Soccer betting question - I'm talking to you, Pavyracer...

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • vitalogist
    SBR MVP
    • 11-11-08
    • 2820

    #1
    Soccer betting question - I'm talking to you, Pavyracer...
    Is this +ev? Meaning, if you don't think the red bulls will win, is this a good play on Seattle with the draw insurance? Or is there a better way to play it?

    3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 187 Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS)* +½,+1 -130 vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS)
    Risking $130.00 To Win $100.00

    3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 187 Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS)* +350 vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS)
    Risking $100.00 To Win $350.00

    3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 189 Draw (Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS) vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS))* +239
    Risking $100.00 To Win $230.90
  • DogLover
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-17-09
    • 181

    #2
    The first bet is +EV, the others aren't.

    I have Sounders + 0.5 (+105)
    Comment
    • pavyracer
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-12-07
      • 82750

      #3
      Originally posted by vitalogist
      Is this +ev? Meaning, if you don't think the red bulls will win, is this a good play on Seattle with the draw insurance? Or is there a better way to play it?

      3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 187 Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS)* +½,+1 -130 vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS)
      Risking $130.00 To Win $100.00

      3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 187 Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS)* +350 vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS)
      Risking $100.00 To Win $350.00

      3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 189 Draw (Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS) vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS))* +239
      Risking $100.00 To Win $230.90
      I think betting the MLS is -EV (j/k)

      Was there a +1/2 option available for better odds than -130?
      Comment
      • Jaug
        SBR MVP
        • 01-11-09
        • 3087

        #4
        If you are going to bet on 3-way markets, like home draw away you need like 20 bookies and pick the best odds. No way you can do it with one bookie, suicide.
        Comment
        • pavyracer
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-12-07
          • 82750

          #5
          sbrlines has +1/2 for +105 at bodog
          Comment
          • vitalogist
            SBR MVP
            • 11-11-08
            • 2820

            #6
            Nice. 5d pulled that really quick. I didn't get it in on time....
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #7
              If you bet all three of those, you got your ass kicked.
              Comment
              • FourLengthsClear
                SBR MVP
                • 12-29-10
                • 3808

                #8
                Betting a team and the draw in a 3-way line is crazy (equivalent to betting -122 lines in terms of juice).

                The first bet is the only one that makes sense.
                Comment
                • vitalogist
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-11-08
                  • 2820

                  #9
                  Yeah I figured that out. Went with Seattle +.5. Still lost.
                  Comment
                  SBR Contests
                  Collapse
                  Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                  Collapse
                  Working...