1. #1
    stevenash
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    Prop Bet I Really Like Today

    Jared Goff OVER 269.5 passing yards.

    This Vikings/Lions game is a wet dream for proposition players.

    Vikings and Lions have piss poor pass defenses, Vikings have given up over 3400 yards this season via pass, I did the math, Vikings yield 284 passing yards per game. That's dead last in the NFL.

    Lions aren't much better, they yield 252 passing yards per game.

    The game line is Lions -2.5
    The total is 51.5
    The implied score is Lions 27 Vikings 24

    I just spent the last hour, from 9am to 10am, looking at this game from every angle.
    You can make a case for Cousins and the Vikes, the best value in my opinion is Goff and the Lions, and here is why I think that.

    Amon-Ra St. Brown is on fire the past month, in the Lions past four games St. Brown has gone over 100 receiving yards three times, he could be good for 140 today.
    St. Brown has truly developed into a legit WR1

    Goff has other options too.
    DJ Chark was four yards short of 100 yards last week as he bitch slapped his former team, and I like Josh Reynolds as their ancillary receiver as well.

    Lions TE end game is non existent, they used to have Hockenson, he's playing for the other team today, but that doesn't matter...

    The secret sauce here IMO is the RB D'Andre Swift.
    Swift's a three down back and one of the better hybrid pass catching backs in the league.
    Not quite on the level as Ekeler or CMC, but close, and Swift is good for at least six or seven targets, and the feeling here is Swift is going to eclipse 35, maybe 40+ yards receiving yards out of the backfield pushing Goff's total over 270, close to 300 passing yards.

    Goff OVER 269.5 passing yards is my play

    This game really is a numbers geek, prop bet paradise.
    Not for nothing I looked hard at the Cousins props too, it's 279-282 range, and most shops have Cousins juiced at -130. No thanks, Goff is the better value here.

    That's my story and I'm sticking to it.
    Best of luck all, go get that Sunday football money.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: SBR Andy

  2. #2
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    I got over 271.5 and have Amon-Ra St. Brown over yards as well

  3. #3
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    I got over 271.5 and have Amon-Ra St. Brown over yards as well
    Let's cash this thing Harry.

    I've got a 20 dollar entry in the million dollar DFS contest...
    Goff/St. Brown/Swift Lions stack.

  4. #4
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Get em Nash!!

  5. #5
    pavyracer
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    I'm surprised books set the yards so low. This could be a shootout.

  6. #6
    Kermit
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I'm surprised books set the yards so low. This could be a shootout.
    Agree. I got it over 57 +170

  7. #7
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    Get em Nash!!
    Thanks Diggity Daggity Doobie.

  8. #8
    JIBBBY
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    Lions and Goff riding hot right now. Should land..

  9. #9
    KnuckleHeadz
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    My book has it at 274.5

  10. #10
    mama whoiscrying
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    Goff 275 on mine.

  11. #11
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnuckleHeadz View Post
    My book has it at 274.5
    I got 269.5 (FD) at 8am this morning, and it's still sitting there now.
    Screen shot as of two minutes ago.

    Believe me, I shopped around, the best value for this prop is at FD.



    2022-12-11
    ode to simplicity by william collins

  12. #12
    mama whoiscrying
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I got 269.5 (FD) at 8am this morning, and it's still sitting there now.
    Screen shot as of two minutes ago.

    Believe me, I shopped around, the best value for this prop is at FD.



    2022-12-11
    ode to simplicity by william collins
    Sorry I should have included in my reply that you got a very good number as I assumed you got it early and it moved. I'm still tempted at 275.

  13. #13
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I got 269.5 (FD) at 8am this morning, and it's still sitting there now.
    Screen shot as of two minutes ago.

    Believe me, I shopped around, the best value for this prop is at FD.



    2022-12-11
    ode to simplicity by william collins
    Not now or never I’m I questioning what you got Nasher.
    Just pissed I slept in this morning and most likely missed a better number..
    I ate the 274.5 so let’s get this Sir!

  14. #14
    JIBBBY
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    What if Goff gets sacked and injured? The only thing I hate about player props in the NFL is that injuries are always a concern to blow up your prop bets.

  15. #15
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    What if Goff gets sacked and injured? The only thing I hate about player props in the NFL is that injuries are always a concern to blow up your prop bets.
    The better books grade a prop bet like that a 'no action push' on a prop injury.

  16. #16
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    What if Goff gets sacked and injured? The only thing I hate about player props in the NFL is that injuries are always a concern to blow up your prop bets.
    What if you have a corrupt Zebra 🦓 that makes bullshit calls Jibby?
    🤣

  17. #17
    jjgold
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  18. #18
    mama whoiscrying
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    Just got it at Caesars 267.5 -125

  19. #19
    Allure
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    My book has it at 267.5 -110 - tailing, don't screw me nasher. While at it I also took Goff over 1.5 TD's. I mean all those yards need to yield some TD's?

  20. #20
    KnuckleHeadz
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  21. #21
    JIBBBY
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    Bovada 250 + yards at -190 alternate line. I'm biting on it. Let's go Goff! Don't fock me, don't you ever fock me TONY!

  22. #22
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnuckleHeadz View Post
    What if you have a corrupt Zebra 煉 that makes bullshit calls Jibby?
    Many "what if's" always.. ...

  23. #23
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnuckleHeadz View Post
    What if you have a corrupt Zebra 煉 that makes bullshit calls Jibby?
    What if my Aunt Sheila had a set of huevos, she'd be my Uncle Joe.

    Guys, I'm only human, all I ask is don't jump ugly on your pal Nasher if this prop bet falls short.
    I've been wrong before, and I'll be wrong again.
    This does look like the best prop today.

    GAME TIME
    LET'S GET THIS

  24. #24
    ThaWoj
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    This is the game i did my 10 leg 100% boost on draft kings. Overs galore.

  25. #25
    stevenash
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    BANG
    41 yard TD pass

  26. #26
    Kermit
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    Good start. Hopefully he can get 100 in the 1st quarter.

  27. #27
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    BANG
    41 yard TD pass

  28. #28
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    This guy Nasher fuks.


  29. #29
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    This guy Nasher fuks.


  30. #30
    USCPHILLYGUY
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    Nasher a good guy

  31. #31
    Kermit
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    Chark with a 48 yard TD

  32. #32
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by USCPHILLYGUY View Post
    Nasher a good guy
    Thanks, and right back at ya.
    Your Eagles are sticking it to my guys, all good, I was expecting this.

    Thanks for dropping in Philly.

  33. #33
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kermit View Post
    Chark with a 48 yard TD
    Yep.

  34. #34
    KVB
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    10/16, 147 yards, 2 TDs, 0 Int, 130.7 rating.

    6:34 left in the 2nd quarter.


  35. #35
    jjgold
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    Let’s go, let’s make this easy

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