)


    2001 Ben Affleck +20000
    2002 Dan Alspach +18000
    2003 Ashley Alterman +20000
    2004 Steve Paul Ambrose +20000
    2005 Howard Andrew +20000
    2006 Rene Angelil +30000
    2007 Patrik Antonius +5500
    2008 Mickey Appleman +19000
    2009 Josh Arieh +12000
    2010 Sammy Arzoin +20000
    2011 Joe Awada +15000
    2012 Sirous Baghchehsaraie +20000
    2013 David Baker +20000
    2014 Alex Balandin +20000
    2015 Bobby Baldwin +16800
    2016 Jean-Robert Ballande +20000
    2017 Joe Bartholdi +13000
    2018 Billy Baxter +16000
    2019 James Bechtel II +16000
    2020 Joe Beevers +15500
    2021 David Benymine +14000
    2022 Lyle Berman +18000
    2023 Chris Bigler +16000
    2024 Robert Binelli +20000
    2025 Chris Bjorin +16100
    2026 Andrew Bloch +15000
    2027 Tony Bloom +13000
    2028 Ross Boatman +15000
    2029 Barny Boatman +18000
    2030 Noah Boeken +20000
    2031 John Bonetti +17000
    2032 Farzad Bonyadi +13000
    2033 Dutch Boyd +16700
    2035 Alex Brenes +20000
    2036 Humberto Brenes +10000
    2037 Eric Brenes +20000
    2038 Richard Brodie +20000
    2039 Chad Brown +15000
    2040 Doyle Brunson +9000
    2041 Todd Brunson +10000
    2042 Vince Burgio +18000
    2043 Gary Bush +20000
    2044 Jerry Buss +20000
    2045 Mariaelena Calabrese +20000
    2046 Douglas Carli +20000
    2047 Mike Caro +20000
    2048 Brent Carter +20000
    2049 Joe Cassidy +15000
    2050 Miami John Cernuto +15000
    2051 Johnny Chan +7000
    2052 Corey Cheresnick +20000
    2053 David Chiu +11000
    2054 Paul Eskimo Clark +16000
    2055 T.J. Cloutier +10000
    2056 Dave Colclough +15000
    2057 Joseph Cordi +20000
    2058 Victoria Coren +20000
    2059 Hoyt Corkins +15000
    2060 Peter Costa +16000
    2061 Anthony Cousineau +20000
    2062 Allen Cunningham +11000
    2063 John Dagostino +11000
    2064 David Daneshgar +15000
    2065 David Rabbi Danheiser +20000
    2066 Paul Darden +14000
    2067 Paul Darpino +20000
    2068 Martin De Knipff +13000
    2069 Dennis De Ruiter +20000
    2070 Roland De Wolfe +12000
    2071 Freddy Deeb +12000
    2072 John Defrancis +20000
    2073 Harry Demetriou +14000
    2074 Asher Derei +20000
    2075 Leonardo Di Caprio +30000
    2076 Mark Dickstein +19200
    2077 Quinn Do +15000
    2078 Champie Douglas +20000
    2079 Billy Duarte Jr +18000
    2080 Annie Duke +15000
    2081 John Duthie +16000
    2082 William Edler +16000
    2083 Eli Elezra +15000
    2084 Barbara Enright +20000
    2085 Antonio Esfandiari +8000
    2086 Alex Esfandiari +20000
    2087 John Esposito +18000
    2088 Mario Esquerra +20000
    2089 Sammy Farha +13000
    2090 Valter Farina +20000
    2091 Maureen Feduniak +30000
    2092 Chris Ferguson +4000
    2093 Amnon Filippi +18000
    2094 Scott Fischman +13000
    2095 Bruno Fitoussi +16000
    2096 Layne Flack +11000
    2097 Terry Fleischer +20000
    2098 Eric Ford +20000
    2099 Ted Forrest +8000
    2100 Noli Francisco +16000
    2101 Nicholas Frangos +20000
    2102 Tom Franklin +16000
    2103 Prahlad Friedman +14000
    2104 John Gale +15000
    2105 Julian Gardner +15000
    2106 Billy Gazes +17000
    2107 Kirill Gerasimov +14000
    2108 Chau Giang +12000
    2109 Paramjit Gill +18000
    2110 Alan Goehring +10000
    2111 Andy Goetsch +20000
    2112 Nicholas Gonzalez +20000
    2113 Phil Gordon +15000
    2114 Clonie Gowen +20000
    2115 Maciek Gracz +14000
    2116 Joe Grech +20000
    2117 Barry Greenstein +8000
    2118 Chris Gregorian +20000
    2119 Mark Gregoritch +18000
    2120 David Grey +17900
    2121 Sam Grizzle +19100
    2122 Tony Guoga +11000
    2123 Hasan Habib +11000
    2124 Joseph Hachem +11000
    2125 Russ Hamilton +15000
    2126 Gus Hansen +4500
    2127 Jennifer Harman +10000
    2128 Dan Harrington +6000
    2129 Charles Hartman +20000
    2130 Melissa Hayden +17400
    2131 Dan Heimiller +20000
    2132 Phil Hellmuth +4000
    2133 Juha Helppi +11000
    2134 John Hennigan +12100
    2135 Chris Hinchcliffe +20000
    2136 James Hoeppner +15000
    2137 Randy Holland +19000
    2138 Rob Hollink +12500
    2139 Can Kim Hua +15000
    2140 Temperance Hutter +20000
    2141 Cuong Huynh +20000
    2142 Susie Isaacs +20000
    2143 Phil Ivey +2400
    2144 Alex Jacob +20000
    2145 Kenna James +14000
    2146 Randy Jensen +20000
    2147 Chip Jett +14000
    2148 Karina Jett +20000
    2149 Linda Johnson +19000
    2150 Berry Johnston +17000
    2151 John Juanda +6900
    2152 Mel Judah +14200
    2153 John Kabbaj +20000
    2154 Aaron Kanter +16000
    2155 Chris Karagulleyan +17000
    2156 Warren Karp +20000
    2157 Raja Kattamuri +18000
    2158 Aaron Katz +15000
    2159 Thomas Keller +14000
    2160 Allen Kessler +17200
    2161 Connie Kim +20000
    2162 David Kim +20000
    2163 Al Krux +17000
    2164 V.S. Senthil Kumar +20000
    2165 Phil Laak +10000
    2166 Daniel Larsson +17000
    2167 Buddy Lavassani +20000
    2168 Pete Lawson +17500
    2169 Chad Layne +16200
    2170 Nam Le +7400
    2171 Howard Lederer +6500
    2172 Tuan Le +12000
    2173 Matt Lefkowitz +18000
    2174 Ken Lennaard +16000
    2175 Toto Leonidas +14000
    2176 Jason Lester +16000
    2177 David Levi +16200
    2178 Kathy Liebert +16000
    2179 Liz Lieu +15000
    2180 Eric Lindgren +6700
    2181 Jeffrey Lisandro +11000
    2182 Hans Lund +18000
    2183 Gioi Luong +17000
    2184 Marcel Luske +10000
    2185 Minh Ly +10000
    2187 Jay Martens +19000
    2188 Matt Matros +20000
    2189 David Matthew +20000
    2190 Mike Matusow +8500
    2191 Paul Maxfield +20000
    2192 Sean Mccabe +20000
    2193 Tom Mcevoy +19000
    2194 Jim Mehan +20000
    2195 Isabelle Mercier +16000
    2196 Davood Mermand +20000
    2197 Andy Miller +17200
    2198 David Minto +20000
    2199 Kaelaine Minton +20000
    2200 Michael Mizrachi +5000
    2201 Robert Mizrachi +15000
    2202 Eric Mizrachi +17000
    2203 Chris Moneymaker +16000
    2204 Carlos Mortensen +10000
    2205 John Murphy +16000
    2206 Yohannes Muruz +20000
    2207 John Myung +20000
    2208 Yosh Nakano +20000
    2209 Daniel Negreanu +3000
    2210 Lee Nelson +20000
    2211 Paul Nepa +20000
    2212 Evelyn Ng +17000
    2213 Scotty Nguyen +6000
    2214 Men Nguyen +8000
    2215 Van Nguyen +20000
    2216 Hung Nguyen +20000
    2217 Cecilla Nordenstam +20000
    2218 Raul Paez +17000
    2219 Luca Pagano +20000
    2220 Padraig Parkinson +16000
    2221 Reza Payvar +17000
    2223 Pascal Perrault +16000
    2224 Ralph Perry +17000
    2225 Tobias Person +20000
    2226 Max Pescatori +15000
    2227 David Pham +12000
    2228 Xuyen Pham +20000
    2229 John Phan +20000
    2230 Young Phan +16000
    2231 Tracey Phan +20000
    2232 Paul Phillips +12000
    2233 Lou Diamond Phillips +20000
    2234 David Plastik +15200
    2235 Dante Pugliese +20000
    2236 Daniel Quach +20000
    2237 Greg Raymer +7000
    2238 Anthony Reategui +18000
    2239 Chip Reese +11000
    2240 Ben Roberts +17000
    2241 Blair Rodman +15000
    2242 Mimi Rogers +20000
    2243 Lucy Rokach +20000
    2244 Ron Rose +20000
    2245 Erik Sagstrom +12000
    2246 Lee Salem +15000
    2247 Alan Schein +20000
    2248 Jeff Schulman +16000
    2249 Joe Sebok +13500
    2250 Huck Seed +12000
    2251 Bo Sehlstedt +18000
    2252 Erik Seidel +8000
    2253 Mark Seif +12000
    2254 Mike Sexton +20000
    2255 Shahram Sheikhan +13000
    2256 John Shipley +20000
    2257 Millie Shiu +20000
    2258 Charlie Shoten +20000
    2260 Barry Shulman +18000
    2261 Allyn Shulman +20000
    2262 Mike Simon +20000
    2263 Jan Sjavik +15000
    2264 David Sklansky +17000
    2265 Amarillo Slim +20000
    2266 Rolf Slotboom +20000
    2267 Gavin Smith +11000
    2268 Alan Smurfit +20000
    2269 Kevin Song +17000
    2270 Bengt Sonnert +17000
    2272 John Spadavecchia +16000
    2273 Maria Stern +19000
    2274 Jason Stern +18000
    2275 Max Stern +20000
    2276 Alexander Stevic +20000
    2277 John Stolzman +17000
    2278 Johan Storakers +17000
    2279 Bob Stupak +20000
    2280 Surindar Sunar +13000
    2281 Joe Tehan +15000
    2282 Paul Testud +20000
    2283 William Thorson +20000
    2284 Jennifer Tilly +20000
    2285 Eugene Todd +20000
    2286 Dewey Tomko +12000
    2287 Theo Tran +20000
    2288 Mimi Tran +16200
    2289 Marco Traniello +20000
    2290 Simon Trumper +16000
    2291 Chris Tsiprailidis +17000
    2292 Dave Devilfish Ulliot +9000
    2293 Amir Vahedi +11000
    2294 James Van Alstyne +12000
    2295 Justin Cuong Van J.C. Tran +13000
    2296 Robert Varkonyi +20000
    2297 Ram Vaswani +14000
    2298 Vinny Vinh +13000
    2299 Cyndy Violette +16200
    2300 Marc Vos +14000
    2301 Haralabos Voulgaris +15000
    2302 Tommy Vu +20000
    2303 Lee Watkinson +13000
    2304 David Weisberger +20000
    2305 Stanley Weiss +20000
    2306 David Wells +20000
    2307 Mikael Westerlund +18000
    2308 David Williams +14000
    2309 Robert Williamson III +16000
    2310 Martin Wilson +20000
    2311 Eric Winstead +20000
    2312 Paul Wolfe +18500
    2313 Michael Woo +17000
    2314 James Woods +20000
    2315 Jerry Young +20000
    2316 Steve Zolotow +16000
    2317 Jonathan Zuchowski +20000
    2318 Cecilia Reyes Mortensen +20000
    2319 Dustin Woolf +18000
    2320 Greg Mueller +18000
    2321 Tony Ma +16000
    2322 David Singer +16000
    2323 Ajax Bjorn +20000
    2324 Brian Mozzoni +20000

  2. #2
    Razz
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    Is that the David Wells that plays baseball?

    Two I'm thinking of playing:
    Carlos Mortenson +10000
    Layne Flack +11000

  3. #3
    Ganchrow
    Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
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    I would assume a very outsize proportion of the vig is built-in to the "names" (including, of course, Hollywood), but no matter on whom you bet, I'd urge extra caution.

    Quite frankly, I have a hard time believing there's any value in these numbers.

  4. #4
    RickySteve
    SBR is a criminal organization
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    An average player in the field should be +80000. Not a single price on that list is even remotely a good bet.

    If you want a +EV WSOP wager, take The Field for -600 at WSEX or Male -1600 at Bodog.

  5. #5
    imgv94
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    Sammy Farha +13000

  6. #6
    Razz
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    Quote Originally Posted by RickySteve
    An average player in the field should be +80000. Not a single price on that list is even remotely a good bet.

    If you want a +EV WSOP wager, take The Field for -600 at WSEX or Male -1600 at Bodog.
    You're way off base here. Two-thirds of the field (or more) should be 5,000-1 to make the final table. Of the remaining 3,000 or so, the majority of the players who aren't on this list will be interested in making the money and surviving than making the final table - a guy like Flack or Mortensen, who possess all the talent of Ivey or Hellmuth, and isn't afraid to bust out early, makes the final 10 at least 1 out of 100 times.

  7. #7
    RickySteve
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    2/3 of the field has <1/6 the chance of an average player?

    hahahahahahaha

    You realize we're talking about poker right?

  8. #8
    darkghost
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    There is no value on those odds. And the odds on the 'top' players are so off. It's ridiculous. Ivey +2400??? Negreanu +3000??? C'mon.....

    Out of all the 'top' names on the list I'm surprised John Phan still is the standard +20000, so I guess he'd be the closest thing to a good value.

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