Here is the reason why you should never parlay...

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  • BettingGeek
    Restricted User
    • 10-07-10
    • 3555

    #1
    Here is the reason why you should never parlay...
    Let's say you have $100 and want to do a 3-team parlay on Team A, Team B, and Team C.

    You bet $100 to win $600. The odds of 3 team parlay hit is 1/2*1/2*1/2 = 1/8. So the pay should be: Bet $100 to win $700 (under no juice scenario).

    However since books have 10% juice which means 10/11 odds.

    The odds of 3 team parlay hit is 1/2*1/2*1/2*11/10 = 11/80 = 1/7.272727. The pay should be bet $100 to win $627.27

    With 5% juice scenario: 20/21 odds
    Odds: 1/2*1/2*1/2*21/20= 21/160 = 1/7.619048. Pay should be bet $100 to win $661.90

    Conclusion, you are underpay if you play parlay.
    DON'T DO IT!
  • dynamite140
    SBR MVP
    • 07-05-08
    • 4958

    #2
    How much more would you make on a 2 team parlay if you risk your entire winnings after your 1st win on the 2nd game using $100 as the base amount?
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