The Seer's 2012 NCAAF & NFL thread

[martinmobley]

I like the Minnesota pick

[The Seer]

the 3 above were added to these

NCAAF games I went ahead and got down on:

Indiana -1 1/2 -110 1 unit
Indiana is just a better team than Iowa in all phases.
MS ST +7 -115 1 unit
That's just too many points in what should be a very close game.
Pitt +17 -115 1 unit
I expect a letdown here from ND. They still should win but it will be ugly. I'm still considering the under too.
Tex Tech -7 -120 1 unit
The Texas defense is giving up 450 yds per game. These defenses are on 2 different levels.
K State -9 1/2 -110 1 unit
KSt is at home looking for revenge in what was a close game last year with a much better OK St team. Now K ST is in a different class in every phase of the game.
LSU +10 -110 1 unit
LSU getting double digits at home at night deserves at least a unit especially when they've been waiting on this game since January & had an extra week to prepare.

GTech -7 -120 2 units
GT/Md under 47 -110 1 unit
Maryland has lost all 4 of their QBs with season-ending injuries. That's the first I've ever heard of such a thing. Now they will be forced to start a freshman LB that played QB in high school this week. He didn't even start learning the playbook til just over a week ago. I'd be surprised if they scored double digits.

San Jose ST -19 -110 2 units
Idaho's starting QB & a LB were dismissed from the team. Their TE was suspended. Their HC was fired on the 21st. They've allowed 42 pts per game. They were beaten by 58 in their last game vs La Tech and have given up 745 yds rushing their last 2 games. This 1-7 team is in bad shape & they are taking on solid 6-2 SJSt team.

[Kansaska]

adding some early games to the plays I posted a couple of days ago

Syracuse +5 1/2 -110 1 unit
Minnesota +10 1/2 -110 1 unit
Arkansas -9 -110 1 unit

I was debating the Minny game all week after my Skers knocked Robinson out of the game. He is playing but who knows how healthy he is. I took Michigan and am just counting on him being close to 100%. The Michigan defense is one of the best in the Big 10. If Robinson is healthy I think they win by 2 or 3 tds. How much did his injury play into your decision?

[ninja33]

Robinson is out.

[Kansaska]

Robinson is out.

Did they just make that decision right at game time?

[martinmobley]

I added Army as well

[2TrivBicc]

Thx and BOL today Seer

[The Seer]

I was debating the Minny game all week after my Skers knocked Robinson out of the game. He is playing but who knows how healthy he is. I took Michigan and am just counting on him being close to 100%. The Michigan defense is one of the best in the Big 10. If Robinson is healthy I think they win by 2 or 3 tds. How much did his injury play into your decision?

When I made the bet I figured him playing but not being near 100%. Without him it would have been a 2 or 3 unit play.

[The Seer]

I added Army as well

that and Troy were 2 leans I didn't bet.

[The Seer]

Thx and BOL today Seer

u too man

[The Seer]

Possible Troy and Army halftime bets but no other plays other than posted til 2pm central for me. Then I'm looking for a decent number on TCU.

[jihadvillager]

Possible Troy and Army halftime bets but no other plays other than posted til 2pm central for me. Then I'm looking for a decent number on TCU.

THanks for the heads up Seer!

[martinmobley]

I stayed away from syracuse and arkansas... with you on minnesota, georgia tech, and georgia tech under.

[Kansaska]

When I made the bet I figured him playing but not being near 100%. Without him it would have been a 2 or 3 unit play.

Yeah I didn't realize he wasn't playing. If I would have known that I would have been on the Gophers. At least it was my smallest wager of the early games. The Wolverine D is looking strong though so you never know. What do you think about the Huskers this afternoon?

[The Seer]

What do you think about the Huskers this afternoon?

Lean Neb but they've been a tough team for me to figure out.

[Kansaska]

Lean Neb but they've been a tough team for me to figure out.

Yeah. I think the problem with them is you just don't know if they are going to turn it over 3 or 4 times. If they don't or even if they just keep it to 1 or 2 I think they win...I'm seeing +1 now on one of my locals. I took it at -2 earlier in the week though.

[martinmobley]

I hate Maryland's uniforms...

[CupWanted]

Miss St game is pretty hard to watch. This Manzel kid is the real deal.

[DirtyBird1500]

Yeah. I think the problem with them is you just don't know if they are going to turn it over 3 or 4 times. If they don't or even if they just keep it to 1 or 2 I think they win...I'm seeing +1 now on one of my locals. I took it at -2 earlier in the week though.

I really like the under in this one. I was leaning Nebraska as well, but that line movement has me second guessing things.

[flat out]

My book showing Army +6.5 for 2nd half, your thought's? Thx in advance!!

Possible Troy and Army halftime bets but no other plays other than posted til 2pm central for me. Then I'm looking for a decent number on TCU.

[martinmobley]

I personally just added Georgia Tech -3 second half... I didn't see anything from Maryland showing they could put up any points

[The Seer]

Season update through Friday 11/02/2012

NCAAF
includes sides & totals
wk 1: 3-3, +2.70 units
wk 2: 11-6, +10.05 units
wk 3: 11-9, -.50 units
wk 4: 16-15, +5.25 units
wk 5: 22-9, +20.90 units
wk 6: 21-12-1, +9.05 units
wk 7: 14-14-1, -3.55 units
wk 8: 8-22-1, -18.50 units
wk 9: 19-17-1, +3.00 units
wk 10: 2-2, -.20 units

NCAAF total year to date 127-109-4, +27.90 units

NFL
includes sides, totals, props
wk 1: 6-9, -3.35 units
wk 2: 6-4-1, +2.35 units
wk 3: 14-7, +13.25 units
wk 4: 13-11, -.15 units
wk 5: 16-7, +8.20 units
wk 6: 9-11, -2.95 units
wk 7: 7-6-1, -1.70 units
wk 8: 9-10-1, -.80 units
wk 9: 1-2, -1.20 units
NFL total year to date 81-67-3, +13.65 units

Grand total 208-176-7, +41.55 units

[The Seer]

Miss St game is pretty hard to watch. This Manzel kid is the real deal.

I'm making a note for next week with Bama coming off the emotional LSU game. Manziel may pose a little challenge to the Bama defense.

My book showing Army +6.5 for 2nd half, your thought's? Thx in advance!!

I didn't see much value in it myself. They had too big of a lead.

[The Seer]

2pm central game
TCU +4 -110 1 unitI think the TCU matches up real well vs the WV offense. ML is worth a look but staying a little conservative here.

[The Seer]

expecting a big big letdown by PSU
Purdue +3 1/2 -110 1 unit

[The Seer]

for 3pm central
Tex San An +31 -110 1 unit

[martinmobley]

You have got to be kidding me on the GT game.... unbelievable... that cost me.

[dumpin_daze]

I had 45 for the total

[ImmortalKrop]

You have got to be kidding me on the GT game.... unbelievable... that cost me.

I had the under at 46 so I pushed but that was a joke. Call a timeout with 4 seconds left, they're down 26, and throw a 25 yard prayer and catch it as time expires. Ripped money right out of my hands.

[The Seer]

New Mex +3 -115 1 unit

[mbcoutinho]

I had the under at 46 so I pushed but that was a joke. Call a timeout with 4 seconds left, they're down 26, and throw a 25 yard prayer and catch it as time expires. Ripped money right out of my hands.

Had 47 under, but had the -3.5 for the 2H, dat sucks

[The Seer]

I'm glad those GT bets hit because the other early games were duds. These afternoon games are looking fair though. I liked Ole Miss and am regretting not getting on that one. I haven't got anything else other than the San Jose St game til 6pm central unless I get a halftime i like on Ole Miss or wake Forest.

[jihadvillager]

Like az state , USC , duke, and likin the number we got on lsu

[The Seer]

Like az state , USC , duke, and likin the number we got on lsu

I like those too but for now I'm just taking USC for the first half right now since I found a 6. I'm not as confident in K St now.

1st half USC +6 -120 1 unit
Duke +13 -110 1 unit
Clem/Duke over 66 -110 1 unit
Az St +3 1/2 -110 1 unit
considering adding SD St at +17

[daimoshokage]

seer is a fukking joke!!