I look at the Baltimore Orioles schedule,the red hot
Orioles have a chance get to playoff.They still have a lot of game vs blue ray,the schedule is not easy,but if get in who know baseball
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08-08-22 07:44 PM #1
Can the Baltimore Orioles go to playoff?
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08-08-22 07:46 PM #2
Bro you need to start posting your plays before the game starts. Yes, it would be so we can fade you but let’s be honest, you are going to lose anyways and it would give you some good karma.
And yes the O’s can probably get in. Depending on who they face in the wild card but they do have a chance. They are playing very well.
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08-08-22 07:50 PM #3
the blue rays are tough
got to watch for the green sox of chicago
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08-08-22 07:52 PM #4
Originally Posted by pologq
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08-09-22 09:59 AM #5
not without mancini's bat. They will level off. Fan graphs has their updated odds to take a wild-card spot at 4.8%
175 pts3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/29/2022
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08-09-22 10:01 AM #6
orioles have a decent shot and are worth a flier bet imo
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08-09-22 10:04 AM #7
ONE GAME behind the M's in the WILD CARD
175 pts3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/26/2022
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08-09-22 10:44 AM #8
i really am impressed with the turnaround. nice to see.
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08-09-22 12:56 PM #9
This dude is starting to piss me the fukk off. He wont post a play before game time when we all know he is auto fade. Makes these stupid ass threads and dips, doesn’t even respond. What’s the point in making the thread you Euro trash illiterate piece of shit???
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08-09-22 02:04 PM #10
why start a thread and not respond when people respond with their opinion
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08-09-22 02:46 PM #11
Is he in the Baltimore organization perhaps? Originally Posted by pologq
175 pts
3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/26/2022
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08-09-22 02:54 PM #12
This tmoible is an illiterate piece of shit that contributes nothing. Guy claims he gonna quit every other week and won’t ever give us his plays pre game. Can’t stand this euro trash foreskin having sack of shit. Originally Posted by Fishhead
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08-09-22 03:27 PM #13
he is chris davis Originally Posted by Fishhead
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08-09-22 04:14 PM #14
Can the Orioles make the playoffs?
Anything is possible.
This is what they have going against them though.
Baltimore is currently fourth in their own division.
They are two full games out of third place, and three full games at of second place.
And that's just in their own division.
The Yankees have clinched the East
The Astros have clinched the West.
(Not mathematically, but is would have to rain for forty days and forty nights if that doesn't happen)
There will be no Wild Card team from the AL Central, and very more than likely the Twins win that AL Central, the White Sox and Cleveland all are in the division title mix, but it's the Twins to lose, and will host a WC series with Houston and New York earning byes and are automatically hosting a ALDS series
Three teams in each league get a WC berth.
The best of the rest are (in order) Jays, Mariners, Rays, and then the Orioles.
The O's will need to pretty much need to complete the sweep tonight and Wednesday against the second place Blue Jays, beat Boston after that in the single game make up game. Then this up coming weekend fly down to Florida, and beat the team you're really hunting down the Rays, and beat them at least three out of four. A 2-2 split hurts more than it helps. a split gains you nothing, and just takes valuable dates off the calendar.
Seven games in seven days, all against division rivals, only the single game Red Sox have a worse record, but know this, they aren't Nancy Boy pushovers, a train wreck this season, yes, a pushover, hardly.
Three and four or worse in the next seven days is a disaster, ideally you want six and one, five and two is imperative.
If Baltimore can go five and two in seven days, talk to me next week.
The Mainers aren't going to help you, they have pushovers left to play, like Texas, and Oakland, and KC Royals, and Tigers, and the Nats.
The Mariners are much better, the next time the Mainers come back east will be in the playoffs, or next year, and the O's aren't catching them. Forget about it.
For the Orioles to make the post season, they have to win this week, continue winning.
The Rays and Jays have nine games left, ideally you would need Toronto to beat them at least six out of nine to nab that third and last spot, because as of right now, it's clearly Seattle and Toronto in as WC's with Baltimore needing to catch and surpass Tampa Bay for the final spot.
I have my own databases, BR.com database is without question the most accurate.
They give the Orioles a 40 percent chance of grabbing a Wild Card spot.
The following chart is from BR.com, and updated daily.
The data is based on 1000 simulated computer games based on the performances of all teams to date this season, and projected based on the teams games yet to be played on the schedule, and includes a regression to the mean factor.
The rSOS means remaining strength of schedule, average means what is the most likely final records, POST means percentage chance to make the post season, and so on.
I've been leaning on this data for years, trust me, it's deadly accurate.
The Orioles have a 40 percent chance, 40 percent translates into +150 implied odds.
So, if you can get say +180 or better om the O's making the playoffs, there's your value bet.
I would need better than +200, but BR's numbers are usually spot on, so I'll pass on fading Baltimore or fading them.
Current Average Tm D rSOS W L W L Post WC Div Toronto Blue Jays E 0.3 60 49 88.3 73.7 85.00% 84.90% <0.1% Tampa Bay Rays E 0.5 58 50 84.8 77.2 55.50% 55.50% <0.1% Baltimore Orioles E 0.3 57 52 83.5 78.5 39.10% 39.10% <0.1% Minnesota Twins C 0 57 51 84.5 77.5 55.80% 13.50% 42.30% Cleveland Guardians C -0.2 56 52 83.3 78.7 43.00% 11.90% 31.10% Chicago White Sox C -0.3 55 53 82.5 79.5 34.90% 8.30% 26.60% Seattle Mariners W -0.4 59 52 87.1 74.9 80.50% 80.40% 0.10% And the Orioles remaining schedule is not as soft as you think it is.
They are better than Detroit and Boston right now, but the Tigers aren't that much of a pushover.
Nine games here are 'gimmes'Gm# Date Tm Opp 110 Tuesday, Aug 9 preview BAL TOR 111 Wednesday, Aug 10 preview BAL TOR 112 Thursday, Aug 11 preview BAL @ BOS 113 Friday, Aug 12 preview BAL @ TBR 114 Saturday, Aug 13 preview BAL @ TBR 115 Sunday, Aug 14 preview BAL @ TBR 116 Monday, Aug 15 preview BAL @ TOR 117 Tuesday, Aug 16 preview BAL @ TOR 118 Wednesday, Aug 17 preview BAL @ TOR 119 Thursday, Aug 18 preview BAL CHC 120 Friday, Aug 19 preview BAL BOS 121 Saturday, Aug 20 preview BAL BOS 122 Sunday, Aug 21 preview BAL BOS 123 Tuesday, Aug 23 preview BAL CHW 124 Wednesday, Aug 24 preview BAL CHW 125 Thursday, Aug 25 preview BAL CHW 126 Friday, Aug 26 preview BAL @ HOU 127 Saturday, Aug 27 preview BAL @ HOU 128 Sunday, Aug 28 preview BAL @ HOU 129 Tuesday, Aug 30 preview BAL @ CLE 130 Wednesday, Aug 31 preview BAL @ CLE 131 Thursday, Sep 1 preview BAL @ CLE 132 Friday, Sep 2 preview BAL OAK 133 Saturday, Sep 3 preview BAL OAK 134 Sunday, Sep 4 preview BAL OAK 135 Monday, Sep 5 preview BAL TOR 136 Tuesday, Sep 6 preview BAL TOR 137 Wednesday, Sep 7 preview BAL TOR 138 Friday, Sep 9 preview BAL BOS 139 Saturday, Sep 10 preview BAL BOS 140 Sunday, Sep 11 preview BAL BOS 141 Tuesday, Sep 13 preview BAL @ WSN 142 Wednesday, Sep 14 preview BAL @ WSN 143 Friday, Sep 16 preview BAL @ TOR 144 Saturday, Sep 17 preview BAL @ TOR 145 Sunday, Sep 18 preview BAL @ TOR 146 Monday, Sep 19 preview BAL DET 147 Tuesday, Sep 20 preview BAL DET 148 Wednesday, Sep 21 preview BAL DET 149 Thursday, Sep 22 preview BAL HOU 150 Friday, Sep 23 preview BAL HOU 151 Saturday, Sep 24 preview BAL HOU 152 Sunday, Sep 25 preview BAL HOU 153 Monday, Sep 26 preview BAL @ BOS 154 Tuesday, Sep 27 preview BAL @ BOS 155 Wednesday, Sep 28 preview BAL @ BOS 156 Thursday, Sep 29 preview BAL @ BOS 157 Friday, Sep 30 preview BAL @ NYY 158 Saturday, Oct 1 preview BAL @ NYY 159 Sunday, Oct 2 preview BAL @ NYY 160 Monday, Oct 3 preview BAL TOR 161 Tuesday, Oct 4 preview BAL TOR 162 Wednesday, Oct 5 preview BAL TOR
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08-09-22 04:16 PM #15
Great breakdown Nash, too bad this uncircumcised Euro trash is incapable of reading it and won’t be able to respond with a point of conversation.
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08-09-22 04:43 PM #16
40% Originally Posted by stevenash
lolololol
Cmon guy, that's not remotely accurate175 pts3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/26/2022
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08-09-22 05:18 PM #17
I think that's high as well, and I'm already on record as saying so. Originally Posted by Fishhead
But, I can't argue with BR's past results on accuracy, I don't always agree with them, a lot of times in the past I've scratched my head over some of the numbers they've posted in the past and said to myself "What am I missing here, that number seems to be way off" only a month later to see they were right.
They aren't 100 percent, but they have a proven track record of accuracy.
I am not advocated tail or fade, but I wouldn't turn you guys onto a bullshit site either,
I'm just putting it out there.
I personally wouldn't touch Baltimore anything under +250 myself, no less +150
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08-09-22 05:22 PM #18
Sawx have a better shot at the last wild-card than Earl’s boys. next year? lookout though for the Weaver crew
175 pts3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/29/2022
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08-09-22 05:31 PM #19
Before last nights win, they were -950/+670 to NOT make the playoffs in Vegas Originally Posted by stevenash
175 pts
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SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/26/2022
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08-09-22 05:40 PM #20
Originally Posted by stevenash
BR.com ???175 pts3-QUESTION
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08-09-22 05:50 PM #21
Baseball-reference Originally Posted by hotcross
You can access their numbers once you're into the site.
It's not for profit information, no pay involved.
I've been going there for years, they're good, very good.
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08-09-22 05:51 PM #22
ok thanks. Was thinking Bleacher Report? was drawing a blank there
175 pts3-QUESTION
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08-09-22 06:52 PM #23
It would be nice to see them make it.....they don't know they're not suppose to get there.
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08-09-22 07:08 PM #24
Will pop a woody if they do......... Originally Posted by Mike Huntertz
175 pts
3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/26/2022
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08-09-22 07:58 PM #25
They gave up on Mancini way too early. Originally Posted by Fishhead
Watch the O's back door the last WC spot, beat the Twins or White Sox in the WC round, face Houston in the ALDS, and Mancini comes back to bite his old team in the ass.
Mancini was pretty much the new face of the 2020's O's
That deal pissed off a lot of people.
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