Here's why running the football in the NFL is a joke argument

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  • The Seer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-29-07
    • 10641

    #1
    Here's why running the football in the NFL is a joke argument
    I'm referring to the argument that teams not being able to run means that they can't win.
    I've posted this several times before but it seems people have trouble fathoming it. With all of the talking heads on TV talking about it so much, people feel the need to repeat it & the main necessary ingredient for victory or to sound "smart". The fact is, IT IS NOT. NFL is very different than other levels of football in that many NFL QBs can beat you without a running game. All they need is some rushing attempts to set up play action.
    Let's look at these FACTS:
    -For the 2010 season GB averaged 3.8 yds per carry & Chi 3.9 yet people think Chi is a "running" team.

    -The '03 Pats averaged 3.4 yds per carry but that didn't stop them from winning the SB.

    -Cincy averaged 7.8 yds per carry in the playoffs last yr.

    -The average Super Bowl winner in the 21st century has had just the 18th best ground game.

    -GB averaged 3.8 during the regular season which was the same as the Ravens and Falcons who people perceived to be "good" running teams.

    -Philly averaged a league best 5.4 yds per carry and we see how that worked out.

    -Pitt won their last SB being 4th worst in the league by averaging 3.7 yds per carry in the regular season in '08 and 2.9 in the playoffs that year. Yet people would argue that they are a "tough" running team. lol

    -Indy got to the SB averaging just 3.5 last year.

    -This year, the SF defense gave up a league 2nd best 3.5 yds per carry and they didn't even have a winning record in the leagues worst division. Car was 7th best. lol

    -6 of the top 10 yds per rush defenses failed to make the playoffs this year.

    -The last meeting, Chi averaged 5.5 yds per carry and GB averaged 2.6 yet GB won by 7.


    I could go on and on with other examples but I think it's clear. It will come down to QB play and turnovers.
    Last edited by The Seer; 01-23-11, 03:34 PM.
  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82589

    #2
    Best game plan is to take what the defense gives you. Run when they play man coverage and pass when they stack the front.
    Comment
    • ngates815
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-01-09
      • 13845

      #3
      So they should just pass the ball every play?

      Even though a team only rushes for 3.5 yards per carry, they still rush the ball 20-25 times a game to keep the defense honest....So actually running the ball is pretty important.


      If you caught any of the show on FOX this morning. Pittsburgh said that one of the reasons that the Jets beat them the first time they met was because they were able to run the ball on them.
      Comment
      • The Seer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-29-07
        • 10641

        #4
        Originally posted by ngates815
        So they should just pass the ball every play? Even though a team only rushes for 3.5 yards per carry, they still rush the ball 20-25 times a game to keep the defense honest....So actually running the ball is pretty important. If you caught any of the show on FOX this morning. Pittsburgh said that one of the reasons that the Jets beat them the first time they met was because they were able to run the ball on them.
        you don't read well. Reread the last sentence in the first paragraph. It's rushing attempts that hold the linebackers not yards.
        Last edited by The Seer; 01-23-11, 03:14 PM.
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        • The Seer
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-29-07
          • 10641

          #5
          Originally posted by ngates815
          So they should just pass the ball every play? Even though a team only rushes for 3.5 yards per carry, they still rush the ball 20-25 times a game to keep the defense honest....So actually running the ball is pretty important. If you caught any of the show on FOX this morning. Pittsburgh said that one of the reasons that the Jets beat them the first time they met was because they were able to run the ball on them.
          By the way, you do realize that Pitt outrushed the Jets by 40 yds in that game don't you? You'll get owned in this argument.
          Comment
          • The Seer
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-29-07
            • 10641

            #6
            GB first drive for 7 points: 2 rushes 7 yards...passing 4 of 4 76 yds..
            Comment
            • ngates815
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-01-09
              • 13845

              #7
              Originally posted by The Seer
              By the way, you do realize that Pitt outrushed the Jets by 40 yds in that game don't you? You'll get owned in this argument.
              I didn't look at the stats. Just was saying what the Tomlin said.
              Comment
              • jakeandba
                SBR MVP
                • 01-13-09
                • 1033

                #8
                interesting comments about the first drive for GB and their run game. Chicago is forced to respect the GB run formation since GB has been able to run effectively in the previous last 2 play off games.
                Comment
                • ngates815
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-01-09
                  • 13845

                  #9
                  Originally posted by The Seer
                  you don't read well. Reread the last sentence in the first paragraph. It's rushing attempts that hold the linebackers not yards.

                  You're correct, I missed that last sentence because I couldn't wait to see all your YPC stats.

                  But that is exactly what I said.
                  Comment
                  • ngates815
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-01-09
                    • 13845

                    #10
                    But it's just funny the title of the thread being: Here's why running the football in the NFL is a joke argument

                    'Then you say that rushing attempts are vital to keep the linebackers honest. I found it funny that you back up your title of the thread with YPC instead of rushing attempts, which we know is the important thing.
                    Comment
                    • NrmlCurvSurfr
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-05-10
                      • 2896

                      #11
                      As long as running the ball is legal, every team will run the ball. There are also many instances where running can be more efficient than passing (goal line, 4th and 1). Im not sure if ONLY passing would be the best game plan.
                      Comment
                      • bettilimbroke999
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-04-08
                        • 13254

                        #12
                        Running in college football is even more pointless, against their nonexistent pass defenses a guy like Peyton would complete 9 out of 10 if he had NFL quality receivers instead of the garbage he had at Tennessee

                        Only thing running the ball does is run the clock so you can brag about your defense bc you cut the time in half so naturally theres not gonna be much scoring.
                        Comment
                        • The Seer
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-29-07
                          • 10641

                          #13
                          Originally posted by NrmlCurvSurfr
                          As long as running the ball is legal, every team will run the ball. There are also many instances where running can be more efficient than passing (goal line, 4th and 1). Im not sure if ONLY passing would be the best game plan.
                          The argument is about people saying that teams can't win because they can't run the ball. Of course you have to have rushing attempts which I said in the original post and, yes, sometimes there are instances where a team has to run the ball or attempt to run it..
                          Comment
                          • BettingWizard
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-28-09
                            • 6522

                            #14
                            yeah im sure atlanta enjoyed having 39 rushing yards against GB. Philly run game also got shutdown against GB



                            when a team has more rushing yards and wins the turnover battle, they cover like 90% of the time
                            Comment
                            • yisman
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-01-08
                              • 75682

                              #15
                              the main reason why is teams run when ahead and pass when behind, so losing teams tend to have a lot more passing yards, and vice versa with winning teams

                              "run to win" is one of the oldest fallacies in the NFL.
                              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                              [/quote]

                              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                              Comment
                              • jakeandba
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-13-09
                                • 1033

                                #16
                                It can be argued the yards per carry avg is skewed. Teams such as Tenn and Balt run the ball in a traditional sense. They hand the ball off to the RB. Other teams such as Indy and New Orleans seem to have an alternative means of establishing a run game by use of screens and or slants. To their offensive co ordinators, this is method to overcome possible weaknesses in the offense line. This is just one example, there are many reasons for creating a running game via alternate means. These type of gains are not reflected in the yards per carry avg.

                                Any team can win with or without a running game for a very short time in the NFL but dont expect them to compete effectively when defensive co ordinators review tape.
                                Comment
                                • The Seer
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-29-07
                                  • 10641

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BettingWizard
                                  yeah im sure atlanta enjoyed having 39 rushing yards against GB. Philly run game also got shutdown against GB when a team has more rushing yards and wins the turnover battle, they cover like 90% of the time
                                  turnovers is more important. It gives teams more or less possessions, not rushing yards.
                                  Comment
                                  • bigsmitty
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-12-10
                                    • 3026

                                    #18
                                    The whole point is not whether your run is highly successful or not but that other teams must account for it. Back to see if Cutler can keep his composure...Cheers
                                    Comment
                                    • The Seer
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-29-07
                                      • 10641

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by jakeandba

                                      Any team can win with or without a running game for a very short time in the NFL but dont expect them to compete effectively when defensive co ordinators review tape.
                                      Your argument there is flawed due to all of the SB champions I listed above. However, after 30 yrs in football I agree that screens are widely used as "running' plays.
                                      Comment
                                      • The Seer
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-29-07
                                        • 10641

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by bigsmitty
                                        The whole point is not whether your run is highly successful or not but that other teams must account for it. Back to see if Cutler can keep his composure...Cheers
                                        That is the key, not whether it is successful or not.
                                        Comment
                                        • InTheDrink
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-23-09
                                          • 23983

                                          #21
                                          This is a good thread.

                                          Running = moving the clock with the lead

                                          If a team can get a lead and convert 3rd and 5 more often than not then the yardage running the ball isn't important. Just have to be able to sustain drives and burn clock/keep the D rested.

                                          This coming from a guy who was an Oiler fan in the late 80's/early 90's who invariably would get a big lead only to piss it away because they couldn't move the clock in the 2nd half.
                                          Comment
                                          • 8ArIvd5
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-24-10
                                            • 3175

                                            #22
                                            But it doesn't hurt to be able to run if you can pass like Indy and play D like the Jets.
                                            Comment
                                            • ttwarrior1
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 06-23-09
                                              • 28446

                                              #23
                                              why do teams run up the middle on 3rd and 15? or on 2nd and ten with a stacked box
                                              Comment
                                              • GoCougs!
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 07-11-10
                                                • 969

                                                #24
                                                I enjoy the argument/discussion. There are way too many variables to say a team has to have a solid run game to win/lose. The offense is only 1/3 of the game, and the run game is only 40 - 50% of that 1/3.
                                                Comment
                                                • InTheDrink
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-23-09
                                                  • 23983

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by GoCougs!
                                                  The offense is only 1/3 of the game


                                                  are you saying special teams is 1/3 of the game?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GoCougs!
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-11-10
                                                    • 969

                                                    #26
                                                    Yep.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • InTheDrink
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-23-09
                                                      • 23983

                                                      #27
                                                      no offense but that's ridiculous

                                                      feel free to say it's important but no chance it's as important as offense and defense
                                                      Comment
                                                      • GoCougs!
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 07-11-10
                                                        • 969

                                                        #28
                                                        No offense taken. I think you took 1/3 more literally than I intended. I did not mean to say special teams is as important as offense and defense. The intended reference is there is offense, defense and special teams.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jakeandba
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-13-09
                                                          • 1033

                                                          #29
                                                          it appears as if the parameters for this thread is for 2001 season to the present. Could probably present a counter argument about running the ball is vital for teams in the play offs for seasons prior to this century.

                                                          Just speculating but with the rules in place (in previous eras) were not favorable to the passing game, forcing teams to run. Also consider the forward pass has not been creatively used in previous eras.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Prop Bet Master
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-05-10
                                                            • 533

                                                            #30
                                                            Good write up. I have always believed that running the ball is overrated. My father used to say that special teams is the most important phase of the game. I thought that was bullshit! Quarterback play, defense, and (to a lesser degree) special teams will decide the games. By the way, no hard feelings about my comments about your thread after the National Championship Game!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The Seer
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-29-07
                                                              • 10641

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Prop Bet Master
                                                              Good write up. I have always believed that running the ball is overrated. My father used to say that special teams is the most important phase of the game. I thought that was bullshit! Quarterback play, defense, and (to a lesser degree) special teams will decide the games. By the way, no hard feelings about my comments about your thread after the National Championship Game!
                                                              The punt is the most important single play in a football game. Every coach I have known would say the same thing but special teams altogether isn't because there are less plays involved. BTW, no hard feelings at all. You got to have thick skin around this place anyway.lol
                                                              Comment
                                                              • frostno98
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-11-07
                                                                • 9769

                                                                #32
                                                                At least it makes the game go under
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                                                                • joeytunes
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-29-10
                                                                  • 449

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I been saying it all year. Amen brother
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                                                                  • The Seer
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-29-07
                                                                    • 10641

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Pittsburg 126 rushing yds, 5.5 per carry
                                                                    GB 50 yds, 3.8 per carry
                                                                    so much for the Steeler vaunted running attack
                                                                    GB wins with the better passing game
                                                                    Last edited by The Seer; 02-07-11, 12:38 AM.
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