1. 02-26-23 10:33 PM #1
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    2023 SBR NFL Invite-Only Handicapping Contest_Initial Invites

    OK, this is a follow-up from the successful 2022 "NFL Contrarian Angle" thread.

    If 2022 was pointed toward Group Think to identify ATS winners, this will be a contest format. Use whatever reasoning you like. Here are the basic parameters I'm planning on:

    1) Only one pick per week. You aren't required to post a pick each week. If you miss a week, that's zero Net for the week.

    2) Design will be to pick against frozen Pinnacle lines. Pick window will be THUR, 8pm to 10pm. I'll post the Pinnacle line at 8pm. Pick window will line up to roughly halftime of the Thursday game. You can select any game EXCEPT the Thursday game(s).

    3) I will be arbiter. I will only scratch a game if # moves 10-cents or more and I deem the fixed line to no longer be any good.

    4) Line will be listed as Decimal lines. So, something like 1.96 vs 1.96. Each pick made is for $100 risk that week (IE, $100 to win $96).

    5) Contest standings will be based on Net Units over course of the season.

    6) Plan is to run weeks 1 thru 17. I normally skip Week 18 because of so many Dead Rubbers.

    7) Will be paying real prize money to the winners out of my own pocket.

    8) Scheduled payout structure:
    *1st (must be >0 net) = 0.010 BTC
    *2nd (must be >0 net) = 0.005 BTC
    *3rd (must be >0 net) = 0.003 BTC
    *Bottom of the rung (must be <0 net) = 0.002 BTC

    9) I'll exclude myself from participation. Will list my own pick just for Exhibition.

    These rules can be tweaked. Will ask for more input at a later date.
    Points Awarded:

    sallymott gave ChuckyTheGoat 100 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 2 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: stake1, and jackpot269
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  2. 02-26-23 10:38 PM #2
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Plan is to limit the pool to 20 posters. With no further ado, here is the initial list of poster invites.

    Ten participants from 2022, plus ten invited SBR luminaries. If I made any blatant omissions, my apologies.

    Poster ACCEPT DECLINE
    Agenda Man
    edawg
    Jackpot
    JakePeavy
    Money Shot
    Nate Rasta
    Old Bill
    Polo
    TheLock
    USC Philly Guy

    Poster ACCEPT DECLINE
    Johnny Vegas
    Lakerboy
    Machba
    Manny24
    Milwaukee Mike
    Optional
    Orbison
    Raiders
    Snowball
    str
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  3. 02-26-23 11:18 PM #3
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Hey Chuck cool idea. but be careful on providing BTC to the winners. SBR has long stood against financial transactions between posters. Not sure with the new ownership if that has changed. GL.
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  4. 02-26-23 11:34 PM #4
    agendaman
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    wow chucky here we go again man.i accept the invite.just waiting for sept.tx again.
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  5. 02-27-23 03:11 AM #5
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Easy-Rider 66 View Post
    Hey Chuck cool idea. but be careful on providing BTC to the winners. SBR has long stood against financial transactions between posters. Not sure with the new ownership if that has changed. GL.
    OK. Thanks, EZ. Appreciate the heads-up.

    In this case, I'd view it more as "prize-$$" or a gift. I'm not charging an entry fee.

    If someone tells me that I can't do it, of course, I'll abide by that ruling.
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  6. 02-27-23 03:12 AM #6
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by agendaman View Post
    wow chucky here we go again man.i accept the invite.just waiting for sept.tx again.
    OK. Thanks, Agenda. Looking forward to the season, per usual.
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  7. 02-27-23 04:00 AM #7
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    OK. Thanks, EZ. Appreciate the heads-up.

    In this case, I'd view it more as "prize-$$" or a gift. I'm not charging an entry fee.

    If someone tells me that I can't do it, of course, I'll abide by that ruling.
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  8. 02-27-23 08:11 AM #8
    pologq
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    assuming we are still here come next NFL season I am definitely in

    is there a min number of picks for the season? like out of the 17 weeks how many weeks do you need to pick?
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  9. 02-27-23 10:39 AM #9
    Nate rasta
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    Thanks Chuck, count me in
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  10. 02-27-23 10:44 AM #10
    Optional
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    Thanks Chucky.

    I'll give it a shot, but not sure my NFL picks are going to help "group think" very much.
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  11. 02-27-23 12:12 PM #11
    Cabo
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    looks like fun
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  12. 02-27-23 03:31 PM #12
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Thanks Chucky.

    I'll give it a shot, but not sure my NFL picks are going to help "group think" very much.
    Cool, Opti. Don't feel obligated, if you don't like NFL.

    Not worried about group-think this year. Every man for himself.
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  13. 02-27-23 03:34 PM #13
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by pologq View Post
    assuming we are still here come next NFL season I am definitely in

    is there a min number of picks for the season? like out of the 17 weeks how many weeks do you need to pick?
    Salud, Polo. Yes, I thought about that. Prob (site shutting down) is > Prob (getting stiffed by me).

    Very good question. As of now, I'm not putting a MIN on the # of bets over the season. I'm hoping that the competition will dictate that.

    There is a chance someone runs out to a big lead. But I can't imagine they'd be in a position to shut it down at mid-season.

    I would also be willing to accept people's picks privately in final week. Just in case someone is worried about Game Theory.
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  14. 02-27-23 04:18 PM #14
    Snowball
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    If you do this, Chuck, someone else can have my spot, just because I don't handle crypto at all anymore.
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  15. 02-27-23 04:28 PM #15
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    If you do this, Chuck, someone else can have my spot, just because I don't handle crypto at all anymore.
    OK, ball. If you decide to play, I'd be happy to send you any winnings in USD or silver-coin equivalent. Your call.
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  16. 02-27-23 04:43 PM #16
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    OK, ball. If you decide to play, I'd be happy to send you any winnings in USD or silver-coin equivalent. Your call.
    Thanks but I'm really just a day bet pounder... afraid of forgetting.
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  17. 02-27-23 05:24 PM #17
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    Thanks but I'm really just a day bet pounder... afraid of forgetting.
    OK, 'ball. I hear you. Good Luck on your plays, catch you later.
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  18. 03-02-23 06:00 AM #18
    MalikHusam
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    Awesome idea! Will be following this.


    Also to make it even more fun....Let's make a third pool of 10, and run an MLB (or NBA Playoffs) qualifiers to get into it?


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  19. 03-02-23 06:44 AM #19
    agendaman
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    chucky the home and away games for each team in the 2023 season are out.actual schedule released in may i be,lieve.my 49rs drew a favorable 17 games.
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  20. 03-02-23 10:47 AM #20
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by MalikHusam View Post
    Awesome idea! Will be following this.


    Also to make it even more fun....Let's make a third pool of 10, and run an MLB (or NBA Playoffs) qualifiers to get into it?


    Thanks, Malik. Responses on this have been very slow. I actually wonder about the future of this site.

    Hard to get a 20-man pool. And I'm literally giving $$ away.

    I was thinking about NCAABask post-season. Coll Bask betting has whipped me. Would have to be someone else to run it.
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  21. 03-02-23 10:49 AM #21
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by agendaman View Post
    chucky the home and away games for each team in the 2023 season are out.actual schedule released in may i be,lieve.my 49rs drew a favorable 17 games.
    Salud, Agenda. Yes, important how your schedule falls. Every year, one team can accumulate a phony record.

    My key view for 2023 will be watching for the AFC to emerge as the power conference. So many young QBs in the AFC. And the Eagles didn't really acquit themselves well as Super Bowl favorites.
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  22. 03-02-23 02:08 PM #22
    Optional
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    the "invite only" feature probably does not encourage others to post in thread. And have you let the invitees know by PM? That might help too.
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  23. 03-02-23 02:17 PM #23
    str
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    Sorry I'm late.

    I'm in Chucky.

    Thank you !
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  24. 03-02-23 02:39 PM #24
    manny24
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  25. 03-02-23 03:43 PM #25
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by str View Post
    Sorry I'm late.

    I'm in Chucky.

    Thank you !
    OK, awesome, str. Hope we get enough guys to play.
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  26. 03-02-23 03:43 PM #26
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    the "invite only" feature probably does not encourage others to post in thread. And have you let the invitees know by PM? That might help too.
    Thought I was more popular, Opti.
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  27. 03-02-23 03:44 PM #27
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by manny24 View Post
    Haha-ha. Very nice, manny.
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  28. 03-02-23 04:48 PM #28
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Plan is to limit the pool to 20 posters. With no further ado, here is the initial list of poster invites.

    Ten participants from 2022, plus ten invited SBR luminaries. If I made any blatant omissions, my apologies.

    Poster ACCEPT DECLINE
    Agenda Man
    edawg
    Jackpot
    JakePeavy
    Money Shot
    Nate Rasta
    Old Bill
    Polo
    TheLock
    USC Philly Guy

    Poster ACCEPT DECLINE
    Johnny Vegas
    Lakerboy
    Machba
    Manny24
    Milwaukee Mike
    Optional
    Orbison
    Raiders
    Snowball
    str
    Ok chuck since I on the list I am in
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  29. 03-02-23 05:47 PM #29
    klemopixx
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    Oh so fukk me right?


    I lay my ass out there with a thread picking the entire regular season but I'm not committed enough to get in? If anyone dies or pussies out then I'll give it a go.
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  30. 03-02-23 05:53 PM #30
    toddsclowns
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    the "invite only" feature probably does not encourage others to post in thread. And have you let the invitees know by PM? That might help too.
    Lol, “invite only,” my guess is you win a timeshare in downtown Chicago
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  31. 03-02-23 06:55 PM #31
    manny24
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    if Machba no shows Klemo should get in Chucky both guys greek killers i think even trade
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  32. 03-02-23 07:56 PM #32
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    Ok chuck since I on the list I am in
    Geez, don't get so excited. Not like it's a shot at free money or anything.
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  33. 03-02-23 07:57 PM #33
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by manny24 View Post
    if Machba no shows Klemo should get in Chucky both guys greek killers i think even trade
    OK, manny. Yes, will have to scout a Plan B list.

    Seems like there is some interest building. A lot of interest was generated in the 2022 weekly threads. I think we can get to 20.
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  34. 03-02-23 08:38 PM #34
    USCPHILLYGUY
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    In
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  35. 03-02-23 08:59 PM #35
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by klemopixx View Post
    Oh so fukk me right?


    I lay my ass out there with a thread picking the entire regular season but I'm not committed enough to get in? If anyone dies or pussies out then I'll give it a go.
    Haha. Klemo, I wasn't sure you'd be interested. Since you were picking the whole board.

    Manny vouched for you, and that's a hell of a vote around here. Plenty of time on this, look out for an invite in the near future.
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