Can the Baltimore Orioles go to playoff?

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  • tmoible
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-09-20
    • 512

    #1
    Can the Baltimore Orioles go to playoff?
    I look at the Baltimore Orioles schedule,the red hot
    Orioles have a chance get to playoff.They still have a lot of game vs blue ray,the schedule is not easy,but if get in who know baseball
  • KiDBaZkiT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-20-09
    • 14962

    #2
    Bro you need to start posting your plays before the game starts. Yes, it would be so we can fade you but let’s be honest, you are going to lose anyways and it would give you some good karma.

    And yes the O’s can probably get in. Depending on who they face in the wild card but they do have a chance. They are playing very well.
    Comment
    • pologq
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-07-12
      • 19899

      #3
      the blue rays are tough

      got to watch for the green sox of chicago
      Comment
      • KiDBaZkiT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-20-09
        • 14962

        #4
        Originally posted by pologq
        the blue rays are tough

        got to watch for the green sox of chicago
        Comment
        • stake1
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-19-18
          • 18116

          #5
          not without mancini's bat. They will level off. Fan graphs has their updated odds to take a wild-card spot at 4.8%
          Comment
          • pologq
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-07-12
            • 19899

            #6
            orioles have a decent shot and are worth a flier bet imo
            Comment
            • Fishhead
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 08-11-05
              • 40179

              #7
              ONE GAME behind the M's in the WILD CARD
              Comment
              • pologq
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-07-12
                • 19899

                #8
                i really am impressed with the turnaround. nice to see.
                Comment
                • KiDBaZkiT
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-20-09
                  • 14962

                  #9
                  This dude is starting to piss me the fukk off. He wont post a play before game time when we all know he is auto fade. Makes these stupid ass threads and dips, doesn’t even respond. What’s the point in making the thread you Euro trash illiterate piece of shit???
                  Comment
                  • pologq
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-07-12
                    • 19899

                    #10
                    why start a thread and not respond when people respond with their opinion
                    Comment
                    • Fishhead
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 08-11-05
                      • 40179

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pologq
                      why start a thread and not respond when people respond with their opinion
                      Is he in the Baltimore organization perhaps?
                      Comment
                      • KiDBaZkiT
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-20-09
                        • 14962

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Fishhead
                        Is he in the Baltimore organization perhaps?
                        This tmoible is an illiterate piece of shit that contributes nothing. Guy claims he gonna quit every other week and won’t ever give us his plays pre game. Can’t stand this euro trash foreskin having sack of shit.
                        Comment
                        • pologq
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-07-12
                          • 19899

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Fishhead
                          Is he in the Baltimore organization perhaps?
                          he is chris davis
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 65396

                            #14
                            Can the Orioles make the playoffs?
                            Anything is possible.

                            This is what they have going against them though.
                            Baltimore is currently fourth in their own division.
                            They are two full games out of third place, and three full games at of second place.
                            And that's just in their own division.

                            The Yankees have clinched the East
                            The Astros have clinched the West.
                            (Not mathematically, but is would have to rain for forty days and forty nights if that doesn't happen)

                            There will be no Wild Card team from the AL Central, and very more than likely the Twins win that AL Central, the White Sox and Cleveland all are in the division title mix, but it's the Twins to lose, and will host a WC series with Houston and New York earning byes and are automatically hosting a ALDS series

                            Three teams in each league get a WC berth.
                            The best of the rest are (in order) Jays, Mariners, Rays, and then the Orioles.

                            The O's will need to pretty much need to complete the sweep tonight and Wednesday against the second place Blue Jays, beat Boston after that in the single game make up game. Then this up coming weekend fly down to Florida, and beat the team you're really hunting down the Rays, and beat them at least three out of four. A 2-2 split hurts more than it helps. a split gains you nothing, and just takes valuable dates off the calendar.

                            Seven games in seven days, all against division rivals, only the single game Red Sox have a worse record, but know this, they aren't Nancy Boy pushovers, a train wreck this season, yes, a pushover, hardly.

                            Three and four or worse in the next seven days is a disaster, ideally you want six and one, five and two is imperative.
                            If Baltimore can go five and two in seven days, talk to me next week.

                            The Mainers aren't going to help you, they have pushovers left to play, like Texas, and Oakland, and KC Royals, and Tigers, and the Nats.
                            The Mariners are much better, the next time the Mainers come back east will be in the playoffs, or next year, and the O's aren't catching them. Forget about it.

                            For the Orioles to make the post season, they have to win this week, continue winning.
                            The Rays and Jays have nine games left, ideally you would need Toronto to beat them at least six out of nine to nab that third and last spot, because as of right now, it's clearly Seattle and Toronto in as WC's with Baltimore needing to catch and surpass Tampa Bay for the final spot.

                            I have my own databases, BR.com database is without question the most accurate.
                            They give the Orioles a 40 percent chance of grabbing a Wild Card spot.

                            The following chart is from BR.com, and updated daily.
                            The data is based on 1000 simulated computer games based on the performances of all teams to date this season, and projected based on the teams games yet to be played on the schedule, and includes a regression to the mean factor.

                            The rSOS means remaining strength of schedule, average means what is the most likely final records, POST means percentage chance to make the post season, and so on.

                            I've been leaning on this data for years, trust me, it's deadly accurate.
                            The Orioles have a 40 percent chance, 40 percent translates into +150 implied odds.
                            So, if you can get say +180 or better om the O's making the playoffs, there's your value bet.
                            I would need better than +200, but BR's numbers are usually spot on, so I'll pass on fading Baltimore or fading them.



                            Current Average
                            Tm D rSOS W L W L Post WC Div
                            Toronto Blue Jays E 0.3 60 49 88.3 73.7 85.00% 84.90% <0.1%
                            Tampa Bay Rays E 0.5 58 50 84.8 77.2 55.50% 55.50% <0.1%
                            Baltimore Orioles E 0.3 57 52 83.5 78.5 39.10% 39.10% <0.1%
                            Minnesota Twins C 0 57 51 84.5 77.5 55.80% 13.50% 42.30%
                            Cleveland Guardians C -0.2 56 52 83.3 78.7 43.00% 11.90% 31.10%
                            Chicago White Sox C -0.3 55 53 82.5 79.5 34.90% 8.30% 26.60%
                            Seattle Mariners W -0.4 59 52 87.1 74.9 80.50% 80.40% 0.10%
                            And the Orioles remaining schedule is not as soft as you think it is.
                            They are better than Detroit and Boston right now, but the Tigers aren't that much of a pushover.
                            Nine games here are 'gimmes'
                            Gm# Date Tm Opp
                            110 Tuesday, Aug 9 preview BAL TOR
                            111 Wednesday, Aug 10 preview BAL TOR
                            112 Thursday, Aug 11 preview BAL @ BOS
                            113 Friday, Aug 12 preview BAL @ TBR
                            114 Saturday, Aug 13 preview BAL @ TBR
                            115 Sunday, Aug 14 preview BAL @ TBR
                            116 Monday, Aug 15 preview BAL @ TOR
                            117 Tuesday, Aug 16 preview BAL @ TOR
                            118 Wednesday, Aug 17 preview BAL @ TOR
                            119 Thursday, Aug 18 preview BAL CHC
                            120 Friday, Aug 19 preview BAL BOS
                            121 Saturday, Aug 20 preview BAL BOS
                            122 Sunday, Aug 21 preview BAL BOS
                            123 Tuesday, Aug 23 preview BAL CHW
                            124 Wednesday, Aug 24 preview BAL CHW
                            125 Thursday, Aug 25 preview BAL CHW
                            126 Friday, Aug 26 preview BAL @ HOU
                            127 Saturday, Aug 27 preview BAL @ HOU
                            128 Sunday, Aug 28 preview BAL @ HOU
                            129 Tuesday, Aug 30 preview BAL @ CLE
                            130 Wednesday, Aug 31 preview BAL @ CLE
                            131 Thursday, Sep 1 preview BAL @ CLE
                            132 Friday, Sep 2 preview BAL OAK
                            133 Saturday, Sep 3 preview BAL OAK
                            134 Sunday, Sep 4 preview BAL OAK
                            135 Monday, Sep 5 preview BAL TOR
                            136 Tuesday, Sep 6 preview BAL TOR
                            137 Wednesday, Sep 7 preview BAL TOR
                            138 Friday, Sep 9 preview BAL BOS
                            139 Saturday, Sep 10 preview BAL BOS
                            140 Sunday, Sep 11 preview BAL BOS
                            141 Tuesday, Sep 13 preview BAL @ WSN
                            142 Wednesday, Sep 14 preview BAL @ WSN
                            143 Friday, Sep 16 preview BAL @ TOR
                            144 Saturday, Sep 17 preview BAL @ TOR
                            145 Sunday, Sep 18 preview BAL @ TOR
                            146 Monday, Sep 19 preview BAL DET
                            147 Tuesday, Sep 20 preview BAL DET
                            148 Wednesday, Sep 21 preview BAL DET
                            149 Thursday, Sep 22 preview BAL HOU
                            150 Friday, Sep 23 preview BAL HOU
                            151 Saturday, Sep 24 preview BAL HOU
                            152 Sunday, Sep 25 preview BAL HOU
                            153 Monday, Sep 26 preview BAL @ BOS
                            154 Tuesday, Sep 27 preview BAL @ BOS
                            155 Wednesday, Sep 28 preview BAL @ BOS
                            156 Thursday, Sep 29 preview BAL @ BOS
                            157 Friday, Sep 30 preview BAL @ NYY
                            158 Saturday, Oct 1 preview BAL @ NYY
                            159 Sunday, Oct 2 preview BAL @ NYY
                            160 Monday, Oct 3 preview BAL TOR
                            161 Tuesday, Oct 4 preview BAL TOR
                            162 Wednesday, Oct 5 preview BAL TOR
                            Comment
                            • KiDBaZkiT
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-20-09
                              • 14962

                              #15
                              Great breakdown Nash, too bad this uncircumcised Euro trash is incapable of reading it and won’t be able to respond with a point of conversation.
                              Comment
                              • Fishhead
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 08-11-05
                                • 40179

                                #16
                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                Can the Orioles make the playoffs?
                                Anything is possible.

                                This is what they have going against them though.
                                Baltimore is currently fourth in their own division.
                                They are two full games out of third place, and three full games at of second place.
                                And that's just in their own division.

                                The Yankees have clinched the East
                                The Astros have clinched the West.
                                (Not mathematically, but is would have to rain for forty days and forty nights if that doesn't happen)

                                There will be no Wild Card team from the AL Central, and very more than likely the Twins win that AL Central, the White Sox and Cleveland all are in the division title mix, but it's the Twins to lose, and will host a WC series with Houston and New York earning byes and are automatically hosting a ALDS series

                                Three teams in each league get a WC berth.
                                The best of the rest are (in order) Jays, Mariners, Rays, and then the Orioles.

                                The O's will need to pretty much need to complete the sweep tonight and Wednesday against the second place Blue Jays, beat Boston after that in the single game make up game. Then this up coming weekend fly down to Florida, and beat the team you're really hunting down the Rays, and beat them at least three out of four. A 2-2 split hurts more than it helps. a split gains you nothing, and just takes valuable dates off the calendar.

                                Seven games in seven days, all against division rivals, only the single game Red Sox have a worse record, but know this, they aren't Nancy Boy pushovers, a train wreck this season, yes, a pushover, hardly.

                                Three and four or worse in the next seven days is a disaster, ideally you want six and one, five and two is imperative.
                                If Baltimore can go five and two in seven days, talk to me next week.

                                The Mainers aren't going to help you, they have pushovers left to play, like Texas, and Oakland, and KC Royals, and Tigers, and the Nats.
                                The Mariners are much better, the next time the Mainers come back east will be in the playoffs, or next year, and the O's aren't catching them. Forget about it.

                                For the Orioles to make the post season, they have to win this week, continue winning.
                                The Rays and Jays have nine games left, ideally you would need Toronto to beat them at least six out of nine to nab that third and last spot, because as of right now, it's clearly Seattle and Toronto in as WC's with Baltimore needing to catch and surpass Tampa Bay for the final spot.

                                I have my own databases, BR.com database is without question the most accurate.
                                They give the Orioles a 40 percent chance of grabbing a Wild Card spot.

                                The following chart is from BR.com, and updated daily.
                                The data is based on 1000 simulated computer games based on the performances of all teams to date this season, and projected based on the teams games yet to be played on the schedule, and includes a regression to the mean factor.

                                The rSOS means remaining strength of schedule, average means what is the most likely final records, POST means percentage chance to make the post season, and so on.

                                I've been leaning on this data for years, trust me, it's deadly accurate.
                                The Orioles have a 40 percent chance, 40 percent translates into +150 implied odds.
                                So, if you can get say +180 or better om the O's making the playoffs, there's your value bet.
                                I would need better than +200, but BR's numbers are usually spot on, so I'll pass on fading Baltimore or fading them.



                                Current Average
                                Tm D rSOS W L W L Post WC Div
                                Toronto Blue Jays E 0.3 60 49 88.3 73.7 85.00% 84.90% <0.1%
                                Tampa Bay Rays E 0.5 58 50 84.8 77.2 55.50% 55.50% <0.1%
                                Baltimore Orioles E 0.3 57 52 83.5 78.5 39.10% 39.10% <0.1%
                                Minnesota Twins C 0 57 51 84.5 77.5 55.80% 13.50% 42.30%
                                Cleveland Guardians C -0.2 56 52 83.3 78.7 43.00% 11.90% 31.10%
                                Chicago White Sox C -0.3 55 53 82.5 79.5 34.90% 8.30% 26.60%
                                Seattle Mariners W -0.4 59 52 87.1 74.9 80.50% 80.40% 0.10%
                                And the Orioles remaining schedule is not as soft as you think it is.
                                They are better than Detroit and Boston right now, but the Tigers aren't that much of a pushover.
                                Nine games here are 'gimmes'
                                Gm# Date Tm Opp
                                110 Tuesday, Aug 9 preview BAL TOR
                                111 Wednesday, Aug 10 preview BAL TOR
                                112 Thursday, Aug 11 preview BAL @ BOS
                                113 Friday, Aug 12 preview BAL @ TBR
                                114 Saturday, Aug 13 preview BAL @ TBR
                                115 Sunday, Aug 14 preview BAL @ TBR
                                116 Monday, Aug 15 preview BAL @ TOR
                                117 Tuesday, Aug 16 preview BAL @ TOR
                                118 Wednesday, Aug 17 preview BAL @ TOR
                                119 Thursday, Aug 18 preview BAL CHC
                                120 Friday, Aug 19 preview BAL BOS
                                121 Saturday, Aug 20 preview BAL BOS
                                122 Sunday, Aug 21 preview BAL BOS
                                123 Tuesday, Aug 23 preview BAL CHW
                                124 Wednesday, Aug 24 preview BAL CHW
                                125 Thursday, Aug 25 preview BAL CHW
                                126 Friday, Aug 26 preview BAL @ HOU
                                127 Saturday, Aug 27 preview BAL @ HOU
                                128 Sunday, Aug 28 preview BAL @ HOU
                                129 Tuesday, Aug 30 preview BAL @ CLE
                                130 Wednesday, Aug 31 preview BAL @ CLE
                                131 Thursday, Sep 1 preview BAL @ CLE
                                132 Friday, Sep 2 preview BAL OAK
                                133 Saturday, Sep 3 preview BAL OAK
                                134 Sunday, Sep 4 preview BAL OAK
                                135 Monday, Sep 5 preview BAL TOR
                                136 Tuesday, Sep 6 preview BAL TOR
                                137 Wednesday, Sep 7 preview BAL TOR
                                138 Friday, Sep 9 preview BAL BOS
                                139 Saturday, Sep 10 preview BAL BOS
                                140 Sunday, Sep 11 preview BAL BOS
                                141 Tuesday, Sep 13 preview BAL @ WSN
                                142 Wednesday, Sep 14 preview BAL @ WSN
                                143 Friday, Sep 16 preview BAL @ TOR
                                144 Saturday, Sep 17 preview BAL @ TOR
                                145 Sunday, Sep 18 preview BAL @ TOR
                                146 Monday, Sep 19 preview BAL DET
                                147 Tuesday, Sep 20 preview BAL DET
                                148 Wednesday, Sep 21 preview BAL DET
                                149 Thursday, Sep 22 preview BAL HOU
                                150 Friday, Sep 23 preview BAL HOU
                                151 Saturday, Sep 24 preview BAL HOU
                                152 Sunday, Sep 25 preview BAL HOU
                                153 Monday, Sep 26 preview BAL @ BOS
                                154 Tuesday, Sep 27 preview BAL @ BOS
                                155 Wednesday, Sep 28 preview BAL @ BOS
                                156 Thursday, Sep 29 preview BAL @ BOS
                                157 Friday, Sep 30 preview BAL @ NYY
                                158 Saturday, Oct 1 preview BAL @ NYY
                                159 Sunday, Oct 2 preview BAL @ NYY
                                160 Monday, Oct 3 preview BAL TOR
                                161 Tuesday, Oct 4 preview BAL TOR
                                162 Wednesday, Oct 5 preview BAL TOR
                                40%

                                lolololol

                                Cmon guy, that's not remotely accurate
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65396

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Fishhead
                                  40%

                                  lolololol

                                  Cmon guy, that's not remotely accurate
                                  I think that's high as well, and I'm already on record as saying so.
                                  But, I can't argue with BR's past results on accuracy, I don't always agree with them, a lot of times in the past I've scratched my head over some of the numbers they've posted in the past and said to myself "What am I missing here, that number seems to be way off" only a month later to see they were right.

                                  They aren't 100 percent, but they have a proven track record of accuracy.
                                  I am not advocated tail or fade, but I wouldn't turn you guys onto a bullshit site either,
                                  I'm just putting it out there.

                                  I personally wouldn't touch Baltimore anything under +250 myself, no less +150
                                  Comment
                                  • stake1
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-19-18
                                    • 18116

                                    #18
                                    Sawx have a better shot at the last wild-card than Earl’s boys. next year? lookout though for the Weaver crew
                                    Comment
                                    • Fishhead
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 08-11-05
                                      • 40179

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by stevenash
                                      I think that's high as well, and I'm already on record as saying so.
                                      But, I can't argue with BR's past results on accuracy, I don't always agree with them, a lot of times in the past I've scratched my head over some of the numbers they've posted in the past and said to myself "What am I missing here, that number seems to be way off" only a month later to see they were right.

                                      They aren't 100 percent, but they have a proven track record of accuracy.
                                      I am not advocated tail or fade, but I wouldn't turn you guys onto a bullshit site either,
                                      I'm just putting it out there.

                                      I personally wouldn't touch Baltimore anything under +250 myself, no less +150
                                      Before last nights win, they were -950/+670 to NOT make the playoffs in Vegas
                                      Comment
                                      • hotcross
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-04-17
                                        • 7934

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by stevenash
                                        I have my own databases, BR.com database is without question the most accurate.
                                        They give the Orioles a 40 percent chance of grabbing a Wild Card spot.

                                        The following chart is from BR.com, and updated daily.
                                        The data is based on 1000 simulated computer games based on the performances of all teams to date this season, and projected based on the teams games yet to be played on the schedule, and includes a regression to the mean factor.

                                        BR.com ???
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 65396

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by hotcross
                                          BR.com ???
                                          Baseball-reference
                                          You can access their numbers once you're into the site.
                                          It's not for profit information, no pay involved.
                                          I've been going there for years, they're good, very good.
                                          Comment
                                          • hotcross
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-04-17
                                            • 7934

                                            #22
                                            ok thanks. Was thinking Bleacher Report? was drawing a blank there
                                            Comment
                                            • Mike Huntertz
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-19-09
                                              • 11207

                                              #23
                                              It would be nice to see them make it.....they don't know they're not suppose to get there.
                                              Comment
                                              • Fishhead
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 08-11-05
                                                • 40179

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
                                                It would be nice to see them make it.....they don't know they're not suppose to get there.
                                                Will pop a woody if they do.........
                                                Comment
                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 65396

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Fishhead
                                                  Will pop a woody if they do.........
                                                  They gave up on Mancini way too early.

                                                  Watch the O's back door the last WC spot, beat the Twins or White Sox in the WC round, face Houston in the ALDS, and Mancini comes back to bite his old team in the ass.

                                                  Mancini was pretty much the new face of the 2020's O's
                                                  That deal pissed off a lot of people.
                                                  Comment
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