2023 name 10 teams that won't make the playoffs.

**Easy-Rider 66** · 08-16-23, 09:11 PM

MIAMI
HOUSTON
INDY
NEW ENGLAND
GREEN BAY
TENNESSE
ARIZONA
DENVER
LAS VEGAs
LA RAMS

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-16-23, 09:19 PM

Pretty cool. IMHO, the AFC side looks pretty easy.

The big question is: *Will the Jets break thru?

Barring a Tua injury in MIA, I say NO. Jets will be a busto team. Salah will get canned...but he'll get another HC job in two years.

**Easy-Rider 66** · 08-16-23, 09:23 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Pretty cool. IMHO, the AFC side looks pretty easy.

The big question is: *Will the Jets break thru?

Barring a Tua injury in MIA, I say NO. Jets will be a busto team. Salah will get canned...but he'll get another HC job in two years.

Will TUA stay healthy Chucky? BIG ?. NYJ D is pretty good. I have been reading on the forums that most seem to be down on the Jets Chances this year. Yeah the O Line issues might become a problem. Get that fixed and NYJ make the playoffs. My 2 cents.

**Optional** · 08-16-23, 09:30 PM

Nice job Laker. But couldn't you come up with a more unique idea? Like who will top all 8 divisions

Seems a waste to have two contests predicting the same thing.

**DwightShrute** · 08-16-23, 09:31 PM

Patriots
Texans
Colts
Commanders
Cardinals
Rams
Buccaneers
Panthers
NY Giants
Packers

**lakerboy** · 08-16-23, 09:33 PM

Originally posted by Optional

Nice job Laker. But couldn't you come up with a more unique idea? Like who will top all 8 divisions

Seems a waste to have two contests predicting the same thing.

Predicting 10 teams to miss the playoffs is difficult. Predicting 6 isn't.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-16-23, 11:05 PM

Originally posted by Optional

Nice job Laker. But couldn't you come up with a more unique idea? Like who will top all 8 divisions

Seems a waste to have two contests predicting the same thing.

Opti, you want to hear an Oddball pick?

*GBay to win Division.

My logic is pretty simple:
*GB QB transition won't be as big of a dropoff as the market suggests.
*Chi QB got some hype, mostly b/c their defense was bad. And they made an awful trade shipping LB R.Smith.
*Min was incredibly lucky last year. The markets sniffed that out.
*Det hasn't had this much optimism in a while. Campbell was on the hot-seat early last year. And do you believe in Goff?

**jackpot269** · 08-17-23, 12:22 AM

I don't understand exactly what you mean here on the 60%

''Those who send points and make picks before week 1 starts( sep 7/8pm) will get priority treatment on winnings. So they will get paid 60% of the pot.''

**Ratpack** · 08-17-23, 07:13 AM

Rams
Cardinals
Bucs
Bears
Browns
Raiders
Commanders
Broncos
Texans
Colts

**lakerboy** · 08-17-23, 08:13 AM

Originally posted by jackpot269

I don't understand exactly what you mean here on the 60%

''Those who send points and make picks before week 1 starts( sep 7/8pm) will get priority treatment on winnings. So they will get paid 60% of the pot.''

Yes if you pick before week 1 you are in the higher pot. If you pick just before week 2 you go to the lower pot. You can still win either way. Now if no one from the higher pot wins then obviously the lower pot can win 100%.

**jackpot269** · 08-17-23, 08:16 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Yes if you pick before week 1 you are in the higher pot. If you pick just before week 2 you go to the lower pot. You can still win either way. Now if on one from the higher pot wins then obviously the lower pot can win 100%.

Thanks for explanation.

**jackpot269** · 08-17-23, 08:21 AM

Washington
Cardinals
panthers
Colts
Texans
Browns
bears
Rams
Steelers
Broncos

**Ian** · 08-17-23, 08:45 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Predicting 10 teams to miss the playoffs is difficult. Predicting 6 isn't.

The median no-juice price on the 10 teams with the longest odds to make the playoffs is -350, which roughly correlates to a 22% chance of making the playoffs. The chance of dodging a 22% outcome 10 times is less than 1/2 of 1%.

If you aren't refunding entries if nobody hits then the 5 current entrants are being paid 4:1 on a greater than 200:1 outcome. You may want to reconsider the following rule:

ONLY winners will be paid and points will be split amongst winners.

**OldBill** · 08-17-23, 10:48 AM

1.Bears
2.TEXANS
3.Cardinals
4.Eagles
5.Panthers
6.Buccaneers
7.Colts
8.Wash.
9.Broncos
10.Browns

**lakerboy** · 08-17-23, 08:45 PM

Originally posted by Ian

The median no-juice price on the 10 teams with the longest odds to make the playoffs is -350, which roughly correlates to a 22% chance of making the playoffs. The chance of dodging a 22% outcome 10 times is less than 1/2 of 1%.

If you aren't refunding entries if nobody hits then the 5 current entrants are being paid 4:1 on a greater than 200:1 outcome. You may want to reconsider the following rule:

It's for points and fun. It's not that serious. Plus if you think your contest is better for value then so be it. A dead dog can pick 6 teams to not make the playoffs. I did it last year for fun in your contest and did not bother with the points. That's a joke contest. 6 teams lol.

**Eddy Munny** · 08-17-23, 09:00 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

It's for points and fun. It's not that serious. Plus if you think your contest is better for value then so be it. A dead dog can pick 6 teams to not make the playoffs. I did it last year for fun in your contest and did not bother with the points. That's a joke contest. 6 teams lol.

Yeah, but didn't you pick the Eagles this year?

So that one's dead already... must not be that easy if you can't string two years in a row together.

**lakerboy** · 08-17-23, 09:14 PM

Originally posted by Eddy Munny

Yeah, but didn't you pick the Eagles this year?

So that one's dead already... must not be that easy if you can't string two years in a row together.

I have balls. Look at my picks from last year. I didn't just go with the obvious picks. The Eagles will not be in the playoffs this year. I thought you followed the NFL.

**Eddy Munny** · 08-17-23, 09:52 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I have balls. Look at my picks from last year. I didn't just go with the obvious picks. The Eagles will not be in the playoffs this year. I thought you followed the NFL.

There's like a 2% chance of that happening. Even if Hurts got injured right out of the gate they'd probably make the playoffs.

Let's be honest, if that contest paid out a $1,000,000 to anyone who successfully picked six non-playoff teams, rather than betpoints or cabbage soup or whatever the purse is, you're going back to the drawing board and churning out your real picks... Eagles wouldn't even sniff the cut.

**Easy-Rider 66** · 08-17-23, 09:59 PM

Originally posted by Eddy Munny

There's like a 2% chance of that happening. Even if Hurts got injured right out of the gate they'd probably make the playoffs.

Let's be honest, if that contest paid out a $1,000,000 to anyone who successfully picked six non-playoff teams, rather than betpoints or cabbage soup or whatever the purse is, you're going back to the drawing board and churning out your real picks... Eagles wouldn't even sniff the cut.

Laker is a shot taker IMO Eddy. Having written that Probably better chance than 2% chance that Philly does not make the playoffs. Good luck gentlemen.

**JohnGalt2341** · 08-17-23, 10:47 PM

Originally posted by Eddy Munny

There's like a 2% chance of that happening. Even if Hurts got injured right out of the gate they'd probably make the playoffs.

Let's be honest, if that contest paid out a $1,000,000 to anyone who successfully picked six non-playoff teams, rather than betpoints or cabbage soup or whatever the purse is, you're going back to the drawing board and churning out your real picks... Eagles wouldn't even sniff the cut.

You can get -400 that they make it. That's a hell of a good deal if you aren't being too hyperbolic. According to the Books, they give them around a 76% chance. I'd say that's about right. Stranger things have happened.

I also think there will likely be a team or 2 that will destroy most peoples picks. If anyone gets all 10 right, I will be surprised.

**jackpot269** · 08-17-23, 11:56 PM

How many did the Jags put out last year?

NYG may have put a few out too!

**Eddy Munny** · 08-18-23, 05:11 AM

Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66

Laker is a shot taker IMO Eddy. Having written that Probably better chance than 2% chance that Philly does not make the playoffs. Good luck gentlemen.

What does "shot taker" mean in the context of the contest though? It's a win/lose proposition so Panthers pays the same as Eagles.

**Easy-Rider 66** · 08-18-23, 07:00 AM

Originally posted by Eddy Munny

What does "shot taker" mean in the context of the contest though? It's a win/lose proposition so Panthers pays the same as Eagles.

Yeah good point Eddy. But just trying to say that Laker seems to be a contrarian player at times. THX.

**d2bets** · 08-18-23, 07:30 AM

1. Cardinals
2. Texans
3. Bucs
4. Raiders
5. Patriots
6. Titans
7. Panthers
8. Packers
9. Colts
10. Commanders

**Eddy Munny** · 08-18-23, 05:04 PM

1. Cards
2. Rams
3. Panthers
4. Colts
5. Titans
6. Raiders
7. Falcons
8. Commanders
9. Vikings
10. Packers

(Top 6 for the other contest)

**OldBill** · 08-19-23, 10:30 AM

wish we could do this for cash money in sports books imagine the pay out

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-19-23, 02:43 PM

Originally posted by jackpot269

How many did the Jags put out last year?

NYG may have put a few out too!

Very true. Can Jax/NYG do make the playoffs again this yr?

THAT'S why they play the games.

**RM Logic** · 08-20-23, 07:12 PM

1. Arizona
2. Houston
3. New England
4. Cleveland
5. Tampa Bay
6. Carolina
7. Atlanta
8. LA Rams
9. Indianapolis
10. Washington

**d2bets** · 08-20-23, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by OldBill

wish we could do this for cash money in sports books imagine the pay out

I imagine the odds would be a ripoff.

**3PtShooter** · 08-20-23, 07:43 PM

arizona
houston
indy
tampa bay
tenn
las vegas
washington
la rams
new england
carolina

**jackpot269** · 08-20-23, 08:02 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Very true. Can Jax/NYG do make the playoffs again this yr?

THAT'S why they play the games.

Exactly or as I like to say
that's why they tee it up !

Goat, like most I used to go a lot of Saturday and Sunday everybody get drunk and watching football get togethers.
After most were intoxicated I could really piss some off.
They be talking about stats and what each team needed to win.
I'd come in after it was already good and heated up, and say all hell you can throw all that shit out the window all that matters is the final score.
My brother-in -law was pretty much a bad azz and his best friend was too, can't tell you how many times they kept me from getting my azz kick.
Good times and memories those days are gone!
Every weekend during football season it was a party!! The later it got the more people that showed up. On Saturday for sure Collage football is bigger around here than Pro. Most times we would still be going strong at daylight on Sunday morning.

**lakerboy** · 08-20-23, 08:43 PM

See this is a real contest. That's why so many guys are afraid to enter. 6 teams to miss the playoffs is easy if you WANT to win. This will be much different. This is where the men play.

**gauchojake** · 08-20-23, 09:05 PM

I sent my points but every time I go to make picks my hands shake uncontrollably.

**johnnyvegas13** · 08-21-23, 12:56 PM

Excuse me for asking but aren’t point s worthless