My certainty in life: I SUCK AT GAMBLING

[trmg777]

So after a decent run that I've had in the past month, I had a serious realization tonight:

I SUCK and death and taxes are more of a gamble than me picking winners.

All the work trying to pick winners is a great challenge and very rewarding (when it works), don't get me wrong, but I've been on the WORST streak since I started (about 4 years ago) in the past 4 days (3-12) that it has pissed me off so much and I am going to do what every gambler/"investor"/handicapper should do: FADE THEMSELVES and pay attention to their streaks.

The way I see it, and correct me if I'm wrong, but everyone is trying to come up with a million ways to win, but in the end, are you really in the black? Doubtful. Once you jump on someone's hot streak, they lose and so do you. Once you fade a Lang-alike, they begin to win. So why not follow someone who is telling you they suck, figure out their streaks, and just do the opposite. When they're on a hot streak, fade; when their stone cold, double up on their plays?

This brings me to my best (and most logical) system ever - I present to you:

THE COSTANZA SYSTEM

This system is going to be all my plays (or anyone else you'd like to test this with) that I will post (when I can) and I'm going to conduct a little experiment and see if it works - to do the COMPLETE opposite of everything I see holy and want to play.

I don't suggest jumping on this immediately, but maybe check it out for a week and see the results. It could very well crash and burn like every other "system" out there, but at this point, I could give 2 sh!ts and feel dumber than tree bark.

Bad misfortunes to all,
trip7's

[jjgold]

we all suck guy

[wtf]

jj, i dont see that 15k you bet on chicago on your spreadsheet

u r such a fukin liar

[Jessica]

Lol gold

[lonesomeloser]

I too suck at gambling and life of late

This could be genius concept

May the festivis be with you

[big0mar]

reload

[tatommack]

happens to all of us i get on major winning and losing streaks

[trmg777]

[sideloaded]

Pretty sure SBR wouldn't exist if everyone was a winner.

[Jrod124]

exactly man, no one wins at this. Just do it for fun. Bet $20 a game. Its just as fun

[Mikail]

your not alone. so does 99% of people who gamble.

[trmg777]

your not alone. so does 99% of people who gamble.

If that's the case, and I'm pretty positive it is, then the Costanza system is a perfect fit.

Remember...

"Chicken salad, on Rye...untoasted...with a side of potato salad and a cup of tea."

"My name is George. I'm unemployed and I live with my parents."

[BettingGeek]

It will get better. Just a matter of luck.

[PRC]

Everyone does. Deal with it.

[ehp6737]

This is a tough game for sure.

[trmg777]

It will get better. Just a matter of luck.

3-13-1 as of the last plays that just ended.

In the words of the almighty MUSH, "If I didn't have bad luck, I wouldn't have any luck at all."

That ends the night for me. Onto tomorrow's losers... I mean winners.

[hitthew8room]

good plan

[lonesomeloser]

3-13-1 as of the last plays that just ended.

In the words of the almighty MUSH, "If I didn't have bad luck, I wouldn't have any luck at all."

That ends the night for me. Onto tomorrow's losers... I mean winners.

Yep,lost a k in two days. I suck too.


Thank you Cousins, you saved my ass.

[HiTMaNN]

jj, i dont see that 15k you bet on chicago on your spreadsheet

u r such a fukin liar

I asked him about that too and I tried searching for that thread it was labeled "15k bet at ceasars" and I can't find it anywhere. I have asked him on three different threads about him collecting off his beard and he just ignores the questions.

[unde0087]

15 plays in 4 days? There is your problem right there. How can there be that many edge plays in 4 days? This is how the books make all their money. Speaking from experience when you play that many games the books will end up with your money everytime. I mean ya if you are hot then ride it but it is going to end and when it does with that many plays the winnings will be gone faster than Landers last mortgage.

[stealthyburrito]

15 plays in 4 days? There is your problem right there. How can there be that many edge plays in 4 days? This is how the books make all their money. Speaking from experience when you play that many games the books will end up with your money everytime. I mean ya if you are hot then ride it but it is going to end and when it does with that many plays the winnings will be gone faster than Landers last mortgage.

[trmg777]

15 plays in 4 days? There is your problem right there. How can there be that many edge plays in 4 days? This is how the books make all their money. Speaking from experience when you play that many games the books will end up with your money everytime. I mean ya if you are hot then ride it but it is going to end and when it does with that many plays the winnings will be gone faster than Landers last mortgage.

Agreed 100%, but I usually play 4-5 games across all sports each day and the last few days just absolutely killed me. I'm not betting out of my budget and manage the bankroll, but to have a losing streak like that is just unheard of. I mean LANG wouldn't even go that bad and that says something.

[BIGDAY]

My worse streak I think was about 2 years ago. 2-15 one month. I will have to say though, instead of increaseing my bet size, I did the right thing and decrased it every week. Bankroll management is the honestly the only thing we have going for us and will at least satisfy having something on a game.

[ringemup]

mi strategy for winning is simple straight wagers play football season only follow teams consistently n watch a lot of football n with yrs of experience ull kno which side has the edge u start figuring it out i feel like i realli hit the jakpot this season in nfl n college jus an unbelievable run ive had ud be surprised wut u can do with only a couple hundred dollars if u play it rite.

[xyz]

If you know when to fade yourself, it is a license to print money.

[Mikail]

Losing streaks suck. No doubt. During the China open a few months ago I lost 11 wagers in a row. No bullsh*t. Not all of them on tennis. Mixed in with a few baseball games too. I lost over $700 during the 0-11 run and over 1k that week. After my 7th loss I started fading my pick and that's when I started picking the right side. Go figure.

[ringemup]

n if ur lookin to realli rake in the green u need to put it out there meaning u have to be willing to risk most of ur balance at times im talking about when ur starting out small n want to turn a big profit once uve established a good balance then u bak off going so big but u need to kno when to maximize ur bets too don sell ur profit short when u got a winner

[trmg777]

Common sense tells me anything I'll pick starting now will win. I could go another 0-5 today, but highly unlikely. I'm predicting a 50/50 day.

First lean I have is New Jersey Nets - spread +9.

[colchonero10]

costanza system, hilarious

[trmg777]

Also playing Denver/SA Under 213.5. I think I'll stick with those 2 plays today. I hope I lose.

[d2bets]

Wait a second...so when you have New Jersey +9 that actually means you have New Orleans -9?

[trmg777]

Wait a second...so when you have New Jersey +9 that actually means you have New Orleans -9?

No, these are the plays that are booked and pending.

[trmg777]

Adding Vancouver/Detroit Under 5.5 (NHL)

So final card today:
Nets +9 (-120)
Denver/SA Under 213.5 (-110)
Vancouver/Detroit Under 5.5 (NHL), (-110)

May I be found in a ditch shoeless and bloodied before midnight.

[Marginalis]

you are not alone.

[trmg777]

Vancouver/Detroit Under 5.5 (-110)

1-0 start if fading...

Other 2 look like losers as well.

Costanza System off to a hot start!