The Seer's 2012 NCAAF & NFL thread

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  • jihadvillager
    SBR MVP
    • 11-25-11
    • 2134

    #2451
    Originally posted by The Seer
    thanks guys

    i took 2 plays for tonight:

    Arizona +7 1/2 -115
    1 unit
    Gore over 87 1/2 -115 1 unit
    Thank yoU Seer
    Comment
    • Joe Sharp
      SBR MVP
      • 06-01-09
      • 3011

      #2452
      Pulled a 3 unit action reverse on my book last night. I realize I'll get creamed long term ... But DAMN, that felt good! I loved that under and when seer agreed, I let it rip.

      Seer
      Comment
      • adila1401
        SBR MVP
        • 11-16-11
        • 2014

        #2453
        Total Points Scored by David Akers O/U 8 -105

        Total Points Scored by Jay Feely O/U 7 +100

        This is where the money is boys..Akers should be able to get 3 field goals here I think..I'm not sure sure about Jay Feely ..think Arizona can pull of 3 Fgs?

        Also Alex Smith Passing Yards Under 202.5 at -120 is worth a try with Arizon's D
        Last edited by adila1401; 10-29-12, 06:01 PM.
        Comment
        • shocktopme
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-15-10
          • 940

          #2454
          .

          Go get em Seer bud!!!!!!!!!!!
          Comment
          • The Seer
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-29-07
            • 10641

            #2455
            Originally posted by adila1401
            Total Points Scored by David Akers O/U 8 -105

            Total Points Scored by Jay Feely O/U 7 +100

            This is where the money is boys..Akers should be able to get 3 field goals here I think..I'm not sure sure about Jay Feely ..think Arizona can pull of 3 Fgs?

            Also Alex Smith Passing Yards Under 202.5 at -120 is worth a try with Arizon's D
            FGs are too much of a coin toss to me. AZ pass D is giving up 191 yds per game and SF passing O is geting 216. That number is about right IMO. With the way Smith has performed of late I'd give a real small lean to the under but that is not enough edge for me to make a wager. If I bet a prop it's because I think I have a substantial edge. GL
            Comment
            • Urbanwildlife
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-06-11
              • 5958

              #2456
              Take the stroll to the pay window again tonight The Seer!
              Comment
              • 19th Hole
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-22-09
                • 18937

                #2457
                Seer
                Good luck
                Comment
                • The Seer
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-29-07
                  • 10641

                  #2458
                  That was a bad break on the Gore prop. He had almost half of what he needed in the first qrt then barely played in the 2nd half. It was still a good weekend though. Hopefully it will carry over into this week.
                  Comment
                  • Urbanwildlife
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-06-11
                    • 5958

                    #2459
                    Originally posted by The Seer
                    Hopefully it will carry over into this week.
                    THERE IS NO HOPEFULLY, IT WILL CARRY OVER!
                    Comment
                    • DirtyBird1500
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-17-11
                      • 723

                      #2460
                      Hey Seer you play any hoops action at all or just stick to football?
                      Comment
                      • The Seer
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-29-07
                        • 10641

                        #2461
                        Originally posted by DirtyBird1500
                        Hey Seer you play any hoops action at all or just stick to football?
                        no hoops for me
                        I don't have the time during football season even if I wanted to
                        Comment
                        • The Seer
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-29-07
                          • 10641

                          #2462
                          NCAAF games I went ahead and got down on:

                          Indiana -1 1/2 -110
                          1 unit
                          Indiana is just a better team than Iowa in all phases.
                          MS ST +7 -115 1 unit
                          That's just too many points in what should be a very close game.
                          Pitt +17 -115 1 unit
                          I expect a letdown here from ND. They still should win but it will be ugly. I'm still considering the under too.
                          Tex Tech -7 -120 1 unit
                          The Texas defense is giving up 450 yds per game. These defenses are on 2 different levels.
                          K State -9 1/2 -110 1 unit
                          KSt is at home looking for revenge in what was a close game last year with a much better OK St team. Now K ST is in a different class in every phase of the game.
                          LSU +10 -110 1 unit
                          LSU getting double digits at home at night deserves at least a unit especially when they've been waiting on this game since January & had an extra week to prepare.

                          GTech -7 -120 2 units
                          GT/Md under 47 -110 1 unit
                          Maryland has lost all 4 of their QBs with season-ending injuries. That's the first I've ever heard of such a thing. Now they will be forced to start a freshman LB that played QB in high school this week. He didn't even start learning the playbook til just over a week ago. I'd be surprised if they scored double digits.

                          San Jose ST -19 -110 2 units
                          Idaho's starting QB & a LB were dismissed from the team. Their TE was suspended. Their HC was fired on the 21st. They've allowed 42 pts per game. They were beaten by 58 in their last game vs La Tech and have given up 745 yds rushing their last 2 games. This 1-7 team is in bad shape & they are taking on solid 6-2 SJSt team.
                          Last edited by The Seer; 10-30-12, 08:55 PM.
                          Comment
                          • Urbanwildlife
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-06-11
                            • 5958

                            #2463
                            Very well could be a perfect weekend with your above picks, as I really like everyone of them a lot!
                            Comment
                            • DirtyBird1500
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-17-11
                              • 723

                              #2464
                              Good stuff man, thanks.
                              Comment
                              • Catchn_Picks
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-02-11
                                • 2984

                                #2465
                                ty Seer...bol to all
                                Comment
                                • jihadvillager
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-25-11
                                  • 2134

                                  #2466
                                  Originally posted by The Seer
                                  NCAAF games I went ahead and got down on:

                                  Indiana -1 1/2 -110
                                  1 unit
                                  Indiana is just a better team than Iowa in all phases.
                                  MS ST +7 -115 1 unit
                                  That's just too many points in what should be a very close game.
                                  Pitt +17 -115 1 unit
                                  I expect a letdown here from ND. They still should win but it will be ugly. I'm still considering the under too.
                                  Tex Tech -7 -120 1 unit
                                  The Texas defense is giving up 450 yds per game. These defenses are on 2 different levels.
                                  K State -9 1/2 -110 1 unit
                                  KSt is at home looking for revenge in what was a close game last year with a much better OK St team. Now K ST is in a different class in every phase of the game.
                                  LSU +10 -110 1 unit
                                  LSU getting double digits at home at night deserves at least a unit especially when they've been waiting on this game since January & had an extra week to prepare.

                                  GTech -7 -120 2 units
                                  GT/Md under 47 -110 1 unit
                                  Maryland has lost all 4 of their QBs with season-ending injuries. That's the first I've ever heard of such a thing. Now they will be forced to start a freshman LB that played QB in high school this week. He didn't even start learning the playbook til just over a week ago. I'd be surprised if they scored double digits.

                                  San Jose ST -19 -110 2 units
                                  Idaho's starting QB & a LB were dismissed from the team. Their TE was suspended. Their HC was fired on the 21st. They've allowed 42 pts per game. They were beaten by 58 in their last game vs La Tech and have given up 745 yds rushing their last 2 games. This 1-7 team is in bad shape & they are taking on solid 6-2 SJSt team.
                                  Thank you for the early lock in's Seer!
                                  Comment
                                  • pokernut9999
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-25-07
                                    • 12757

                                    #2467
                                    Love the Pitt game !!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • tblues2005
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 07-30-06
                                      • 9235

                                      #2468
                                      Wow the Seer. Kind of early aren't you?? I thought you liked to wait until the last minute?
                                      Comment
                                      • jihadvillager
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-25-11
                                        • 2134

                                        #2469
                                        These are the lines he thinks may move , so he is locking them in now. Notice how most of them are favorites. The underdogs often get better closer to game time (although not always, sharps can pound the line too) so he usually waits on those.
                                        Comment
                                        • sweethook
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-21-07
                                          • 12667

                                          #2470
                                          gl steer , everones jumping on lsu + 10 yes they had 2 weeks and at home and at night . and the books are still pushin 10 , one reason is they have by far the worst play calling sob in football bar none , he would penetrate up calling the cat in outa the rain. yes the players will play there hearts out ,but les will shit this up.
                                          Comment
                                          • Catchn_Picks
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-02-11
                                            • 2984

                                            #2471
                                            Even tho I have already played Bama on a early line, I still think LSU is the right side...Bama does not have to cover the game...just win.

                                            GL all.
                                            Comment
                                            • Smoooookeyyyyy
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 10-06-12
                                              • 150

                                              #2472
                                              Liking Georgia Tech BIG!
                                              Comment
                                              • 2TrivBicc
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 09-25-10
                                                • 96

                                                #2473
                                                Thanks on the early plays and BOL Seer
                                                Comment
                                                • jihadvillager
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-25-11
                                                  • 2134

                                                  #2474
                                                  4 games today! looking forward to Seer's plays
                                                  Comment
                                                  • martinmobley
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 04-25-09
                                                    • 159

                                                    #2475
                                                    Maryland has a great defense and can run the ball which has kept them close in every game even with their 2nd, 3rd, and 4th string guys... do you think the 5th string is going to make any difference?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • martinmobley
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 04-25-09
                                                      • 159

                                                      #2476
                                                      I see more value in the under at this point... Both teams will be running the ball. Maryland has a great D and Georgia Tech is going to be expecting the run. I'm doubling up on the under and staying away from the cover as it looks like a trap to me.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jihadvillager
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-25-11
                                                        • 2134

                                                        #2477
                                                        Gtech to -8 and San Jose State to -20 already- good early lockins
                                                        Comment
                                                        • The Seer
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-29-07
                                                          • 10641

                                                          #2478
                                                          Thursday early game:
                                                          EMich +16 -110 1 unit
                                                          Despite being 7-1, Ohio has beaten only 1 FBS team (NM ST) by more than 17 this season. EMich has shown they can stop the option by beating Army a few weeks back. The last 3 years this game has been decided by 6, 6, & 13 points & I feel they can hang in there this year.

                                                          other games in a bit
                                                          Comment
                                                          • The Seer
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-29-07
                                                            • 10641

                                                            #2479
                                                            adding:
                                                            Mia +2 -110 1 unit
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-17-07
                                                              • 52143

                                                              #2480
                                                              Gl Seer..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • vyomguy
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-08-09
                                                                • 5794

                                                                #2481
                                                                middle tennesse st should keep it close today
                                                                Comment
                                                                • The Seer
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-29-07
                                                                  • 10641

                                                                  #2482
                                                                  VT/Mia under 58 -110 1 unit
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • The Seer
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-29-07
                                                                    • 10641

                                                                    #2483
                                                                    NFL
                                                                    KC +8 -110 1 unit
                                                                    under 41 -110 1 unit
                                                                    Rivers under 257 1/2 -115 1 unit
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DirtyBird1500
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-17-11
                                                                      • 723

                                                                      #2484
                                                                      Thanks, Seer. With ya on Miami at 2.5.

                                                                      Was waiting to see your NFL pick, I really want to take the Chiefs but having a hard time pulling the trigger. Care to give any thoughts on your pick if you have the time?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mbcoutinho
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 09-28-11
                                                                        • 181

                                                                        #2485
                                                                        Originally posted by The Seer
                                                                        NFL
                                                                        KC +8 -110 1 unit
                                                                        under 41 -110 1 unit
                                                                        Rivers under 257 1/2 -115 1 unit
                                                                        On it, but pinny doenst have the players props...
                                                                        Comment
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