Packers vs. Bears Line Guesses

**RonPaul2008** · 01-15-11, 11:37 PM

No way it's -4.5. Green Bay -3 is the most it could possibly be.

**rm18** · 01-15-11, 11:40 PM

GB -11.5 at Seattle

**k13** · 01-15-11, 11:40 PM

Make it -2.5 please and keep it there.

**dfberger23** · 01-15-11, 11:41 PM

Packers -1 if they get Chicago.
Packers -8 if they get Seattle.

**SBR Lou** · 01-15-11, 11:42 PM

Remember the game would be played in Chicago. Packers wouldn't be favored by much.

**obamaismyuncle** · 01-15-11, 11:42 PM

Gb -3.5

**gshock1** · 01-15-11, 11:45 PM

GB -3 to -3.5

**Illusion** · 01-15-11, 11:45 PM

Game would be pick or Chicago -1

**gshock1** · 01-15-11, 11:46 PM

Originally posted by Illusion

Game would be pick or Chicago -1

Doubtful. Look @ the line in the regular season (talking about game in Chicago )

**SVD514** · 01-15-11, 11:48 PM

Gb -2.5

**Scorpion** · 01-15-11, 11:48 PM

Chicago less than a FG

great teaser
Pitt +double digits
GB +7.5 or better

2 dogs that can win SU

**KGambler** · 01-15-11, 11:49 PM

GB -3 -104
Chi +3 -104

Saying -3 is not specific enough IMO. That could mean -3 +100 or -3 -120

**KGambler** · 01-15-11, 11:51 PM

Originally posted by gshock1

Doubtful. Look @ the line in the regular season (talking about game in Chicago )

Even better, look at what the futures markets were for the NFC winners BEFORE tonight's game. It was obvious GB would not be a dog in Chicago.

And now look at GB's new futures price for the SB.

Very obvious they won't be underdogs in Chicago.

**golfrulz** · 01-15-11, 11:53 PM

pick game imo.

**EmpireMaker** · 01-16-11, 12:27 AM

Gb -2

**wildcorndog** · 01-16-11, 12:33 AM

Please be GB -2.5! pa pa pa please!

**Ace_of_Spades** · 01-16-11, 12:36 AM

Bears -2.

**dynamite140** · 01-16-11, 12:38 AM

Gb -1

**Stinger** · 01-16-11, 12:39 AM

Chicago -1

**Covy** · 01-16-11, 12:43 AM

Originally posted by golfrulz

pick game imo.

**dynamite140** · 01-16-11, 12:47 AM

can't be higher than 2.5 thats for sure

**Pajda** · 01-16-11, 12:51 AM

My guess is pick or GB -1.

**Mr Handicapable** · 01-16-11, 12:53 AM

Depends how good Chicago looks tomorrow (probably shouldn't). My guess is a pick'em if Chicago dominates tomorrow...otherwise GB -1.5 maybe? The weather could always factor in...but GB by a TD minimum.....Rodgers/Cutler are on different levels right now & GB's corners are much better than Chicago's! Bears have the midget CB Jennings (from Indy) starting....too small....doesn't stand up under pressure in a big game!

**d2bets** · 01-16-11, 12:55 AM

GB -3+102
Chi +3-110

**fury** · 01-16-11, 01:02 AM

It will open GB -3.

**French Tickler** · 01-16-11, 01:17 AM

Already have it set if no injuries.

GB -3.5 -108 vs Bears
GB -9.5 -120 vs Seahawks

**Cap dat 4ss** · 01-16-11, 01:21 AM

Gb -2.5

**BestPlay2day** · 01-16-11, 01:22 AM

Assume no injuries in Seahawks/Bears game:

Packers -1 at Bears
or
Packers -7 at Seahawks

**French Tickler** · 01-16-11, 01:23 AM

Already got the word from Jay Kornegay. Lines are ready to be released as an overnight on Sunday.

**Sunde91** · 01-16-11, 01:27 AM

People saying Bears will be favored by ANYTHING have no clue.

Packers were -2.5/-3 in September IN Chicago; -10.5 against them at home. How will they be favorites after what we saw here tonight? And the books have been giving GB MAJOR respect on the line of late.

And idk about you, but I see a near mirror image with Chicago and ATL.

1) Both benefactors of extremely favorable schedules and lucky breaks all year
2) QBs/teams unproven in playoffs
3) No real identity
4) Both severely outplayed in both games vs. Packers, but managed to win off breaks (Bears, Punt return + GB 152 penalty yards + TOs)
5) Defenses sometimes very bad. Bears gave up 34 points to Jets, lost 36-7 to Pats, BOTH at home. (I will say Bears have given Packers O problems though)
6) Offensively, they get shut down by Packers D

Considering everything, -2.5 is MINIMUM spread for GB.

**icancount2one** · 01-16-11, 01:31 AM

CHI -2.5 if they smack up the seahawks like they should.

If I'm wrong and can get a divisional home dog in the playoffs I will take it in a heartbeat.

**KGambler** · 01-16-11, 01:44 AM

Originally posted by Sunde91

People saying Bears will be favored by ANYTHING have no clue.

This is true. I keep telling people to look at the futures market.

From 5Dimes RIGHT NOW:

Chicago wins NFC +170
Chicago does NOT win NFC -200

Seattle wins NFC +1500
Chicago does NOT win NFC -2300

GB wins NFC -160
GB wins NFC +140

Going by Pinny's moneyline, Chicago is 80.63% to beat SEA. So we can say that GB is expected to face CHI 80.63% of the time and SEA 19.37% of the time.

If you set GB and CHI as pick 'em, then GB would have to be over 99% to beat SEA (on the road) in order to come up with that +140/-160 market. There has never been such a moneyline in the entire history of the NFL.

So unless you expect that GB would be -32000 (yes, 3 zeros) at SEA, then CHI can not be pick 'em or better against GB.

The linesmakers are already telling you that GB will be a favorite. Looks like they figure them for -2.5ish.

**KGambler** · 01-16-11, 01:45 AM

Originally posted by icancount2one

If I'm wrong and can get a divisional home dog in the playoffs I will take it in a heartbeat.

You'll be taking Chicago.

Good luck.

**plzkthx** · 01-16-11, 01:47 AM

lol chicago isnt going to even make the nfc championship game.