NHL Pairity

[Jayvegas420]

NHL has always been unpredictable & difficult to pick from night to night, but the pairity seems undeniable so far this season.
Salary caps & draft rules have remained virtually unchanged so all I can think is that the dilution of talent is responsible for this, with 2 brand new teams in the last 3 years.
any thoughts?

[cincinnatikid513]

idk but look for the usual suspects when it counts in the deep playoff runs

tampa boston toronto carolina vegas colorado

[pologq]

it is hard cause the juice is high on the old reliable teams. hard to get under 200 prices now.

[Jayvegas420]

idk but look for the usual suspects when it counts in the deep playoff runs

tampa boston toronto carolina vegas colorado

Toronto

[cincinnatikid513]

Toronto

well at least one series for the leafs

[DwightShrute]

idk but look for the usual suspects when it counts in the deep playoff runs

tampa boston toronto carolina vegas colorado

Toronto? is it 1967?

[lakerboy]

Been doing very well with the NHL this season. Not sure if that lasts but I think betting dogs live is great as well. Games change so quickly.

[DwightShrute]

Its still early but Calgary isn't themselves and neither are the Canucks.

[Snowball]

It's not true parity, it's due to factors like experimentation of new plays, lines and emphasis not on wining per se but on figuring out what will work for them, and keeping the stars fresh for the long haul. These elements are what will define the team, not the regular season. Everyone wants to do what is required to make playoffs but leave room for experimentation and stay fresh legs. This is why contrarian chase and fade systems work very well in NHL through the mid-season.

[Jayvegas420]

Been doing very well with the NHL this season. Not sure if that lasts but I think betting dogs live is great as well. Games change so quickly.

Betting dogs after they are down one goal in the 1st period would be even more lucrative, seems like underdogs don't get off to a good start but come roaring back in the 3rd period.

[KVB]

Betting dogs after they are down one goal in the 1st period would be even more lucrative, seems like underdogs don't get off to a good start but come roaring back in the 3rd period.

What about faves that go down a goal early?

Been trying to work out these scenarios and the times involved but there’s so much less to work with than a sport like football that has down, distance, etc.

It’s a lot to take in.

Sort of like that black double dildo DDD uses, he said it’s a lot to take in.

I’d like to put more work in on this though, not the dildo, but the NHL live trading, I want to quantify the value there, because it looks there is some in certain situations, especially early.

[jjgold]

Parity every sport except Indy Car, Formula 1

[Jayvegas420]

I don't see much pairity in NCAA Basketball this year.
gonna be all #1 & #2 in the final 4
..watch out for Houston!

[KVB]

Parity every sport except Indy Car, Formula 1

This implies parity isn’t real. What do you mean by parity?

Do you mean anyone can beat anyone? Do you mean anyone can cover the spread against anyone? Are we talking moneylines here or spreads….which of the same thing just converted.

If parity was real, and quantifiable, then the sharpest money in the world would be on top of that, then wouldn’t all spreads become 0? We would buy down to nothing.

But that’s not what happens.

So if parody where what you say it is, then you should always be buying dogs, moneyline and spread.

Be careful, let’s not confuse variance with parity.

Sometimes I feel like that’s happening, not just at SBR, but in media too. It’s worth further discussion to clear up for those who try to handicap value and edges.

[KVB]

Parity or variance?

Show your work.

[KVB]

...Been trying to work out these scenarios and the times involved but there’s so much less to work with than a sport like football that has down, distance, etc....

...I’d like to put more work in on this though, not the dildo, but the NHL live trading, I want to quantify the value there, because it looks there is some in certain situations, especially early.

When it comes to periods, ike 1st period bets, we can find value, but it is a pretty tight market. We need recency bias to sway it a bit, like in the playoffs. We see it more in the playoffs, though last year was a bit funky with a streak of OVERs I think it was.

It's a little more difficult to assess LIVE value and because of that there is more likely to be value there, especially early, but it's tougher to pin down.

[Mike Huntertz]

Toronto? is it 1967?

Thinking the same thing, oxymoron....Toronto and deep playoff run!