UFC 309: Jones vs Miocic Picks and Predictions

[SBR Andy]

Big card this Saturday for UFC 309, headlined by a heavyweight title bout between Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic. Getting a thread going to discuss early odds, predictions, and best bets.


Odds as of 11/16 via DraftKings

Veronica Hardy -108 vs Eduarda Moura -112

Bassil Hafez +240 vs Oban Elliott -298

Mickey Gall -148 vs Ramiz Brahimaj +124

Marcin Tybura -125 vs Jhonata Diniz +105

David Onama -1350 vs Roberto Romero +800

Jim Miller +170 vs Damon Jackson -205

Chris Weidman -102 vs Eryk Anders -118

Jonathan Martinez +110 vs Marcus McGhee -130

Mauricio Ruffy -1100 vs James Liontop +700

Viviane Araujo +240 vs Karine Silva -298

Bo Nickal -1450 vs Paul Craig +850

Charles Oliveira -258 vs Michael Chandler +210

Jon Jones -625 vs Stipe Miocic +455


Any bets jumping out at you guys?

[JIBBBY]

Always bet on black. I won money doing that over the years in MMA. Just saying!

[povis]

Bassil Hafez should be smaller underdog he was fighting really well against Jack Della on short notice.

[Mac4Lyfe]

I didn’t think Stipe would be this much of an underdog. My Cleveland rooting interest is in Stipe but Bones Jones is a different guy. I just don’t know who will come into this in shape and motivated. I’ll put some chump change on Stipe. He at least has a punchers chance.

[JIBBBY]

I didn’t think Stipe would be this much of an underdog. My Cleveland rooting interest is in Stipe but Bones Jones is a different guy. I just don’t know who will come into this in shape and motivated. I’ll put some chump change on Stipe. He at least has a punchers chance.

Dude is 42 years old. MMA is a young mans sport. Boxing as well as Mike Tyson will get smoked also this weekend.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I didn’t think Stipe would be this much of an underdog. My Cleveland rooting interest is in Stipe but Bones Jones is a different guy. I just don’t know who will come into this in shape and motivated. I’ll put some chump change on Stipe. He at least has a punchers chance.

Agreed, I think it will be a lot closer than the odds indicate.


Jibby, Jones is no spring chicken either.


Is anyone really excited for this main event? 2 guys that have barely been active the past 5 years and in my opinion both scared shitless of Aspinall. This fight should not be for the heavyweight title. Aspinall would destroy either of these guys...just my .02

[SBR Andy]

UFC 309 betting insights, via BetMGM:



Most bet props (tickets)

1. Stipe Miocic (USA) by KO/TKO or DQ +700
2. Jon Jones (USA) by KO/TKO or DQ +100
3. Jon Jones (USA) by Submission +200
4. Paul Craig (SCO) by Submission +1000
5. Jon Jones (USA) in round 2 +400

[JIBBBY]

Agreed, I think it will be a lot closer than the odds indicate.


Jibby, Jones is no spring chicken either.


Is anyone really excited for this main event? 2 guys that have barely been active the past 5 years and in my opinion both scared shitless of Aspinall. This fight should not be for the heavyweight title. Aspinall would destroy either of these guys...just my .02

I'm excited for this event. Fully expect to win money also.

Jon Jones is 5 years younger then Stipe, he's never been knocked out either Stipe has. Jon Jones is the longer fighter also. I think Stipe is gonna get his ass beat in this fight and retire after. I like Stipe also but I gotta keep it real.

[Machba]

Anything over -400 USUALLY is an easy win but their are a few exceptions (like nunes losing ) or( gsp which was biggest upset in history IMO) . There are a few others but its few and far in between. Jones is GUARANTEED to win just like paul is GUARANTEED to win tonight . PUFFPUFFPASS

[Mac4Lyfe]

Anything over -400 USUALLY is an easy win but their are a few exceptions (like nunes losing ) or( gsp which was biggest upset in history IMO) . There are a few others but its few and far in between. Jones is GUARANTEED to win just like paul is GUARANTEED to win tonight . PUFFPUFFPASS

Yes, everything is pointing to an easy Jones win. That’s the play…. But Jones could get careless and Stipe could get an early stoppage. I’m pretty excited for this fight because there’s a lot on unknowns.

[Art Vandelay]

Agreed, I think it will be a lot closer than the odds indicate.


Jibby, Jones is no spring chicken either.


Is anyone really excited for this main event? 2 guys that have barely been active the past 5 years and in my opinion both scared shitless of Aspinall. This fight should not be for the heavyweight title. Aspinall would destroy either of these guys...just my .02

I'm more excited for Chandler/Oliveira - But they'll all be exciting after suffering thru Paul/Tyson tonight...

[delpiero10]

it is strange that the odds for stipe are so damn high

[delpiero10]

that gonna be a great match for sure

[Headsterx]

Anybody knows what's up with the first fight between Hardy and Moura? Hardy was the fav @ -135 and now is a slight underdog -105

[Headsterx]

Bettors Backing Dog
In UFC 309’s Co-Main Event, bettors are behind the underdog.

Michael Chandler, a +215 underdog in his lightweight fight against Charles Oliveira, is seeing support from 63% of the bettors.

Oliveira, a -255 favorite, beat Chandler via 2^nd round TKO when the 2 fighters faced each other in 2021. The odds are +215 that “do Bronx” will beat Chandler via TKO or KO once again.

[Headsterx]

[COLOR=#000000 !important]Action On The Challenger


MMA bettors are loving the underdog in tomorrow’s heavyweight championship bout at UFC 309.

Challenger Stipe Miocic is backed by 76% of the bets as a +475 underdog versus heavyweight champ Jon Jones. This will be Miocic’s 1^st UFC bout since losing his heavyweight title to Francis Ngannou in 2021.

Jones is set as a -650 favorite to retain his heavyweight title.


[/COLOR]

[SomeDayinBuffalo]

Do people not know that Chandler is not fighting McGregor?

[DanteNemonic]

BOnline has Aspinal -150 in a hypothetical against Jon Jones. Good luck on the fights tonight.

[delpiero10]

racist but good advice

[Headsterx]

racist but good advice

Even for me but it’s way tooooo early to be fuk up and talking crazy. 🤣🤣

[Headsterx]

Well, it’s sexist but a female will win this fight!

Veronica Hardy (-110) vs Eduarda Moura

[Headsterx]

Jon "Bones' Jones -625... he ain't old and he ain't a social influencer... he's a criminal inside and oustide the octogon!

[Headsterx]

Oban Elliott wins inside distance +350

[Allure]

Wonder if that overrated retard Bo Nickal will ever fight someone decent or if the UFC will protect him forever. Probably the latter.

Don't like the odds on Charlie Olives, but Chandler has 0 fight IQ, so don't see Olives losing. Chandler seems to be in great shape but he is stupid AF.

Jon "The Duck" Jones will beat the 42 year old firefighter who last fight and got KO'd 4 years ago. 4 years ago. 42 years old. Jones is probably the goat, he for sure is a duck.

Best bet will be Weidman over 3.5 eye pokes.

Overall a very horse shitty card on paper.

[Headsterx]

Oban Elliott wins inside distance +350

TKO means it's OVER!!!

[Headsterx]

Mickey Gall by decision +200

[Headsterx]

Oh no, another Bronx Boomber w/ Brahimai...

[Headsterx]

Oh no, another Bronx Boomber w/ Brahimai...

Damn it, once they said he's from Bronx and had a bad feeling... TKO Brahimai!

[Headsterx]

What the fuk is Joe Rogan wearing on his head???

[Headsterx]

Jhonata Diniz by decision +700

[delpiero10]

Why is Bo Nickal so overrated?

Big card this Saturday for UFC 309, headlined by a heavyweight title bout between Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic. Getting a thread going to discuss early odds, predictions, and best bets.


Odds as of 11/16 via DraftKings

Veronica Hardy -108 vs Eduarda Moura -112

Bassil Hafez +240 vs Oban Elliott -298

Mickey Gall -148 vs Ramiz Brahimaj +124

Marcin Tybura -125 vs Jhonata Diniz +105

David Onama -1350 vs Roberto Romero +800

Jim Miller +170 vs Damon Jackson -205

Chris Weidman -102 vs Eryk Anders -118

Jonathan Martinez +110 vs Marcus McGhee -130

Mauricio Ruffy -1100 vs James Liontop +700

Viviane Araujo +240 vs Karine Silva -298

Bo Nickal -1450 vs Paul Craig +850

Charles Oliveira -258 vs Michael Chandler +210

Jon Jones -625 vs Stipe Miocic +455


Any bets jumping out at you guys?

[Headsterx]

Jhonata Diniz by decision +700

Tybura gave a beatdown on Diniz... that was brutal.

[Headsterx]

Onama/Romero GTD +230

[Headsterx]

Onama/Romero GTD +230

Didn't think it would go past that exciting R1. Next!

Damon Jackson -230

[mackave]

jim miller never in doubt