Will a #1 seed win the tournament?

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  • flyingillini
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 41219

    #1
    Will a #1 seed win the tournament?
    I think one of them will.
    המוסד‎
    המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
  • Otters27
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 07-14-07
    • 30749

    #2
    A lot of these teams are too sloppy. Alabama best chance
    Comment
    • jackpot269
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-24-07
      • 12821

      #3
      I'm on Bama so you probably want to fade!
      Comment
      • johnnyvegas13
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 05-21-15
        • 27799

        #4
        Yes but not bama
        Comment
        • d2bets
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-10-05
          • 39990

          #5
          Nah
          5+ seed wins this year
          Comment
          • jackpot269
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-24-07
            • 12821

            #6
            Originally posted by d2bets
            Nah
            5+ seed wins this year
            I would bet you my 500 bet points to your 250 that a 4 or less wins.

            You would have 5+ seeds and up and I would have 4 seeds and below

            Its just bet points

            just let me know today
            Comment
            • jackpot269
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-24-07
              • 12821

              #7
              Originally posted by jackpot269
              I would bet you my 500 bet points to your 250 that a 4 or less wins.

              You would have 5+ seeds and up and I would have 4 seeds and below

              Its just bet points

              just let me know today
              I will make it 600 to your 250 bet points
              Comment
              • JAKEPEAVY21
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-11-11
                • 29221

                #8
                Nope
                Comment
                • Husker36
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-02-08
                  • 3846

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jackpot269
                  I will make it 600 to your 250 bet points
                  I'll bet all of my points that a #1 wins it all
                  Comment
                  • jackpot269
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-24-07
                    • 12821

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Husker36
                    I'll bet all of my points that a #1 wins it all
                    I've got Bama to win it all but if you want to bet your 292 that a one seed wins and I get the field ill take that bet. Just confirm in this thread today or we can make a thread.
                    Comment
                    • d2bets
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 39990

                      #11
                      Originally posted by jackpot269
                      I will make it 600 to your 250 bet points
                      lol OK. It's a terrible bet on my part, but I did make the statement. You got it. 600/250.
                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 65200

                        #12
                        Since the tournament went to a 64 team format 37 years ago, a #1 seed has won 24 times.
                        65% of the time a #1 seed wins.

                        A #1 seed has won the last five tournaments, 11 out of the last 15, and based solely on that trend alone, and the way Alabama looked yesterday and Houston all season, I wouldn't fade that trend, not to mention KU has a very real chance to repeat.
                        Comment
                        • jackpot269
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-24-07
                          • 12821

                          #13
                          Originally posted by d2bets
                          lol OK. It's a terrible bet on my part, but I did make the statement. You got it. 600/250.
                          Ok it's a bet. Sense it's for points I'll say
                          GL
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #14
                            Bama firing on many cylinders.

                            But there are lesser seeded teams with a lot of talent.

                            So hard to predict whether it will be a number 1 but we do know a number 1 will be in the running down the stretch.
                            Comment
                            • d2bets
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-10-05
                              • 39990

                              #15
                              Originally posted by KVB
                              Bama firing on many cylinders.

                              But there are lesser seeded teams with a lot of talent.

                              So hard to predict whether it will be a number 1 but we do know a number 1 will be in the running down the stretch.
                              I'm equally confident that at least 1 of the 1's go down this weekend.
                              Comment
                              • jackpot269
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-24-07
                                • 12821

                                #16
                                Originally posted by d2bets
                                I'm equally confident that at least 1 of the 1's go down this weekend.
                                Lot of really good teams this year.
                                Didn't think zona would go down 1st rd!
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by d2bets
                                  I'm equally confident that at least 1 of the 1's go down this weekend.
                                  Can't argue with that. I think at least one falls too.

                                  Purdue and Houston walking a fine line going forward.

                                  We want Memphis to take on Purude, but if it's Florida Atl, it's still no cakewalk for Purdue.
                                  Comment
                                  • DrunkHorseplayer
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-15-10
                                    • 7719

                                    #18
                                    A mid major has never won it so you can toss Houston.
                                    Comment
                                    • coop-dog
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-11-20
                                      • 944

                                      #19
                                      marquette
                                      Comment
                                      • d2bets
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 39990

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by d2bets
                                        I'm equally confident that at least 1 of the 1's go down this weekend.
                                        Well, that was fast. Disappointed, because I was looking forward to fading Purdue on Sunday.
                                        Comment
                                        • d2bets
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 08-10-05
                                          • 39990

                                          #21
                                          Quick and resounding no on this one.
                                          Comment
                                          • d2bets
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-10-05
                                            • 39990

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by d2bets
                                            lol OK. It's a terrible bet on my part, but I did make the statement. You got it. 600/250.
                                            I'm certainly a dog, but I do have half of the Elite 8 to work with.
                                            Comment
                                            • JIBBBY
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-10-09
                                              • 83691

                                              #23
                                              Only a #2 seed is left standing..

                                              No #1 seeds will even make the final 8 now. Strange year in March madness this go around..
                                              Comment
                                              • d2bets
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-10-05
                                                • 39990

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                Only a #2 seed is left standing..

                                                No #1 seeds will even make the final 8 now. Strange year in March madness this go around..
                                                Expectedly unexpected from the known unknowns.
                                                Comment
                                                • d2bets
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                  • 39990

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by d2bets
                                                  I'm certainly a dog, but I do have half of the Elite 8 to work with.
                                                  Seeds 4,5,5,9
                                                  I got 3/4 of the Final Four to work with. Not bad.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jackpot269
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 09-24-07
                                                    • 12821

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by d2bets
                                                    Seeds 4,5,5,9
                                                    I got 3/4 of the Final Four to work with. Not bad.
                                                    Your in good shape, I guess that makes me a UConn fan.
                                                    No matter how it ends up you did good with your projections, of how it would come down! Even if uconn wins not many saw 3 seeds 5 and above in the final 4!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • d2bets
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                      • 39990

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by jackpot269
                                                      Your in good shape, I guess that makes me a UConn fan.
                                                      No matter how it ends up you did good with your projections, of how it would come down! Even if uconn wins not many saw 3 seeds 5 and above in the final 4!
                                                      Wide open year. But I'm a FAU fan now. Holding a six figure 500-1 ticket . Very small ticket on SDSU too.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • stevenash
                                                        Moderator
                                                        • 01-17-11
                                                        • 65200

                                                        #28
                                                        I have a +2100 ticket on UConn.

                                                        I see hedging possibilities in the Miami game, thing is my policy has always been if you're going to hedge than why place the wager in the first place?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • d2bets
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-10-05
                                                          • 39990

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by stevenash
                                                          I have a +2100 ticket on UConn.

                                                          I see hedging possibilities in the Miami game, thing is my policy has always been if you're going to hedge than why place the wager in the first place?
                                                          That is generally true, and certainly 100% true for parlays. For high odds futures, it's a little different. But you definitely want to do any hedging in an optimal manner.

                                                          When you're talking about several hundred to one type futures, it's perfectly reasonable to bet it as a value play and then to hedge some when it's created a lot of value.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • stevenash
                                                            Moderator
                                                            • 01-17-11
                                                            • 65200

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by d2bets
                                                            That is generally true, and certainly 100% true for parlays. For high odds futures, it's a little different. But you definitely want to do any hedging in an optimal manner.

                                                            When you're talking about several hundred to one type futures, it's perfectly reasonable to bet it as a value play and then to hedge some when it's created a lot of value.
                                                            I'm waffling back and forth.
                                                            Right now the best price I can get on Miami money line Saturday is a tad over +200
                                                            +201 at one shop. +205 in another.

                                                            The region bet has been graded, that's money in the bank, I'm playing with house money now.
                                                            The UConn wager to win it all is 50 dollars at +2100.

                                                            Right now I'm considering hedging just for the original 50 dollar outlay.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • d2bets
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 08-10-05
                                                              • 39990

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by stevenash
                                                              I'm waffling back and forth.
                                                              Right now the best price I can get on Miami money line Saturday is a tad over +200
                                                              +201 at one shop. +205 in another.

                                                              The region bet has been graded, that's money in the bank, I'm playing with house money now.
                                                              The UConn wager to win it all is 50 dollars at +2100.

                                                              Right now I'm considering hedging just for the original 50 dollar outlay.
                                                              Yeah, I mean I don't think you'll kick yourself if you win but give back 50 or 100 from a 1050 win. But if you hedge the first game you almost then have to also hedge the final as well.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevenash
                                                                Moderator
                                                                • 01-17-11
                                                                • 65200

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by d2bets
                                                                Yeah, I mean I don't think you'll kick yourself if you win but give back 50 or 100 from a 1050 win. But if you hedge the first game you almost then have to also hedge the final as well.
                                                                That's the first thing I considered, (you are very good at this, a second opinion never hurts, but this is not my first rodeo either, lol) which is why I am waffling back and forth as to hedge Saturday, if I do and UConn advances, than I have to consider a second hedge Monday, and I am not fond of two hedge bets, even though you would think UConn v. FAU/SDSU would be, what? -400/+300 give or take?

                                                                There's variables involved here.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JIBBBY
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                                  • 83691

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Wish I could go back in time to early March to the start of the tournament and know what I know now!

                                                                  I'd be off to Vegas with stacks of high society and blasting all the sportsbooks with winning parlays! Make millions and millions!

                                                                  Somebody please give me a crystal ball please!


                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jackpot269
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-24-07
                                                                    • 12821

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                    I have a +2100 ticket on UConn.

                                                                    I see hedging possibilities in the Miami game, thing is my policy has always been if you're going to hedge than why place the wager in the first place?
                                                                    I HAVE A $25 TO WIN $400 ON UCONN.
                                                                    Had only $100 total of futures
                                                                    $50 Bama
                                                                    $25 Gonzaga
                                                                    GL Steve
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JohnGalt2341
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-31-09
                                                                      • 9138

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                      Wish I could go back in time to early March to the start of the tournament and know what I know now!

                                                                      I'd be off to Vegas with stacks of high society and blasting all the sportsbooks with winning parlays! Make millions and millions!

                                                                      Somebody please give me a crystal ball please!


                                                                      Comment
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