1. #1
    arie1985
    arie1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-08
    Posts: 1,412
    Betpoints: 2353

    After losing $5k I played $2k on the Under 49.5 Minny/Philly

    I haven't posted here for a while - lost $5k betting on dogs and what's not - don't ask

    Anyway I wasn't even feeling ok to post a pick but my reasons to play the under were:

    • The line was too low for a game that seems to go over
    • Next week it's PHI-WAS, and so many times, even in MLB, prime time games are consisted of one team last play was OVER and the other UNDER.
    • So WAS was huge over against DET, they scored the highest total I think on Sunday (or 2nd highest for sure), so PHI must show a low score to bring more confusion for Sunday.

    What I'm trying to say is it felt to me as if the result was pre-determined.
    BUT,
    Halftime = 31 pts, I felt like it's burned, but B365 showed U48.5 still has chances of 3 to 1 so I felt like this can still go under - just never expected so many interceptions and exactly on the last moment when it's so crucial - not sure what to say .... it can't be fake, it can't be rigged, but if felt like the wrong bet to place is over because so many liked the over.... the public as well.

    Anyway had to take it off my chest, I'm still in a huge loss ... can't believe I risked again 2000 to win 13 and again ad 300 to 1 dog won the race in Australia - I really should do the opposite there, seems like you can risk 20 after 20 after 20 and you would probably win big, maybe 5 digits, but I've self excluded for 90 days, it was enough....

    Don't know how to treat gambling ... thinking of risking $5k on a "similar" game like today on the one hand, but on the other - not sure ...

    You simply have to against the rational and then you can win, but still - it's gambling - who the f knows what would really happen in the end of any game, right?!?!

  2. #2
    lonegambler23
    Org Mafia
    lonegambler23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-22-16
    Posts: 9,574
    Betpoints: 12536

    2k to win 1300 on the under? jeez horrific odds. what are your normal units? weve all been there man. best to tone it down

  3. #3
    arie1985
    arie1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-08
    Posts: 1,412
    Betpoints: 2353

    Quote Originally Posted by lonegambler23 View Post
    2k to win 1300 on the under? jeez horrific odds. what are your normal units? weve all been there man. best to tone it down
    No, 2000 to win 1850

    I lost 2000 to win 13 on dogs, greyhounds, in Australia .... literally $2000 risked to win $13 (like $8 + $5) a dog called Mystify yesterday in Northam - there was a photo finish and the judge of course always rewards the dog with the highest odds - it was on the exchange for 300 - 350 matched!!

  4. #4
    Foxx
    Foxx's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-25-11
    Posts: 5,279
    Betpoints: 4836

    Damn Arie. Eating 2000 to win 13 in horses is one crazy thing, but the with dogs is a whole other level of insanity. Congrats on hitting the under.

  5. #5
    arie1985
    arie1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-08
    Posts: 1,412
    Betpoints: 2353

    Quote Originally Posted by Foxx View Post
    Damn Arie. Eating 2000 to win 13 in horses is one crazy thing, but the with dogs is a whole other level of insanity. Congrats on hitting the under.
    Thanks, and you're right - it's a true new level of insanity.

  6. #6
    pologq
    Only 2 Girls Short of a Threesome
    pologq's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-07-12
    Posts: 16,099
    Betpoints: 246

    2000 to win 13? damn. obviously you know how that sounds. not going to say anything more.

    why not just keep your account funded with a low amount and try to get the "fix" that way?

  7. #7
    arie1985
    arie1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-08
    Posts: 1,412
    Betpoints: 2353

    Quote Originally Posted by pologq View Post
    2000 to win 13? damn. obviously you know how that sounds. not going to say anything more.

    why not just keep your account funded with a low amount and try to get the "fix" that way?
    Yup, that's what I'm doing now.

  8. #8
    pologq
    Only 2 Girls Short of a Threesome
    pologq's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-07-12
    Posts: 16,099
    Betpoints: 246

    Quote Originally Posted by arie1985 View Post
    Yup, that's what I'm doing now.
    i know it is easier said than done but wish you luck in doing that.
    Points Awarded:

    arie1985 gave pologq 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  9. #9
    gauchojake
    Fansplainer
    gauchojake's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-17-10
    Posts: 31,862
    Betpoints: 1600

    Arie do you have a son named Otters???
    Points Awarded:

    texhooper gave gauchojake 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/19/2022


  10. #10
    arie1985
    arie1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-08
    Posts: 1,412
    Betpoints: 2353

    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    Arie do you have a son named Otters???
    Nope, my son has a Jewish name lol, why?

  11. #11
    jjgold
    Update your status
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 390,482
    Betpoints: 612

    Settle down guy
    Your betting over your head

  12. #12
    lonegambler23
    Org Mafia
    lonegambler23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-22-16
    Posts: 9,574
    Betpoints: 12536

    Quote Originally Posted by arie1985 View Post
    No, 2000 to win 1850

    I lost 2000 to win 13 on dogs, greyhounds, in Australia .... literally $2000 risked to win $13 (like $8 + $5) a dog called Mystify yesterday in Northam - there was a photo finish and the judge of course always rewards the dog with the highest odds - it was on the exchange for 300 - 350 matched!!
    holy hell. otters jr we have on our hands. love hearing these dumb bets

  13. #13
    Foxx
    Foxx's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-25-11
    Posts: 5,279
    Betpoints: 4836

    Quote Originally Posted by arie1985 View Post
    I lost 2000 to win 13 on dogs, greyhounds, in Australia .... literally $2000 risked to win $13 (like $8 + $5) a dog called Mystify yesterday in Northam - there was a photo finish and the judge of course always rewards the dog with the highest odds - it was on the exchange for 300 - 350 matched!!
    Mystify's exchange starting price was 180. Appears you matched around 150, so it appears you beat the starting price at least. You can hang your hat on that. You do that consistently enough, you'll come out ahead.

  14. #14
    gauchojake
    Fansplainer
    gauchojake's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-17-10
    Posts: 31,862
    Betpoints: 1600

    Quote Originally Posted by arie1985 View Post
    Nope, my son has a Jewish name lol, why?
    Otters is known to lay a lot of crazy chalk to win pennies.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/19/2022


  15. #15
    arie1985
    arie1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-08
    Posts: 1,412
    Betpoints: 2353

    Quote Originally Posted by Foxx View Post
    Mystify's exchange starting price was 180. Appears you matched around 150, so it appears you beat the starting price at least. You can hang your hat on that. You do that consistently enough, you'll come out ahead.
    I know, but it feels like shit!
    What if you hit a few more "winners" like this one?

    Maybe over/under is the only way of gambling that I'd consider, especially in the NBA... it's best to place a bet only when it makes sense - the dogs/horses thing could be profitable but you simply never know.

  16. #16
    arie1985
    arie1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-08
    Posts: 1,412
    Betpoints: 2353

    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    Otters is known to lay a lot of crazy chalk to win pennies.
    lol, any example of one of his threads lol?

  17. #17
    Easy-Rider 66
    Racetrack Television Network
    Easy-Rider 66's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-14-12
    Posts: 30,574
    Betpoints: 1551

    Quote Originally Posted by arie1985 View Post
    lol, any example of one of his threads lol?

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for....php?t=3708992
    Points Awarded:

    arie1985 gave Easy-Rider 66 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  18. #18
    budwiser
    budwiser's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-22-11
    Posts: 1,226
    Betpoints: 878

    if you got a baseball bat playing football, you're in trouble...

    i oughta know... i tried baseball and basketball i just learn the hard way

  19. #19
    cankid
    cankid's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,859
    Betpoints: 5784

    Nice hit on the Philly Under after a bunch of points in the 1st half

Top