[klemopixx]

After an abysmal 131-132-10 season (one game cancelled) it's time to wind it up for another season of shooting from the hip predictions. Each week I'll make my picks using the current lines at Scores and Odds at the time of the post. All picks not made before kickoff are considered losses and I'm not sure but that only came into play once last year when I was late on a Thursday pick.

My main idea behind this was the that I overthink my picks throughout the week and botch the bet on Sunday. Teams are what they are and my gut first choice is usually the best. Betting at a .500 clip isn't making anyone money. Let's hope it'a a better year.

[klemopixx]

Week one!

Thursaday Night special!

Lions vs (-6.5) Chiefs!

Sure the Lions are going to be a tough team this year but you give Andy Reid extra time to game plan and Big Red is usually gold. Wether it's the season opener or after a bye week, Andy has that team ready. Plus the season opener at home? I think they can score enough to keep it over a touchdown. Chiefs by a TD.

More to come before the weekend. GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!

FADE AT YOUR OWN RISK!

[klemopixx]

As you can see, placing a bet too early can be devastating. Rule of thumb says that I never change a pick after posting so I'm 0-1 for the year.

Here's the rest of the Week One action.

Panthers +3.5 over the Falcons LOSS

I'm thinking Bryce Young has a big first game, maybe not winning this outright but keeping it close. Need to see more of Desmond Ridder before I start betting on him. The Falcons have the better overall team but I'll go with the road dog here.

Houston vs -10 Baltimore WIN

Ravens will want Lamar to start the season with a bang so I'm expecting them to light it up for the home crowd. Ten points is an awful lot as it always leaves that backdoor cover open, but not today. I'm liking the Ravens here.

Bengals -1.5 at the Browns LOSS

Browns were looking good in the preseason but that means squat right now. It all depends on wether Burrow suits up or not. Right now? I'm thinking he does and that's enough to beat that spread on the road.

Jags -4.5 over the Colts WIN

Tough to pick against the home team in a division game but with Jacksonville is billing itself as a team that's capable of going deep in the playoffs. You have to beat a team with a rookie starter in his first game. Jags by a touchdown here.

Buccaneers at the -5.5 Vikings LOSS

Vikings should light it up at home because who knows what their defense is like this year. Baker Mayfield doesn't scare me much.

Titans +3 over the Saints WIN

Interesting game here as I'm wondering which offense will dominate more, the Titans running game or the Saints passing game? I'm thinking Tennesse controls the clock in the second half and grinds out a road win to start the season. The over (41.5) seems like a good pick too.

49ers -2.5 over the Steelers WIN

That defense needs to come up big with Kittle looking iffy right now. Will Brock Purdy continue his majic? Beating the Steelers in Pittsburgh is no small task but if you're going back to the NFC title game you're winning games like this. Niners by a FG.

Cardinals at the -7 Commanders LOSS

I know it's the first game but we'll see how well Sam Howell runs this offense. It's not like the Cardinals defense is a juggernaut so they should win this one easily. Commanders defense should set the tone early. Washington should roll.

Packers +1.5 over the Bears WIN

I like Jordan Love with this offense and I think he'll be better than most expect. Justin Fields will run crazy as usual, will he rise up now that he has some weapons? Packers still have a good defense. I think they squeak this one out late. Green Bay with the upset.

Raiders at -3.5 Broncos LOSS
A Russell Wilson comeback? We'll see about that but the Denver defense is still pretty good. Jimmy Garoppolo gets his shot with the Raiders offense. This should be a nasty division game. Broncos with the home win and cover.

Dolphins at the -3 Chargers LOSS

Miami starting the season on the Left Coast this year, in they can run the ball against that Charger defense then they have a shot. I'm not sure the Dolphins O-line is up to the task. It'll be up to Tua to win this one. My gut tells me the Chargers grind this one out for the home W.

Eagles -4 over the Patriots WIN

Birds have the more talented team here and even though it's Tom Brady Day in Foxborough, the Patriots will need a big defensive effort to stop Jalen Hurts. Birds by 10.

Rams at -4.5 Seahawks LOSS

No Cooper Kupp with a possible IR stint coming smells like the Rams might be tanking this year. Too early to tell. But it's not easy going into Seattle and scraping out a win. Too many question marks on the Rams to keep it close. Seahawks roll.

Cowboys -3.5 over the Giants WIN

A tough division matchup and I'd love to see the Cowboys get crushed but I'm not sure two rookie cornerbacks can handle Lamb and Co. here. Dallas by a TD.

Bills -3 over the Jets LOSS

I admit, I'm partial against Aaron Rodgers. I think the tank is empty here and he's just running on fumes. Two great defenses should keep this tight but I'm going with the Bills. Gut call here.


Good luck everyone, fade at your own risk!

[JAKEPEAVY21]

BOL Klemoid

[gauchojake]

Gl sir. .500 with some good bonuses picking every freaking game isn't bad.

[nyrb]

BOL man

[klemopixx]

YTD 7 - 9 Not the start I wanted.


Quite a first week in the NFL! Lots of surprises and it doesn't get any easier in Week 2




Thursday Night Football


Vikings +6.5 at the Eagles

My main lean here is the Vikings do NOT want to go 0-2 to start the year! Eagles are slightly banged up in the secondary, corner James Bradberry and safety Reed Blankenship are out along with LB Nakobe Dean which is not a good thing against the Vikings passing attack. Kenny Gainwell is also out but the Birds running backs are a next-man-up squad so I don't see it affecting that too much. Eagles are always tough at home and they might squeak this one out too but 6.5 seems too much for me. I'm taking the points with the Vikings.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Coming from a diehard Eagles fan I am surprised by this. No team wants to start 0-2, that doesn't mean that it won't happen! The Eagles roster is head and shoulders better than the Vikings. Philly also did not look great after going up 16-0 last week and Hurts made some mistakes(4th qtr fumble), I expect a spirited effort and them to come out and take care of business. Not to mention Kirk Cousins is beyond awful in primetime games and against teams above .500...I just don't think the Vikings are that good and they did it with smoke and mirrors last year, got every break and bounce and won every close game. Back to reality this year for Minnesota.

I will say that Philly has a few key injuries but I think they can withstand them due to their depth. I actually did not take the spread but have the Eagles in a numerous teasers and ML parlays. Maybe we can both win.

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Klem you’re playing way too many games so I hope this is just for entertainment purposes only? Focus on 2-3 top plays

[gauchojake]

He's playing the entire season Philly! I don't think he's actually betting every game but I could be wrong.

[klemopixx]

You are correct Jake. I'm predicting every game with the spread to see where I end up at the end of the year.

[klemopixx]

Coming from a diehard Eagles fan I am surprised by this. No team wants to start 0-2, that doesn't mean that it won't happen! The Eagles roster is head and shoulders better than the Vikings. Philly also did not look great after going up 16-0 last week and Hurts made some mistakes(4th qtr fumble), I expect a spirited effort and them to come out and take care of business. Not to mention Kirk Cousins is beyond awful in primetime games and against teams above .500...I just don't think the Vikings are that good and they did it with smoke and mirrors last year, got every break and bounce and won every close game. Back to reality this year for Minnesota.

I will say that Philly has a few key injuries but I think they can withstand them due to their depth. I actually did not take the spread but have the Eagles in a numerous teasers and ML parlays. Maybe we can both win.

The team is not the same one that went to the Super Bowl last year. Most of the big names are the same but I don't think even they know what their identity is yet this year. It sure looks like need to run the damn ball a lot more, that offensive line is one of the best out there. Teams are playing them differently too, everyone has their calendar circled on the Eagles game. I expect them to have a rough year against the spread.

[klemopixx]

Nice start to the week with that half point coming through on the Eagles game.


On to Week 2!

Chiefs -3.5 at the Jags

After a stinker of an opener the Chiefs bounce back big on the road. The Jags are a force to be reckoned with but I still don't think they're at the Chiefs level. As I said in the previous post, the fear of starting the year at 0-2 is a huge motivator in this league. Doesn't mean it won't happen but good teams rise to the challenge. Chiefs by a TD.

Ravens +3 at the Bengals

Bengals don't want that 0-2 collar but I think this Ravens team will stay close, maybe even get the upset. This is always a nasty division game so I'll take the points.

Raiders at the -8.5 Bills

Vegas comes east and it's never been a good time for them. Unlike Cinncinnati, the Bills come home and get back on track. Vegas is better but I don't think they hang with Buffalo. Bills by 10.

Seahawks at the -4.5 Lions

Detroit is this year's juggernaut. They can explode on offense and they've improved defensively. They should take this by a touchdown at least.

Chargers -2.5 at the Titans

This is more about believing in the Chargers more than a slight to Tennesse. It's Herbert's passing vs Henry's running and I'll go with the passing game here. Chargers get the W.

Bears at -2.5 Bucs

Chicago just doesn't impress me. Sure Justin Fields could go off for 4 TD's here but that squad doesn't inspire confidence from me. I'll take the Bucs at home.

Packers +1.5 at the Falcons

I think Jordan Love is gonna have a big year. Falcons can be tough at home but I think this Packers team takes the road win.

Colts at -1 Texans

Two rebuilding teams with rookie QB's so literally anything can happen here. I'll go with home field advantage, Texans by 3 but it's a coinflip at best. Don't bet this game.

49ers -7 at the Rams

Another nasty division game here but I think these Niners are on a mission this year. Tempted to take the Home dog but I think SF blows them away but 2 TD's.

Giants at the +4.5 Cardinals

Talk about avoiding the 0-2 starts, NY needs this game bad with a rough schedule coming up. A loss here would send Giants fans into a panic. And it might happen! Personally I think the Giants O-line isn't as bad as the Cowboys made it seem but they aren't great either.
I'll take the home dog +4.5 but I think NY gets the win.

Jets +8.5 at the Cowboys

Big test for Zack Wilson here. I think he'll do enought to keep it close, Jets defense is for real. I'll take the points.

Commanders at the -3.5 Broncos.

Tough defensive battle but I can't see the Broncos dropping their first two...at home!Denver by a TD

Dolphins at +2.5 Patriots

Belichick is a home dog two weeks in a row! I think that defense gets to Tua and makes it a long day for Miami. That home dog is barking! I'll go Pats.

Saints -3 over the Panthers

Saints have a better roster right now. Although I'm expecting Bryce Young to go off soon.
Saints by a TD

Browns -2.5 over the Steelers

Can Pittsburgh lose the first two at home? The Browns looked dominating last week, this would be HUGE victory against a nasty division rival. Look out for Cleveland!

As always fade at your own risk!
Good luck everyone!

[JAKEPEAVY21]

get em

[klemopixx]

Week 2 Recap


7-7-2 for the week after a blazing start. It's tough to get a positive week when you're picking every game. It brings the YTD totals to 14-16-2.


Let me jump on this Thursday Night game right now.

Giants at -10 Niners

Incredible comeback by the Giants last week. Daniel Jones was on fire in that second half. If he plays like that the G men have a real shot but the Giants RT Evan Neal has been a revolving door this year and Nick Bosa might camp out in front of him all night. Barkley might play against this defense he might reconsider. This Niners team is no joke and I expect them to blow the doors off the Giants. 49ers by two touchdowns.

[klemopixx]

Boom!
Niners are for real, Giants are pretenders. Nice start to the week, let's get this done!


Chargers at -1.5 Vikings
Two good offenses, two suspect defenses although the Vikings showed some grit against the passing game of Philly. I expect the Chargers to run the ball down their throat all day. Vikings will light it up with the passing game. I expect the Vikings to score more. Minnesota by a field goal.

Titans at the -3.5 Browns
Losing Nick Chubb was a bad break for Cleveland and the Titans are a good run stopping team anyway. Deshaun Watson hasn't done squat since signing that big contract. Gut call here but Browns win with Watson finally lighting it up.

Texans at -8.5 Jags
Jacksonville held the Chiefs to 17 so maybe this defense is coming together. Houston facing some injuries on the offensive line so I'm guessing the Jags do enough to beat the 8.5 spread. My main concern is the garbage time points.

Patriots -2.5 at the Jets
Two good defenses in what might be a rainy sloppy game. I'll give the edge to Belichick not going 0-3 to start the year. U36.5 might be a play here too.

Saints at -1.5 Packers
I like what Jordan Love is doing this year although this is a tough test. Saints get Kamara back next week and Carr is definitely a better QB. Pack might do enough to win this at home but this is a coin toss for me. I'll go with home field here.

Broncos at the -6.5 Dolphins
Denver has a good defense but Russell Wilson hasn't hit his stride. Dolphins look like real contenders and I like that this spread is under a TD. I'll take the Fish at home.

Bills at the +6.5 Commanders
Washington might be for real but they get a tough test going against Buffalo. Bills looked like a contender last week. Two good defenses here so I'll take the home dog. u43.5 looks good too.

Falcons at -3 Lions
Interesting matchup here with the Falcons playing good balanced ball while the Lions are trying to look like conrenders. I'm not sure Ridder can win the game for them although i love their running game. I'm liking the Lions here at home.

Colts at -8.5 Ravens
Minshew is a good backup and the Ravens are missing a bunch of starters. Lamar Jackson needs to play like a star for this team to beat that spread. I'll go with the Ravens but I HATE that spread.

Panthers at -5.5 Seahawks
I like Bryce Young but this is a tough trip for Carolina to try to win in Seattle. Seahawks should cover easy.

Cowboys -12.5 at the Cardinals
This looks like another blowout here as that Dallas defense should dominate. Cardinals defense isn't bad but got exposed by the Giants last week. This shouldn't be close.

Bears at -12.5 Chiefs
Another mismatch here with Mahomes picking apart that Bears pass defense. I'm just waiting for Justin Fields to take a bad shot and go down. He's a good QB but this offense isn't clicking now.

Steelers at the -2.5 Raiders
Pittsburgh is not the team it used to be IMHO, and neither are the Raiders. I think Vegas runs the ball and keeps Pickett off the field although he hasn't looked great either. Time for Garropolo to grind uot a win.

Eagles at +4.5 Buccaneers
Birds haven't hit their stride offensively and that's a concern. They won't be able to run the ball like they did on the Vikings a week ago. Baker Mayfield has played well but he'll have to be on his toes against that Eagles front four. Eagles win but don't cover.

Rams +2.5 against the LA Rams
Burrow is nicked up and not playing well and Stafford is looking good. Can the Bengals go 0-3? Things are not looking good in Cinncinnati. I'm liking the Rams here.

As always the spreads were taken from Odds and Scores at the moment this post was written, good luck to everyone this weekend.


GO BIRDS!

[klemopixx]

Half points cost me TWO games this week! Week 3 totals came to 7-9 and the YTD comes to 21-25-2.

I'm rather surprised that the Cowboys and Ravens choked against weaker teams but that's why they say Any Given Sunday.


Onto Week 4 and the Thursday Night Game.

Lions -1.5 at the Packers
Jordan Love had a nice comeback on Sunday and I really like that Green Bay team but these Lions are for real. Should be a shootout at Lambeau for the division lead. In the end the Lions have too many weapons. Detroit by 6

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Half points cost me TWO games this week! Week 3 totals came to 7-9 and the YTD comes to 21-25-2.

I'm rather surprised that the Cowboys and Ravens choked against weaker teams but that's why they say Any Given Sunday.


Onto Week 4 and the Thursday Night Game.

Lions -1.5 at the Packers
Jordan Love had a nice comeback on Sunday and I really like that Green Bay team but these Lions are for real. Should be a shootout at Lambeau for the division lead. In the end the Lions have too many weapons. Detroit by 6

Half points cost me TWO games this week!

Klemo, these #s are super-tight. Props for posting. GL this week.

[klemopixx]

Thanks Chucky!

Fourth week of the season is where the pretenders start to fall away and the contenders start the rise to the top. All that early season teams that struggled will bring it together here but as they say, ANY GIVEN SUNDAY!


Early early early Sunday game
Falcons at -3 Jaguars
Home game for Jacksonville across the pond. I have to take the Jags here. They're better than their record says and even though ATL is a good team, I can't see Ridder outplaying Lawrence in this one. A loss here puts the Jags in a bad spot to start the season and I can't see it happening. Jags by a TD

The rest of the Sunday action on WEEK FOUR!

Dolphins at -3 Bills
Miami puts up 70 last week but comes back to earth for this road game. I still wonder if this team is for real and a win today would prove it but the Bills are warming up after a crappy opening loss to the Jets. I think the Dolphins come back to earth today. Bills by 4.

Vikings at +4.5 Panthers
First battle of the winless teams today and I like the number on this one. Vikings may get the W but I'm expecting the Panthers to hang in there at home and maybe get the upset. Both teams suck against the run so I expect a grind it out type of game. I'm going with the home dog here.

Bears at -3.5 Broncos
Second battle of the winless and Denver is the better team overall as I'm not sure what the Bears have going for them at all. Until Fields starts looking like he did in the past I can't confidently take Chicago. Denver gets in the win column here.

Ravens at the -2.5 Browns
If Watson plays its definitely a Browns pick because Baltimore is banged up across the board and that Cleveland defense is for real. Tough spot here because of the last minute decision but I'm thinking he plays. Love these division games as this one will be decided by no more than a FG. I'll take the home team.

Steelers -3 at the Texans
Houston O-line is banged up and against this pass rush? Stroud will be running for his life all day. I'll go with Pittsburgh here.

Rams +1 against the Colts
Anthony Richardson is back and that's a plus but Stafford has been looking like his old self. I'm taking LA here as I'm not sure about that Colts secondary. Rams by 4

Buccaneers at the -3.5 Saints
Kamara returns for the Saints and it will give Winston a boost as he takes some of the pressure off. Two teams that as good or as bad as you think. Baker Mayfield can play but he always seems to make that costly mistake. I'll take the Saints but I hate the spread.

Commanders at -8.5 Eagles
Washington came back to earth last week against the Bills. Eagles are getting their wheels turning behind a stellar running game although they face a tough test here. Giving up 8.5 in a division game is NOT ideal but that Eagles pass rush is hot! Sam Howell will be under a lot of stress today. Birds by 10.

Bengals -2.5 at the Titans
Cincy starts rolling along with Burrow finally healing up. Titans need to put the pressure on and I'm thinking they don't have it. Bengals by 7

Raiders at -6.5 Chargers
Garropolo is out so I expect this line to get to 7. Chargers are one of the teams that are better than 1-2 and I expect them to get it done against a Raiders team still looking for an identity. Chargers by 10.

Patriots +6.5 at the Cowboys
Dallas should bounce back after that bad loss last week but you can't count Belichick out, especially with 6.5 points. New England keeps it close with that good defense.

Cardinals at -14 Niners
I hate giving up 14 but this San Fran team is damn good. I can't see AZ running like they did last week, not on this defense.
Niners by a ton.

Chiefs -8.5 at the Jets
I can't believe the Jets can't find anyone better than Zach Wilson. Such a shame to waste a season. Mahomes slowly carves this defense up for the road win. Chiefs by 10

Seahawks -1.5 at the Giants
NY with its back against the wall here with a tough schedule coming up. It's hard to overcome a bad o-line but the giants aren't a bad team. Tough call here but Daniel Jones is headed for injury if they don't do something to protect him. Seattle by a TD


Good luck everone! Fade at your own riskQ

GO BIRDS!

[klemopixx]

Another disappointing 7-9 week with the half point spread coming out even at 1-1

What is going on this year? We're the Giants a mirage last year? Are the Bengals ever going to get it in gear? At least the Bills look like contenders after that Week 1 stinker. And the Eagles just keep finding ways to win in spite of not looking dominating at all. Parity controls this league.


Week Four 7-9
YTD totals 28-34-2


Thursday Night Bullshit that you can't see unless you have Prime

Bears at the -7 Commanders
Justin Fields finally woke up last week and put up some points. However this Washington defense has a great secondary and Sam Howell is pretty good if you get him some protection. I think the Commanders make it a long night for Fields. Commanders by 10


I'll get to the rest of the nonsense by Saturday. Good luck everyone!

[klemopixx]

So much for that great Washington secondary! They shot their wad against the Eagles last Sunday and came out flat while Fields torched them for 3 TD's in that first half. Game over.


Onto Week Five,


Sunday morning bullshit

Jags at -5.5 Bills
Can a trip across the pond slow down this Bills offense? On paper it looks like a mismatch and I expected this line to be around 7. Jags were there last week so maybe the abcense of travel will help them? I dunno, it's still the Bills. I say Buffalo by a TD.

Texans +1.5 at the Falcons
C.J. Stroud looks like the real deal while Desmond Ridder looks like...Desmond Ridder. Can the Falcons defense put enough pressure on that makeshift offensive line to make Stroud struggle? ATL needs to stick to that running game to win this one. I'm thinking the Texans win this outright.

Panthers at -9.5 Lions
Lions look like contenders while the Panthers Bryce Young doesn't have the weapons to contend. The only way I see them covering is with a good defensive effort and Detroit takes a game off like Washington did on Thursday. I'll take the Lions at home.

Titans at the +2.5 Colts
Tennesse came alive against the Bengals last week and the Colts Anthony Richardson is playing better every week. Just a hunch but I think Richardson will be enough to hold off that pass rush while I'm not sure Tannehill can win this game with his arm. I'm going with the home dog. Colts by one.

Giants at -12.5 Dolphins
The Giants look pathetic outside of that comeback against the Cards. They might be able to hang with Miami but with the Phins coming off a big loss in Buffalo? I think they score early and often. Dolphins blowout at home.

Saints +1 at the Patriots
This totally depends on Derek Carr playing because Jameson Winston blows. Mac Jones isn't doing much better but Carr would be enough to get the win here. I'm thinking he plays. Saints by 4

Ravens -4.5 at the Steelers
Baltimore always struggles in Pittsburgh but with Pickett banged up I can't see them winning this one. That offense is bad enough but with Trubisky at the helm? No chance. Pickett might give it a shot but he'll get pressure all day. Ravens are the better team.

Bengals -3 at the Cardinals
Burrow is struggling with that calf injury and AZ is playing over its head. A recipe for disaster here but I can't see them getting shut down again. They lose here and they're in deep trouble. Bengals by 7.

Eagles at +4.5 Rams
The return of Cooper Kupp spells trouble for the Birds secondary who are already struggling. The loss of Fletcher Cox doesn't bode well for the Eagles who need to get to Stafford to win this one. I love the Birds but the home dog is barking here. Rams by 3

Jets +2.5 over the Broncos
Denver has looked beatable every week but that defense has gone south fast. Jets defense keeps it close while Zach Wilson finally gets a defense he can beat. Jets by 6

Chiefs -3.5 at the Vikings
Classic spot for a home dog here but aside from Cousins/Jefferson connection I don't think the Vikings have enough to compete with a KC squad that hasn't hit stride yet this year. Seems ike a trap here but I'm going with KC by a TD.

Cowboys +3.5 at the Niners
Best game of the week! Either team can take this game over or win it on the last drive. Niners might win it but that 3.5 points looks too good to not take Dallas. I'm taking Cowboys with the points.

Packers +1.5 at the Raiders
Crappy MNF contest and Vegas could take this with Garroppolo playing. I'm still on the Jordan Love bandwagon so I think the Pack can squeeze out a road win. Green Bay by 3.


As usual fade at your own risk! Good Luck!

[klemopixx]

Week Five saw me go 7-7
YTD 35/41/2

Can't believe how the Eagles continue to get better while the Ravens continue to get... weirder? Softer? I know it was a division game on the road but they're supposed to be contenders. Cowboys got their doors blown off and the Jags find some life across the pond. This is a crazy year.


Thursday Night Amazon only!

Broncos at the -10.5 Chiefs
Chiefs at home, division game. Broncos playing horrible football. Is there a way that they win this? Or even hang close? Getting double digit points is a lot in the NFL but I can't take Denver. I just can't. Chiefs roll.


I'll post the rest of Week Six on Saturday. Good Luck everyone!

[klemopixx]

Good start to the week with that late field goal for the Chiefs!


Here's the rest of the action for Week Six!

Ravens -4.5 at Titans
Lamar has played well but that offense doesn't impress me that much. Titans have a good pass rush, not really confident in that secondary. Not really a home field advantage with playing overseas, I'll go with Baltimore to cover.

Commanders +1.5 at the Falcons
Washington has had plenty of rest after that debacle against the Bears. ATL is playing good but i still have no faith in Ridder. Commanders by a FG.

Vikings at the +3 Bears
No Jefferson for the Vikes makes this a closer game and who knows if Fields gets hot? I'll go with the home dog Bears.

Seahawks at -2.5 Bengals
Cincy is back! At least I hope they're back. Seattle coming off the bye presents a tough challenge but I think Burrow is feeling better now. Bengals by a TD.

49ers -9.5 at the Browns
The Browns have a damn good defense but I'm not sure they're ready for this team. I'm riding the hot team. Niners by 10.

Saints -1.5 at the Texans
Stroud is on fire but this is a good Saints defense. Carr will do enough to squeak this one out. Saints by 4.

Colts at -3.5 Jags
Jacksonville is gaining steam while the Colts go with backuo Gardner Minshew. In Indy I would take the Colts but I like the Jags at home by a TD.

Panthers at -14.5 Dolphins
Giving up over 2 TD's is a rough spread but I can't go with this Panthers team, especially on the road. Betting with my head. Dolphins in a rout.

Patriots at -2.5 Raiders
What is going on with this Belichick team? They're playing historically bad and I'm not sure if this isn't the end of the line for the Hall Of Fame coach. Raiders by 4.

Lions -3 at the Bucs
Detroit is on fire and the Bucs have Baker Mayfield. That's all the info I need. Detroit by 7.

Cardinals at -7 Rams
What a difference Cooper Kupp makes! Even though they lost to the Eagles last week, that offense looks different with a star WR. Cards are no pushover but.. oh wait. They're really not that good. Rams by 2 TD's.

Eagles -6.5 at the Jets
I can't take Zac Wilson to win them a game against an undefeated team. Even though the Eagles are missing two defensive starters, their offense should grind out another win. Birds by a TD

Giants at -15.5 Bills
I can't see the Giants doing anything against this juggernaut. Maybe a backdoor cover? Probably not. Bills by a LOT.

Cowboys -1.5 at the Chargers
Dallas got their asses whopped by the Niners last week, I expect a better effort. Chargers are no slouch either. I can't see Cowboys losing two in a row. Dallas by 4.


Good luck everyone! Fade at your own risk!

Go Phillies!
Go Birds!

[klemopixx]

Week Six saw me go a stellar 10-5 which makes my YTD 45-46-2

Let's get this in the green!

Thursday Night Amazon garbage.

Jags at -1.5 Saints

Jags have been on Prime Time a lot considering the 2 Sunday morning games. They took it to the Colts last week while the Saints got beat on the road by the Texans. I think the scenario is flipped this week with both teams on a short week and the Saints at home. I like the Saints here with Carr having a big night. Saints by 7.

[klemopixx]

Goddamn Derek Carr can't keep his head on straight. I was sure this was a letdown game for the Jags but the Saints couldn't pull it off. Give credit to Trevor Lawrence for playing well with a bum knee. Onward to the rest of Week Seven.


Falcons at -2.5 Buccaneers

Desmond Ridder vs Baker Mayfield, far from a stellar matchup but both have been playing well. I'm tempted to go Falcons here but the Tamps Bay defense is the edge here at home. Literally a coin flip here because each QB could throw a stinker in at any time. I like the Bucs by a FG.

Raiders -2.5 at the Bears

Both QB's are doubtful though if Justin Fields gut out the start hecould be enough to win it. I'm thinking he doesn't go so the Raiders it is. Another coin flip. Raiders by 7.

Browns -3.5 at the Colts

With Richardson out indefinitely the Colts are stuck with Minshew who can be hit or miss. Against this defense? I like the Browns by 7.

Lions +3 at the Ravens

This is a big matchup for both teams. Montgomery being out really hurts the Lions here but Lamar Jackson hasn't impressed me much this season. I'm taking the points in a game that should be very close. Lions by 3.

Bills -8.5 at the Patriots

Buffalo should rebound after a shoddy effort against the Giants last week. I'm not sure what to think of the Patriots but to be getting 8.5 at home in a division game? They're struggling. This goes against all my instincts here but I'm taking Buffalo to put a beatdown on Belichik. Bills by 2 TD's.

Commanders -2.5 at the Giants

New York has benn playing a lot better but this is a physical Washington defense. It'll be close but I like the Commanders by a FG.

Cardinals at the -7.5 Seahawks
Cards have also played tough the first few games but it's no joke going against the Seahawks at home. Seahawks by 10.

Steelers at -3 Rams
Rams have no RB's and against this Steeler D that could be really bad. I still think that Pittsburgh is a phony and they'll struggle to keep Kupp under wraps. Rams by 7.

Chargers at the -5.5 Chiefs
Chargers on the road and with a short week here against the underperforming Mahomes and Co. I just can't go against the Chiefs at home, even with the -5.5 spread. Chiefs by a TD.

Packers -1.5 at the Broncos
Packers coming off a bye and Broncos coming off a loss on TNF against the Chiefs. I sense a letdown here against a good Green Bay defense. Packers by a FG.

Dolphins +2.5 at Eagles
The return of Jalen Carter should help the Philly D but this is going to be a shootout at the Linc. I'm taking the Fish here with that high scoring offense. Philly secondary has too many injuries.

49ers -7 at the Vikings
No Jefferson means no elite options for Kirk Cousins aginst tough and physical defense. Niners bounce back after last week's loss. Niners by 10.

As always bet with your head, not over it. Good luck and fade at your own risk.

Go Birds!

Go Phillies!

[klemopixx]

Pathetic.

2 wins 11 losses for the week. Embarrassing.

this leaves me 47-57-2 for the year. How low can we go? Let's look at Week eight.


Thursday Night Garbage

Buccaneers at -8.5 Bills

Buffalo couldn't get past Belichick last week and Tampa couldn't outlast Atlanta? Can Baker Mayfield actually outplay this Buffalo defense? I smell a stronger home effort for the Bills. Buffalo by 10.


Screw it, I'm picking the whole weekend right now. It can't get worse than last week.

Sunday games

Saints at the +1.5 Colts
Gardner Minshew can sling the ball and so can Derek Carr. I'm going with the home dog here in a battle of two mediocre teams. Colts by a FG.

Jaguars at the +2.5 Steelers
Jags are the hot team but so are the Steelers. A close battle between two rising teams. Have to take the Steelers at home. Pittsburgh by 3.

Texans at +3 Panthers
Houston is the better team but the Panthers aren't going winless this year. Another home dog, Carolina by 3.

Eagles-6.5 at the Commanders
Washington always plays them tough but this Eagles team is on a mission. Eagles by 7.

Rams at the -6.5 Cowboys
Still can't believe the rams lost at home to the Steelers. This Cowboy defense should hold them off. Cowboys by 10.

Jets at the +3 Giants
Two good defenses, two weak offenses, one low scoring game. I'll take the FG with the Giants.

Falcons -2.5 at the Titans
Did Tennessee go into tank mode? Trading away an All-Pro safety for late picks when they're 2-4? I think there's more to come. Falcons by 10.

Vikings -1.5 at the Packers
Green Bay just doesn't have it all together while the Vikings upset the Niners last week. I see a trend. Vikings by a TD.

Browns at the -3.5 Seahawks
Browns have a great defense but it's tough to win in Seattle. Seahawks by a TD.

Bengals +3.5 at the Niners
Cincy needs this game badly and Brock Purdy lost his All-World look last week. I'll go with the Bengals.

Ravens -8.5 at the Cardinals
Baltimore is hitting stride, let's see how they handle a west coast trip. Cardinals need to tank. Baltimore by two TDs.

Bears at -8.5 Chargers
Chicago showed some life last week but the Chargers need this one bad. Chargers by 10.

Raiders at the -8.5 Lions
Detroit had their ass handed to them last week in Baltimore. Home cooking should do them good and the Raiders aren't there yet. Lions by 10.


All gut picks here. Go get em guys. Good luck to all.

[klemopixx]

MISSED TWO GAMES!!!!

Patriots at the -8.5 Dolphins
Patriots on the road against the Dolphins who are coming off a SNF loss to Philly. Pats have a good D but I'm not sure they can score enough to hang with this quick strike team. Phins by 10.

Chiefs -7 at the Broncos
Mahomes is perfect against Denver in his career and there's no reason to believe that will change this Sunday. Chiefs by 2 TD's.

Good Luck everyone.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

You aren't going to beat NFL by laying the points on 8/8 games with a spread of 6.5 or more.

[klemopixx]

You aren't going to beat NFL by laying the points on 8/8 games with a spread of 6.5 or more.

Not in today's NFL.

[klemopixx]

OK gang it's been a long week for me. Didn't get my pick in for the Titans/Steelers game so that's a loss. Last week I was 8-7-1 fpr a yearly total of 55-64-3


Let's do this!

Week Nine

Dolphins +1.5 over the Chiefs
Tough to cap these overseas games as there's no real home field advantage. One would expect the Chiefs to bounce back after last week's embarrassing loss but Miami can put up points too. I'll take the Phins by 6.

Vikings at -3.5 Falcons
Losing Cousins has to be a death knell for this year's Vikings squad. Although these two teams are close in talent, I expect the home cooking to work for Atlanta. Falcons by 7.

Seahawks +5.5 at the Ravens
Coming east is never easy for the west coast squads, but I think this Seattle team can hang with Baltimore. Backdoor cover here.

Cardinals at the -11.5 Browns
Yes that's a LOT of points but that Browns defense is for real. I don't expect much out of AZ in this matchup. Cleveland by 2 TD's.

Rams +3 at the Packers
Even if Stafford doesn't play I can't back the Jordan Love led Packers. I thought he was the real deal but now I'm not so sure. Rams in a squeaker.

Buccaneers +3 over the Texans
Texans have the better QB but Buccaneers have a better squad overall. Tampa by 1.

Commanders at the -2.5 Patriots
Fire sale on the DL in Washington means they're playing for a draft pick now. Always tough to beat Belichick at home. Pats by 3.

Bears at the -8.5 Saints
Tyson Bagent? Nah he ain't doing that again. Derek Carr breaks it open. Saints by 2 TD's.

Colts -2.5 at the Panthers
Minshew will be able to move the ball, just enough to beat this rebuilding Carolina squad. Give Bryce some weapons!
Colts by 3.

Giants at -1.5 Raiders
This NY team is just a shell of last years' team. The Raiders aren't much better but they'll take the home win in Daniel Jones' return. Raiders by 3.

GAME OF THE WEEK!
Cowboys at -3 Eagles
The Birds only chance to beat them is in Philly so I'm taking them here. Birds haven't done well against Dak but Jalen Carter is going to get Dak running. This should be a great game. Eagles by 4.

Bills at -1.5 Bengals
Another great game! Burrow has been on fire lately so I'm going with the hot hand here. Bengals by 6.

Chargers -3.5 at the Jets
Jets D is carrying this team but I think San Diego will find ways to get in the end zone. Jets offense is mediocre at best.
Chargers by a TD.

As usual, fade at your own risk!

Good luck everyone.
Go Birds!

[klemopixx]

A measly 7-7 last week after a horrible start. YTD totals are 62-71-3


On to Week Ten!

Thursday Night Football

Panthers +3 at Bears
Two teams going absolutely nowhere. Bears playing to get ahead of Carolina in the draft. I'll take the points. Panters by 3

Colts -1.5 over the Patriots
Colts showing some life with Minshew at QB. New England is joining the club playing for a draft pick. Sad way to see Belichick's career end like this. Colts by 7

Browns at -6 Ravens
Excellent game here. Can the Ravens stay hot against a very good Browns defense? If this was played in Cleveland I might go the other way. But Lamar is the difference in this one. Baltimore by 7.

Texans at -6.5 Bengals
CJ Stroud has been hot, same with Joe Burrow. The line staying under 7 sways me to go with the home squad. Cincy by 7.

49ers -3 at Jacksonville
Trevor Lawrence gets a big test here with a tough Niners defense looking to get back on the winning track. We'll get to see if the Jags are for real. I'm guessing this one is a bit over their head. San Fran by 7

Saints -2.5 at the Vikings
Derek Carr is the difference here as the Vikes come back to earth after beating the Falcons. Saints by 7

Packers at -3 Steelers
Two mediocre teams, Steelers positioning themselves for a Wild Card spot. Steelers by 4

Titans at -1.5 Buccaneers
A battle (if you can call it that) of two 3-5 teams. Baker Mayfield looked good last week in that loss to Houston. He plays well enough to take this at home. Bucs by 3

Falcons at +1.5 Cardinals
No Ridder hurts this Atlanta team more thanI thought. Cards get the mild upset, AZ by 3

Lions -3 at the Chargers
We get to see if Detroit is for real. A game they SHOULD win but you never know on the road. Lions squeak it out by 4

Giants +16.5 at the Cowboys
Dallas should be pissed after that loss in Philly last week. Giants should be pissed about the early season beatdown they took at the start of the season. 16 and a half is just too much. I'll take the points with the G men.

Commanders +6 at the Seahawks
Sam Howell has been on fire and can keep this game close. Washington with the backdoor cover here.

Jets at +1 Raiders
As good as that defense is, that's how bad the offense is for NY. Raiders with enough to take this at home. Raiders by 3

Broncos at the -7.5 Bills
Was going to pick Denver here but Buffalo needs a strong home win and MNF gives them the chance. They're better than 5-4. Bills by 10


Good luck everyone, fade at your own risk!

[klemopixx]

So far it's an improved 7-4-2 with the Monday Night game still to come. (Bills -7.5)

YTD totals are 69-75-5

Maybe I can get in the black this year after all.

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Klem sent u a trade proposal in Mpashs league

[klemopixx]

Klem sent u a trade proposal in Mpashs league

Meh. I'm not tanking yet.

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Meh. I'm not tanking yet.

Rice for Brown is not considered Tanking