some Heat all the way +850

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 05-19-23, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

seems apropro

Ballsy move. Good Luck:

1) On one hand, seems like Heat are playing way over their heads. See their shooting mark last out, super-impressive.

2) Flip-side: I've posted this b4. How much BETTER are the Heat without Herro (and Oladipo)?
...Herro seems like a black-hole to me. Herro took more shots (per possession) than Butler. Think about that.

**Snowball** · 05-19-23, 04:43 PM

Spoelstra

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 05-19-23, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

Spoelstra

Guy must be pretty good. Also, I'm convinced this Boston coach sucks.

**Headsterx** · 05-19-23, 05:55 PM

B2B... DAMN!!!

**ThaTopMoron** · 05-19-23, 06:37 PM

if they get to the Finals they will get beaten down like the Knicks in 99 v Spurs looking for Twin tower title

they would face den looking to win first nba finals or lebron looking to win what would most likely be his 5th and final ring

**homie1975** · 05-19-23, 06:57 PM

celtics win the series. 6 or 7 games

**Mac4Lyfe** · 05-19-23, 07:21 PM

Heat steal game 2 too???

**homie1975** · 05-19-23, 07:23 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Heat steal game 2 too???

No. Not at all.

Barring major injury it is 1-1 after tonight.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 05-19-23, 07:28 PM

Originally posted by homie1975

No. Not at all.
Barring major injury it is 1-1 after tonight.

This Heat team is just wired different. They are all underdogs that know they have to give 110%. The Celtics have a lot of guys that are entitled and raised with a silver spoon. Those types panic under pressure. This game feels like either a Celtics blowout or a very close Miami win in the end.

**homie1975** · 05-19-23, 07:30 PM

Heat shot over 50% from field and three last game.

Cs shot well from 2 but not 3.

Both teams move to the mean.

Cs win but close imo.

I took heat +10

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 05-19-23, 08:20 PM

'ball, I'm pulling for you. 42-42.

A few things I'm monitoring:
*Celts: Robert Williams looks healthy, guy is playing well.
*Celt guards: getting killed tonite.
*Miami: have mentioned this b4. How much better are they WITHOUT Herro?

**Headsterx** · 05-19-23, 10:07 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

seems apropro

**Mac4Lyfe** · 05-19-23, 10:50 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

This Heat team is just wired different. They are all underdogs that know they have to give 110%. The Celtics have a lot of guys that are entitled and raised with a silver spoon. Those types panic under pressure. This game feels like either a Celtics blowout or a very close Miami win in the end.

Miami for the win...

**homie1975** · 05-19-23, 11:10 PM

**stevek173** · 05-20-23, 08:22 AM

How did he know?!

**Snowball** · 05-20-23, 10:18 AM

**OldBill** · 05-20-23, 10:26 AM

Originally posted by stevek173

How did he know?!

he knew he just knew

**Snowball** · 05-21-23, 11:46 AM

not hedging yet anyway
a little concerned about facing Denver
Line trying to tell the public Celtics win Gm 3
could happen but still see Heat winning this series
Jimmy Butler coach Spoelstra and crew

**OldBill** · 05-22-23, 10:52 AM

heat smashed the weak celtics omg up 3-0 Snowball your gonna be Rich

**RunBookRun** · 05-22-23, 11:34 AM

this is 50% Celtic choking, Denver will outscore Heat. Miami no one to handle Jokic

**JIBBBY** · 05-22-23, 11:37 AM

Snow balls chance in hell Snowy! Nuggets to strong.

If Jokic and Murray get hurt in tonight's game you have a chance.

**OldBill** · 05-22-23, 12:26 PM

i think nuggetts have holes and heat have heart and playing as a team havent followed B ball at all this year

lil bit in bases

**homie1975** · 05-22-23, 12:28 PM

great Hit Snower

it is as good as done.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 05-22-23, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

not hedging yet anyway
a little concerned about facing Denver
Line trying to tell the public Celtics win Gm 3
could happen but still see Heat winning this series
Jimmy Butler coach Spoelstra and crew

Lookin' good, 'ball. Need one more win to get to the Finals, still have to get it.

**Snowball** · 05-22-23, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Lookin' good, 'ball. Need one more win to get to the Finals, still have to get it.

yeah, lol, if I didn't hedge up 2-0, certainly not now.
will wait though, as Heat currently only -1100 to get there

**homie1975** · 05-22-23, 05:45 PM

teams down 0-3 in an NBA playoff series are 0-149 winning the series.

by weds night the lakers will be gone,

and I expect by tomorrow night the celtics will have gone bye-bye.

0-151 very soon.

lakers and celtics ZERO chance of winning each series. ZERO ZERO ZERO

**Snowball** · 05-24-23, 05:45 AM

Since the bet was +850 I hedged it this morning at +220 Celtics series.
If the Heat win the series I will hedge again. Cost only 45.5/850.
Reduce +850 to 805.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 05-24-23, 03:21 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

Since the bet was +850 I hedged it this morning at +220 Celtics series.
If the Heat win the series I will hedge again. Cost only 45.5/850.
Reduce +850 to 805.

Very reasonable.

**actiondan** · 05-28-23, 04:33 PM

sorry snowy looked very promising at one point. still live though

**pimike** · 05-28-23, 06:15 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

not hedging yet anyway
a little concerned about facing Denver
Line trying to tell the public Celtics win Gm 3
could happen but still see Heat winning this series
Jimmy Butler coach Spoelstra and crew

They won’t see Denver

**Snowball** · 05-30-23, 07:25 AM

Originally posted by Snowball

Since the bet was +850 I hedged it this morning at +220 Celtics series.
If the Heat win the series I will hedge again. Cost only 45.5/850.
Reduce +850 to 805.

I did the math. I can either have a risk-free, covered bet on Miami with a +225% payout, or a risk-free, covered bet on Denver with a +56.25% payout at these current odds of -400. Although I don't give Miami much of a chance, @ -400 the two home games at Denver are already priced to automatic. Therefore, if Denver wins Gm1, the line should not rise out of my profitability zone. But if Miami somehow has the right game plan, and Denver is rusty from a long layoff, the line would cut in half or so. I'm hyper-priced to the Denver line, for example if it was -350 instead of -400, a Denver bet would net me 106.25%.
For now I'll sit.

**pavyracer** · 05-30-23, 08:26 AM

Nice win snowie!

**Snowball** · 05-30-23, 09:00 AM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Nice win snowie!

grazie Paver

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 05-30-23, 10:26 AM

Back in the game.