how do linesmakers come up with mlb odds

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  • jumper
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-09-05
    • 397

    #1
    how do linesmakers come up with mlb odds
    football and basketball value is easy to discern using sagarin ratings.i would like to figure how totals, moneylines,and runlines are set.any help would be appreciated.dave cokin wants $31000 for the mlb season.may give him 2 weeks to show his stuff.
  • pags11
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-18-05
    • 12264

    #2
    $31,000?...are you kidding me?...logic or not, I'd never ever recommend paying this kind of money (or any for that matter) for picks...
    Comment
    • jumper
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-09-05
      • 397

      #3
      i agree.the salesman reeked of scam.if 2 weeks costs $500,how can a season add up to $31000.
      Comment
      • dog
        SBR MVP
        • 10-08-05
        • 1738

        #4
        I believe Jumper left out a decimal in that price, $310 sounds like what a tout like Cokin would charge for a season. Seriously, you're better off sticking to picks on forums like this.
        Comment
        • jumper
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-09-05
          • 397

          #5
          bobbalfe.com is offering free mlb if anyones interested
          Comment
          • bigboydan
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-10-05
            • 55420

            #6
            jumper, give me $31,000 and, i'll be more than happy to throw darts at my wall and give you some picks
            Comment
            • jumper
              SBR Sharp
              • 09-09-05
              • 397

              #7
              if i had some handle on the method used to set moneylines,totals etc...my dart aim might improve,or at least predict which path of price movement offers the least resistance.i realize this is a hard one to answer
              Comment
              • turbobets
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-13-06
                • 995

                #8
                jumper,

                from a bettors perspective you need to calculate(handicap) the odds of team A beating team B and then convert that into a breakeven ML.

                team A = 60% => breakeven = -150
                team B = 40% => breakeven = +150
                Comment
                • maritime
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-26-05
                  • 474

                  #9
                  "Seriously, you're better off sticking to picks on forums like this"


                  Exactly. Don't waste your money on touts.
                  Comment
                  • Doug
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 6324

                    #10
                    Most copy them from real books like Pinny.
                    Comment
                    • The Great One
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-08-06
                      • 792

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Doug
                      Most copy them from real books like Pinny.

                      Thats what I figured. I'd do the same thing if I was a book. Easier that way and less chance of mesing up.
                      Comment
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